智通财经APP讯，网易云音乐(09899)发布公告，于2026年2月13日，该公司斥资1495.83万港元回购9.2万 股股份，每股回购价160.3-166.5港元。 于2026年2月13日，该公司根据首次公开发售前股份奖励计划行使股份期权而发行750股新股。 ...

Group 1 - NetEase Cloud Music (09899.HK) announced a share buyback on February 13, spending HKD 14.958 million to repurchase 92,000 shares [1] - Huatai Securities has lowered the target price for NetEase Cloud Music to HKD 239.4 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 網易雲音樂股份有限公司 呈交日期： 2026年2月13日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09899 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發行/出售價 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][17][23] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 3.93 billion yuan for 25H2, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1%, with adjusted profit growing by 12% to 910 million yuan [1][8] - The company is focusing on shareholder returns, with over 13 billion yuan in cash reserves and plans for stock buybacks [1][8] - The online music revenue for 25H2 reached 3.02 billion yuan, up 8% year-on-year, driven by a 12% increase in subscription revenue [2][14] Financial Performance - The gross margin for 25H2 was 35%, an increase of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to optimized music copyright costs [1][8] - The adjusted profit forecast for 2025-2027 is 2.22 billion, 2.49 billion, and 2.75 billion yuan, respectively, with a downward adjustment of 6%, 12%, and 18% [2][17] - The company plans to increase marketing investments in 2026 to enhance user engagement and content quality without compromising profit margins [1][8] Revenue Breakdown - The social entertainment services revenue for 25H2 was 910 million yuan, down 17% year-on-year, but the decline has narrowed compared to the previous half [2][16] - The company expects a rise in both volume and price for subscription services in 2026, with a projected growth in subscriber numbers [2][14]

瑞银发布研报称，网易云音乐(09899)线上音乐业务收入同比增长8%，盈利则符合预期。订阅用户组合 转向价格较低的88VIP及学生会员，订阅用户数量增长则依然健康，该行估算同比增长16%。该行亦预 期新竞争对手对公司订阅用户转化的影响有限，因此仍预测2026年线上音乐业务将同比增长14%，维 持"买入"评级。展望2026年，管理层重申将专注于透过优质及差异化内容，以扩大用户及订阅用户规 模，目标订阅用户数量及ARPPU均有增长。 ...

Core Viewpoint - NetEase Cloud Music is navigating challenges with a revenue decline while achieving significant profit growth due to cost-cutting measures and tax asset recognition [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025, NetEase Cloud Music reported a revenue decline of 2.4% year-on-year to 7.759 billion yuan [1]. - The adjusted net profit for the same year was 2.860 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 68.2%, primarily driven by the recognition of deferred tax assets amounting to 747 million yuan [1]. - Excluding the tax asset impact, the adjusted net profit was approximately 2.1 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Revenue Breakdown - Online music service revenue grew by 12.0% year-on-year to 5.994 billion yuan, with subscription revenue increasing by 13.3% to 5.053 billion yuan, driven by membership growth [1]. - Conversely, revenue from social entertainment services and other sources fell by 32.0% to 1.765 billion yuan, mainly due to the closure of the live streaming feature after a 2024 update [1]. Group 3: Cost Management - Sales expenses decreased by 33.2% to 409 million yuan, reflecting a more cautious approach to promotions and advertising [2]. - Management expenses fell by 4.4%, and R&D expenses decreased by 2.3%, attributed to improved resource utilization and a focus on core products and AI capabilities [2]. Group 4: Market Position and User Engagement - NetEase Cloud Music maintained a relatively stable market position, introducing K-POP labels and enhancing its content library with over 1 million registered independent musicians and more than 5.6 million uploaded tracks by the end of 2025 [2]. - The platform's user scale and engagement improved, with a DAU/MAU ratio exceeding 30% and an increase in average daily listening time on mobile [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that NetEase Cloud Music is currently navigating challenges, with a decline in revenue but an increase in adjusted net profit due to tax asset recognition [2][3][4] Group 2 - In 2025, NetEase Cloud Music's revenue decreased by 2.4% year-on-year to 77.59 billion yuan, while adjusted net profit increased by 68.2% to 28.60 billion yuan, primarily due to the recognition of deferred tax assets [2] - The decline in revenue is attributed to a restructuring of the business, with online music service revenue growing by 12.0% to 59.94 billion yuan, driven by a 13.3% increase in subscription revenue [3] - The social entertainment services and other revenue fell by 32.0% to 17.65 billion yuan, mainly due to the closure of the live streaming feature after a version update in late 2024 [3] Group 3 - Cost-cutting measures contributed to the increase in net profit, with sales expenses decreasing by 33.2% to 4.09 billion yuan, reflecting a more cautious approach to advertising and promotion [4] - Management expenses decreased by 4.4%, and R&D expenses fell by 2.3% due to improved resource utilization and a focus on core products and AI capabilities [4] Group 4 - NetEase Cloud Music maintains a relatively stable market position, having introduced K-POP labels and expanded its content library, with over 1 million registered independent musicians and more than 5.6 million uploaded tracks by the end of 2025 [5] - The platform's user scale and activity increased, with a DAU/MAU ratio above 30% and an increase in average daily listening time on mobile [5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of HKD 165.40 and a fair value of HKD 239 [8]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady profit growth, with a focus on enhancing user experience through AI-driven algorithm iterations and expanding its music library [2][10]. - The financial performance for 2025 indicates total revenue of RMB 7.76 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 2%, while adjusted net profit reached RMB 2.86 billion, up 68% year-over-year [8][10]. - The report anticipates revenue growth driven by subscription services and ARPU optimization, projecting revenues of RMB 85.39 billion and RMB 93.23 billion for 2026 and 2027, respectively [11][12]. Financial Projections - Revenue and EBITDA forecasts for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2026E Revenue: RMB 8.54 billion, with a growth rate of 10% - 2027E Revenue: RMB 9.32 billion, with a growth rate of 9% - 2026E EBITDA: RMB 2.44 billion - 2027E EBITDA: RMB 2.84 billion [3][12]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to be RMB 2.21 billion in 2026 and RMB 2.56 billion in 2027, reflecting a decline in growth rates due to previous high base effects [10][12]. Business Performance - The online music business generated RMB 59.94 billion in revenue for 2025, a 12% increase year-over-year, with subscription revenue contributing RMB 50.52 billion, up 13.3% [10][11]. - The company has maintained a strong daily active user (DAU) and monthly active user (MAU) ratio above 30%, indicating robust user engagement [10][11]. Valuation Metrics - The report suggests a valuation based on a 21x PE ratio for the 2026 non-GAAP net profit, leading to a fair value estimate of HKD 239 per share [16][17]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected PE ratio of 15x for 2026 and an EV/EBITDA ratio decreasing from 20x in 2024 to 10x in 2028 [3][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for NetEase Cloud Music, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [14]. Core Insights - NetEase Cloud Music's total revenue for FY25 declined by 2% YoY to RMB7.76 billion, slightly below the Bloomberg consensus estimate of RMB7.91 billion. However, adjusted net profit increased by 68% YoY to RMB2.86 billion, aligning with consensus estimates [1]. - The company has slightly lowered its FY26 total revenue forecast by 1% due to a soft non-subscription business, but maintains a solid earnings growth outlook for FY26 [1][6]. - The target price has been adjusted to HK$245.00, down from HK$330.00, based on a 23x FY26E non-GAAP PE, reflecting a decline in sector valuation [1][9]. Financial Performance Summary - FY25 total revenue: RMB7.76 billion, down 2% YoY; adjusted net profit: RMB2.86 billion, up 68% YoY [2]. - FY26 revenue forecast: RMB8.42 billion, expected to grow by 8.5% YoY; adjusted net profit forecast: RMB2.14 billion, expected to decline by 25.3% YoY [2][7]. - Gross margin for FY26 is projected at 37.0%, with an operating profit margin of 22.9% [2][11]. Revenue Breakdown - Online music services revenue grew by 8% YoY to RMB3.0 billion in 2H25, while membership subscription revenue increased by 12% YoY to RMB2.6 billion [6]. - Non-subscription music revenue declined by 7% YoY in 2H25, primarily due to a drop in digital album sales [6]. - Social entertainment revenue fell by 17% YoY to RMB905 million in 2H25, although it stabilized with a 5% HoH growth [6]. Margin Analysis - Overall gross profit margin (GPM) increased by 2.7 percentage points YoY but declined by 1.4 percentage points HoH to 35.0% in 2H25 [6]. - Adjusted operating margin improved by 4.6 percentage points YoY to 21.1% in 2H25, driven by operating leverage and effective expense control [6]. Valuation Metrics - The current price of NetEase Cloud Music is HK$165.40, with an upside potential of 48.1% to the target price of HK$245.00 [3]. - The company is currently trading at a P/E of 15x for FY26E, which is considered attractive compared to the target P/E of 23x [1][9].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the Non-IFRS net profit forecast for NetEase Cloud Music (09899) for 2026/27, with a target price of HKD 224, indicating a 22% upside from the current price [2][7]. Financial Performance - For 2025, the company reported revenues of CNY 7.759 billion, aligning closely with CICC's expectation of CNY 7.807 billion, and a Non-IFRS net profit of CNY 2.860 billion, which is also in line with expectations [8]. - Online music revenue for 2025 reached CNY 5.994 billion, reflecting a 12% year-on-year increase, with subscription revenue growing by 13.3% and non-subscription revenue by 5.2% [8]. - The gross margin for 2025 improved to 35.7%, up by 2 percentage points year-on-year, while sales, management, and R&D expenses decreased [4][8]. Business Segments - The social entertainment and other revenue for 2025 was CNY 1.765 billion, down 32% year-on-year due to a cautious operational strategy, although there was a slight quarter-on-quarter increase in the second half of 2025 [3][8]. - The company aims to expand its paid user base in 2026, with expectations for a 10.8% year-on-year growth in online music revenue, and a 12.1% increase in subscription revenue [8]. Industry Outlook - The industry is experiencing concerns regarding stability, but NetEase Cloud Music's user base remains relatively stable compared to competitors [5][10]. - The company has launched its self-developed AI recommendation model, Climber, and is focusing on user experience and continuous innovation to maintain a differentiated position in the market [10].