点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 事件： 德州仪器于7月23日发布2025年第二季度财报，25Q2公司营收44.48亿美元，同比+16.4%/环比+9.3%，净利润12.95亿美元，同比+14.9%/环 比+9.8%，指引工业市场持续复苏，综合财报及电话会议信息，总结要点如下： 评论： 1、25Q2营收及EPS均超指引中值，库存周转天数环比下降。 25Q2公司营收44.48亿美元，同比+16.4%/环比+9.3%，超指引中值（41.7-45.3亿美元）；毛利率57.89%，同比+0.04pct/环比+1.05pct；净 利润12.95亿美元，同比+14.9%/环比+9.8%。EPS为1.41美元，超指引中值（1.21-1.47美元）。25Q2库存为48亿美元，环比增加1.25亿美 元，DOI 231天/环比-9天。 2、模拟及嵌入式同环比均实现增长，大部分终端呈现复苏态势。 1）分产品类型： 25Q2模拟产品收入为34.52亿美元，同比+17.9%/环比+7.5%；嵌入式处理业务部门收入6.79亿美元，同比+10.4%/环比 +4.9%；其他业务部门收入3.17亿美元，同比+13.6%/环比+49.5%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing significant revenue growth driven by increased shipments of advanced etching equipment and rapid expansion of LPCVD equipment, while also increasing R&D investments to accelerate new product launches [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, the company expects revenue of 2.787 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 51.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 28.2% [2][3]. - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 2025 is between 367 million and 417 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 37% to 55.8% [3]. - For the first half of 2025, the company anticipates revenue of 4.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.9%, and a net profit of 680 million to 730 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 31.6% to 41.3% [2][3]. Group 2: Product and R&D Development - The company has seen a robust increase in shipments of advanced etching equipment, with significant growth in LPCVD equipment, which has increased by 608% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is focusing on R&D, with an investment of 1.492 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, which is an increase of approximately 520 million yuan compared to the previous year [2][3]. - The company is currently developing over 20 new devices across six major categories, with a significantly accelerated R&D pace, aiming to launch new products within two years or less [3]. Group 3: Profitability Insights - The growth rate of the company's profits is lower than that of its revenue, primarily due to increased R&D expenditures [2][3]. - The expected non-recurring profit for the first half of 2025 is influenced by government subsidies and gains from equity investments, amounting to 172 million yuan, compared to a loss of 8 million yuan in the first half of 2024 [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - The company,拓荆科技, is expected to report significant revenue and profit growth in Q2 2025, driven by increased market share and the scaling of advanced machinery production [2][3][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue is projected to be between 1.21 billion to 1.26 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 52% to 58% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 70.7% to 77.8% [3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be between 238 million to 247 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 100.6% to 108.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 385 million to 394 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround [2][3]. - The non-recurring net profit is anticipated to be between 215 million to 224 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 235% to 249% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 395 million to 404 million yuan [3]. Group 2: Market Position and Product Development - The company has seen an increase in market share for its thin film deposition and advanced bonding equipment, with revenue and shipment of machinery showing sustained high growth year-on-year [3]. - Advanced process verification machines have passed customer certification and are gradually entering mass production [3]. - New platforms and advanced process equipment, such as PECVD Stack and ALD devices, have been successfully accepted by customers, with Q2 2025 revenue from ALD devices exceeding the total revenue for 2024 [3]. Group 3: Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin has significantly improved quarter-on-quarter, attributed to the completion of technology introduction for new products and the realization of production breakthroughs [4]. - The scale effect from increased revenue has led to a decrease in the expense ratio year-on-year, further enhancing profit margins [4].

Core Viewpoint - ASML reported Q2 2025 revenue of €7.692 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 23.2% and a slight quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.6%, with new orders showing a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 40.8% [1][2] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue reached €7.692 billion, within the guidance range of €7.2-7.7 billion, with equipment revenue at €5.596 billion (up 17.5% YoY, down 2.5% QoQ) and service revenue at €2.096 billion (up 41.4% YoY, up 4.7% QoQ) [2][15] - Gross margin was 53.7%, exceeding guidance expectations of 50%-53%, driven by better-than-expected contributions from NXE:3800 upgrades and tariff impacts [2][15] - Q2 2025 net profit was €2.3 billion, accounting for 29.8% of total revenue, with an EPS of €5.90 [16] Orders and Revenue Guidance - New orders in Q2 2025 totaled €5.541 billion, a slight decrease of 0.5% YoY but a significant increase of 40.8% QoQ, with logic orders at €4.65 billion (up 14.5% YoY, up 97.1% QoQ) and storage orders at €0.89 billion (down 41.0% YoY, down 43.7% QoQ) [2][3] - Q3 2025 revenue guidance is set at €7.4-7.9 billion, with a cautious outlook for 2026 due to macroeconomic uncertainties, projecting a potential revenue decline [4][20] Regional Performance - Q2 2025 revenue from mainland China was €1.51 billion (down 35.2% YoY, down 2.5% QoQ), maintaining a 27% share of total revenue, while Taiwan's revenue surged to €1.96 billion (up 274.0% YoY, up 113.3% QoQ) [3][4] Industry Trends and Future Outlook - AI is identified as a key growth driver for both logic and storage sectors, with expectations of increased capacity investments in advanced nodes [17][18] - The company anticipates a 30% increase in EUV capacity for advanced customers in 2025, with overall EUV revenue expected to grow by approximately 30% [18][19] - The long-term revenue guidance for 2030 is set between €44 billion and €60 billion, with a gross margin target of 56%-60% [4][19] Technological Developments - Significant progress has been made in Low NA and High NA EUV technologies, with the NXE:3800E achieving a production rate of 220 WPH [21][22] - The company is focused on enhancing EUV performance and production efficiency, with plans to continue improvements on existing platforms until the end of the decade [38]

Core Viewpoint - TSMC reported strong Q2 2025 results with revenue of $30.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.8%, leading to an upward revision of the 2025 full-year revenue guidance to 30% growth [1][3][17] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 profit exceeded expectations with a gross margin of 58.6%, close to the upper limit of guidance [1][3] - Q3 2025 revenue guidance is set at $31.8 to $33 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8% [3][13] - Q2 2025 capital expenditure was $9.63 billion, maintaining the full-year capex guidance of $38 to $42 billion [4][14] Revenue Composition - HPC revenue continues to rise, with 74% of revenue coming from 7nm and below process nodes [2][12] - By technology node, revenue breakdown is 24% from 3nm, 36% from 5nm, and 14% from 7nm [2][12] - By platform, HPC revenue increased by 14% quarter-on-quarter, accounting for 60% of total revenue [2][12] Guidance and Outlook - The company expects strong revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a gross margin guidance of 55.5% to 57.5% [3][13] - The company anticipates a potential decline in Q4 2025 revenue due to tariff impacts and other uncertainties [3][4] - AI demand is expected to see explosive growth within 6 months to 1 year, with a projected CAGR of nearly 45% from AI-accelerated chips [4][17] Global Expansion Plans - TSMC plans to invest $165 billion in advanced semiconductor manufacturing in Arizona, including six advanced wafer fabs and two advanced packaging facilities [19][20] - The company is also expanding in Japan and Europe, with plans for specialized technology factories in Kumamoto and Dresden [20][21] Technological Advancements - N2 and A16 technologies are positioned to meet the growing demand for high-efficiency computing, with N2 expected to enter mass production in the second half of 2025 [21][22] - The company is focusing on enhancing its technology leadership and operational excellence to strengthen its competitive position [18][41]

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing significant profit growth due to a recovery in the downstream testing and packaging industry, with strong demand for high-end temperature sorting machines [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.44-0.58 billion yuan for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 79%-135.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 72.8%-127.4% [2]. - For the first half of 2025, the expected net profit is 0.7-0.84 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 76.43%-111.7%, with a non-recurring net profit of 0.67-0.8 billion yuan, up 94%-131.7% [2]. - The company anticipates a significant improvement in profits for Q2 2025 compared to both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter metrics [2]. Market Demand and Product Development - There is a strong demand for the company's EXCEED-9000 series temperature sorting machines, which are essential for high-end testing scenarios such as automotive chips [3]. - The company is expanding its product matrix in various fields, including IGBT and advanced packaging, and has made strategic investments in four equipment companies to ensure long-term growth [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is well-positioned for future growth due to the recovery in the testing and packaging industry and the increasing demand for high-end temperature sorting machines [3]. - The investment outlook remains positive, with expectations for revenue and net profit growth in the coming years [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by the expansion of its smartphone, automotive, and high-end security chip businesses [2][3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - For 25H1, the company expects revenue between 3.6 to 3.9 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 47% to 59% - The projected net profit is between 360 to 420 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 140% to 180% - The non-GAAP net profit, excluding share-based payment expenses, is forecasted to be between 389 to 449 million yuan, reflecting an increase of 88% to 118% year-on-year [2]. Business Segment Performance - **Smartphone Business**: Strong growth due to deepened cooperation with major clients, leading to a significant increase in the shipment of new high-end 50 million pixel products [3]. - **Smart Security**: The introduction of upgraded products with superior performance has led to a notable increase in revenue from high-end security products [3]. - **Automotive Electronics**: There has been a substantial rise in the shipment of new generation products used in intelligent driving applications [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue expanding its high-end smartphone product offerings and gain new clients, which will sustain high growth rates in smartphone performance - The automotive business is poised for growth due to the trend towards intelligent driving, with high-end automotive components expected to enter mass production in the coming years - The AI sector is anticipated to open new markets in machine vision, further enhancing the smart security business [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a revenue of 3.65-3.88 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 85%-97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 510-550 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 432%-471% [1] Group 1: Q2 Performance - Q2 revenue is expected to reach 2.186 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 100.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 38.4% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 is projected at 330 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 373.8% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 64.8% [1] - The net profit margin is estimated at approximately 15.1%, which is an increase of 8.7 percentage points year-on-year and 2.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Business Growth Drivers - The rapid growth in performance is attributed to the continuous increase in orders for downstream ASIC servers and high-speed switches, leading to an optimized product structure and steady capacity expansion [1] - The company is expected to see the AI server business account for over 60% of its revenue in Q2, while the switch business is anticipated to contribute around 20%, indicating a significant improvement in product mix compared to the previous year [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - For H2 2025 and beyond, the company plans to expand AI-PCB capacity and accelerate the introduction of more ASIC customers, including major clients like AWS, Meta, and Google [2] - The company is also expanding its domestic AI computing capacity and steadily advancing its expansion in Thailand, which is expected to enhance its market share in the ASIC supply chain and high-speed switch market [2] - The company anticipates strong revenue growth potential driven by high order volumes and capacity utilization in the high-end market [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.2-1.26 billion for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 52.8%-60.6% [2] Group 1: Q2 Performance - Q2 revenue reached 8.29 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.5% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 is projected at 741 million, a year-on-year increase of 158.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 51.8% [2] - The strong Q2 performance exceeded market expectations due to product structure optimization, increased utilization rates, and improved yield rates [2] Group 2: AI Investment and Strategy - The company plans to increase investment in AI capital expenditures and actively explore overseas computing power markets for significant breakthroughs [3] - The strategic shift towards AI computing business includes expanding production capacity in domestic and overseas bases, with expectations for continued release of AI-PCB capacity in H2 [3] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The company believes that the hardware innovation from major clients and the synergy of AI cloud management will drive a three-year upward cycle [4] - The years 2025-2027 are expected to be significant for major clients' innovations, with new products like AI-iPhones and wearable devices driving demand for upgraded designs and technologies [4] - The company anticipates that traditional business will benefit from the AI transformation of major clients, with expansion in non-mobile sectors such as AI servers and low-orbit satellites providing long-term growth momentum [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.4-1.45 billion yuan for H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50%-56%, with a non-recurring net profit of 1.35-1.4 billion yuan, up 49%-54% [1] Group 1: Q2 Performance - Q2 performance exceeded expectations, primarily driven by the ramp-up of NV high-speed materials, improved product mix, strong order demand, and continuous price increases, confirming previous positive trend assessments [1] - For Q2, the net profit attributable to shareholders is estimated at 860 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 52.8%, while the non-recurring net profit is projected at 820 million yuan, up 56.0% year-on-year and 45.7% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Key factors for Q2 performance include: 1. Structural optimization with increased revenue from S8/S9 materials for overseas clients, enhancing profitability [1] 2. High order volume with shipments exceeding production capacity by over 10% [1] 3. Successful price increase strategies due to full order books and slight increases in upstream material costs [1] 4. Accelerating performance trends in related electronic sectors [1] Group 2: Q3 Outlook - Demand and capacity utilization rates are expected to continue the momentum from Q2, with price increase strategies and order structure adjustments being executed in Q3 [2] - High visibility of orders from leading PCB manufacturers, with a continued increase in orders for AI servers, automotive HDI, and high-end consumer products, driving improvements in gross margins [2] - The AI-related high-speed materials are expected to see month-on-month growth, with new clients being certified and integrated, leading to an increase in market share [2] - The company is actively expanding its client base to include major overseas clients such as AWS, Meta, and Google, with a focus on developing new materials [2] Group 3: Long-term Growth Potential - The company is positioned for a new round of high-quality growth driven by the ramp-up of high-speed materials starting in 2025, with expectations of exceeding market forecasts in the medium to long term [3] - The company’s technical leadership and management capabilities are anticipated to be recognized and valued by the market, supporting its growth trajectory in the PCB upstream materials sector [3] - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards based on Q2 performance and optimistic Q3 growth prospects [3]