Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term raw material supply tightness is expected to support nickel prices, with LME nickel spot price reaching $18,630 per ton, up 5.70% from January 16 [1] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 438,000 yuan per ton, down 3.74% from January 16 [2][5] - Domestic antimony supply remains tight, providing price support, with antimony ingot prices at 160,500 yuan per ton [6] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to continue rising, with a market average of 171,100 yuan per ton, up 8.36% from January 16 [8][19] - Supply uncertainties in the rare earth market are expected to support prices, with significant global supply concentration in China [10][20] - Tin prices are supported by overseas supply uncertainties, with LME tin prices at $54,200 per ton, up 9.66% from January 16 [11][21] - Tungsten market supply-demand imbalance is notable, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 535,500 yuan per ton, up 5.93% from January 16 [13][22] - Uranium supply tightness is expected to persist, with global uranium prices at $63.51 per pound [14][15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are supported by supply constraints, with Indonesia's nickel mining production quota expected to be reduced to 250-260 million tons [1][16] - Cobalt supply is projected to tighten further, with Congo's export quotas confirmed to extend into 2026 [2][17] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony supply remains tight, with domestic prices expected to rise due to export restrictions and seasonal supply issues [6][18] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain strong due to demand support and supply uncertainties, particularly regarding the recovery of key lithium mines [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market is facing supply tightening due to export bans and geopolitical factors, with China maintaining a dominant position [10][20] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][21] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices expected to rise due to limited new supply [13][22] Uranium Industry Update - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing high-level fluctuations amidst inventory accumulation, with short-term price adjustments expected to be limited due to the financial attributes of copper supported by rising gold prices. The supply-demand balance for copper may shift from tight equilibrium to shortage in the medium to long term, driven by insufficient capital expenditure in copper mines and frequent supply disruptions. The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and others [5] - For aluminum, the report notes that both alumina and aluminum prices are under pressure due to high inventory levels. The short-term outlook for aluminum prices is expected to remain stable amidst high demand, particularly in the air conditioning and consumer goods sectors [5] - Lithium demand remains strong despite seasonal trends, with lithium carbonate prices entering an upward cycle driven by supply-demand reversal. The report recommends focusing on companies with high self-sufficiency in lithium resources [5] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight raw material supply, with the report suggesting companies like Huayou Cobalt and others for investment [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. core PCE price index and unemployment claims, which align with expectations [9] - Key announcements include Zijin Mining's completion of the second phase of the Jilong Copper Mine, significantly increasing its production capacity [10] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 6.03% compared to the index's 0.84% rise [11] - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the sector, highlighting significant movements in various sub-sectors [11] 3. Valuation Changes - The report notes that the TTM PE for the non-ferrous metals sector is 33.82, with a change of 1.79, while the PB is 4.18, reflecting a significant premium over the broader market [20][23]

Core Insights - The AI Fund Changjiang New Energy Industry Mixed A (011446) reported a profit of 12.24 million yuan for Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.1594 yuan. The fund's net value growth rate for the reporting period was 10.18%, and the fund size reached 123 million yuan by the end of Q4 2025 [2][13]. Fund Performance - As of January 21, the fund's unit net value was 1.932 yuan. Over the past year, the fund achieved a cumulative growth rate of 76.8%, outperforming its peers [2]. - The fund's performance over different time frames includes a 27.27% growth rate over the past three months, ranking 7 out of 621 comparable funds, and a 59.78% growth rate over the past six months, ranking 27 out of 621 [3]. Investment Strategy - The fund focuses on the new energy industry and its upstream and downstream sectors, seeking opportunities in supply-demand reversals and technological advancements within the industry. The management plans to continue tracking and identifying investment opportunities in these areas [2]. Risk Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years is 0.6629, ranking 173 out of 526 comparable funds [7]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years was 43.48%, with the largest single-quarter drawdown occurring in Q2 2022 at 21.13% [9]. Portfolio Composition - As of December 31, the fund's average stock position over the past three years was 78.37%, compared to the industry average of 85.83%. The fund reached its highest stock position of 86.26% at the end of 2021 and its lowest of 72.55% by the end of Q3 2024 [12]. - The top ten holdings of the fund include Tianqi Lithium, Huayou Cobalt, CATL, Tianhua New Energy, Yongxing Materials, China National Materials, Liyuanheng, Guoci Materials, Sifang Co., and Keda Technology [16].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the companies with the highest increased market value, indicating potential investment opportunities in the listed firms [1] Group 1: Companies with Increased Market Value - Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创) has the highest increased market value at 22.602 billion yuan [1] - China Ping An (中国平安) follows with an increased market value of 10.537 billion yuan [1] - Dongshan Precision (东山精密) has an increased market value of 10.197 billion yuan [1] - Xinyi Technology (新易盛) shows an increased market value of 9.626 billion yuan [1] - Shengyi Technology (生益科技) has an increased market value of 6.017 billion yuan [1] - Zijin Mining (紫金矿业) reports an increased market value of 5.317 billion yuan [1] - Yun Aluminum (云铝股份) has an increased market value of 4.321 billion yuan [1] - Siyuan Electric (思源电气) shows an increased market value of 4.199 billion yuan [1] - Tianhua New Energy (天华新能) has an increased market value of 4.023 billion yuan [1] - Maiwei Technology (迈为股份) reports an increased market value of 3.852 billion yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianhua New Energy is initiating its Hong Kong listing plan shortly after strategic investment from CATL, aiming to enhance its international presence and capital capabilities in the lithium industry [1][2][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Tianhua New Energy, formerly known as Tianhua Super Clean, is a major lithium salt producer in China, with a combined production capacity of 165,000 tons of lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate [3][8]. - The company has shifted its focus to lithium battery materials, with over 88% of its revenue coming from this segment as of the first half of 2025 [10]. Group 2: Market Context - The timing for the Hong Kong listing is favorable, as the lithium industry has seen a rebound since the second half of 2025, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium experiencing significant stock price increases [4][21]. - The A/H premium for lithium companies has been decreasing, with Ganfeng Lithium's A/H premium dropping from approximately 1.85 times to 1.19 times as of January 21, 2026 [5][28]. Group 3: Production Capacity and Challenges - Tianhua New Energy's lithium salt production capacity is concentrated in Yibin, Meishan, and Yichun, with notable capacities of 75,000 tons/year and 60,000 tons/year for battery-grade lithium hydroxide [10][11]. - The company faces challenges in securing high-quality lithium resources, relying heavily on imported lithium concentrate, which affects its cost structure compared to integrated lithium salt producers [12][16]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Financials - The company has established a significant partnership with CATL, with expected sales and processing service revenues reaching approximately 1.5 billion yuan in 2025 [20]. - Tianhua New Energy plans to increase its lithium salt production capacity to 250,000-260,000 tons/year in response to market demand [17].

Core Viewpoint - Tianhua New Energy is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to accelerate its international strategy and enhance its capital strength and competitiveness [4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Tianhua New Energy focuses on three main business areas: new energy lithium battery materials, anti-static ultra-clean technology products, and medical device products, with lithium battery materials being the core segment [4]. - The main products include battery-grade lithium hydroxide and battery-grade lithium carbonate [4]. - The company has established long-term stable partnerships with leading domestic and international automotive manufacturers, power battery manufacturers, and mainstream lithium battery cathode material producers [4]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The H-share issuance aims to leverage the advantages of international capital markets to create a diversified capital platform and enhance overseas financing capabilities [4]. - The company is currently in discussions with relevant intermediaries regarding the specifics of the H-share issuance and listing [1].

Group 1: Profit Forecasts - Gan Li Pharmaceutical expects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.2 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 78.96% to 95.23% year-on-year [1] - Astone Technology anticipates a net loss of 40 million to 60 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 25.34 million yuan in the previous year [2] - JinkoSolar forecasts a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan for 2025 [6] - Time Space Technology expects a net loss of 235 million to 290 million yuan for 2025 [7] - Phi Li Hua predicts a net profit of 412 million to 472 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 31.12% to 50.22% [8] - Southern Precision expects a net profit of 300 million to 370 million yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 1130% to 1417% [10] - Daikin Heavy Industries anticipates a net profit of 1.05 billion to 1.2 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 121.58% to 153.23% [11] - Qianfang Technology expects a net profit of 250 million to 320 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 1.193 billion yuan in the previous year [18] - Bohai Leasing forecasts a net loss of 250 million to 500 million yuan for 2025, with a significant goodwill impairment loss expected [13] - Qujiang Cultural Tourism anticipates a net loss of 130 million to 165 million yuan for 2025 [31] Group 2: Corporate Announcements - Hualan Biological Engineering received approval for clinical trials of its recombinant shingles vaccine [3] - Baishan Nonferrous Metals announced the resignation of its chairman, Wang Pugong, due to work changes [4] - Binhai Energy plans to invest approximately 548 million yuan in two projects related to porous carbon and silicon-carbon anode materials [15] - Nankai Group signed a 296 million yuan equipment sales contract with Inner Mongolia Xijin Mining Co., Ltd. [16] - Tianhua New Energy is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [12] - Xinneng Technology is also planning to issue H-shares and apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [28] - Lu Wei Optoelectronics intends to raise no more than 1.38 billion yuan through a private placement [26]

Group 1 - China and the US are expected to hold another round of trade negotiations, emphasizing the need to implement the consensus reached by the two countries' leaders [2][24] - The Chinese government expressed serious concerns over the EU's new cybersecurity policy, which aims to exclude Chinese companies from the European mobile communication network, arguing that Chinese enterprises have contributed positively to the European telecom industry [3][25] - French President Macron's statement at Davos highlighted the need for more Chinese direct investment in Europe, with China emphasizing its commitment to mutual benefits and not pursuing trade surpluses [4][26] Group 2 - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development plans to implement urban renewal actions to promote high-quality development in the real estate sector, aiming to create modern, livable cities [7][28] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reported significant growth in emerging industries, with industrial robot production increasing by 28% and the AI core industry expected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan [8][29] - The National Taxation Bureau of Shanghai imposed a fine of 100,000 yuan on Pinduoduo for failing to report tax-related information as required [15][37] Group 3 - Moore Threads released its first performance forecast post-IPO, expecting revenue between 1.45 billion and 1.52 billion yuan for 2025, representing a growth of 230.70% to 246.67% year-on-year [16][38] - The financial reports from various companies indicate a mixed outlook, with some expecting significant profit increases while others anticipate losses, reflecting the diverse performance across sectors [20][44]

又一锂电企业拟赴港上市。 1月21日晚间，天华新能(300390)发布公告称，公司正在筹划在境外发行股份(H股)并在香港联合交易所 有限公司上市。目前，公司正在与相关中介机构就本次H股发行上市的具体推进工作进行商讨，相关细 节尚未确定。 天华新能主营新能源锂电材料、防静电超净技术产品、医疗器械产品三大业务，其中新能源锂电材料为 核心业务板块，主要产品为电池级氢氧化锂和电池级碳酸锂。目前，公司已与国内外多家头部整车企 业、动力电池制造企业、主流锂电池正极材料生产企业建立了长期稳定的合作关系，并在股权层面与宁 德时代深度绑定。 产能方面，天华新能锂盐生产基地主要分布在四川宜宾、四川眉山和江西宜春，其中宜宾基地拥有年产 7.5万吨电池级氢氧化锂产能；眉山基地拥有年产6万吨电池级氢氧化锂产能，并可根据市场需求转化为 年产约5.5万吨电池级碳酸锂产能；宜春基地拥有年产3万吨电池级碳酸锂产能。公司表示，未来将会根 据市场需求变化，择机增加锂盐产能达到25万～26万吨/年。 2025年年底，天华新能实控人裴振华、容建芬夫妇通过协议转让方式，将名下1.08亿股（占总股本的 12.95%）股份转让给宁德时代，股份转让总价为26 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianhua New Energy's announcement of its plan to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is seen as a strategic move to broaden financing channels and enhance its global business layout and technological development [1][5]. Group 1: Company Strategy and Goals - The core objective of the H-share issuance is to accelerate the implementation of the internationalization strategy, leveraging the advantages of international capital markets to create a diversified capital platform and enhance overseas financing capabilities [5]. - The company is currently in discussions with relevant intermediaries regarding the specific details of the H-share issuance, which has not yet been finalized [5]. - The issuance will not lead to a change in the controlling shareholder or actual controller, but there remains significant uncertainty regarding the approval and implementation processes [5]. Group 2: Market Position and Financial Performance - As of January 21, Tianhua New Energy's stock price was 52.03 yuan per share, with a daily increase of 6.88%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 43.224 billion yuan [2]. - The company has established a global resource layout, holding lithium mining rights in Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo, with significant lithium resources identified [7]. - Tianhua New Energy has formed a collaborative development structure with three major business segments, focusing on lithium battery materials, anti-static ultra-clean technology products, and medical devices [7]. Group 3: Industry Context and Competitive Advantage - The lithium battery materials industry is experiencing increased concentration, with leading companies expanding capacity and iterating technology to solidify their advantages [6]. - Tianhua New Energy's global resource layout and capacity expansion create dual barriers in the competitive landscape, allowing the company to mitigate risks associated with lithium price fluctuations [8]. - The company has made technological advancements in solid-state battery materials, positioning itself to capture higher value in the supply chain and reduce dependence on lithium price volatility [8].