"这是我从事存储行业以来见过的最猛一次涨价。" 一名资深的存储产业高管感慨道。 10月以来，受AI需求推动，三星、海力士、美光、闪存等巨头不断上调产品价格，存储行业开 启了"超级周期"。期间，三星电子等一度暂停DDR5 DRAM合约报价，引发供应链"断粮"危 机。 瑞银预计，今年第四季度，DDR（双倍数据率内存）合约定价预计季增35%、NAND（闪存） 价格上涨20%， 这一轮涨价幅度远超此前预期 。不仅如此，2026年第一季的DDR合约价，更 将进一步上涨 30% ，NAND价格上涨 20% 。 相关影响很快传导至A股市场。Wind数据显示，今年下半年以来，香农芯创、东芯股份、江波 龙、佰维存储股价分别上涨了294.51%、291.19%、195.51%、67.17%。时间拉长来看，截至 12月18日， 香农芯创年内涨幅已超394%，东芯股份年内涨近382%。 | 序号 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 换手率 | 市智率 | 年初至今 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 东芯股份 | 119.94 с | 7.00% | 5.54% ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiangbolong (301803.SZ) is planning to raise up to 3.7 billion yuan through a private placement, focusing on memory products, main control chips, and high-end packaging and testing, amid concerns over the reasonableness of allocating nearly 1 billion yuan for R&D personnel salaries and the company's financial pressure reflected by two financing plans within a year [1][5][6]. Group 1: Financing Plans - Jiangbolong intends to raise 3.7 billion yuan through a private placement, with 880 million yuan allocated for AI-related high-end memory R&D, 1.22 billion yuan for semiconductor storage main control chip R&D, 500 million yuan for high-end packaging projects, and 1.1 billion yuan for liquidity support [2][4]. - This marks the second financing plan for the company in 2023, following a previous plan to list in Hong Kong aimed at expanding capacity and enhancing R&D [5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Despite a recovery in the mobile and PC markets, Jiangbolong's revenue growth has significantly slowed compared to the previous year, with net profit growth primarily driven by non-recurring gains [1][9]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.734 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.12%, while net profit reached 713 million yuan, up 27.95% [9]. - The company's gross profit margin has declined, with a reported margin of 15.29% in the first three quarters of 2025, down 6.25 percentage points year-on-year [10]. Group 3: Inventory and Cash Flow Issues - Jiangbolong's inventory has been increasing significantly, with values of 3.744 billion yuan in 2022, 5.893 billion yuan in 2023, and 7.833 billion yuan in 2024, leading to negative cash flow from operating activities totaling over 4.3 billion yuan [11]. - As of September 30, 2025, inventory reached 8.517 billion yuan, accounting for 64.08% of current assets, while accounts receivable also increased to 2.76 billion yuan, up 68% year-on-year [11]. Group 4: Management and Shareholder Actions - Prior to the announcement of the financing plan, company executives and major shareholders engaged in significant share sell-offs, with the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund reducing its stake and cashing out approximately 4.72 billion yuan [7][8]. - Employee shareholding platforms also sold shares, realizing around 755 million yuan, coinciding with a period of stock price increases [8].

电子称王新晋百元股阵营 牛市氛围的持续催化，百元高价股阵营的迅猛扩张。 2025年的A股，在人工智能、半导体、高端制造等产业浪潮推动下，电子、计算机、通信等行业，出现 一大批股价突破百元、甚至数百元的"新贵"。Wind数据显示，截至12月17日，A股百元股数量已达167 只，其中90只个股新晋"百元俱乐部"。 新晋百元股多集中于电子、通信、计算机、机械设备、电力设备等行业，电子行业共有35只新晋百元 股，占比超过三分之一，成为绝对主力。通信、计算机、机械设备、电力设备等行业也分别贡献了8至 10只不等的百元股。 百元股阵营扩容不仅是一数量标志，也是新一轮强劲结构性行情的集中体现，反映了科技风格企业在当 前市场中的定价优势。而这批百元股"新贵"的股价年内平均涨幅高达164%，成为年内毋庸置疑的"造 富"高地。其中，天普股份以超过10倍的涨幅（1067.3%）夺魁，胜宏科技（300476.SZ）、仕佳光子 （688313.SH）等个股涨幅也超过5倍，凸显出强烈的赚钱效应。 90只股新晋百元股 2025年以来，A股最显著的特征之一，是百元股阵营的快速壮大。据第一财经统计，截至12月17日收 盘，A股百元股数量已达1 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The global storage chip market is experiencing significant structural changes due to a shortage and price surge, leading major PC manufacturers to raise product prices, with Dell increasing prices across its commercial computer range [1] - The driving force behind this price increase is the shift in AI development from training to application, resulting in a surge in demand for storage chips as they become strategic components in AI infrastructure [1] - Omdia forecasts that semiconductor industry revenue will reach a record high of $216.3 billion by Q3 2025, with a quarter-over-quarter growth of 14.5%, driven by storage chips and AI accelerators [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - Northeast Securities reports that the storage industry has passed its cyclical bottom, benefiting from the real demand explosion driven by AI infrastructure, leading to continuous chip price increases [2] - The demand for materials is expected to rise due to the expansion of domestic storage chip manufacturers [2] - The report from Zhongyou Securities highlights the increasing demand for plating solutions and photoresists in the storage chip sector, driven by advancements in HBM and 3D NAND technologies [2] Group 3: Key Companies in Storage Chip Sector - Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) is a leading storage chip designer with a market share of 18.5% in global NOR Flash and has begun mass production of DDR4 DRAM in collaboration with Hefei Changxin [2] - Lanke Technology (澜起科技) holds over 40% market share in DDR5 memory interface chips and benefits from the increasing penetration of AI servers [2] - Baiwei Storage (佰维存储) specializes in embedded storage and PCIe SSDs, with products suitable for AI PCs and cloud service providers [3] Group 4: Storage Modules and Controllers - Jiangbolong (江波龙) is a leading domestic storage module company with over 100 million self-developed controller chips deployed [4] - Shannon Chip (香农芯创) is a core agent for SK Hynix, entering the Alibaba Cloud supply chain with its enterprise SSDs [4] - Demingli (德明利) focuses on self-developed storage controller chips and has accelerated the domestic replacement of its products [4] Group 5: Packaging and Manufacturing - Changdian Technology (长电科技) is the third-largest packaging and testing company globally, with a 25% market share in storage packaging [6] - SMIC (中芯国际) is a key player in domestic storage chip manufacturing, providing foundry services for NOR Flash and embedded storage chips [6] - Huahong (华虹公司) specializes in unique process storage chip foundry services, supporting production for IoT and automotive electronics [6] Group 6: Upstream Equipment and Materials - Northern Huachuang (北方华创) supplies core equipment for storage chip manufacturing, with growing orders for etching and deposition equipment [7] - Tuojing Technology (拓荆科技) leads in PECVD equipment, facilitating the expansion of storage capacity for major manufacturers [7] - Yake Technology (雅克科技) is a leading supplier of storage chip materials, breaking overseas monopolies and entering the supply chains of major global storage manufacturers [7] Group 7: Supporting Chips and Ecosystem - Jucheng Co. (聚辰股份) holds over 30% market share in DDR5 SPD chips, supporting platforms like NVIDIA H100 [8] - Guoxin Technology (国芯科技) is a leader in RAID storage chips, enhancing data security and performance for enterprise storage systems [8]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangbolong (301308) has established long-term direct cooperation with major global storage wafer manufacturers, providing a competitive advantage in the supply chain of storage wafers [1] Group 1: Supply Chain Strategy - The company has a diversified supply chain, which enhances its resilience and stability in sourcing [1] - Long-term supply agreements (LTA) and memorandums of understanding (MOU) have been signed to ensure a continuous and stable supply of storage wafers [1]

Core Insights - The first batch of floating fee rate funds has shown significant performance differentiation, highlighting the varying capabilities of fund managers in terms of positioning, sector allocation, and market judgment [1][9] Performance Overview - As of December 16, 2025, out of 26 funds, 19 achieved positive returns while 7 reported negative returns. The top performer, Huashang Zhiyuan Return A, delivered a remarkable return of 58.90%, followed by Xin'ao Advantage Industry A at 36.86% and E Fund Growth Progress A at 34.98% [2][10] - Other notable performers include Jiashi Growth Win A and Invesco Great Wall Growth, both exceeding 23% returns. Conversely, funds like Guangfa Value Steady A and Yinhua Growth Smart A reported negative returns of -8.32% and -3.35%, respectively [2][10] - The overall distribution of fund returns is characterized by a "middle large, both ends small" pattern, with most funds yielding between -0.1% and 7% [2][10] Fund Size and Performance Relationship - Notably, high-performing funds are not exclusively large. Huashang Zhiyuan Return A, with a size of 2.838 billion yuan, is the largest, while Jiashi Growth Win A, with a size of 406 million yuan, achieved a return of 32.88%, demonstrating the agility of smaller funds in volatile markets [2][10] Investment Strategies - Top-performing funds tend to focus on high-growth sectors. For instance, Huashang Zhiyuan Return A has concentrated holdings in AI computing-related stocks, with significant contributions from stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang and Shijia Photon, which saw increases of 45.39% and 40.17% over the past three months [3][11] - Xin'ao Advantage Industry A has a high concentration in semiconductor storage, with key stocks like Demingli and Jiangbolong rising by 55.43% and 119.02%, respectively. However, this strategy also led to volatility, as some holdings experienced declines of 13% to 21% [5][13] - E Fund Growth Progress A adopts a more balanced approach, diversifying across sectors such as optical communication and consumer electronics, successfully capturing gains from leading stocks [6][15] Underperforming Funds - Underperforming funds often remain focused on traditional industries or deviate from market trends. Guangfa Value Steady A has a significant allocation to liquor stocks, which have generally declined over 10% in the past three months, contrasting sharply with the strong performance of technology sectors [7][16] - Yinhua Growth Smart A is heavily invested in the real estate sector and certain pharmaceutical stocks, with some holdings experiencing declines as steep as 44.58%, indicating a lack of timely adjustments to market shifts [8][17] Conclusion - The short-term performance of the first batch of floating fee rate funds reflects a collision of different investment strategies and market styles in 2025. Funds aligned with the technology growth narrative performed strongly, while those focused on traditional value or balanced strategies lagged behind [9][17]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jiangbolong (301308.SZ), has established a robust supply chain strategy to mitigate risks associated with reduced supply from original manufacturers, ensuring stable production operations and market demand fulfillment [1] Group 1: Supply Chain Strategy - Jiangbolong has diversified its supply chain and formed long-term direct cooperation with major global storage wafer manufacturers, surpassing conventional procurement relationships [1] - The company has signed Long-Term Supply Agreements (LTA) and Memorandums of Understanding (MOU) to effectively secure a continuous and stable supply of storage wafers [1]

转自：智通财经 【江波龙：据市场预测 2026一季度LPDDR4X/5X涨幅或达30%~35%】智通财经12月16日电，江波龙 (301308.SZ)发布投资者关系活动记录表，结合第三方机构信息来看，受过往周期影响，主要原厂维持 审慎的产能扩张策略，若后续资本开支回升，受制于产能建设周期的滞后性，对2026年位元产出的增量 贡献也将较为有限。根据CFM闪存市场的预测，2026一季度，Mobile eMMC/UFS涨幅将达25%~30%， LPDDR4X/5X涨幅或达30%~35%；PC端DDR5/LPDDR5X涨幅将达30%~35%，cSSD上涨25%~30%。 ...

Group 1: Market Conditions and Pricing - The supply of storage wafers is expected to remain tight, with limited incremental contribution to output in 2026 due to the cautious capacity expansion strategy of major manufacturers [2] - According to CFM's forecast, the price increase for Mobile eMMC/UFS in Q1 2026 is projected to be between 25% and 30%, while LPDDR4X/5X is expected to rise by 30% to 35% [2] - PC DDR5/LPDDR5X prices are anticipated to increase by 30% to 35%, and cSSD prices are expected to rise by 25% to 30% [2] Group 2: Supply Chain and Procurement - The company has established long-term direct cooperation with major global storage wafer manufacturers, ensuring a diversified supply chain and a competitive advantage in wafer supply [3] - Supplier information is disclosed in public documents such as the prospectus [3] Group 3: Product Development and Competitive Advantage - The self-developed main control chip plays a critical role in managing data between storage particles and CPUs, significantly impacting overall performance [3] - The company has deployed over 100 million self-developed main control chips by the end of Q3, with UFS4.1 products gaining recognition from major storage manufacturers and Tier 1 clients [3] - The enterprise storage products have been integrated into the supply chains of leading internet companies, covering various sectors including telecommunications and server manufacturers [3] Group 4: Disclosure and Compliance - The investor relations activity did not involve any undisclosed significant information [3]

Investment Rating - The report rates the electronic/consumer electronics industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The iPhone's entry into the foldable screen market is expected to reshape its high-end market positioning, with a projected release in 2026 [10][6] - The report highlights the competitive pressure faced by iPhone in China from domestic brands like Huawei and Xiaomi, particularly in the foldable screen segment [2][6] - The foldable screen market is anticipated to grow significantly, with global shipments expected to rise from 15.3 million units in 2023 to 31.4 million units by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 43.7% [19][20] Summary by Sections 1. iPhone Market Dynamics - iPhone's market share in China has declined from 19.9% in Q1 2023 to 15.0% in Q2 2025, facing competition from local brands [2][6] - The high-end market is identified as a critical area for iPhone to regain market share, with Pro models gaining popularity [6][10] 2. Foldable Screen Development - Foldable screens are seen as a key innovation in the smartphone sector, balancing large screen experiences with portability [11][10] - The report outlines the cost increments associated with foldable screens, particularly in display modules, mechanical components, and memory, with increases of approximately 194%, 177%, and 38.6% respectively [2][27] 3. Market Projections for Foldable iPhone - The report estimates that if Apple launches a foldable iPhone in 2026, potential sales could reach 14 million units under optimistic scenarios [42][38] - The analysis indicates that higher-priced brands tend to have a greater proportion of foldable screen sales, suggesting iPhone's potential to exceed a 6.44% sales share in this segment [42][38] 4. Key Components in Foldable Phones - The main components driving foldable phone innovation include flexible display modules, hinges, and memory [31][35] - The report identifies key suppliers for these components, including major players in the flexible OLED panel market and memory sectors [31][35] 5. Market Trends for UTG and Hinges - The global market for ultra-thin glass (UTG) is projected to grow significantly, with shipments expected to reach 24.6 million units in 2024, reflecting a 36.9% year-on-year increase [48][51] - The hinge market for foldable screens is also expected to expand, with a projected market size of $3.2 billion in 2024, growing to $15.4 billion by 2032 [57][60]