Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - The industry has been significantly impacted by tariff-related policies and fluctuations in crude oil prices this year. Key areas to focus on in July include safety regulations, supply changes in the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations due to "export rush," the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies [2][12] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of June 30 to July 6, among 100 tracked chemical products, 25 saw price increases, 56 saw declines, and 19 remained stable. The average price of TDI increased by 7.02% week-on-week, while the average price of acrylic acid rose by 3.65% [11][36] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on safety regulations and supply changes affecting the pesticide and intermediate sectors, performance fluctuations from the first half of the year, the growing importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials, and stable dividend policies in energy companies. Long-term investment themes include sustained high crude oil prices benefiting the oil and gas extraction sector, rapid development in downstream industries, and policy support for demand recovery [12][19] Key Products and Price Changes - TDI prices increased to 12,013 CNY/ton, while acrylic acid prices reached 7,100 CNY/ton, reflecting a 14.52% year-on-year increase. The average price of crude oil also saw slight increases, with WTI at 66.50 USD/barrel and Brent at 68.30 USD/barrel [11][35][36] Company Highlights - Satellite Chemical and Anji Technology are highlighted as "gold stocks" for July, with both companies showing strong revenue and profit growth in 2024. Satellite Chemical reported a revenue of 45.648 billion CNY, a 10.03% increase year-on-year, while Anji Technology achieved a revenue of 1.835 billion CNY, a 48.24% increase year-on-year [13][19]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents a weekly data briefing on the basic chemical industry, covering price and profit changes in various sectors such as polyurethane, oil - gas - olefin, and coal - chemical industries, as well as the performance of related listed companies [2][8][10] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Basic Chemical Weekly Data Briefing - **Related Company Performance** - The basic chemical index had a weekly increase of 0.8%, a monthly increase of 3.3%, a quarterly increase of 3.1%, and an annual increase of 15.9% as of July 4, 2025. Among related companies, Wanhua Chemical had a weekly increase of 1.3%, Baofeng Energy had a weekly decrease of 1.5%, Satellite Chemical had a weekly increase of 4.0%, and Huarun Hengsheng had a weekly increase of 1.0% [8] - In terms of profitability, Wanhua Chemical's estimated归母净利润 in 2025 is 13966 million yuan, Baofeng Energy's is 12360 million yuan, Satellite Chemical's is 7004 million yuan, and Huarun Hengsheng's is 4265 million yuan [8] - **Polyurethane Industry Chain** - The average prices of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI this week were 16940, 15220, and 12000 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of - 100, - 430, and + 775 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 3718, 3061, and 897 yuan/ton, with week - on - week changes of + 162, - 116, and + 1177 yuan/ton [2][8] - **Oil - Gas - Olefin Industry Chain** - Raw material prices: The average prices of ethane, propane,动力煤, and naphtha this week were 1198, 4071, 470, and 4108 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 25, - 118, + 0, and - 114 yuan/ton [2][8] - Product prices and profits: The average price of polyethylene was 7946 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 29 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of ethane cracking, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polyethylene were 1365, 2091, and 189 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of - 50, - 19, and + 94 yuan/ton. The average price of polypropylene was 7120 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 16 yuan/ton. The theoretical profits of PDH, CTO, and naphtha cracking to produce polypropylene were 56, 1742, and 20 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 94, - 11, and + 101 yuan/ton [2] - **Coal - Chemical Industry Chain** - The average prices of synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid this week were 2242, 1797, 4020, and 2349 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 28, - 5, + 60, and - 32 yuan/ton. Their respective gross profits were 352, 144, - 186, and 6 yuan/ton, with week - on - week changes of + 16, - 12, + 28, and + 2 yuan/ton [2][10] 3.2 Basic Chemical Weekly Report - **2.1 Basic Chemical Index Trend** - No detailed content provided in the given text - **2.2 Polyurethane Plate** - Analyzes the price and profit trends of pure MDI, polymer MDI, and TDI [2][8] - **2.3 Oil - Gas - Olefin Plate** - Discusses the price trends of raw materials such as ethane, propane,动力煤, and naphtha, as well as the profit situations of different production processes for polyethylene and polypropylene [2][8] - **2.4 Coal - Chemical Plate** - Covers the price and profit trends of coal - chemical products such as synthetic ammonia, urea, DMF, and acetic acid [2][10]

Group 1 - Industry Investment Rating: Overweight [1] - Core Viewpoint: The chemical sector's overall performance ranked 16th with a fluctuation of 0.80%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.60 percentage points [4][22] - Key Recommendations: Focus on synthetic biology, pesticides, chromatography media, sugar substitutes, vitamins, light hydrocarbon chemicals, COC polymers, and MDI [4] Group 2 - Synthetic Biology: A pivotal moment is approaching, with low-energy products expected to gain a longer growth window due to the energy structure adjustment [4] - Refrigerants: The third-generation refrigerants are entering a high prosperity cycle, with supply constraints and stable demand growth anticipated [5] - Electronic Specialty Gases: The domestic market faces a contradiction between rapid upgrades in wafer manufacturing and insufficient high-end electronic specialty gas capacity, presenting significant domestic substitution opportunities [6][8] - Light Hydrocarbon Chemicals: A global trend towards lighter raw materials in the olefin industry is noted, with a shift from heavy naphtha to lighter ethane and propane [8] - COC Polymers: The domestic industrialization process is accelerating, driven by breakthroughs in local enterprises and a shift in downstream industries to domestic production [9] - Potash Fertilizer: Prices are expected to bottom out and rebound due to supply reductions and increased demand from farmers [10] - MDI Market: The oligopoly structure is expected to improve, with demand steadily increasing and a favorable supply outlook anticipated [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, indicating a "Buy" rating for specific companies within the sector [4][5]. Core Insights - OPEC has announced an unexpected production increase of 548,000 barrels per day for August, but the actual impact of this increase remains to be observed [4][5]. - The upstream sector is experiencing a downward trend in oil prices, with Brent crude oil futures closing at $68.3 per barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.78% [4][18]. - The refining sector is seeing mixed results, with overseas refined oil crack spreads declining, while olefin price spreads show varied trends [4][47]. - The polyester sector is facing profitability challenges, but there are expectations for recovery as supply and demand improve [4][13]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - OPEC's actual production increase has been lower than expected, with April's total production at approximately 31.1 million barrels per day, a decrease of 210,000 barrels from the previous month [4][8]. - The U.S. oil rig count decreased to 539, down 8 from the previous week and down 46 year-on-year [31][32]. - The report anticipates a widening supply-demand trend in crude oil, with potential downward pressure on prices, but expects prices to stabilize at mid-high levels due to OPEC's production cuts and shale oil cost support [4][18]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products was $14.01 per barrel, down $2.46 from the previous week [51]. - The U.S. gasoline RBOB-WTI spread was $22.37 per barrel, up $0.53 from the previous week, with a historical average of $24.86 per barrel [56]. - The report suggests that refining profitability may improve as economic recovery progresses, despite current low levels [4][47]. Polyester Sector - The PTA price has seen a decline, with the average price in East China at 4,971.4 yuan per ton, down 3.26% week-on-week [4][13]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in the polyester industry, with expectations for improved profitability as supply-demand dynamics shift positively [4][13]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the polyester sector such as Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials, as well as top refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Sinopec [4][13]. - It also suggests that the upstream exploration and development sector remains robust, with high capital expenditure expected to continue, particularly for offshore oil service companies [4][13].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a growth-oriented investment style, suggesting a focus on companies with marginal changes and new growth curves [2][3]. Core Views - The chemical market experienced an upward trend this week, with the Shenwan Chemical Index rising by 0.8%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.74% [2][11]. - Key events impacting the chemical industry include the resolution of the ethane export issue between the US and China, the lifting of force majeure on BASF's animal nutrition product, and the successful production of new materials in China [2][3][4]. - The report highlights the high valuation levels in the chemical sector, with a historical PB percentile of 20% and a PE percentile of 71% [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Brent crude futures settled at an average price of $68.19 per barrel, down 0.25% week-on-week, while WTI futures increased by 0.9% to $66.3 per barrel [11]. - The basic chemical sector underperformed the index, with a decline of 0.74%, while the petrochemical sector fell by 1.03% [11]. Major Chemical Products Price Changes - The report provides detailed price changes for various chemical products, indicating fluctuations in market prices and demand dynamics [12][29]. Key Events - The US Department of Commerce's notification ended the ethane export turmoil, benefiting companies like Wanhua Chemical and Satellite Chemical [3]. - BASF's lifting of force majeure on Lutavit® A 1000 NXT is a significant development for the animal nutrition business [4]. - The successful production of new materials, such as AkzoNobel's 5000 tons of COC and Shanghai Jieda's 120,000 tons/year hexamethylenediamine, marks a positive trend in domestic new materials [2][3]. - SABIC's permanent shutdown of its olefins cracker in the UK, with an annual capacity of 865,000 tons of ethylene and 415,000 tons of propylene, indicates a continued exit of overseas capacity [4]. Industry Insights - The report emphasizes a growth-oriented investment approach, focusing on companies showing marginal changes and potential new growth trajectories [2][25]. - The chemical sector is currently experiencing high valuation levels, with a historical PB percentile of 20% and a PE percentile of 71% [2][12].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.32% on July 4, with 13 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by the banking and media sectors, which increased by 1.84% and 0.91% respectively [1] - The sectors that saw the largest declines were beauty care and non-ferrous metals, with decreases of 1.87% and 1.60% respectively [1] - The basic chemical industry ranked third in terms of decline today [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net outflow of capital from the two markets was 21.74 billion yuan, with 8 sectors experiencing net inflows [1] - The computer industry had the largest net inflow of capital, totaling 2.81 billion yuan, despite a slight decline of 0.05% in its stock price [1] - The banking sector also saw a net inflow of 758 million yuan, with a daily increase of 1.84% [1] Basic Chemical Industry Performance - The basic chemical industry fell by 1.22%, with a total net outflow of 2.174 billion yuan [2] - Out of 401 stocks in this sector, 41 stocks rose, and 354 stocks fell, with 4 stocks hitting the daily limit down [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the basic chemical sector were Huafeng Super Fiber (1.62 billion yuan), Dongcai Technology (1.39 billion yuan), and Limin Co., Ltd. (1.24 billion yuan) [2] Basic Chemical Industry Capital Inflow and Outflow - The top stocks with capital inflow included: - Huafeng Super Fiber: +1.83%, 16.59% turnover, 161.85 million yuan inflow - Dongcai Technology: +10.01%, 11.12% turnover, 138.64 million yuan inflow - Limin Co., Ltd.: +5.83%, 22.57% turnover, 124.30 million yuan inflow [2][3] - The top stocks with capital outflow included: - Dazhongnan: +2.55%, 38.91% turnover, -195.83 million yuan outflow - Wanhua Chemical: -0.86%, 0.72% turnover, -137.99 million yuan outflow - Yanhai Co., Ltd.: -2.43%, 0.88% turnover, -98.39 million yuan outflow [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6][7]. Core Insights - The report highlights the resumption of U.S. ethane exports to China, which is expected to benefit the company significantly due to its core assets in U.S. ethane exports [6]. - The company has a competitive edge with its low ethylene production costs and integrated supply chain advantages, positioning it well for future growth [6]. - The report projects substantial revenue and profit growth for the company from 2025 to 2027, with expected revenues of 588.39 billion, 681.97 billion, and 788.11 billion respectively, and net profits of 72.21 billion, 92.46 billion, and 117.78 billion respectively [7][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a total share capital of 336,865 million shares and a closing price of 17.31 as of July 2, 2025 [1]. - The asset-liability ratio stands at 53.62%, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.83 and a weighted return on equity of 5.05% [1]. Market Dynamics - The U.S. has lifted the export ban on ethane to China, which is crucial for the company's operations as it owns a significant export terminal in the U.S. [6]. - The report notes that the construction of new ethane terminals in the U.S. is unlikely due to high investment costs and regulatory challenges [6]. Competitive Position - The company is positioned in the lowest cost range for ethylene production in China, benefiting from technological advancements and lower raw material costs [6]. - The company plans to expand its fleet of VLEC ships to enhance its logistics capabilities, with an investment of 257 billion for six new vessels [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue growth rates are projected at 28.90% for 2025, followed by 15.90% and 15.56% for 2026 and 2027 respectively [8]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.14, 2.74, and 3.50 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][8].

Group 1 - Energy Transfer and Enterprise Products Partners announced the cancellation of restrictions on ethane exports to China by the U.S. Department of Commerce on July 2 [1] - Energy Transfer is a key supplier of ethane to China's low-carbon chemical giant, Satellite Chemical, which is expected to resume imports of ethane from the U.S. soon [1] - The U.S. had previously implemented a licensing regime for ethane exports in late May, which halted shipments to China in June, but Satellite Chemical was not significantly affected due to its large ethane inventory [1] Group 2 - The U.S. is the world's largest ethane supplier, accounting for 62% of global supply, while China is the largest consumer, primarily importing from the U.S. [2] - Starting January 1, 2025, China will reduce the import tariff on ethane from 2% to 1%, indicating a positive signal for energy trade between the U.S. and China [2] - The normalization of U.S.-China ethane trade will allow Satellite Chemical to continue building a global raw material supply chain, contributing to market stability [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report conducts a comprehensive analysis of the downstream landscape of pure benzene, including both horizontal and vertical perspectives. Horizontally, it analyzes the demand proportion, production capacity growth rate, and regional distribution of the five major downstream products of pure benzene. Vertically, it focuses on the device analysis of each of the five products, including the proportion of self - owned and externally purchased pure benzene, device characteristics, regional distribution, and enterprise group concentration [2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Pure Benzene Downstream Pattern Horizontal Analysis 3.1.1 Demand Proportion and Basic Introduction of Five Major Downstream Products for Pure Benzene - Based on 2024 production data, the demand proportions of benzene ethylene, caprolactam (CPL), phenol (phenol - ketone), aniline, and adipic acid for pure benzene are 42%, 21%, 17%, 12%, and 7% respectively, with other pure benzene demands accounting for 1% [9]. - Benzene ethylene is the largest downstream product of pure benzene. Its production processes mainly include ethylbenzene dehydrogenation, propylene oxide - styrene co - production (PO/SM), and C8 extraction. It is mainly used in PS, EPS, ABS, UPR, etc. [11]. - CPL is the second - largest downstream product, mainly produced by the cyclohexanone ammoximation method (HAO, 83%) and the phosphoric acid hydroxylamine method (HPO, 17%). It is mainly used to produce PA6, which is used to make nylon [15]. - Phenol (phenol - ketone) is the third - largest downstream product. Produced by the cumene method, it is co - produced with acetone. Its main downstream products are bisphenol A and phenolic resin [22]. - Aniline accounts for 12% of pure benzene demand, produced by the nitrobenzene catalytic hydrogenation method. It is mainly used to produce MDI [23]. - Adipic acid accounts for 7% of pure benzene demand, mainly produced by the cyclohexene method (81%) and the cyclohexane method (19%). It is used to produce polyester polyols and PA66 [33]. 3.1.2 Demand Proportion of Five Major Downstream Products for Pure Benzene (Weighted by the Proportion of Externally Purchased Pure Benzene) - After excluding self - owned pure benzene integrated production capacity, the demand proportions of caprolactam, benzene ethylene, phenol - ketone, aniline, and adipic acid for externally purchased pure benzene are 28%, 25%, 15%, 19%, and 12% respectively [38]. - Benzene ethylene has a higher proportion of self - owned pure benzene in integration, with externally purchased pure benzene device capacity accounting for 34%. Phenol has 51% externally purchased capacity, CPL has 76%, and aniline and adipic acid have 94% and 95% respectively [37]. 3.1.3 Production Cycle of Five Major Downstream Products - Benzene ethylene's high - speed production cycle from 2020 - 2023 has ended, and production has slowed down since 2024 [42]. - CPL's production growth rate slowed down to 10% in 2025 after reaching 16% and 21% in 2023 and 2024 respectively [42]. - Phenol's production growth rate slowed down to 13% in 2025 after an average of 23% from 2020 - 2024 [42]. - Aniline's production growth rate is 8% in 2025, with intermittent production increases in the past [42]. - Adipic acid had no production plan in 2025 after a large - scale production increase in 2023 [42]. 3.1.4 Regional Consumption Proportion of Pure Benzene and the Demand Proportion of the Five Major Downstream Products in Each Region - The main consumption area of pure benzene is East China, which is also the main trading market. Other regions have relatively small proportions [45]. - In East China (excluding Shandong), benzene ethylene accounts for 58% and phenol accounts for 23% of pure benzene demand [46]. - In Shandong, benzene ethylene accounts for 36% and CPL accounts for 22% of pure benzene demand, with a more evenly distributed downstream structure compared to East China [46]. - In North China and South China, benzene ethylene and CPL are the main downstream products [49]. 3.2 Pure Benzene Downstream Pattern Vertical Analysis 3.2.1 Benzene Ethylene Device Analysis - Self - owned pure benzene devices in benzene ethylene production mainly belong to Sinopec, CNOOC, PetroChina, and large refineries like Hengli, Zhejiang Petrochemical, etc. Externally purchased pure benzene devices are mainly private refineries in Shandong and Jiangsu - Zhejiang [50]. - Benzene ethylene devices are mainly distributed in East China (43%), South China (19%), Shandong (18%), and Northeast China (10%). Externally purchased pure benzene devices are mainly in East China (50%) and Shandong (39%) [54]. 3.2.2 CPL Device Analysis - Self - owned pure benzene devices in CPL production mainly belong to Sinopec and its joint - venture companies. Most devices are externally purchased [57]. - CPL devices are mainly distributed in Central China (28%), Shandong (27%), and South China (26%). The enterprise concentration is not high [59]. - About 44% of CPL devices have downstream PA6 devices, and 21% have downstream PA6 and nylon devices [59]. 3.2.3 Phenol Device Analysis - Self - owned pure benzene devices in phenol production mainly belong to Sinopec, PetroChina, CNOOC, and large private refineries. Externally purchased pure benzene devices are in East China, Shandong, and South China [62]. - 69% of phenol devices have downstream bisphenol A devices, and 35% of these have self - owned bisphenol A and PC devices [62]. - Phenol devices are mainly in East China (49%), Shandong (19%), and South China (13%). The enterprise concentration is not high [68]. 3.2.4 Aniline Device Analysis - Only 6% of aniline devices have self - owned pure benzene (Sinopec Nanjing Chemical). Most are externally purchased [69]. - Aniline devices are mainly in East China (37%) and Shandong (33%). Wanhua accounts for 48% of the total production capacity, with high industry concentration [71]. 3.2.5 Adipic Acid Device Analysis - Only 5% of adipic acid devices have self - owned pure benzene (PetroChina). Most are externally purchased [73]. - Adipic acid devices are mainly in Southwest China (34%) and Shandong (25%). Huafeng accounts for 34% of the total production capacity. The industry is in an over - supply and loss situation [77].

Core Viewpoint - Satellite Chemical has achieved a MSCI ESG rating of BBB, ranking among the top in the A-share chemical industry, reflecting the company's efforts in ESG information disclosure and internal practices [1][2]. ESG Disclosure Performance - MSCI, a leading global index provider, has recognized Satellite Chemical's ESG performance, with the company's rating improving from B to BBB over two consecutive years [2]. - The company has been included in various prestigious ESG-related lists and has received multiple awards for its sustainable practices, including the "ESG Action Power Award" and "Best Responsible Enterprise Brand TOP100" [2]. ESG Practices Building Competitive Advantage - Satellite Chemical has published ESG reports for three consecutive years, emphasizing that true ESG commitment goes beyond regulatory compliance to enhance market competitiveness through green development and innovation [3]. - The company aims to reduce carbon emissions by over 2 million tons by 2030, with over 50% of this target achieved by 2024 [3]. - A significant portion of the company's R&D investment, over 40% of a planned 10 billion yuan, will focus on green technology [3]. Commitment to Social Responsibility - The company actively responds to social needs and contributes to rural revitalization and common prosperity, promoting a governance model of "co-creation, sharing, and common wealth" [4]. - Future plans include enhancing management in environmental, social, and governance areas, increasing the use of renewable energy, and developing green supply chains [4]. - The company aims to drive innovation in emerging fields such as artificial intelligence, new energy vehicles, and hydrogen utilization, focusing on developing green low-carbon chemical materials [4].