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AMD万亿市值之路,逻辑何在?
美股研究社· 2026-02-10 11:10
AMD第四季度业绩表现强劲,实现双超预期:非GAAP每股收益(EPS)达1.53美元,超出预 期21美分;营收同比激增33.8%至103亿美元,同样超出预期6.3亿美元。 在分析师看来, 这一创纪录的财务业绩得益于三大核心支柱 :AI业务的快速扩张、CPU部门 的持续主导地位,以及向系统级规模模式的成功转型。 值得注意的是,即便剔除与中国相关的3.9亿美元非经常性Instinct MI308销售额,AMD本季 度业绩依然能够超出市场共识预期。 深入分析各业务板块,数据中心已成为首要增长引擎,本季度占总营收的比例超52%。 该板块销售额达54亿美元,同比增长39%,环比增长24%,表现极为亮眼。目前,Instinct GPU业务正以激进的年度更新周期为特点,旨在跟上通用AI(Generative AI)模型的快速发 展步伐。 此外,MI350系列已被全球前10大AI公司中的8家以及多家云服务提供商采用——这与其性能 和总拥有成本(TCO)优势密切相关,该优势对于训练和推理工作负载而言正变得愈发具有吸 引力。 展望未来,分析师对将于2026年下半年推出的MI450系列充满期待,这将成为行业的关键转 折点。 【如需 ...
OpenAI第一款硬件要来了,但可能“没那么AI”?
美股研究社· 2026-02-10 11:10
以下文章来源于硬AI ,作者专注科技产研的 硬AI . AI时代,快人一步~ 来源 | 硬 AI 在生成式AI软件领域确立统治地位后,OpenAI正试图将其影响力延伸至硬件终端。然而,这家AI巨头的首款消费级设备正面临的"规格降 级"的调整。 该产品原本的技术蓝图极具颠覆性:计划搭载三星2nm制程的Exynos芯片,赋予耳机媲美智能手机的独立计算能力,以实现复杂的端侧AI处 理。然而,这一构想正在撞上供应链的"成本墙"。由于存储组件价格持续高企,导致高规格芯片方案的BOM成本失控。 出于商业理性,OpenAI被迫调整策略。Smart Pikachu透露,Dime的第一代产品或将剥离"类手机"的高算力属性,退回至"简单耳机"的产 品形态。 这意味着,用户期待的"随身AI计算中心"将被推迟,首发产品很有可能仅仅扮演云端大模型传声筒的角色。 越 南 制 造 与 5 0 0 0 万 台 目 标 尽管产品定义面临妥协,OpenAI的商业推进却异常激进。公司高管Lehane在达沃斯论坛上明确将硬件列为最高优先级项目。 受制于全球存储芯片危机带来的BOM(物料清单)成本飙升,这款承载着OpenAI"端侧智能"野心的设备,极 ...
AI日报丨千问春节活动首日DAU增长7.3倍;Autodesk 起诉谷歌
美股研究社· 2026-02-10 11:10
Group 1 - The article discusses the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and its potential opportunities in the market [3] - Baidu has launched an international version of BaiduWiki and a "Global Search" feature, marking a significant step in its overseas strategy [5] - Alibaba's Qwen has introduced a new image generation model, Qwen-Image-2.0, which is available for developers to experience [6] - ByteDance has released its image generation model Seedream 5.0, which is available for free trial on various platforms [8] - QuestMobile reported a 7.3 times increase in daily active users (DAU) for Qwen during its promotional event [9] Group 2 - Alphabet Inc. plans to issue a 100-year bond, a rare move for a tech company, to fund its ambitions in the AI sector [12] - Autodesk has filed a lawsuit against Google for trademark infringement regarding its software named "Flow" [13][14] - The European Union has raised concerns over Meta Platforms' practices that may violate antitrust regulations by excluding third-party AI assistants from WhatsApp [15]
大手笔AI投资之后:亚马逊、谷歌、Meta要花光现金流了?
美股研究社· 2026-02-09 10:46
以下文章来源于硬AI ,作者专注科技产研的 硬AI . AI时代,快人一步~ 来源 | 硬AI 随着AI基础设施建设的军备竞赛进入"深水区",一个令投资者不安的转折点已然浮现:为了支撑AI算力需求,亚马逊、谷歌和Meta正 面临自由现金流被耗尽甚至透支的风险。 根据摩根大通2026年2月5日发布的研究报告,美国四大云巨头——亚马逊、谷歌、Meta和微软,2026年总资本支出预计将达到6450 亿美元,同比激增56%,新增支出将达到惊人的2300亿美元。 对于投资者而言,2026年,或将是紧盯科技巨头资产负债表的一年。 谷歌97%的增速与亚马逊的"现金赤字" 在这场基建狂潮中,谷歌的投入非常激进。 2026年,谷歌的资本支出指引已上调至1750亿至1850亿美元,同比增速高达97%,其资金正疯狂涌向服务器和技术基础设施。 如果说谷歌还只是在"疯狂花钱",那么亚马逊则堪称"透支未来"。 2026年,亚马逊的资本支出指引约为2000亿美元(同比增长52%)。但问题的核心在于,亚马逊赚回来的现金已经盖不住支出了—— 据标普全球市场分析师预测,亚马逊2026年的运营现金流(OCF)约为1780亿美元。 这意味着,亚马逊 ...
微软价值 6250 亿美元的人工智能飞轮,不改长期价值
美股研究社· 2026-02-09 10:46
作者 Yiannis Zourmpanos ,内容为转载编译,仅为呈现不同市场观点与研究视角,并不意 味着本公众号对文中观点结论认可。 微软不仅在持续增长,更在实现 复利式扩张 :巨额未履约合同储备(RPO)锁定未来收入, Azure、Foundry、Copilot 从基础设施到应用层形成互补,大幅提升客户粘性 。公司主动加 大投入,正在搭建具备长期生命力的 AI 基础设施。值得注意的是,微软股价回调,而长期投 资逻辑并未改变。 6250 亿美元未履约合同:12 个月内将转化约 1560 亿美元收入 微软凭借一体化云服务与 AI 规模化,形成独特运营优势,核心在于 Azure 云基础设施、自研 模型平台(Foundry)、终端应用(Copilot) 三者深度协同,推动多业务板块营收复利增 长。 2026 财年第二季度,微软云业务收入达 515 亿美元,同比增长 26%,公司正从技术栈的每 一层实现商业化变现。 其中,Azure 及其他云服务同比大增 39%,AI 服务是核心增长引 擎,远超行业 9.22% 的收入增速中位数。这种多层级变现模式包括:销售底层算力 (Azure)、模型访问权限(Foundry)、 ...
金融危机以来最惨1月!美国裁员潮+招聘寒潮双重暴击来袭?
美股研究社· 2026-02-09 10:46
以下文章来源于金十财经 ,作者金十小金 与此同时, 企业宣布的新招聘计划仅为5306人,同样创下Challenger, Gray & Christmas自2009年开始追踪该数据以来的1月最低值。 当 时金融危机引发的经济衰退于2009年3月正式结束。 此前市场普遍认为美国劳动力市场处于"不招工、不裁员"的停滞状态,但Challenger, Gray & Christmas的数据表明, "裁员"一端可能正在 加速恶化。 该公司职场专家兼首席营收官Andy Challenger表示:"通常情况下,第一季度的裁员数量都会较高,但今年1月的数字尤为惊人。这意味着大 部分裁员计划是在2025年底制定的,表明 雇主对2026年的前景并不乐观 。" 金十财经 . 每日8点,为您呈上金融投资行业的国际动态、财经数据和市场观察。 来源 | 金十财经 职业介绍机构Challenger, Gray & Christmas周四发布报告称,美国企业1月裁员计划数量飙升至全球金融危机以来同期最高水平,与此同 时,招聘意向降至同期历史最低点。 数据显示,美国雇主1月宣布的裁员人数达108,435人,较去年同期激增118%,较2025年1 ...
特斯拉的机器人革命也救不了它了?
美股研究社· 2026-02-09 10:46
Core Viewpoint - Analysts express concerns about Tesla's valuation and the impact of Elon Musk's decisions on the company, despite recognizing its operational strengths and the potential of the electric vehicle market [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Since December 2024, Tesla's stock has shown virtually no growth, while the S&P 500 has increased by 16.6% during the same period [3]. - Tesla's stock has declined by 6% since January 2024, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which only fell by 0.9% [3]. Group 2: Autonomous Driving and Robotaxi Ambitions - Analysts believe Tesla's promises regarding its Robotaxi ambitions are largely unrealistic, as the company lags behind industry leaders like Waymo [3][5]. - Tesla's autonomous driving technology remains at Level 2, while competitors have advanced to Level 4, indicating a significant technological gap [6]. Group 3: Robotics Business - Tesla's shift towards robotics, particularly the Optimus project, is viewed skeptically by analysts, who question its ability to generate substantial revenue to justify the current valuation [8][9]. - Despite the potential market for humanoid robots, analysts estimate that even with optimistic projections, the revenue generated from this segment will not be sufficient to support Tesla's high market valuation of $1.62 trillion [9]. Group 4: Future Revenue Streams - Analysts project that the subscription revenue from Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) service will not significantly impact the company's valuation, even with an increase in subscribers [11]. - The anticipated revenue from the robotics and FSD segments is deemed insufficient to support Tesla's current market valuation, making it one of the highest-risk investments among companies with market caps over $100 billion [12].
AI日报丨阿里新一代模型Qwen3.5曝光,大手笔AI投资之后,市场盯紧亚马逊、谷歌、Meta的资产负债表
美股研究社· 2026-02-09 10:46
Group 1 - The article highlights the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, presenting significant opportunities in the market [3] - Alibaba's new model Qwen3.5 is expected to be released soon, featuring a novel mixed attention mechanism and potential capabilities for visual understanding [5] - Honda and Mythic have announced a partnership to develop an AI chip that aims to enhance energy efficiency by 100 times, targeting deployment in next-generation smart vehicles [6][7] Group 2 - The number of AI companies advertising during the Super Bowl has reached a historical high, with ad costs soaring to an average of $8 million for a 30-second spot [8] - Tesla is reportedly evaluating multiple sites in the U.S. to expand its solar battery manufacturing capacity, aiming for an annual production of 100 gigawatts within three years [10] - Tesla plans to increase its investment in AI hardware and software in the Chinese market, with a projected capital expenditure exceeding $20 billion by 2026 [11] - Major tech companies like Amazon, Google, and Meta are facing risks of depleting free cash flow due to escalating capital expenditures for AI infrastructure, projected to reach $645 billion by 2026 [12]
亚马逊Q4财报解读:市场反应过度,经营状况依旧稳健
美股研究社· 2026-02-06 10:55
作者 Ahan Vashi ,内容为转载编译,仅为呈现不同市场观点与研究视角,并不意味着本公众 号对文中观点结论认可。 尽管营收超出市场预期,亚马逊在发布 2025 年第四季度财报后,股价应声下挫约 8%。每股 收益小幅不及预期,叠加 2026 年惊人的资本开支指引,显然让投资者纷纷避险离场: · 2025 年 Q4 净销售额: 2134 亿美元 (同比 + 14%,市场预期 2112.3 亿美元) 诚然,AWS 同比增速回升至 24%,但亚马逊 2026 年第一季度业绩展望仅勉强符合市场预 期: · 摊薄后每股收益: 1.95 美元 (同比 + 5%,市场预期 1.96 美元) 从业务板块来看,亚马逊云业务增长持续提速:AWS 季度营收 356 亿美元,同比大涨 24%;广告业务营收 213 亿美元,同比增长 22%;零售业务则实现高个位数稳健增长。 | AMAZON.COM, INC. | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Supplemental Financial Information and Busi ...
AI日报丨OpenAI推出新平台Frontier,助力企业部署“AI同事”,英伟达因存储芯片短缺推迟新款游戏芯片发布
美股研究社· 2026-02-06 10:55
Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and its implications for various companies and industries, highlighting significant advancements and market trends in AI-related sectors [3]. Group 1: AI Developments - OpenAI is launching a new platform called Frontier to assist businesses in deploying AI agents, aiming to solidify its leadership in automating high-value work tasks [5]. - Anthropic has released a new AI model named Claude Opus 4.6, designed for financial research, which can analyze corporate data and generate detailed financial reports, significantly reducing the time required for such tasks [6]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the announcement of Anthropic's AI model, stock prices of financial service companies dropped, with FactSet Research Systems Inc. experiencing a decline of up to 10% [7]. - Goldman Sachs indicated that Oracle's record bond issuance, which raised $25 billion, has injected confidence into the debt market, paving the way for other tech giants to raise funds for AI infrastructure [8]. Group 3: Company-Specific Updates - Apple is reportedly scaling back its virtual health coach program, known as "Mulberry," as it reassesses its health services strategy amid increasing competition in the health tracking market [10]. - Amazon reported fourth-quarter net sales of $213.39 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, and projected capital expenditures of approximately $200 billion by 2026, significantly higher than previous estimates [11]. - NVIDIA will not release a new gaming graphics chip this year due to a global shortage of storage chips, marking the first time in 30 years that the company has not launched a new gaming GPU [12].