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Arm plc(ARM) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4, the company achieved record revenue exceeding $1,000,000,000 for the first time, with full-year revenue surpassing $4,000,000,000 and royalty revenue exceeding $2,000,000,000 [6][13] - Non-GAAP operating profit reached a record $655,000,000, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.55, at the high end of guidance [16][19] - Royalty revenue grew 18% year on year to a record $607,000,000, driven by flagship smartphone launches [13][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Licensing revenue hit an all-time high of $634,000,000, increasing over 50% year on year, primarily due to demand for ARMv9 technology [7][14] - Smartphone royalties increased by 30% year on year, significantly outpacing the modest 2% growth in shipments [10][14] - The company launched its first ARMv9 Edge AI platform, which has been adopted by major industry players [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects up to 50% of new server chips at hyperscalers to be ARM-based this year, indicating strong momentum in the data center market [7][8] - The automotive sector has shown strong double-digit growth, with ARM gaining share in advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) [55] - IoT and embedded markets have experienced some slowness, but signs of recovery are anticipated [56] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on customization of silicon to differentiate performance and unlock unique features, particularly in automotive and hyperscaler markets [41][42] - There is a strategic shift towards signing deals directly with OEMs, which may increase the total addressable market (TAM) [41][42] - The company plans to continue aggressive investment in R&D to support customer needs and capitalize on AI demand [19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in healthy growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties, citing visibility into customer design pipelines and rising demand for custom silicon [19][20] - The company does not expect a significant direct impact from tariffs on royalty and licensing revenues, but acknowledges potential indirect effects [16][25] - Future guidance for Q1 indicates revenue growth of 12% year on year, with strong expectations for royalty growth between 25% to 30% [17][19] Other Important Information - The company has expanded its developer community to over 22,000,000, the largest in the world [11] - A significant licensing agreement was signed with the Malaysian government to accelerate the development of an ARM-based AI ecosystem [64] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of tariffs on revenue - Management clarified that tariffs do not directly impact costs, and any revenue impact would be indirect, primarily affecting demand elasticity [22][24] Question: ARMv9 adoption rate - The adoption rate for ARMv9 has increased to over 30%, driven by custom silicon solutions [30][32] Question: Strategic direction towards OEMs - Management confirmed a trend towards direct relationships with OEMs for customized silicon, which is expected to continue [41][42] Question: Licensing performance in Q4 - Licensing revenue growth was strong, with a year-on-year increase of 53%, and management remains optimistic about future growth [72][75] Question: Royalty growth by end market - Management indicated strong growth in smartphones and infrastructure, with expectations for continued growth in automotive and recovery in IoT [55][56] Question: Licensing deal with the Malaysian government - The deal is seen as a milestone, with potential for similar agreements with other governments in the future [64] Question: Sequential trends in royalty growth - Management expects Q1 to show strong growth, with a seasonal dip in Q2, followed by growth in the latter half of the year [70][71]
Arm shares drop on weak forecast
CNBC· 2025-05-07 20:43
Group 1 - Arm Holdings' shares dropped over 8% in extended trading after issuing weaker-than-expected guidance for the current quarter [1] - For the fiscal fourth quarter, Arm's revenue was between $1 billion and $1.1 billion, which is below the $1.1 billion average estimated by analysts [2] - Earnings per share for the first quarter are projected to be between 30 cents and 38 cents, while analysts expected 42 cents [2] Group 2 - SoftBank controls approximately 90% of Arm and took the company public in 2023, with a current market cap exceeding $130 billion [3] - Arm's royalty revenue increased by 18% year-over-year to $607 million [3] - The company's net income fell 6% to $210 million, or 20 cents per share, compared to $224 million, or 21 cents per share, in the previous year [4]
Arm plc(ARM) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-07 20:40
investor.relations@arm.com https://investors.arm.com May 7, 2025 © 2025 Arm 1 Arm Holdings plc Q4 FYE25 Investor Presentation In addition to disclosing results determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, Arm utilizes, and this presentation includes, certain non-GAAP financial measures that differ from measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. Arm's non-GAAP financial measures include non-GAAP cost of sales, non-GAAP gross profit (loss), non-GAAP gross margin, non-GAAP ...
Arm shares fall after weak full-year outlook offsets strong Q4 results
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-05-07 20:39
Company Overview - Proactive is a financial news publisher that provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company has a team of experienced news journalists who produce independent content across various financial markets [2] Market Focus - Proactive specializes in medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - The content includes insights across sectors such as biotech and pharma, mining and natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging digital and EV technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is recognized for its forward-looking approach and enthusiastic adoption of technology to enhance workflows [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring that all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Earnings Season: 2 AI Reports to Watch This Week
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 23:30
Core Insights - The Q1 2025 earnings season is ongoing, with Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and ARM Holdings (ARM) among the companies reporting this week [1][14] - The AI sector has seen a cooling off in 2025, leading to recalibrated expectations for these companies [1] ARM Holdings - ARM is expected to show robust growth, with a Zacks Consensus EPS estimate of $0.52, indicating a 44% year-over-year growth [3] - Revenue expectations for ARM stand at $1.2 billion, reflecting a 33% increase compared to the same period last year, driven by the broader AI market [5] - Analysts have made modest downward revisions to EPS expectations since early February, but overall growth outlook remains positive [3][14] Super Micro Computer (SMCI) - SMCI has been a strong performer in 2025, gaining 5% compared to a 3% decline in the S&P 500 [8] - However, expectations for SMCI have significantly declined, with the current Zacks Consensus EPS estimate at $0.30, down over 50% since February [11] - Revenue expectations for SMCI are currently at $4.9 billion, which is an 18% decrease from earlier estimates [11] - Valuation multiples for SMCI have decreased, with shares trading at an 11.0X forward 12-month earnings multiple, a 47% discount compared to the S&P 500 [10] Comparative Analysis - Revisions for ARM have been more stable compared to the significant negative revisions for SMCI [7][14] - Both companies have outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025, but the outlook for ARM appears more favorable heading into their earnings releases [7][14]
Arm Holdings Stock Before Q4 Earnings: To Buy or Not to Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 13:00
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) will report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 7, after the bell.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the to-be-reported quarter stands at 52 cents, indicating a 44.4% year-over-year growth. The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $1.23 billion, indicating a 33% year-over-year increase.One estimate for the to-be-reported quarter has been revised downward over the past 60 days, versus no upward revisions. Over the same period, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for th ...
3 Semiconductor Stocks That Could Help Make You a Fortune
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-04 09:05
TSMC, ASML, and Arm still look like a great long-term plays in the growing market.Many semiconductor stocks slumped this year as President Donald Trump's tariffs, the escalating trade wars, and fears of a recession cast dark clouds over the booming sector. However, that pullback has also been creating attractive buying opportunities for investors who expect the semiconductor market to continue growing over the next few decades.Below, I'll take a look at three of those stocks: TSMC (TSM 3.68%), ASML (ASML 3. ...
ARM Stock Down 30% in 3 Months: Time to Buy or Wait Longer?
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 16:46
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) stock has declined significantly over the past three months. Shares have declined 30% compared to the industry’s 18% fall.Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchConsidering the current weakness of ARM shares, investors may wonder if now is the right time to invest in the stock. Let’s delve deeper.ARM's Stronghold in Mobile and AIArm Holdings maintains a dominant foothold in the semiconductor industry, especially in mobile device technology. Its low-power chip architecture has long bee ...
ARM vs. Byrna Technologies: Which Small-Cap Innovator Has More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-04-21 17:35
Core Viewpoint - Both Arm Holdings plc (ARM) and Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) are positioned as innovation-driven companies appealing to growth-oriented investors interested in disruptive technologies [1][2]. Group 1: Arm Holdings (ARM) - Arm Holdings is a leader in semiconductor design, particularly in mobile devices, with a strong focus on low-power architecture that has been essential for smartphones and tablets [3][4]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of AI and IoT, as ARM-powered chips are increasingly integrated into smart devices and data centers, addressing the computational needs of AI workloads [4]. - Arm's unique licensing and royalty-based business model allows it to generate steady revenue without significant capital expenditure, maintaining relevance in key sectors like automotive and data centers [5]. - Following its IPO, Arm Holdings strengthened its balance sheet with $2.7 billion in cash and no debt, enhancing its ability to invest in R&D and strategic acquisitions [6]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ARM's fiscal 2025 indicates a year-over-year sales growth of 24% and EPS growth of 28% [13]. Group 2: Byrna Technologies (BYRN) - Byrna has established itself as a leader in the non-lethal personal defense market, achieving significant brand visibility through innovative marketing strategies, including celebrity endorsements [7]. - In fiscal 2024, Byrna reported a 79% year-over-year sales increase in the fourth quarter, with net income turning from a loss of $0.8 million to a profit of $9.7 million [8]. - The company is ramping up production for its new Compact Launcher, with a 33% increase in production to 24,000 units per month to meet rising demand [9]. - Byrna is expanding its omnichannel strategy and enhancing its presence in Latin America through partnerships with law enforcement, including a training program in Mexico [10][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BYRN's fiscal 2025 indicates a year-over-year sales growth of 30% and EPS growth of 13% [16]. Group 3: Valuation and Investment Outlook - Arm Holdings is trading at a forward earnings multiple of 49.31X, which is below its 12-month median of 127.41X, while Byrna's forward earnings multiple stands at 54.26X, also below its median of 96.9X [18]. - Byrna is rated as a Buy due to rapid revenue growth, a turnaround to profitability, and aggressive expansion, while Arm is rated a Hold due to flat analyst revisions and a more mature growth curve [19][20].
This AI Chip Stock Dropped 45% From Its High. Is It Time to Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-15 08:00
In today's video, I discuss Arm Holdings (ARM 1.15%), its business strategy, growth opportunities, potential risks, and why investors should not ignore this AI stock.*Stock prices used were the market prices of April 10, 2025. The video was published on April 11, 2025. ...