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 刘格菘二季度最新持仓曝光!加仓军工、新消费以及互联网产业,半导体设备、新能源产业链个股减持明显
 Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-18 06:09
 Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant adjustments in the heavy holdings of Liu Gesong's six funds managed by GF Fund, particularly in the new energy vehicle and semiconductor sectors, with a notable shift towards new consumption, internet, and military industries [1][2].   Fund Holdings Adjustment - Liu Gesong's funds have reduced their positions in several previously favored stocks, including:   - North Huachuang: Holdings decreased by approximately 17.69% to 161,240 shares [2].   - Seres: Holdings reduced by 9.14% [6].   - EVE Energy: Holdings decreased by 4.16% [6].   - JinkoSolar: Holdings down by 10.77% [6]. - Conversely, there has been a significant increase in holdings of stocks such as:   - DeYe Co.: Increased by 40% [3][8].   - Xichuang Data: Increased by nearly 76% [3].   - Xiaomi Group-W: Increased by 25.66% [7].   Fund Performance - The overall performance of Liu Gesong's funds in Q2 was underwhelming, with all funds experiencing net redemptions:   - The best-performing fund, GF Multi-Dimensional Emerging, recorded a net value growth rate of 7.91% [4].   - Other funds, such as GF Small Cap Growth A and C, reported growth rates of 2.38% and 2.28%, respectively [4].   - GF Innovation Upgrade and GF Technology Pioneer recorded negative returns [4].   Market Context - The A-share market saw mixed performance in Q2, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.26% and the Shenzhen Component Index slightly declining by 0.37% [5]. - Key sectors such as military, banking, and telecommunications showed significant gains, while sectors like food and beverage, home appliances, and steel performed poorly [5]. - Liu Gesong remains optimistic about the domestic economy's resilience, citing factors such as the easing of geopolitical tensions and supportive domestic policies [5].
 四川路桥(600039):二季度订单加速增长 省内基建持续景气
 Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 10:33
 Core Viewpoint - The company has shown significant growth in its bidding amounts for infrastructure projects, indicating a strong focus on its core business and a positive outlook for future orders [2][4].   Group 1: Bidding Performance - In Q2, the company achieved a total bidding amount of 37.559 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 25% [2]. - For the first half of the year, the cumulative bidding amount reached 72.24 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [2]. - The infrastructure sector accounted for 61.74 billion yuan of the total bidding in the first half, reflecting a growth of 25.88% [2]. - The construction sector saw a cumulative bidding amount of 10.412 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.34% [2]. - Other business areas experienced a slight decline, with a cumulative bidding amount of 0.89 billion yuan, down 4.37% year-on-year [2].   Group 2: Future Project Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual rollout of highway projects in Sichuan Province in the second half of 2024, with multiple highway projects already won as an investor [2][3]. - A total of 36 highway projects were introduced in June 2024, covering approximately 4,100 kilometers and involving a total investment of about 840 billion yuan [2]. - The company successfully won bids for eight highway projects with a total investment exceeding 260 billion yuan [2].   Group 3: Industry Growth Potential - The total scale of highways in Sichuan Province is projected to reach approximately 20,000 kilometers by 2035, indicating sustained demand for construction [3]. - In 2024, Sichuan is expected to complete the construction of 507 kilometers of new highways, bringing the total operational mileage to 10,310 kilometers, ranking third in the country [3]. - The company anticipates that project preparations will accelerate in the second half of 2024, leading to increased order conversion during the peak construction periods in Q3 and Q4 [3].   Group 4: Dividend and Valuation - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 50% to 60% for 2025, maintaining this level through 2027 [4]. - If the company achieves an estimated profit of 8 billion yuan in 2025, the corresponding dividend yield would exceed 6% [4]. - The projected earnings for 2025-2027 are estimated at 8.29 billion, 9.25 billion, and 10.4 billion yuan, respectively, with current valuations of 9.03, 8.09, and 7.19 times [4].
 四川路桥(600039):二季度订单加速增长,省内基建持续景气
 Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-16 09:45
 Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039.SH) is "Buy" and is maintained [11].   Core Views - The company reported a total winning bid amount of 37.559 billion yuan in Q2, representing a year-on-year increase of 25%. The cumulative winning bid for the first half of the year reached 72.24 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [2][8]. - The company focuses on its infrastructure business, with significant growth in orders. The winning bids in the infrastructure sector for the first half of the year totaled 61.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.88% [13]. - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual rollout of highway projects in Sichuan Province in the second half of 2024, with a total investment of approximately 840 billion yuan for 36 highway projects [13]. - The demand for highway construction in Sichuan is projected to remain strong, with an expected total scale of about 20,000 kilometers by 2035 [13]. - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 50% to 60% for 2025, enhancing its dividend appeal [13].   Summary by Sections  Company Overview - Sichuan Road and Bridge focuses on infrastructure projects, with a significant increase in winning bids in Q2 and the first half of the year [2][8].   Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 107.238 billion yuan for 2024, with projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 114.062 billion yuan, 123.626 billion yuan, and 135.262 billion yuan respectively [19].   Market Outlook - The company is expected to see accelerated project initiation in the second half of 2024, leading to a positive outlook for order conversion in Q3 and Q4 [13]. - The anticipated strong demand for infrastructure in Sichuan, coupled with the company's strategic positioning, suggests a favorable growth trajectory [13].
 6月基建延续托底,下半年财政发力或将推动基建投资高增
 Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-16 02:48
 Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [5]   Core Viewpoints - Infrastructure investment continues to support economic stability, with expectations for increased fiscal efforts in the second half of the year to drive high growth in infrastructure investment [1] - Real estate development investment has shown a decline of 11.2% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, while narrow and broad infrastructure investments have increased by 4.6% and 8.9% respectively [1] - Cement demand is stabilizing, with a production decline of 4.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, but a potential price rebound is anticipated due to local price increases in certain regions [3] - Flat glass production has decreased by 4.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with market demand remaining stable despite seasonal impacts [4]   Summary by Sections  Infrastructure Investment - In June, infrastructure investment growth slowed, attributed to reduced fiscal spending and weather disruptions, but remains crucial for economic stability [1] - The issuance of long-term special government bonds is expected to further support infrastructure investment [1]   Real Estate Market - Real estate sales area decreased by 3.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with new construction area down by 20% [2] - Construction area saw a decline of 9.1% year-on-year, while completion area dropped by 14.8% [2]   Cement Industry - Cement production in the first half of 2025 was 815 million tons, down 4.3% year-on-year, with a slight recovery in shipment rates observed in July [3] - The average cement price as of July 11 was 352 RMB per ton, down 43 RMB year-on-year [3]   Glass Industry - Flat glass production in the first half of 2025 was 48.497 million weight cases, a decrease of 4.3% year-on-year, with inventory levels remaining high [4] - The price of 5mm float glass was 63.2 RMB per weight case as of July 10, showing a slight increase [4]
 2025年1-6月投资数据点评:经济平稳增长,固定资产投资边际走弱
 Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-07-15 10:43
 Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][22].   Core Viewpoints - The economy showed stable growth in the first half of 2025, with GDP increasing by 5.3% year-on-year. However, fixed asset investment growth weakened, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 2.8%, down 0.9 percentage points from January to May [3][4]. - Infrastructure investment growth also weakened, with total infrastructure investment (including all categories) increasing by 8.9% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points compared to January to May. Notably, investment in transportation, warehousing, and postal services rose by 5.6% year-on-year, while investment in water conservancy, environment, and public facilities management increased by 3.5% [4][7]. - Real estate investment remained low, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.2% in the first half of 2025. The decline in construction starts and completions narrowed, with starts down 20.0% and completions down 14.8% year-on-year [7][8].   Summary by Sections  Economic Overview - The first half of 2025 saw a GDP growth of 5.3%, with quarterly growth rates of 5.4% in Q1 and 5.2% in Q2. Fixed asset investment growth was at 2.8%, with manufacturing investment increasing by 7.5% [3][4].   Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment (all categories) grew by 8.9% year-on-year, while investment excluding electricity increased by 4.6%. Transportation and postal services saw a 5.6% increase, while water and environmental management investment rose by 3.5% [4][5].   Real Estate Investment - Real estate investment decreased by 11.2% year-on-year, with construction starts down 20.0% and completions down 14.8%. The pace of investment recovery is expected to be slower than in previous cycles, highlighting the need for more supportive policies [7][8].   Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the overall industry is currently weak, but regional investments may gain momentum due to national strategic initiatives. Recommended companies include state-owned enterprises like China Chemical, China Energy Construction, and China Railway Construction, as well as private firms like Zhi Te New Materials and Honglu Steel Structure [15].
 四川路桥(600039) - 四川路桥2023年度第一期中期票据2025年付息完成公告
 2025-07-15 08:47
四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司(以下简称公司)2023年度第一期中期票据(23 四川路桥MTN001),发行金额为人民币8亿元,票面利率为3.17%,期限3年,起 息日为2023年7月12日,兑付日为2026年7月12日(具体内容详见公司公告编号为 2023-081的《四川路桥2023年度第一期中期票据发行结果公告》)。 公司按期完成了2023年度第一期中期票据2025年付息工作,付息金额为人民 币25,360,000.00元,付息资金由银行间市场清算所股份有限公司划付至债券持有 人指定的银行账户。 特此公告。 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司董事会 2025年7月15日 证券代码:600039 证券简称:四川路桥 公告编号:2025-076 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 0505200555444444052X 1 ...
 四川路桥(600039):25Q2订单大增25%,业绩稳健释放+高股息确定性强
 GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-15 06:52
 Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6]   Core Views - The company has seen a significant increase in orders, with a 25% year-on-year growth in new contracts amounting to 37.6 billion yuan in Q2 2025, indicating strong performance and a robust order backlog [1] - The demand for transportation infrastructure in Sichuan is strong, driven by national strategic initiatives, with plans to double the highway network by 2035 [2] - The company is expected to maintain high dividend payouts, with a projected minimum cash dividend rate of 60% from 2025 to 2027, enhancing its attractiveness as a high-dividend investment [3]   Summary by Sections  Orders and Performance - In Q2 2025, the company secured new contracts worth 37.6 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year, with infrastructure and housing construction contracts growing by 24% and 34% respectively [1] - Cumulative new contracts for H1 2025 reached 72.2 billion yuan, a 22% increase year-on-year, with infrastructure orders growing by 26% [1] - The company has a substantial order backlog of over 500 billion yuan, ensuring stable performance in the upcoming periods [1]   Market Demand and Strategic Positioning - Sichuan is identified as a national strategic hinterland, with significant infrastructure development expected, including a planned highway network expansion [2] - The company is positioned to benefit from high-margin projects through its partnership with the Shudao Group, which is expected to drive profitability [2]   Financial Outlook and Dividend Policy - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 8 billion yuan, 9 billion yuan, and 10 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.2%, 12.3%, and 11.5% [3] - The expected dividend yields for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.4%, 7.2%, and 8.1% respectively, indicating strong dividend potential [3]
 四川路桥(600039) - 四川路桥2025年第二季度主要经营数据公告
 2025-07-14 12:00
证券代码:600039 证券简称:四川路桥 公告编号:2025-075 "房建"主要为产业园区、学校、住宅、老旧小区改造等项目; "其他"包括勘察设计、咨询、监理、招标代理等服务类项目。 2.上表中中标项目包括公司通过公开招投标和投建一体模式获取的项目。 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司 2025 年第二季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司(以下简称公司)根据《上海证券交易所 上市公司行业信息披露指引第八号——建筑》的相关规定,现将 2025 年第二季 度主要经营数据(未经审计)公告如下: | | | 第二季度 | 第二季度 中标项目 | 本年累计 | 本年累计 中标项目 | 上年同期 累计中标 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 分行 | 中标项目 | 金额 | 中标项目 | 合计金额 | 项目合计 | 同比增减 | | | 业 | 数量 | (万元人 | 数量 | (万元人 | 金 ...
 四川路桥: 四川路桥2025年第二季度主要经营数据公告
 Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-07-14 09:18
 Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the announcement is the disclosure of the major operating data for the second quarter of 2025 by Sichuan Road and Bridge Construction Group Co., Ltd, highlighting a significant increase in project bidding amounts compared to the previous year [1][2] - In the second quarter, the company secured a total of 141 projects with a total bid amount of 3,755,939 million RMB, while the cumulative total for the year reached 7,224,044 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.20% [1][2] - The bidding data includes various infrastructure projects categorized under "basic construction," "housing construction," and "other services," indicating a diverse portfolio of projects [1]   Group 2 - Currently, the company has no major projects signed but not yet executed, indicating a focus on active project management and execution [2] - The operating indicators provided are preliminary statistics and may differ from those disclosed in periodic reports due to various uncertainties [2]
 四川路桥(600039) - 四川路桥2025年第二季度主要经营数据公告
 2025-07-14 08:45
证券代码:600039 证券简称:四川路桥 公告编号:2025- 075 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司 2025 年第二季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司(以下简称公司)根据《上海证券交易所 上市公司行业信息披露指引第八号——建筑》的相关规定,现将 2025 年第二季 度主要经营数据(未经审计)公告如下: | 序号 | 分行 | 第二季度 中标项目 | 第二季度 中标项目 金额 | 本年累计 中标项目 | 本年累计 中标项目 合计金额 | 上年同期 累计中标 项目合计 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 业 | 数量 (个) | (万元人 民币) | 数量 (个) | (万元人 民币) | 金额 (万元人 | 同比增减 | | | | | | | | 民币) | | | 1 | 基建 | 65 | 3,128,390 | 100 | 6,173,954 | 4,904,606 | +2 ...


