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如何学习《缠论》
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-20 04:21
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics and selecting strong stocks, suggesting that mastering the initial concepts of trading theories can simplify the learning process for investors [1][2]. Group 1: Trading Theories - The article discusses the similarities between two trading theories: "股魔" and "缠论", highlighting that both can provide valuable insights into market behavior [1]. - It mentions that the initial ten articles of "缠论" focus on understanding the market and selecting strong stocks, which are crucial for successful trading [1]. Group 2: Analytical Framework - The article outlines a three-dimensional framework for stock selection: technical analysis, relative pricing, and fundamentals, where technical analysis includes traditional price behavior and indicators [2]. - It emphasizes that fundamentals should encompass the buying logic beyond just financial metrics, aligning with the broader understanding of market sentiment [2]. Group 3: Philosophical and Scientific Basis - The article asserts that "缠论" is grounded in philosophy, mathematics, and physics, making it a legitimate trading theory rather than mere speculation [3]. - It highlights the necessity of understanding complex science and chaos theory to fully grasp "缠论", which may pose challenges for those without a strong academic background [3].
理查德·勒夫《超级强势股》译文
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-19 01:36
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the concept of "super performance stocks," which are defined as stocks that experience strong and sustained price increases, often resulting in significant capital gains for investors. The identification and investment in these stocks are crucial for achieving substantial returns in the stock market [1][2]. Group 1: Characteristics of Super Performance Stocks - Super performance stocks can emerge from various categories, including well-known growth stocks, large stable companies, and small lesser-known firms. Common triggers for their price increases include unexpected earnings announcements or mergers, but they often rebound from oversold conditions [2][6]. - A total of 589 instances of super performance price movements were identified, with 407 of these starting from bear market rebounds in 1962, 1966, and 1970. Notably, 57 stocks experienced price increases exceeding 1000% during their super performance phases [2][3]. - The duration of super performance phases varies significantly, ranging from 3 months to 63 months, with most lasting between 8 to 33 months. A detailed analysis shows that 142 instances lasted 6 to 12 months, while 282 instances lasted 12 to 24 months [3][4]. Group 2: Relationship with Company Earnings - Approximately 38% of super performance price movements coincide with significant quarterly earnings growth, while 28% occur with moderate earnings growth. In 34% of cases, there is no correlation between price movements and earnings growth, with some stocks starting to rise even as earnings decline [6][10]. - An analysis of the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios during 589 super performance instances revealed that in 464 cases, the P/E ratio increased, with 86 instances seeing a quadrupling of the ratio. This indicates a strong relationship between stock price movements and P/E ratio expansion [6][7]. Group 3: Company Size and Stock Characteristics - Most super performance stocks originate from companies with relatively low float, with 481 instances starting from companies with fewer than 5 million shares outstanding. Only 2 instances involved companies with more than 30 million shares [8][9]. - The majority of stocks tend to decline after the super performance phase, with 504 instances experiencing significant price corrections. Only 85 instances did not see severe price declines, indicating a common trend of price retraction following strong performance [9][10]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - To successfully invest in super performance stocks, investors must make three critical decisions: when to buy, which stocks to buy, and when to sell. The potential for high returns is significant for those who can navigate these decisions effectively [5][6]. - The ideal characteristics of potential super performance stocks include rapid earnings growth, low float, low P/E ratios, and promising product prospects. This combination is essential for identifying stocks with the potential for substantial price appreciation [13].
元宝对主线四大定律的理解
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-18 09:14
Group 1 - The article highlights the impressive capabilities of AI, suggesting that it can understand content more deeply than original creators [1]
CXO格局已成,崭新的进攻型主线
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-17 14:55
最近几天,CXO细分类别又陆续走出一些大底突破的个股,汇总一下大致如下,所举案例仅为讲用,并非推荐: 1分钟 5分钟 15分钟 30分钟 60分钟 日线 周线 月线 10分钟 45日线 季线 年线 5秒 15秒 多周期 更 603127 L 新药(日线.等比前复权对数) @ M6(10,20,50,150,200,13) V 26. 26.9 26.8 26.8 26. 26.86 27.83 e 15 25.06 358 6.04% 10.82 0.050 AT STATE 交易状态 市阶段 15:0 14:55 14:55 r libraria limited and Human 14:55 14.56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14:56 14.56 14:56 26.87 14.56 14:56 14'56 14:57 1分钟 5分钟 15分钟 30分钟 60分钟 日线 周线 月线 10分钟 45日线 季线 年线 5秒 15秒 多周期 更多 ) 九洲药」 603456 RI ิ่ง业(日线-等比前复权 对数) ◎ M6( ...
银行是歇一歇再上?还是一鲸落万物生?
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-11 23:31
下一阶段的领军主线可能出乎你意料 上次一夸完,她就跳水,跳完水一看还是全红缠。这次又跳水了,她还是全红缠吗?都说小全胖了,退 出世锦赛了。 ...
蓝钻再提供几个核对案例
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-10 14:19
我闭关是为了更专心做行情,顺便写写公式。 低吸公式我很早就开发了,当然也一直在进化。 这个终极公式我不会公开分享,但其中的思考过程和一些源码片段,在之前的文章中都发表过,我看到有些朋友早就在动手组装了,他们属于优等生。有 关文章列表如下: 对布林通道的改进以及低吸伏击线的设计 低吸伏击线和风险警戒线(附源码) 伏击线和警戒线源码更新(Version1.1) 回撤买入的正确思路,陶博士蓝钻买点又被形态拟合。 下20日均线大多是陷阱 突破点和低吸点选股器(手机兼容版) VOL_金,三种典型量比定义及其应用 高阶动量技巧——RS背离值逆向低吸交易原理和公式 追涨与低吸的辩证 红肥绿瘦如何量化 看看这个列表,可以想象一下这是多少个不眠之夜,细细思索。你想花几块钱1秒就秒有? 但实际上你已经秒有了,只是我不想直接给你,剥夺你思考的权力。我还是那句话:公式只是工具,思维才是你的能力。 有深入的思考,可以和我一起进化,欢迎私信交流,低层次的问题免打扰,能给的我已经尽量给了。 和突破一样,低吸点也会有板块联动,这是一个前后连接的次序,比如1月份机器人板块的地量低吸联动,十分吸引眼球,后来的行情也证明,出现过地 量低吸点的几只 ...
冒一下头,井底超量首破年高公式
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-08 09:20
Core Viewpoint - The article introduces a formula for identifying stocks that are breaking out from long-term lows, emphasizing the importance of this method during the transition from the first to the second phase of market cycles [1]. Group 1 - The formula is based on principles from "Laughing at Bulls and Bears" and focuses on stocks that show strong upward momentum after a prolonged period of low performance [1]. - The article highlights that certain stocks in the CXO sector have recently met the criteria set by the formula, indicating potential investment opportunities [1]. - It is noted that stocks that break out from a year-long bottom should be closely monitored, as the sequence of breakthroughs among leading stocks in an industry is crucial [1]. Group 2 - The article suggests maintaining a cumulative stock pool rather than clearing previous selections, as many stocks tend to adjust after breaking out from the bottom [1]. - For those using multiple stock screening tools, it is recommended to set up automatic stock selection to enhance efficiency and execution speed [1].
红肥绿瘦如何量化
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-03 09:18
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a quantitative approach to analyzing trading volume, specifically the concept of "red fat and green thin" volume bars, which can be useful for stock selection [1][2]. Group 1: Quantitative Analysis of Trading Volume - The article introduces a model for quantifying trading volume, emphasizing the importance of defining "red" and "green" volume bars for analysis [1]. - The methodology involves comparing current green volume bars with the most recent red volume bar to determine if the green bar is "thin" and if the pattern continues over time [1]. - A source code snippet is provided to implement this analysis, which outputs a value indicating whether the "red fat and green thin" pattern persists [1]. Group 2: Flexibility and Understanding in Application - The author encourages users to understand the underlying principles of the model rather than rigidly adhering to specific parameters or formulas [2]. - The article suggests that users should be adaptable and innovative in applying the concepts to respond to market changes [2]. - There is a caution against over-reliance on simplistic formulas that may not withstand scrutiny, advocating for a deeper understanding of programming and analysis [2].
人在自然状态有些固有的心理缺陷
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-02 08:53
当然,上证指数周五近似吞没的阴线有点唬人,那是银行板块为之,以至于有人揪我辫子,意思大概你 不是说银行领涨吗,你刚说完就砸给你看,赫赫。 如果看深证综指和上证指数,则俨然已经突破2T横盘,当下在回抽确认突破有效性,次级别动量状态 是稳定的: 上周三连阳突破上来之后,有人预期后半周要回调,但实际周四周五只稍作了停顿,个股仍然很活跃, 然后这周一周二接着涨。看情绪指标,一般这种突破态势出来以后,情绪10必须进入一次沸点,才会有 踏踏实实的调整,今天的情况就看上去绿汪汪的了。 虽然昨天情绪10进入沸点区域,短期比较容易发生回调,但中期结构已经处于比较好的状态。 从平均股价指数看,仍然在窄幅横盘区间,就是我之前预期的第二种类型,属于比较稳的强势中继,当 下正要走出第3T,之前的解盘做过类比,这种主升之前的窄幅横盘一般会大于等于3T。 其实这都不算啥事,银行连涨之后突然跳水,太正常了,这一路走来可不止发生过一两次,回顾一下K 线就了然。这不,又慢慢涨回来了,后面接着创新高。这,能算跳水吗?需要解释吗? 行情应该是快进入中场了,如果按照历史规律,牛市一阶段横盘为10个月的话,那么重要转折点就应该 发生在本月。 短期等待情 ...
毒孤三式变例
猛兽派选股· 2025-07-01 04:29
再比如梯云纵这一式在百合花最近的走势中也稍有变通,但其灵魂附体,仍妙到毫巅: 毒孤三式妙在有足够的低吸时间,且比较容易辨认,量价结合,以势御形,以形度势,节奏紧凑。若用 动量背离值指标辅助,可能就更加清晰方便。 风清扬教会令狐冲独孤九剑之后,叫令狐冲忘掉所有招式;张三丰教张无忌太极也是这样,可见上乘武 功到最后都是无招胜有招,高手善于领会精神,实战变通。 有人建议把毒孤三式写成公式,这个工作是可以做的,大家一起努力。但价格行为分析这一门,灵魂就 在以简化繁,无拘无束,随机应变,形态拟合实在是反其道而行之。也正因为至简,也至难,非极高的 天分难有大成。 变通的要点在于掌握其中原理,比如丝线牵牛这一式在吉比特最近的走势上就稍有变通,但总体仍然有 很好的符合: 原理是什么?原理就是回撤要缓平小,缩量要快准狠。 这里顺便通知一下已经安装动量背离值(RS_D)指标的朋友,第二版的源码发布刚刚在原文章的留言 置顶区,可以去更新研究,调整了计算方法,并加入了标准化,这样就提供了数值可比性,个人认为更 加好用。另外,有些朋友加入了行业指数的动量对比,这也是很不错的思路。我觉得技术是活的,偏信 和盲信都要不得。 原文链接: 高 ...