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Optimus真的能创造特斯拉未来80%的价值吗?
美股研究社· 2025-09-08 11:26
以下文章来源于深眸财经 ,作者关注前沿资讯的 深眸财经 . 洞察商业逻辑,深研行业趋势,有态度有深度,做国内领先智库型财经媒体,入驻平台70+。联系方式:chutou0311 9月7日,特斯拉开通了名为"Tesla AI"的微博账号,并发布首条微博"我一直在努力改善自己的身材",展示了新版本的Optimus人形机器人。 图片来源:X 来源 | 深眸财经 这条微博,几乎代表着Optimus的全球化开启,而早在9月2日,特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在回复网友时表示,特斯拉未来约80%的价值将来自于 Optimus。 与之形成鲜明对比的,是特斯拉汽车业务的下滑。 据路透社报道,特斯拉继7月销量同比下降8.4%后,8月中国产电动汽车销量又同比下降4%。欧洲市场更为惨淡,欧洲汽车制造商协会 (ACEA)公布的数据显示,特斯拉7月在欧洲市场的销量同比大跌40.2%,市场份额从去年同期的1.4%收缩至0.8%,这已是该公司连续第七个 月市场份额萎缩。 视觉感知方面,它直接复用特斯拉自动驾驶系统(FSD)的视觉感知算法架构,配备与汽车同源的Autopilot级摄像头模组,通过算法优化替代 了成本高昂的激光雷达,大幅降低硬件投入。 ...
AI日报丨Wedbush重磅“站台”的16只AI股:英伟达领衔,称是“把握AI革命的最佳选择”
美股研究社· 2025-09-08 11:26
整理 | 美股研究社 在这个快速 变 化的时代, 人工 智能技术正以前所未有的速度发展,带来了广泛的机会 。 《AI 日 报 》致力于挖掘和分析最新的AI概念股公司和市场趋势,为您提供深度的行 业 洞察和 价 值 分析。 A I 快 报 1 . 路透社援引知情人士称,阿斯麦(ASML)将成为法国人工智能初创公司Mistral AI的最大股 东,其将向Mistral总额17亿欧元(约合20亿美元)的融资投入13亿欧元(约合15亿美元), 并有望在Mistral获得一个董事会席位。 此轮融资将使Mistral成为欧洲最具价值的人工智能公 司,其最新的C轮融资投前估值达到100亿欧元(约合117亿美元)。 2. 特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克:今天刚和特斯拉 AI5 芯片设计团队完成了一场非常出色的设计评 审! 这款芯片必将成为一款突破性产品。而紧随其后的 AI6 芯片,有望成为迄今为止最出色的 AI 芯片。从研发两种芯片架构转向专注于一种,意味着我们所有的芯片人才都将集中精力打造这 一款卓越的芯片。现在回想起来,这无疑是个显而易见的正确决策。 3. 近期,Wed bush重点推荐了16只人工智能(AI)相关股票,包括英 ...
未来一周财报:ADBE、ORCL、GME、KR、CHWY、FCEL 等
美股研究社· 2025-09-08 11:26
科技板块的重点公司包括 Adobe(NASDAQ:ADBE)、甲骨文(NYSE:ORCL)、新思科技(NASDAQ:SNPS)、Rubrik(NYSE:RBRK)、 SailPoint(NASDAQ:SAIL)和 Planet Labs(NYSE:PL)。 零售及消费类板块中,GameStop(NYSE:GME)、克罗格(NYSE:KR)、Chewy(NYSE:CHWY)、Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ:CASY)、Lovesac(NASDAQ:LOVE)、Designer Brands(NYSE:DBI)和莱克兰工业(NASDAQ:LAKE)等将公布业绩。 尽管本周财报日程相对清淡,但 9 月 8 日至 12 日期间,科技、零售、消费品和能源等多个领域仍有一批值得关注的公司将发布业绩报告。 9 月 8 日 星 期 一 凯西杂货店(NASDAQ:CASY) 这家公司将于周一收盘后发布 2026 财年一季度财报。分析师预计其利润同比增长 4%,营收同比增长近 10%。 因估值担忧给出 "中性" 评级,而华尔街分析师则维持 "买入" 评级,看好其前景。撰稿人 Third Point ...
市场对博通的乐观情绪是不是有些过头了?
美股研究社· 2025-09-08 11:26
博通(NASDAQ:AVGO)和英伟达 之间的激烈竞争 可以说已经进入了一个新时代,因为这家半导体领头羊在其 最近的财报中创下了新的订单 记录 。 不仅如此,博通还透露,其潜在的四家超大规模客户中,已有一家进入量产阶段,这促使公司大幅上调了 2026 财年的 AI 营收预期。换句话 说,当市场对英伟达财报中的业绩指引略感失望时,分析师们却对博通的预期上调感到震惊。这次预期调整的幅度非常惊人,这意味着未来至 少几年内,公司很可能会进入持续增长期,而且从超大规模客户身上还能看到进一步增长的空间。 尽管如此,分析师仍然认为投资者不应掉以轻心, 你觉得市场会傻到没把这种强烈的乐观情绪反映到博通的看涨逻辑中吗?显然不会。如果你 一直密切关注博通的动态就会发现,霍克・谭及其团队现在的位置非常有利 —— 定制芯片在高要求的训练和推理工作负载中愈发重要,而他们 正好能抓住这个机遇。 但OpenAI 决定与博通合作从设计阶段转入生产阶段的消息让人震惊,这可能会导致其订单增加 100 亿美元以上。考虑到博通预计在 2025 财 年将实现 634 亿美元的营收,难怪市场在上周五将博通推至新高,同时英伟达和 AMD股价也遭遇 抛售 ...
AI日报丨超预期!芯片巨头博通盘前涨超7%,交出满分财报,与OpenAI“百亿大单”曝光
美股研究社· 2025-09-05 11:53
Group 1 - The article highlights the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, presenting significant opportunities in the market [3] - Broadcom's Q3 adjusted net revenue reached $15.95 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $15.84 billion, with AI semiconductor revenue at $5.2 billion, surpassing the forecast of $5.11 billion [5] - Broadcom's CEO announced a significant production order exceeding $10 billion from a new AI accelerator customer, contributing to a record backlog of $110 billion [6] Group 2 - Alphabet's Waymo plans to launch autonomous vehicle testing at San Jose International Airport in Fall 2025 [7] - Amazon's stock rose by 3% due to its partnership with AI startup Anthropic, which is aiding in the construction of data centers utilizing Amazon's Trainium chips [11] - Anthropic's revenue is primarily driven by high-value enterprise transactions, contrasting with OpenAI's consumer-focused subscription model [12]
巴菲特十年前押注遇挫?460亿美元并购落幕,卡夫亨氏决定拆分重组
美股研究社· 2025-09-05 11:53
Core Viewpoint - Kraft Heinz announced its plan to split into two independent publicly traded companies, marking the end of the $46 billion merger led by Warren Buffett ten years ago, aimed at simplifying business structure and enhancing profitability in response to ongoing performance pressures and industry changes [2][4]. Group 1: Split Details - The split will create a "Global Flavor Enhancements Company" focused on sauces, condiments, and ready-to-eat meals, and a North American grocery company centered on brands like Oscar Mayer and Lunchables. The transaction is expected to be completed in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approval [4][6]. - The split is anticipated to incur approximately $300 million in additional operating costs, but the company commits to maintaining its current dividend levels and aims to preserve its investment-grade credit rating [7]. Group 2: Historical Context - The merger in 2015 aimed to create one of the largest packaged food companies globally, driven by aggressive cost-cutting and scale effects. However, changing consumer preferences towards healthier and natural foods, along with inflationary pressures, have diminished the appeal of Kraft Heinz's traditional product lines [9]. - Since its peak in 2017, Kraft Heinz's market value has shrunk by about 70%. Warren Buffett publicly acknowledged misjudgments regarding the investment, leading to a $3 billion impairment charge in 2019. 3G Capital fully exited its stake in Kraft Heinz in 2023 [9]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The split of Kraft Heinz is part of a broader trend in the global packaged food industry, which is undergoing significant restructuring. For instance, Kellogg separated its cereal and snack businesses in 2023, and Mars announced a $36 billion acquisition of Kellanova in 2024 [10]. - Analysts suggest that traditional food giants are compelled to restructure and focus on high-growth categories to address market pressures, as health consciousness and consumer preferences evolve [10].
海外业务大涨77%,霸王茶姬有不跟风的底气
美股研究社· 2025-09-05 11:53
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the competitive landscape of the new tea beverage industry, emphasizing how BaWang Tea Ji has successfully navigated challenges through a global expansion strategy and a value-first approach, leading to significant growth in overseas markets and overall performance [1][4]. Global Expansion - BaWang Tea Ji's overseas GMV reached 235.2 million yuan in Q2, marking a year-on-year increase of 77.4% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 31.8%, indicating that international business is becoming a crucial growth engine [1][4]. - As of June 30, BaWang Tea Ji operates 208 stores overseas, with significant presence in Malaysia (178 stores), Singapore (16), Indonesia (8), Thailand (5), and the USA (1). The company has also recently entered the Vietnamese and Philippine markets [5][8]. - The successful launch of localized products, such as the Gu Xiang Bei Cha in Southeast Asia, has contributed to BaWang Tea Ji's overseas success, with the product selling out within two weeks of its release [7]. Financial Performance - In Q2, BaWang Tea Ji reported a total GMV of 8.1031 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, with net revenue reaching 3.3319 billion yuan, up 10.2%. The adjusted net profit was 629.8 million yuan, corresponding to an adjusted net profit margin of 18.9% [4][8]. Domestic Market Strategy - The company continues to implement a "value-first" strategy in the domestic market, focusing on product innovation and enhancing user experience rather than competing on price [10]. - As of the end of Q2, BaWang Tea Ji's registered user base surpassed 200 million, reaching 206.9 million, with a year-on-year growth of 42.7% [10][12]. - The introduction of new products and regional specialties has resonated well with local consumers, further driving user engagement and sales [12][13]. Cost Management and Future Plans - BaWang Tea Ji has achieved a 1.5% reduction in raw material, storage, and logistics costs year-on-year, reflecting improved operational efficiency through technological innovation [13]. - The company plans to introduce automated equipment in Q4 to reduce labor costs and enhance production efficiency, alongside a comprehensive upgrade of core raw materials [13].
年内最重要的非农就在今晚!黄金狂飙还是美元翻盘?
美股研究社· 2025-09-05 11:53
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report is crucial for assessing the labor market and will directly influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions in September [5][7]. Group 1: Non-Farm Payroll Expectations - Economists predict that the U.S. will add 75,000 non-farm jobs in August, with an unemployment rate expected to rise to 4.3%, marking the weakest performance since the pandemic began in 2020 [5][7]. - If the August job additions meet expectations, it will be the fourth consecutive month with job growth below 100,000 [5]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decisions - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to lower interest rates by 25 basis points in September, but strong employment data could alter this expectation [7]. - Morgan Stanley's chief economist suggests that if 225,000 jobs are added, it may alleviate concerns about the labor market, potentially leading to sustained higher interest rates [7]. Group 3: Revisions to Previous Data - A significant focus of the upcoming report will be whether previous non-farm payroll figures are revised downward, as July's data was unexpectedly weak and previous months were significantly adjusted [9]. - Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Standard Chartered warn that the non-farm employment data may be overestimated, with potential downward revisions of 550,000 to 800,000 jobs [9]. Group 4: Current Labor Market Conditions - The U.S. labor market is showing signs of fatigue, with hiring stagnation and low employee turnover, indicating a near standstill [11]. - Job growth is increasingly reliant on a few sectors, such as healthcare and leisure, but even these areas are experiencing a slowdown in job additions [11]. Group 5: Market Reactions to Non-Farm Data - Gold prices have surged due to rising rate cut expectations and geopolitical risks, making the market particularly sensitive to the upcoming non-farm data [13]. - A stronger-than-expected non-farm report could support the dollar, while a weaker report may reinforce expectations for a rate cut, potentially leading to a 50 basis point reduction [13].
英伟达走到十字路口
美股研究社· 2025-09-05 11:53
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's performance has significantly exceeded expectations, with quarterly revenue reaching billions and maintaining rapid growth despite not fully tapping into the Chinese market, which management believes has substantial potential [1][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Nvidia's recent quarterly revenue was $46.7 billion, a 6% increase from the previous quarter and a 56% increase year-over-year, surpassing the expected $45 billion [4]. - The data center business revenue grew 56% year-over-year, reaching $41.1 billion, driven by anticipated capital expenditures from cloud giants and Meta Platforms [6]. - The company holds $56.8 billion in cash and $8.5 billion in debt, indicating a strong net cash position, primarily using free cash flow for stock buybacks and increasing cash reserves [8]. Group 2: Future Growth Projections - Management projects third-quarter revenue to grow 53.8% year-over-year, reaching $54 billion, with a slight sequential growth slowdown [10]. - The guidance does not include potential sales from H20 chips in China, which could add between $2 billion to $5 billion if approved [10]. - The Chinese market represents a $50 billion opportunity for Nvidia, with an expected annual growth rate of 50% [10]. Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Nvidia is positioned as a key supplier in the generative AI revolution, with a leading advantage in the GPU market, which is essential for AI applications [3]. - The CUDA developer ecosystem has been thriving even before the rise of generative AI, further solidifying Nvidia's market position [3]. - Analysts believe that without Nvidia, the future of generative AI would be compromised, highlighting its critical role in the industry [3]. Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - Nvidia's stock is currently trading at approximately 20 times sales, with expectations of a significant slowdown in growth over the next few years [11]. - Despite high valuations, analysts do not consider Nvidia to be in a bubble, as product demand is expected to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace [13]. - The comparison to Apple suggests that Nvidia may maintain a high valuation multiple even as growth slows, with potential annualized returns of around 11.4% if the P/E ratio remains at 30 by 2029 [14][15].
AI日报丨英伟达要被“偷家”了?谷歌TPU业务迎重估,已成“最好的英伟达替代方案”
美股研究社· 2025-09-04 11:11
Group 1 - The article discusses the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and its potential opportunities in the market [3] - DeepSeek is reportedly planning to release an advanced AI model with improved agent capabilities by the end of the year, aiming to compete with companies like OpenAI [5] - ByteDance has denied rumors regarding the restructuring of its chip business, stating that the business entity remains unchanged [5] - Apple is planning to launch an AI-supported web search tool for Siri next year, which will compete with OpenAI and Perplexity [6] - xAI's CFO has left the company as of the end of July [7] - Google is intensifying its competition with NVIDIA in the AI chip market by engaging small cloud service providers to deploy its AI chips [7] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley analysts believe that Apple's upcoming iPhone Air could generate a "wow" effect, with expectations of higher consumer interest than previously anticipated [11] - The stock price of Apple rose by 3% during trading, potentially reaching its highest closing price since March [12] - Despite a decrease in production expectations for the iPhone Air, it may still surprise with higher acceptance among consumers [13] - Pricing strategies are crucial, as a new phone priced around $800 could qualify for subsidies in China, providing upward potential [14]