叫小宋 别叫总

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做投资不如考公
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-23 11:12
Core Viewpoint - The article narrates the entrepreneurial journey of a character named Xiao Song, highlighting the evolution of his business from initial funding challenges to significant revenue growth and eventual government support for expansion and acquisitions. Group 1: Early Stage and Funding Challenges - Xiao Song's company has achieved 1 million in revenue and is seeking to establish a formal production line while looking for a city to set up operations and raise equity financing [1] - The government expresses concerns about the early stage of the business, suggesting a buyback agreement and a reduced valuation of 30 million, given the net assets of only 10 million [2][3] - The company aims to raise 30 million for production line expansion, with the government indicating that they will invest 30 million but require a 1:2 ratio for funding [4][5][6] Group 2: Growth and Investment Opportunities - As the company grows to 100 million in revenue, investment interest from institutions increases [7] - The government advises Xiao Song to allocate half of the financing quota to local investment firms, suggesting a flexible approach to funding [9][10][11] Group 3: Expansion Plans - With revenue reaching 200 million, Xiao Song plans to expand production lines, R&D centers, and employee accommodations [12] - The government proposes purchasing contaminated land for production and converting a long-abandoned building into an R&D center, as well as a struggling hotel into employee housing [13][14][15] Group 4: Maturity and IPO Considerations - Xiao Song, now referred to as Lao Song, has grown the company to 300 million in revenue and is considering an IPO [18] - The government encourages supporting local brokerage firms by allowing them to handle distribution for the IPO [19][20] Group 5: Recognition and Strategic Growth - Lao Song's company has gone public and reached 500 million in revenue, with the provincial government recognizing it as a model enterprise [22][23] - The government suggests exploring mergers and acquisitions to expand further, particularly in underperforming regions [24][25] Group 6: Continued Growth and Future Aspirations - By 2024, the company has achieved 700 million in revenue, with government officials inquiring about future revenue targets and tax contributions [27][28][29] - The company reaches 1 billion in revenue, with higher-level government officials suggesting acquisitions of struggling upstream companies [30][32] Group 7: Strategic Importance and Long-term Vision - The company grows to 5 billion in revenue, with government officials emphasizing the strategic importance of certain assets related to the business [34][36] - Lao Song reflects on his entrepreneurial journey as he nears retirement age, contemplating the future of his business and his son's career choices [39][40]
车企不赚钱,智驾白菜价,智驾芯片还好吗
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-17 01:38
Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of intelligent driving chips, likening them to the CPU of a car, which is essential for the development of autonomous driving technology [7][14][19] - The complexity of intelligent driving chips is highlighted, as they must process vast amounts of data from various sensors to make driving decisions [12][18] - The article emphasizes that the current landscape of intelligent driving chips is dominated by NVIDIA, which has leveraged its expertise in graphics processing to become a leading supplier in this field [31][33] Group 2 - Domestic companies in China are emerging as challengers in the intelligent driving chip market, driven by the country's leadership in the new energy vehicle sector [37][40] - The article categorizes domestic intelligent driving chip companies into several types, including those focused on high-performance CPUs and those addressing specific computational needs [48][49] - The competitive landscape is characterized by high valuations and significant funding, raising questions about the sustainability of so many players in the market [58][62] Group 3 - The article points out the challenges of the chip industry, including high operational costs and the need for substantial investment, which can lead to inflated valuations [61][62] - A notable trend is the preference for more affordable and practical solutions, as evidenced by the popularity of Texas Instruments' TDA4 chip, despite the higher performance of other options [67][68] - The discussion concludes with a recognition of the potential for bubbles in emerging industries, emphasizing the need for caution among investors [76][80]
我在华南某省工作的感受
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-15 05:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and dynamics of the semiconductor industry in China, particularly focusing on the Guangdong province and its competition with the Yangtze River Delta region [1][3][10]. Group 1: Semiconductor Industry Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is heavily influenced by national policies rather than market forces, making it difficult for local governments to drive growth independently [3][10]. - Major semiconductor companies like SMIC and Changxin have made substantial fixed asset investments, often exceeding hundreds of billions, with low investment returns [4]. - The Yangtze River Delta region, particularly Shanghai and its surrounding areas, has a more developed semiconductor supply chain compared to the Pearl River Delta [5]. Group 2: Regional Development and Challenges - Guangdong has made significant investments in semiconductor manufacturing, with companies like Yuexin and Nansha focusing on wafer fabrication, but their process improvements and profit margins have been disappointing [7][9]. - The geographical features of Guangdong, such as hilly terrain, hinder large-scale industrialization compared to the flat plains of the Yangtze River Delta [14]. - The local governance structure and urban planning challenges in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen complicate industrial development [15]. Group 3: Economic and Trade Considerations - The economic decoupling between China and the U.S. poses challenges for Guangdong's export-oriented businesses, necessitating adjustments in product lines and trade partnerships [21]. - The tax revenue structure in Guangdong, where Shenzhen's taxes primarily benefit Beijing, creates financial strain on the province [22][23]. - The automotive industry in Guangzhou is experiencing a significant downturn, impacting overall economic performance [24]. Group 4: Historical and Cultural Context - Guangdong's historical role as a trade hub has shaped its economic resilience, but current geopolitical tensions may affect its future [20][27]. - The province has contributed significantly to national economic growth and demographic balance, especially in the context of an aging population [27][28].
上次在这个点发文,好像是因为喝了点酒
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-13 10:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving dynamics of consumer behavior and company management, particularly focusing on the importance of "private domain" operations in businesses like Pang Donglai, as well as the shifting preferences of younger generations in the market [11][12]. Group 1: Pang Donglai's Business Model - Pang Donglai allocates a significant portion of profits to employees, which is a notable aspect of its business model [5]. - The markup rate of Pang Donglai is lower compared to other supermarkets, indicating that its products may have higher costs but also better quality, leading to increased customer loyalty and repurchase rates [6][8]. - Pang Donglai can be viewed as a large private domain operator, where all employees and customers are considered private domain users [9]. Group 2: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The article raises questions about the changing preferences of younger consumers, particularly regarding alcohol consumption, suggesting that younger generations may reject traditional values associated with drinking [13]. - The recent stock market trends show a decline in liquor stocks while companies like Pop Mart are reaching new highs, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards brands that resonate with younger consumers [13][14]. - Investment strategies, especially in the primary market, are increasingly focused on aligning with the preferences of younger generations [14][16]. Group 3: Industry Insights - The article highlights the growing importance of founders' abilities to manage young customers and employees, suggesting that this will become a critical evaluation criterion in the investment landscape over the next decade [11]. - There is a noticeable trend in business proposals increasingly including social media links, reflecting the changing landscape of how companies engage with younger audiences [15].
公司创始团队内斗怎么办
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-11 03:50
本篇话题来自于近期特朗普和马斯克的撕 X 。 可能不会到微博上去写小作文,但是本质差不多。公司刚组建的时候,创始团队两个人爱的有多深沉, 内斗的时候两个人就骂的有多惨烈。 先给出我个人的结论:内斗基本不会有太好的结局,同时,也没有太好的解决办法,尤其是对投资人而 言。 有人问,企业创始团队内斗,是什么样子?我见过的内斗,差不多就是特朗普和马斯克这种样子。 不会太好结局的几个原因总结如下: 团队士气大受影响 这个士气不仅包括管理层,还包括中层员工。如果是初创公司,没太多员工,那么可以说,会影响几乎 所有员工的士气。 于是,可能就有分歧了。 初创公司本来就是前途还不明朗,也给不了特别高的薪资,一般是靠画饼 + 给员工股权或者期权,来 维持团队的稳定。 现在好了,创始团队都闹掰了,我作为员工,还怎么相信创始人给我画下的饼?饼如果实现不了,如果 企业发展不好,那我手里的股权或者期权也没啥太大价值了。 于是,我可能就默默打开猎聘或者 boss 直聘了。 公司业务大受影响 如果初创公司是:创始人分管战略和市场,联合创始人担任 CTO ,分管技术, 这种搭配如果出现问题,多半是二人对技术路线,对公司产品的规划,产生了分歧。 ...
忽然发现了一种融资新范式
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-08 23:47
我想分享一种我新发现的,初创公司融资新范式。 lp:limited partner,有限合伙人;gp:general partner,普通合伙人,通常也就是投资机构。 lp有资金,gp有对行业的理解和对项目的判断力,lp就把钱给gp,gp来管。和我们把钱给余额宝/蚂蚁, 蚂蚁买股票买债券,是类似的道理。 =============== 以上内容为第三方特约发布。以下内容来自小宋原创。 阿里集团在茅台股价150的时候,才能买。或者至少,阿里要和蚂蚁一样的价格买,而不能比我便宜。 为啥?因为阿里和比蚂蚁都是大集团,在我给蚂蚁支付着管理费的情况下,他们不应该来和我抢赚钱的 机会。 这还没完。还有一位自然人:蔡崇信,他是阿里的高管。他也可以有买茅台的机会,但是...他也不应该 买的价格比我便宜。 还是那个道理,蔡崇信有多少可以赚钱的机会?蔡崇信是阿里和蚂蚁的高管,我只是蚂蚁的理财产品 (余额宝)的一个小小的投资人,你跟我抢这个赚钱机会,合适么? 写到这,我可以呼应一下投资行业,呼应一下本文的标题了。 如果有一家初创公司,公司注册的时候就有一家机构参与;第一轮是一家机构,第二轮是这家机构的 lp;第三轮才是完全市场化的 ...
关于项目融资 一些好玩的事
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-05 19:12
啥事?反正 … 不是 pr 稿里说的那样。就挺有意思的。 (一)比较常见的几类 现在各企业融资成功,都会发个新闻稿,做个 pr ( public relations )。 小宋我比较中二,看到这类新闻稿以后,经常喜欢去企查查等平台,看看具体怎么回事。 澄清:本文不是企查查的广哈。 然后呢,把企查查上的股东变动情况稍微分析,就能看到一些好玩的事。 最容易被看出来的,就是 左手倒右手 。 果不其然,再过几天,项目又官宣,总部迁往 XX 城市。 然后还有一种,也是我亲身经历过的: 基金投资期到期 。 最近某项目官宣融资,是老股东追加。我去查一下,发现追加投资的那个基金,距离成立时间正好 4 年, 21 年成立的。 大家都能明白,一级市场的基金,投资期大部分都是 4 年哈?说明啥呢,说明:这家机构的基金快到期 了,钱投不出去了,就从已投企业里巴拉巴拉,找还可以的,赶紧把钱花出去。 宁可加注到同一个企业,不分散投资,也不能把钱还给 lp 。 然后,还有一些业内人士基本都能理解的:融资分 ABCD 轮,如果字母不变,而是不断用 + 号,比如 今天 A 轮,半年后 A+ 轮,那么大概率是: 估值没涨 。 比如,同一家机构, ...
团队准备解散了
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-03 16:03
今天的文章,我删删改改了很多遍,一直在犹豫要不要写出来。 但这事太重要了,每个人都可能会遇到,还是决定写出来想和大家分享,希望大家看 完后 能都重视起来,引起警戒。 几天前,好友打来语音,说家里出了 事,想找我借点钱。 他说,不是不得已,自己是张不开这口的。主要是家里的老母亲突发心肌梗塞,砸了十几 万,人才好不容易从ICU中抢救回来。医生说,想保证今后的生命质量,还得做心脏搭桥才 行,至少要再付出几十万。 在我的印象里,他的 条件还可以,前几年买了房,按理说不至于到找别人开口借钱的地 步,这次主动开口,说明是真的遇到难处了。 后来才知道, 他在的公司年初解散了整个团队 ,没有进账不说,每个月还得还一大笔房贷、 养一大家子人。 如果做开颅手术,康复的几率也很小, 一百万花下去也不排除人财两空的结果。 朋友巨大的压力,我非常理解。 作为多年老友,我很想去帮助他,但心里又很纠结。 借钱吧,知道治病是个无底洞,还上这笔钱遥遥无期,自己手头也没那么宽裕。不借吧,心 里又实在是过意不去, 今天四处求钱的是他,明天可能就是我。 最后拧巴了半天,还是转了些块钱过去,想让自己内心好受点。 说实话,到现在我都没缓过来。 这些年也 ...
Wolfspeed破产,最慌的应该是前几年投了碳化硅的投资人
叫小宋 别叫总· 2025-06-02 23:15
Group 1 - Wolfspeed, a leading global silicon carbide company, filed for bankruptcy in May [1][21] - Silicon carbide is preferred over silicon for its high voltage and current tolerance, making it suitable for electric vehicles [4][5] - The silicon carbide industry has seen rapid growth alongside the development of the electric vehicle sector in China [7][8] Group 2 - Wolfspeed was initially a LED company and later focused on silicon carbide due to its potential, changing its name from Cree to Wolfspeed [17] - Chinese companies, represented by Tianke and Tianyue, have successfully reduced the cost of 6-inch silicon carbide substrates by 30% compared to Wolfspeed and have begun mass production of 8-inch substrates [19][20] - The bankruptcy of Wolfspeed raises concerns for investors in the silicon carbide sector, as it indicates a shift towards lower profit margins in manufacturing [25][21] Group 3 - The high valuations of silicon carbide projects, previously based on securing Wolfspeed substrates, are now in jeopardy due to Wolfspeed's bankruptcy [26][28] - The relationships between electric vehicle manufacturers and silicon carbide companies were previously beneficial, but the collapse of Wolfspeed disrupts this dynamic [27][28] - The competitive landscape in the silicon carbide industry is intensifying, with companies like Tianke and Tianyue emerging as strong competitors [22][30]