ACADIA Pharmaceuticals(ACAD)

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KMDA or ACAD: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-04 16:41
Core Insights - Kamada (KMDA) and Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) are being compared for their value to investors, with KMDA currently showing a stronger potential for value investors [1] Valuation Metrics - KMDA has a forward P/E ratio of 23.88, significantly lower than ACAD's forward P/E of 42.40, indicating that KMDA may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for KMDA is 0.96, while ACAD's PEG ratio is 4.51, suggesting that KMDA offers better value relative to its expected earnings growth [5] - KMDA's P/B ratio stands at 1.8, compared to ACAD's P/B of 4.58, further supporting the notion that KMDA is the more attractive investment option based on valuation metrics [6] Zacks Rank and Value Grades - KMDA holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while ACAD has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - KMDA has a Value grade of A, whereas ACAD has a Value grade of C, reinforcing the conclusion that KMDA is the superior value option at this time [6]
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) Update / Briefing Transcript
2025-06-25 13:30
Summary of Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) R&D Day - June 25, 2025 Company Overview - Acadia Pharmaceuticals focuses on advancing care for patients with underserved neurological and rare diseases, guided by a mission to address high unmet needs in these areas [4][5][11] - The company has two profitable brands, NUPLAZID and Debut, which are expected to generate over $1 billion in combined revenue for the first time in 2025 [5][11] Financial Performance - NUPLAZID is projected to achieve net sales between GBP $650 million and GBP $690 million in 2025, reflecting a 7% to 13% year-over-year growth [6] - Debut is expected to generate net sales between $380 million and $405 million, indicating a 916% growth [7] - The total peak sales potential for NUPLAZID and Debut combined could reach between $1.5 billion and $2 billion [12] Pipeline and Future Growth - Acadia has a robust pipeline with nine disclosed programs, eight of which are expected to be in clinical stages by the end of the year [17] - The company anticipates five study readouts from Phase II or Phase III trials between now and the end of 2027 [17] - The pipeline includes later-stage assets like ACP101 for Prader-Willi syndrome and ACP204 for Alzheimer's disease psychosis, with top-line data expected in 2025 and 2026, respectively [8][17] Key Pipeline Assets 1. **ACP204**: A novel 5-HT2A inverse agonist targeting Alzheimer's and Lewy body dementia psychosis, with a significant unmet need as there are currently no approved therapies for these conditions [24][60] - Approximately 3 million people are affected by psychosis related to these diseases [27] - ACP204 is designed to avoid QT prolongation, allowing for higher dosing and potentially greater efficacy [30][60] 2. **ACP211**: An oral agent with potential ketamine-like efficacy for major depressive disorder (MDD) and treatment-resistant depression (TRD), aiming to minimize sedation and dissociation [62][81] - MDD affects approximately 21 million adults in the U.S., with only 9 million receiving treatment [67] - The drug is designed to provide rapid antidepressant effects without the severe side effects associated with current treatments [81] Strategic Focus - Acadia's growth strategy is anchored in precision medicine, data innovation, globalization, and patient empowerment [4] - The company aims to expand into adjacent rare disease categories, leveraging its scientific approach and internal capabilities [11] Market Opportunity - The potential market for the pipeline assets is significant, with an estimated combined peak sales potential of up to $12 billion if all five pipeline assets succeed [12][13] - Acadia believes that the current market undervalues its clinical programs, and it is committed to delivering data and executing its strategy to unlock this potential [13] Conclusion - Acadia Pharmaceuticals is positioned for transformational growth through its innovative pipeline and strong commercial brands, addressing critical needs in neurological and rare diseases while aiming to enhance patient care and outcomes [2][4][11]
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) Earnings Call Presentation
2025-06-25 12:41
Financial Performance and Expectations - Acadia Pharmaceuticals expects to generate over $1 Billion in total U S revenues in 2025[12] - The company estimates a risk-adjusted peak sales potential of $25 Billion from its pipeline molecules[17] - The full potential peak sales for pipeline molecules is estimated at $12 Billion, assuming successful approval and commercialization[17] - Potential peak sales of current products are projected to be in the range of $15-$2 Billion[19] Pipeline Development and Strategy - Acadia Pharmaceuticals is focused on advancing care for underserved neurological and rare diseases[11] - The company has a late-stage pipeline with ACP-101 (P3-PWS) data expected in early Q4 2025 and ACP-204 (P2-ADP) data expected in mid-2026[12] - Acadia has 2 approved medicines and 9 disclosed and multiple undisclosed programs[30] - The company anticipates 7 Phase 2 or Phase 3 study starts in 2025 and 2026, and 5 Phase 2 or Phase 3 study readouts between 2025 and 2027[30] Key Programs and Indications - ACP-204 is being developed for Alzheimer's Disease Psychosis (ADP) and Lewy Body Dementia with Psychosis (LBDP), targeting approximately 3 million patients with psychosis across PDP, LBDP, and ADP in the US[45] - ACP-211 is in development for Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), a condition affecting approximately 21 million adults in the US[93, 125] - ACP-711 is being investigated for Essential Tremor (ET), which affects an estimated 7 million people or 22% of the US population[136, 171] - DAYBUE, approved for Rett syndrome, has seen >50% of patients remain on treatment at 12 months and 65% on treatment for 12+ months[271]
KMDA vs. ACAD: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 16:41
Core Insights - Investors in the Medical - Biomedical and Genetics sector may consider Kamada (KMDA) and Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) for potential value investments [1] - A strong Zacks Rank combined with a high Value category grade is identified as an effective strategy for finding value stocks [2] Valuation Metrics - Kamada has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook, while Acadia Pharmaceuticals has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] - Kamada's forward P/E ratio is 21.64, significantly lower than Acadia's forward P/E of 45.77, suggesting Kamada may be undervalued [5] - Kamada's PEG ratio is 0.87, compared to Acadia's PEG ratio of 4.87, indicating better expected earnings growth relative to its price [5] - Kamada's P/B ratio is 1.63, while Acadia's P/B ratio is 4.99, further supporting Kamada's valuation advantage [6] - Based on these metrics, Kamada earns a Value grade of A, while Acadia receives a Value grade of C, positioning Kamada as the superior value option [6]
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-09 21:00
Summary of Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) FY Conference Call - June 09, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) - **Industry**: Biotechnology, specifically focusing on neurology and rare diseases Key Points and Arguments Management Changes and Strategic Priorities - Katherine Owen Adams has been with Acadia for eight months, implementing changes in the commercial structure, including the appointment of Tom Garner as CCO and Alison McMillan as head of the debut franchise [2][3] - Focus on accelerating clinical trial programs, with notable progress in the Prada Woolley trial, which is expected to complete earlier than anticipated [4] - Emphasis on both organic and inorganic growth strategies, including a deal signed with San Arena in December [5] Intellectual Property and Market Exclusivity - Acadia won a recent appeal on its composition of matter patent, extending exclusivity for NUPLAZID until October 2030, with total exclusivity lasting until February 2038 [8] - The company is prepared to compete with any potential generic formulations that may enter the market [10] Sales and Marketing Strategies - A new strategy to raise awareness of Parkinson's disease symptoms has been successful, leading to increased patient inquiries and the highest number of new prescriptions (NBRxs) since 2020 [14][15] - Direct-to-consumer campaigns have also contributed to patient growth, with a current market share of 20% for NUPLAZID [16] Patient Retention and Compliance - Over 50% of patients remain on NUPLAZID therapy after one year, with a reported 35% discontinuation rate in Q1, showing improvement in patient retention [30][32] - Management strategies have been enhanced to address gastrointestinal side effects, leading to better patient compliance [33] Pipeline Developments - ACP 204, a new five HT2A inverse agonist, is being developed to address limitations of NUPLAZID, with ongoing studies in Alzheimer's disease psychosis and Lewy body dementia psychosis [22][24][55] - Upcoming phase two data for ACP 204 is expected mid-next year, with a focus on efficacy and safety in a complex patient population [46][51] Regulatory and Geographic Expansion - Acadia has submitted for regulatory approval of debut in the EU, with potential approval expected in Q1 next year [34] - Plans for a phase III study in Japan are underway, indicating a strategic focus on international markets [35] Financial Position and Business Development Strategy - The company has a strong financial position with over $680 million in cash, allowing for continued investment in business development and pipeline funding [60][61] - Acadia aims to expand its focus from neurology to other rare diseases, leveraging management's experience in rare disease markets [59] Upcoming Events - An R&D Day is scheduled to showcase early data from pipeline molecules, indicating a commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement [57] Additional Important Insights - The company is optimistic about the future growth of NUPLAZID, citing potential for increased market penetration and awareness among healthcare providers and caregivers [17][18] - The unmet need in the Alzheimer's and Lewy body dementia populations is significant, with no approved therapies currently available, highlighting the potential impact of Acadia's pipeline [53][54]
Why Is Acadia (ACAD) Up 26.1% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 16:36
Company Overview - Acadia Pharmaceuticals has seen a share price increase of approximately 26.1% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 [1] - The most recent earnings report is crucial for understanding the catalysts affecting the stock [1] Earnings Estimates - Fresh estimates for Acadia have trended downward, with the consensus estimate shifting down by 20% [2] - The overall direction of estimate revisions indicates a downward shift in expectations for the stock [4] VGM Scores - Acadia has an average Growth Score of C, a Momentum Score of F, and a Value Score of C, placing it in the middle 20% for the value investment strategy [3] - The aggregate VGM Score for Acadia is D, which is significant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Market Outlook - Acadia holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [4] Industry Performance - Acadia is part of the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, where Blueprint Medicines has gained 29.5% over the past month [5] - Blueprint Medicines reported revenues of $149.41 million for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 55.4% [5] - The expected loss for Blueprint Medicines in the current quarter is $0.54 per share, which represents a year-over-year improvement of 32.5% [6]
ACAD Stock Soars as US Court Rules in Favor of Key Nuplazid Patent
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 14:36
Core Viewpoint - Acadia Pharmaceuticals' shares increased by 26.5% following a favorable ruling from the U.S. District Court regarding the patent for its lead drug, Nuplazid, which protects the company from generic competition until 2038 [1][3]. Company Performance - Nuplazid is the only FDA-approved treatment for hallucinations and delusions associated with Parkinson's disease psychosis in the U.S. [2] - In Q1 2025, Nuplazid generated $159.7 million in revenue, marking a 23% year-over-year increase driven by volume growth [3]. - Year-to-date, Acadia's shares have risen by 21.3%, contrasting with a 6.9% decline in the industry [4]. Product Portfolio - Acadia's other marketed drug, Daybue, approved for treating Rett syndrome, generated $84.6 million in revenue in Q1 2025, an 11% increase year-over-year [5]. - Daybue reached a record high of 954 unique patients receiving shipments in Q1 2025 [7]. Pipeline Developments - Acadia is awaiting EU regulatory approval for trofinetide to treat Rett syndrome, expected in Q1 2026 [8]. - The company anticipates top-line results from the phase III COMPASS PWS study of ACP-101 for Prader-Willi Syndrome in early Q4 2025, with plans to submit a regulatory application to the FDA in Q1 2026 [9]. - Enrollment for the phase II RADIANT study of ACP-204 for Alzheimer's disease psychosis is expected to be completed in Q1 2026, with top-line data anticipated in mid-2026 [10]. - Acadia and Saniona have completed the phase I study of ACP-711, which showed a strong safety profile, and are focusing on essential tremor as the lead indication [11][12].
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-05-13 23:40
Acadia Pharmaceuticals Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) - **Event**: BofA Healthcare Conference - **Date**: May 13, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **Most Favored Nation (MFN) Executive Order**: - No immediate impact on Acadia as it currently does not sell products outside the US [3] - Plans to commercialize Debut in Europe, with regulatory approval expected in Q1 2026 [4] - Initial launch in Germany with free pricing for the first six months [4] - **Tariffs**: - Acadia does not foresee meaningful exposure to tariffs due to existing inventory in the US that can last until the mid to late 2030s [7][9] - No manufacturing facilities owned, allowing flexibility in response to future tariff changes [8] - **FDA Interactions**: - No immediate negative impacts reported; routine interactions with the FDA are proceeding as expected [17][18] Company-Specific Developments - **Debut Launch**: - Initial strong demand followed by stagnation; new Chief Commercial Officer hired to enhance commercial execution [21][22] - Field force increased by 30% to improve outreach to physicians, particularly in local pediatric neurology centers [23] - Focus on efficacy messaging and one-to-one patient interactions to improve patient retention [24][25] - New patient starts have shown a significant increase in Q1 2025, with expectations for continued growth [26][36] - **NUPLAZID**: - Awareness campaigns have led to the best quarter in five years for new patient starts [49] - Focus on educating patients and families about Parkinson's disease psychosis, with a strong emphasis on early diagnosis [50][52] - Steady growth expected as awareness increases, with a larger patient population compared to Debut [55] Pipeline Updates - **ACP-101**: - Phase 3 trial expected to complete enrollment in Q2 2025, with top-line data anticipated in early Q4 2025 [58][60] - Primary endpoint focuses on the hyperphagia questionnaire, with a safety profile similar to previous trials [61][62] - **ECP-204**: - New inverse agonist targeting 5-HT2A receptors, currently in phase 2/3 trials for Alzheimer's disease psychosis [73] - Aiming for faster onset of action and reduced QT prolongation compared to NUPLAZID [74] Additional Considerations - **Market Dynamics**: - The rare disease market is seen as having room for multiple therapies, with Acadia's products positioned to meet diverse patient needs [66][70] - The company is focused on leveraging its expertise in rare diseases and neurology for successful product launches [71] - **Future Events**: - R&D Day scheduled for June 25, 2025, to provide further updates on pipeline developments [79]
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals: Advancing On Several Fronts
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-13 16:01
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent focus on covered call opportunities within the biotech sector, particularly in the context of ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. [1] - ACADIA Pharmaceuticals has been revisited due to a significant influx of new data points since the last analysis in March, indicating ongoing developments in the company [2] - The Biotech Forum offers a model portfolio featuring 12-20 high upside biotech stocks, along with live discussions and weekly updates on market commentary and portfolio performance [2] Group 2 - The author has a beneficial long position in ACADIA Pharmaceuticals, indicating a personal investment interest in the company's stock [3] - The article emphasizes that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the inherent uncertainties in investment decisions [4]
Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates (Revised)
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 23:30
Company Performance - Acadia Pharmaceuticals reported quarterly earnings of $0.11 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.10 per share, and showing an increase from $0.10 per share a year ago [1] - The quarterly report reflects an earnings surprise of 10%, with GAAP EPS reported at 86 cents [2] - The company posted revenues of $244.32 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.23% and increasing from $205.83 million year-over-year [3] Market Position - Acadia shares have declined approximately 20.8% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of 4.7% for the S&P 500 [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.18 on revenues of $262.31 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.68 on revenues of $1.06 billion [8] Industry Outlook - The Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, to which Acadia belongs, is currently ranked in the top 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [9] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor decisions [6]