Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the ongoing tension in US-EU trade relations, leading to increased market risk aversion and a collective decline in major US stock indices, with the Nasdaq down 1.58%, S&P 500 down 1.33%, and Dow Jones down 1.3% [1] - Major technology stocks experienced significant declines, with Google A falling over 3%, and Nvidia, Amazon, Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft all dropping more than 2% [1] - Applovin saw a decline of over 4% following a short-sell report from Capitalwatch, which raised concerns about systemic compliance risks and significant financial crimes related to its core shareholder structure [1] - JPMorgan Chase's stock fell more than 2% amid threats from former President Trump to sue the bank, alleging account closures or restrictions following the Capitol riots [1] - 3M's stock dropped over 5% after reporting a 20% year-over-year decline in Q4 earnings per share, with its 2026 profit guidance falling short of expectations [1]

Core Viewpoint - Applovin's stock experienced a significant decline following allegations from short-seller Capitalwatch regarding systemic compliance risks and major financial crimes linked to its core shareholder structure [1] Group 1: Allegations and Accusations - Capitalwatch's report accuses Applovin's major shareholder, Hao Tang, and his associated capital network of injecting illegal funds from China and Southeast Asia into the U.S. capital markets [1] - The report claims that Applovin has significant fraudulent omissions in its SEC filings and that its management has ignored anti-money laundering (AML) laws, thereby facilitating the legitimization of assets for the Prince Group, which has been classified as a transnational criminal organization (TCO) by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) [1]

Core Viewpoint - Applovin's stock experienced a significant decline following a short-selling report from Capitalwatch, which accused the company of systemic compliance risks and major financial crimes related to its core shareholder structure [1] Group 1: Allegations and Accusations - Capitalwatch's report claims that Applovin's major shareholder, Hao Tang, and his associated capital network are allegedly injecting illegal funds from China and Southeast Asia into the U.S. capital markets [1] - The report indicates that Applovin has significant fraudulent omissions in its SEC filings and that its management is accused of ignoring anti-money laundering (AML) laws, thereby facilitating the legitimization of assets for a group classified as a transnational criminal organization (TCO) by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) [1]

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 1.24%, S&P 500 futures down 1.34%, and Nasdaq futures down 1.65% [1] - European indices also show declines, with Germany's DAX down 1.21%, UK's FTSE 100 down 0.86%, France's CAC40 down 0.89%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.01% [2][3] Oil Prices - WTI crude oil increased by 0.78% to $59.80 per barrel, while Brent crude oil rose by 0.67% to $64.37 per barrel [3][4] Technology Sector Insights - Wedbush analysts suggest that the Greenland tariff dispute may pressure the market at the open but could present a buying opportunity for technology stocks [5] - Analysts expect significant earnings growth for the S&P 500, with technology sector earnings projected to grow by 25.4% in 2025 and 31.1% in 2026, outpacing the overall index [8] Company-Specific News - Netflix is set to release its Q4 earnings report, with expectations of $0.55 earnings per share and $12 billion in revenue, although future revenue growth may slow [11] - Nvidia faces supply chain disruptions due to a halt in the export of its H200 AI chips to China, affecting over 1 million orders [13] - BHP reported a slight increase in iron ore production and raised its copper production guidance for the fiscal year [13] Economic Events - Upcoming earnings reports include Netflix and Interactive Brokers on Wednesday morning, and Johnson & Johnson and Halliburton before the market opens [15]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures are lower, with Dow futures dropping approximately 700 points [1] Company-Specific Developments - Valneva SE has withdrawn its IXCHIQ Chikungunya vaccine BLA and IND in the U.S. following an FDA suspension and a review of new serious adverse events, leading to a 7.7% decline in shares to $9.29 in pre-market trading [1] - Rezolve AI PLC shares fell 15% to $3.92 in pre-market trading [2] - POET Technologies Inc experienced an 11.2% decline to $7.37 in pre-market trading [2] - Forward Industries Inc shares decreased by 10.5% to $7.70 after a previous gain of 4% on Friday [2] - Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc shares dipped 9.9% to $7.59 in pre-market trading [2] - Bakkt Holdings Inc fell 9.5% to $19.38 after a 10% increase on Friday [2] - Applovin Corp shares decreased by 9.5% to $515.03 after a 6% decline on Friday [2] - ALT5 Sigma Corp shares fell 8.9% to $2.36 after gaining 7% on Friday, despite regaining Nasdaq compliance [2] - HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd shares dropped 7.7% to $3.20 in pre-market trading [2] - Aeva Technologies Inc shares declined 6.8% to $18.01 in pre-market trading [2] - Bitdeer Technologies Group fell 6.8% to $14.75 in pre-market trading [2] - Terrestrial Energy Inc shares decreased by 6.3% to $10.95 in pre-market trading [2] - Tesla Inc shares fell 2.7% to $425.75, with CEO Elon Musk confirming that vehicles equipped with the AI4 (HW4) chip will achieve unsupervised autonomous driving without upgrades [2] - NVIDIA Corp shares declined 2.4% to $181.77 in pre-market trading [2]

Group 1 - Major stock indices futures are experiencing declines, with Dow futures down 1.64%, S&P 500 futures down 1.82%, and Nasdaq futures down 2.25% [1] - European countries are considering retaliatory measures, including the potential sale of trillions of dollars in assets, in response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on eight European nations starting February 1 [1] - Chinese concept stocks are also declining, with Alibaba down 2.53%, Pinduoduo down 3.79%, and Trip.com down 1.14% [1] Group 2 - Bank of America has raised its target price for IBM from $315 to $335, maintaining a "buy" rating, citing strong free cash flow prospects and an increase in high-margin software business [2] - AppLovin's stock dropped over 10% following a short report from CapitalWatch, which alleged connections to money laundering activities involving cross-border crime groups [2] Group 3 - Gold prices have surged past $4,700, with spot gold at $4,732.85 per ounce and futures at $4,741.54 per ounce, marking significant increases for gold mining companies [3] - BHP has raised its copper production forecast for the 2026 fiscal year despite a 4% year-on-year decline in quarterly copper output, now expecting total copper production of 1.9 to 2 million tons [3] Group 4 - The social media platform X, owned by Elon Musk, has officially open-sourced its new algorithm, which is now accessible on GitHub and is powered by the same Transformer architecture as the xAI Grok model [4]

Group 1 - Steven Cress is the Head of Quantitative Strategies at Seeking Alpha, managing quant ratings and factor grades on stocks and ETFs [1] - Cress leads Alpha Picks, selecting two attractive stocks to buy each month and determining when to sell them [1] - The quantitative stock rating system created by Cress is designed to interpret data for investors, offering insights and saving time [2] Group 2 - Cress has over 30 years of experience in equity research, quantitative strategies, and portfolio management, positioning him well to discuss various investment topics [2] - He previously founded CressCap Investment Research, which was acquired by Seeking Alpha in 2018, enhancing its quant analysis and market data capabilities [2] - Cress also founded the quant hedge fund Cress Capital Management and has experience in proprietary trading at Morgan Stanley [2]

Core Viewpoint - Applovin (APP.US) experienced a significant pre-market decline of over 11% following a short-selling report from Capitalwatch, which raised concerns about the company's core shareholder structure and potential systemic compliance risks and major financial crimes [1]. Company Summary - The short-selling report by Capitalwatch alleges that Applovin's shareholder structure may involve systemic compliance risks [1]. - The report also suggests the presence of significant financial crimes associated with the company [1].

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines and trend lines are used in technical analysis to identify patterns and potential price movements [1]

We came across a bullish thesis on AppLovin Corporation on The Simple Side’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on APP. AppLovin Corporation's share was trading at $617.76 as of January 14th. APP’s trailing and forward P/E were 72.85 and 42.55 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. 12 Best Software Infrastructure Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds AppLovin Corporation engages in building a software-based platform for advertisers to enhance the marketing and monetization ...