Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of distinguishing between different time cycles in momentum analysis, highlighting that many individuals overlook this aspect and focus solely on the visual conformity of charts [1] - It explains the relationships between various momentum indicators, such as RSL (144 days), VAD (21 days), and OVS (2-4 days), indicating that RSL represents long-term momentum, VAD represents medium-term momentum, and OVS represents short-term momentum [1] - The article notes that the hierarchical relationship between long, medium, and short-term indicators is approximately 5-7 times, which is rooted in the principles of Chan theory, where a coherent segment requires at least 5 candlesticks [1] Group 2 - The article uses the example of Zhongji Xuchuang to illustrate the differences in momentum divergence observed in long and medium-term indicators, indicating that RSL shows a clear downward momentum while remaining above the zero axis, suggesting a secondary level of momentum divergence [2][3] - It clarifies that for VAD to be considered a divergence at its level, it must show a peak decline and subsequently form a new peak, which is not the case in certain scenarios discussed [3][4] - The article stresses that the nature and severity of pullbacks caused by divergences differ across time frames, with a layered time-space model reflecting human behavioral patterns influenced by various time habits [5]

我看有好几个人在后台问平均股价指数的副图公式，也不知道AI助手的回复你们满意没有。这东西，唉~就是一句话的事情，以前也讲 过很多次： 光伏这边我就不再啰嗦了，以前的旧文： 光伏的春天又来了 总体来讲，一阶段突破比高位基底要好做，高位基底需要更挑剔的技巧和眼光，要严格要求，要严格要求，要严格要求，比如这样的绝 对的标致美人： 平均股价:"880003$CLOSE"; 就这么简单，前面880003就是平均股价指数的代码，后面CLOSE就是提取指数中的收盘价，如果你想提取最高价，就是HIGH，最低价 就是LOW。其实你们问任何一个AI工具，这种简单编程绝对不会有障碍。很多人，竟然还没有意识到已经处于AI时代。 又涨回来了，但涨回来的都是谁呢，骰盅一开~乖乖个隆里咚。 天孚果然比中际和新易更有延伸潜力，还有光库，也是同一个原理： 半导体设备中的光力，是不是后发加速？还记得我什么时候发过的图吗： 电网设备要有耐心，走的是传统趋势模式，并非堆量模式，盯牢领涨一哥的行为： 大盘今天表现，应该基本可以确定本次调整结构的回撤下限，结构应该是窄幅横盘，大致和前面的结构类似。这也符合领导要求的低波 动率指标。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of long-term momentum indicators in understanding institutional behavior, particularly during market cycles, and highlights the potential for investment opportunities in the materials sector, specifically tungsten and copper [1][3]. Group 1: Momentum Indicators - Long-term momentum indicators, while not providing immediate timing signals, are beneficial for understanding institutional behavior [1]. - The RSL (Relative Strength Line) and SSV (Short-term Strength Value) indicators are discussed, indicating a transition into a second phase of upward movement in the market [1]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The article references a significant bottom divergence in RSL during the end of a bear market, suggesting that institutions are actively building positions against the trend [1]. - Specific companies in the tungsten sector, such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongtung High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, and Zhangyuan Tungsten, exhibited similar bottom momentum structures, leading to substantial price increases [3]. Group 3: Copper Sector Insights - In the copper sector, companies like Zijin Mining, Jiangxi Copper, Western Mining, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals also showed strong bottom momentum structures, resulting in impressive price movements [5]. - The article posits that the upward trends in tungsten and copper are not yet complete, indicating the beginning of a second foundational phase for these sectors [5]. Group 4: Market Trends and Volatility - Historical data suggests that the base retracement in the materials sector can be significant, but current regulatory environments may lead to reduced volatility [5]. - The first base retracement is noted to be around 26%, with hopes for similar performance in the second base [5].

Group 1 - The core principle of the article is that in the stock market, declines happen due to inherent weight, while rises require external push to overcome that weight [1] - SSV and RSL are two long-term momentum indicators; SSV measures inherent momentum, while RSL compares inherent momentum with external push [2] - In a long-term downward trend, SSV is sufficient, but once transitioning to an upward phase, both RSL and SSV should resonate upwards [3] Group 2 - The condition SSV>0 AND RSL>0 defines the core logic of long-term trend background [3] - RSL can show positive values even in a downward trend if the decline is slower, which may lead to false signals [7] - During an upward trend, RSL consistently shows negative values for slower gainers, effectively filtering out underperforming stocks [8] Group 3 - Both declines and rises exhibit a Matthew effect; declines accelerate due to inherent weight, while rises require sufficient external push to gain momentum [9] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the underlying logic and differences between SSV and RSL, recommending "Laughing at Bulls and Bears" as a foundational text for trend speculation [10]

费曼学习法的概念，是由诺贝尔物理学奖得主理查德·费曼提出，核心原理是：如果你无法用简单的语 言解释一个事情，那么你其实没有真正理解它。 现在是调整初期，成交量已经掉落25日均量一周，后面是横盘震荡还是持续阴跌，其实只有天知道，但 有一点非常明确：天阴的时候，飞沙走石，劈里啪啦的事儿肯定也会多一些。大的机会应该要等到平均 股价指数的VAD落水之后，一个中期节拍才能逐渐揭开。人类行为主要还是受情绪控制的，而情绪有 起伏周期：在癫狂中幻灭，在绝望中重生。 费曼学习法的具体做法是，通过以教促学的方式，用输出倒逼输入，将被动学习转化为主动创造，显著 提升知识留存率。据研究数据统计，教授给他人的知识留存率可达90%，而被动听讲的留存率只有 5%。 市场多数时候是错误的，很少有对的时候，因为市场中大多数人都是错误的，怎么可能加起来就正确了 呢？反而言之，如果市场有正确答案，那么岂不是人人都能得满分了？市场中的人，永远都是因错而 错，或者将错就错。 所以，在长时间的分享过程中，我是最大的知识留存者，同时不断地发现并弥补知识漏洞，使体系不断 完善，其实最大受益者是我自己。 以后我还是少聊具体股票。昨天有位老铁留言说得很好：这只 ...

上面图例显示的第一阶段都非常规整，最大回撤幅度20%左右，很标准的结构。如果后面几只最近也出现超量突破，则表明强势扩 散，板块联动效应有可能跑出来。 历史牛股是最好的教科书，而当下的牛股正在按相似的步调行进， 这是因为人性不变 。它们的基本特征是：主线脉络清晰，走势结 构紧凑，反复突破平台上行。 郑重声明：本文股票案例仅供学习交流使用，既无推荐之意，也不能作为买卖参考。 更多精彩内容，请关注同名公众号：猛兽派选股 最近，茅台连续抬升，是否在传递什么信息，还是仅仅因为春节消费的预期？不过从图形上看，似乎味业更好一些： | 分时 1分钟 5分钟 15分钟 30分钟 60分钟 日线 周线 月线 10分钟 45日线 季线 安琪酵母 安琪酵母(日线.等比前复权.对数) ◎ M6(8,20,50,200,13) WMA20: 43.7 VWA50: 43.3 VWA2 0.0 RSRHY: 31.9 44.29 财务数据(单季同比) 250426 HOME 8.95% 11.19% 250815 : 250815 : 251030 阶梯爬升 5 -26.81 WOL 收益三 交易壮 14:55 14:55 14.55 I ...

白酒品牌硬，黄酒想翻身； 过年屯点啥，张裕无人问。 遣儿去打酒，路哭酒瓶漏； 换壶再去打，笑言酒已馊。 ...

这波行情的终止源于"救万民于癫狂之间"的良好愿望，也没啥好说的，其实两边都要反思，做股民（也包括民间大佬）的多想想以 后别发癫发狂了，当官的多想想怎么让制度更加公平合理点，别把精力总放在刹车和油门上。 平均股价指数的动量状态是正常的，说明市场本身内生的力量还在，但也到了第四峰，后峰再要超越恐怕也比较难了。 我又要拿出200日均线回归论，上次打脸了，这次继续，我觉得这次回归的可能更大了。其实回归200日均线也不是多大的事，点位肯定还是高于9.24第一 波爆发的高点，属于合理的回测确认。时间大约在3/4月份，与去年触及200日均线的时间类似，然后才发放年度红利。 月线收敛结构已经突破，当下如果回撤确认突破有效性，也合情合理： 从纯技术的角度看，此处回撤或者横盘也还算合理，如果以后想要有大行情，早调整早了。 救护队痕迹比较重的几个指数，都出现日线级别的动量顶背离，无论这是故意为之，还是自然形成，都必须重视。故意为之是态度，自然形成是合力。 本轮牛市的核心驱动力是AI，其它都是插曲，如果AI行情结束，则整体牛市必定结束，AI是唯一能贯穿始终的主题、主线，这和上一轮牛市的新能源是 一样的，和上上一轮的移动互联网也一样， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of selecting the right investment sectors and stocks, emphasizing the need for discernment in a rapidly changing market environment [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends and Analysis - The recent surge in precious metals is highlighted, with a focus on the structural integrity of stocks within this sector [3][5]. - The analysis of specific stocks, such as Hunan Silver and Sichuan Gold, illustrates the significance of long-term momentum and structural patterns in determining investment viability [5][6]. - The article notes that the current wave in the non-ferrous sector has passed, prompting a need for strategic stock selection moving forward [8]. Group 2: Stock Selection Philosophy - A strict approach to stock selection is advocated, with the principle of "less is more" emphasized as a fundamental philosophy [7]. - The article suggests that new sectors, such as solar energy, are emerging as promising investment opportunities, with specific mention of JinkoSolar as a strong candidate [10][12]. - The importance of understanding the long-term logic behind sectors like aerospace and solar energy is discussed, with a focus on technological advancements and supply-side adjustments driving growth [16][17]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The article encourages investors to adopt a forward-looking perspective, focusing on the potential for new market leaders to emerge from evolving sectors [13][18]. - Historical performance of successful stocks is referenced as a guide for current investment strategies, highlighting the consistency of human behavior in market trends [17].

用指标，先理解其原理，不要在形式上玩游戏。 再看旭创，也是这样，爬升段的枢轴点信号就是值钱，背离段的枢轴点的信号就不值钱，一不小心还失败，就这么简单。 再看天孚，首先量柱峰值呈梯次超量的舒展结构，这点就比前面两个大哥要好点，然后就是红肥绿瘦的特性也比较好，再然后长期 动量有轻度背离，但短期动量峰值保持得比较好，这些特性都保证了横盘阶段，天孚通信的枢轴点比俩大哥更有延伸可能性。 我看后台有几人在问这个问题，真替你们着急，这些知识不是以前讲得很明白的吗，还在那纠结。 为了拆解清楚，暂时破一下戒，发图： 看上图新易盛，无论长期动量还是短期动量，峰值在爬升段就是好做的，减弱或者顶背离段就是难做的，这个就是从动量变化看趋 势背景，是猛兽动量体系的精髓之一。 郑重声明：本文股票案例仅供学习交流使用，既无推荐之意，也不能作为买卖参考。 更多精彩内容，请关注同名公众号：猛兽派选股 ...