Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the semiconductor testing equipment industry, indicating a favorable outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [1]. Core Insights - The semiconductor testing equipment industry is experiencing a critical phase characterized by "value reassessment, demand surge, and accelerated domestic substitution," which presents significant investment opportunities [5][6]. - The testing equipment is essential throughout the semiconductor manufacturing process, with ATE (Automatic Test Equipment) leading in value contribution, while probe stations and handlers work in synergy to enhance testing efficiency [11][20]. - The demand for testing equipment is driven by three main factors: AI computing power, advanced packaging, and automotive electronics, which collectively create a favorable environment for growth [5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. Testing Equipment's Role in Manufacturing - Semiconductor testing equipment is a core component of the integrated circuit industry, covering wafer testing, packaging testing, and functional verification [11]. - Testing occurs in two main phases: Circuit Probing (CP) and Final Test (FT), which are crucial for ensuring product quality and cost efficiency [11][15]. 2. Demand Drivers - The complexity of AI computing chips is increasing, leading to longer testing cycles and higher equipment demand [6]. - Advanced packaging techniques are creating new testing requirements, such as KGD (Known Good Die) and SLT (System Level Test), which further drive the need for testing equipment [6]. - The automotive sector is also contributing to demand growth, with a significant increase in the number of chips required for smart vehicles, necessitating rigorous testing standards [5][6]. 3. Global Market Dynamics - The testing equipment market is dominated by a few key players, particularly in the ATE segment, where companies like Advantest and Teradyne hold over 90% market share [5][6]. - The report highlights the importance of platform integration and vertical consolidation as strategies for leading companies to maintain competitive advantages [5][6]. 4. Domestic Substitution Opportunities - The report identifies a clear path for domestic manufacturers to increase their market share, particularly in the SoC and storage testing segments, where current domestic production rates are low [5][6]. - Companies such as Changchuan Technology, Huafeng Measurement Control, and Xidian Co. are highlighted as key players with potential for growth in the domestic market [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor industry is expected to strengthen in 2026, driven by AI demand and domestic substitution, with a notable increase in semiconductor equipment and materials [1] Group 1: Semiconductor Equipment and ETF Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) opened up 1.15% on January 12, with a net inflow of nearly 100 million yuan over the past two trading days [1] - The index tracked by the semiconductor equipment ETF has risen over 15% this year, outperforming mainstream semiconductor indices [2] - Key stocks such as Zhongwei Company and Cambrian have seen significant gains, with Zhongwei up nearly 4% and Jianghua Micro up over 5% [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Pricing - A significant increase in trading volume in A-shares indicates the start of a spring market, with semiconductor equipment leading the upward trend [4] - NVIDIA's new AI chip architecture, Vera Rubin, showcases a fivefold increase in inference performance compared to the previous generation, indicating a surge in storage demand [5] - Major international storage companies plan to raise server DRAM prices by 60% to 70% in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025 [5] Group 3: Domestic Substitution and Material Demand - The domestic substitution process for semiconductor materials is advancing, with a recent anti-dumping investigation into dichlorodihydrosilane from Japan, a key material for chip manufacturing [5] - The demand for semiconductor materials and electronic chemicals is expected to rise due to the upgrade of storage driven by AI data centers [6] - The global semiconductor materials market is projected to reach approximately $70 billion by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6% [6] Group 4: Industry Outlook and Key Players - The trend of "supply security + domestic substitution" for key semiconductor materials is strengthening, driven by AI computing and data center demands [7] - Leading companies with technological accumulation and production capacity in high-end materials are expected to gain market share and profitability amid advanced process promotion and domestic substitution trends [7] - The semiconductor equipment ETF focuses on leading companies in the sector, with over 90% of its holdings in the upper and mid-stream areas of the semiconductor industry, which have the highest technical barriers and value concentration [7]

Group 1 - The company announced the approval of several proposals at the first extraordinary shareholders' meeting of 2026, including increasing the comprehensive credit limit from banks for the year 2025 [2] - The company plans to apply for bank loans and provide guarantees for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Changchuan Technology (Neijiang) Co., Ltd. [2] - The company will invest in project construction through its subsidiary, Changchuan Technology (Neijiang) Co., Ltd. [2]

国浩律师（杭州）事务所 关 于 杭州长川科技股份有限公司 2026 年第一次临时股东会之 法律意见书 地址：杭州市上城区老复兴路白塔公园 B 区 2 号、15 号国浩律师楼 邮编：310008 关 于 杭州长川科技股份有限公司 2026 年第一次临时股东会之 Grandall Building, No.2 ＆ No.15, Block B, Baita Park, Old Fuxing Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310008, China 电话/Tel: (+86)(571) 8577 5888 传真/Fax: (+86)(571) 8577 5643 电子邮箱/Mail：grandallhz@grandall.com.cn 网址/Website：http://www.grandall.com.cn 二〇二六年一月 国浩律师（杭州）事务所 长川科技 2026 年第一次临时股东会法律意见书 国浩律师（杭州）事务所 法律意见书 致：杭州长川科技股份有限公司 国浩律师（杭州）事务所（以下简称"本所"）接受杭州长川科技股份有限 公司（以下简称"公司"）委托，指派律师出席公司 2026 年第一次 ...

证券代码：300604 证券简称：长川科技 公告编号：2026-002 杭州长川科技股份有限公司 2026 年第一次临时股东会决议的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、本次股东会无增加、变更、否决提案的情况； 本次股东会采取现场表决与网络投票相结合的方式 （1）现场会议召开时间：2026 年 1 月 9 日（星期五）下午 14:30； （2）网络投票时间：2026 年 1 月 9 日（星期五）； 其中，通过深圳证券交易所交易系统进行网络投票的时间为 2026 年 1 月 9 日（星期五）9:15-9:25，9:30-11:30 和 13:00-15:00；通过深圳证券交易所互 联网投票系统投票的具体时间为：2026 年 1 月 9 日（星期五）上午 9:15 至下午 15:00 期间的任意时间。 本次股东会由公司董事会召集，由董事长赵轶先生主持，会议的召集和召开 符合《公司法》、《上市公司股东会规则》、《深圳证券交易所创业板股票上市 规则》及《公司章程》等法律法规和规范性文件的规定。 二、出席人员及出席情况 1、股东出席会议的总体情 ...

Core Viewpoint - Changchuan Technology's stock has shown significant growth in recent months, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit, indicating strong business performance in the semiconductor equipment sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On January 8, Changchuan Technology's stock price decreased by 2.02%, trading at 123.36 CNY per share, with a total transaction volume of 3.343 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 5.46% [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 21.76%, with a 16.71% rise over the last five trading days, 41.60% over the last twenty days, and 46.98% over the last sixty days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Changchuan Technology achieved a revenue of 3.779 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 865 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 142.14% [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of November 10, the number of shareholders for Changchuan Technology was 119,100, a decrease of 9.84% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 11.81% to 4,108 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 305 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 187 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The strong demand for AI is expected to drive price increases for TSMC's advanced process technology from 2026 to 2029, indicating a trend of continuous supply shortages globally [3][4] - Domestic demand for advanced logic chips is anticipated to rise rapidly, with significant growth in both demand and supply expected during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [5] - Recent capital market activities by SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor suggest improvements in profitability and advancements in advanced logic processes [6] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - TSMC's N2 node is set to begin mass production in Q4 2025, with initial monthly capacity of approximately 35,000 wafers, expected to increase to 140,000 wafers by the end of 2026, surpassing previous market estimates [4] - The demand for advanced processes remains tight despite the early ramp-up of U.S. wafer fabs and the unexpected capacity of 2nm technology [4] Demand and Supply Dynamics - The import scale of core semiconductor equipment in Shanghai reached approximately 55.8 billion yuan from January to November 2025, a 41% increase compared to 2024, indicating a favorable expansion pace [5] - The trend of "China for China" in advanced process foundries is expected to gain momentum as domestic technology matures [5] Capital Market Activities - SMIC's acquisition of the remaining 49% stake in SMIC North is expected to enhance profit margins, with a projected 19% increase in net profit for the first eight months of 2025 [6] - Hua Hong's acquisition of Hua Li Micro is anticipated to improve revenue by 30% and net profit by 269% for the same period [6] Investment Recommendations - The semiconductor equipment and foundry sectors are expected to benefit from the growth in advanced process demand, with recommended stocks including SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and others [7]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The semiconductor equipment sector in China is currently undervalued, with companies like Changxin Storage showing strong profitability. Capital expenditures in the industry are expected to reach $50-60 billion by 2030, opening up valuation and stock price potential for leading companies [1][3]. - The storage industry is entering a super cycle, with price increases significantly boosting manufacturer profits and accelerating China's market share growth globally [1][8]. Company Insights Changxin Storage - Expected profits for Changxin Storage could reach over 100 billion RMB by 2025, indicating substantial investment in capacity expansion [3][13]. Alibaba Cloud - Alibaba Cloud's Qianwen model is recognized as one of the best open-source models globally, with optimistic revenue projections for 2026. The underlying computing power and supply chain present significant investment opportunities [1][4][5]. Co-Creation Data - Co-Creation Data is the largest third-party computing power leasing platform in China, benefiting from a shorter IDC construction cycle and lower financing costs compared to overseas markets. This positions the company for significant growth [1][7]. - The company has signed wafer supply agreements with major global flash memory manufacturers and has a strong performance in DRAM through strategic inventory management [6]. Koma Technology - Koma Technology has made breakthroughs in its ceramic heater business, with expected revenue growth of 400% from 2025 to 2026, reaching approximately 300 million RMB and a gross margin of 70-80% [1][14][15]. - The company is projected to achieve close to 1 billion RMB in total profit by 2026, with potential to reach 2 billion RMB by 2027 [15][18]. Zhongwei Company - Zhongwei is expected to benefit from increased orders from storage clients, with total revenue projected to reach $9-10 billion during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, targeting a market valuation of 400 billion RMB [1][19]. Changchuan Technology - Changchuan Technology is identified as a leading domestic testing machine manufacturer, with a projected profit of 1.3-1.4 billion RMB in 2025 and significant growth potential thereafter [19]. Market Trends - The storage industry is experiencing a super cycle, leading to substantial growth potential and increased profitability for manufacturers [8][9]. - The financing cost for computing power leasing platforms in China is significantly lower than in the U.S., which positively impacts business models and profitability [10]. Strategic Collaborations - Co-Creation Technology has established a strategic partnership with Alibaba Cloud, enhancing its market position and investment appeal. The company plans to double its investments, potentially leading to significant revenue and profit increases [1][11]. Future Projections - The domestic ceramic heater market is expected to reach 5 billion RMB by 2025, with long-term projections suggesting a market size of 20 billion RMB. Koma Technology aims to capture a significant market share, potentially leading to a valuation of 120-150 billion RMB [16][17]. Conclusion - The semiconductor equipment and storage sectors present compelling investment opportunities, with key players like Koma Technology, Zhongwei Company, and Changchuan Technology positioned for growth. The collaboration between Co-Creation Technology and Alibaba Cloud further enhances the investment landscape in the computing power leasing market [19].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing significant growth driven by a global semiconductor "super cycle" and the deepening of domestic chip replacement, leading to record highs for major equipment manufacturers and ETFs tracking this sector [1][2]. Industry Cycle - The semiconductor equipment sales are projected to reach a historical high in 2025, driven by AI-induced price increases in storage and advancements in process technology, which will boost domestic wafer fab utilization rates [2]. - SEMI forecasts that global semiconductor manufacturing equipment sales will reach $156 billion by 2026-2027, indicating a sustained growth trend [2]. Domestic Replacement Acceleration - The domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate is expected to rise to 22% by 2025, with significant breakthroughs in etching, cleaning, and CMP processes [2]. - Recent government and capital support initiatives, including increased investments in leading wafer fabs and mergers in the equipment sector, signal an acceleration in the self-sufficiency of the semiconductor supply chain [2]. Capital and Policy Support - The ongoing capital investment in advanced processes and the rising localization rate of equipment present historic development opportunities for domestic semiconductor equipment, with new order growth expected to exceed 30% and potentially reach over 50% [2]. Semiconductor Equipment ETF Overview - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor index, focusing on the upstream segment of the semiconductor industry, which has a nearly 60% equipment content [3]. - The top ten holdings in the ETF account for nearly 80% of its weight, including leading companies like Zhongwei Company (etching equipment) and Northern Huachuang (multi-field equipment) [3]. Performance Metrics - The CSI semiconductor index is projected to increase by 62.33% in 2025, with a maximum drawdown of 15.73%, outperforming other semiconductor indices since 2018 [4]. - The index has shown significant elasticity, indicating a more aggressive stance in the upcoming semiconductor cycle [4].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by the AI era and domestic production capabilities, with notable companies reaching historical highs and substantial investment forecasts for the coming years [1][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has achieved a rare 14 consecutive days of gains, with domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers like North Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, Tuojing Technology, and Changchuan Technology hitting historical highs [1]. - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has also reached new highs in both scale and net value, with a remarkable increase of over 15% in just three trading days [1]. Group 2: Industry Drivers - The strength of the semiconductor equipment sector is attributed to its role as the "golden shovel" in the AI era, essential for the manufacturing of AI chips in wafer fabs [3][4]. - A significant supply-demand imbalance in the memory chip market is expected, with DDR4 16Gb prices projected to rise by as much as 1800% in 2025, benefiting not only memory manufacturers but also upstream equipment suppliers [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Major domestic memory manufacturers like Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies are initiating large-scale expansion plans, which could drive semiconductor equipment orders exceeding 10 billion [4]. - Predictions indicate that the combined investment in new capacity by these two memory giants could reach between $15.5 billion and $18 billion by 2026, providing a strong order growth and profit accumulation for companies like North Huachuang and Zhongwei Company [4]. Group 4: Domestic Production and Growth Potential - The domestic semiconductor equipment sector is accelerating its self-sufficiency, with projections suggesting that the overall domestic production rate could rise to 22% by 2025, indicating significant room for replacement and clear growth pathways [5]. - The increasing domestic production rate will enable continuous breakthroughs in advanced logic processes, leading to sustained expansion of wafer fabs and consistent equipment procurement [7]. Group 5: ETF Performance and Composition - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has a high concentration of nearly 80% in its top ten holdings, primarily consisting of leading domestic equipment manufacturers, making it a strong performer in its category [7]. - The ETF's composition, with nearly 60% in equipment content, positions it as a robust investment option, particularly for those seeking high elasticity and alpha in their portfolios [7].