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Can Auvelity Drive Axsome's Growth Through the Rest of 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-09-30 14:46
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics' lead drug, Auvelity, has shown strong sales performance since its approval for major depressive disorder, contributing significantly to the company's revenue [1] Sales Performance - Auvelity recorded sales of $215.9 million in the first half of 2025, marking an 82.3% increase year-over-year, driven by higher unit sales volume [2][9] - The company anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 42.7% for Auvelity sales over the next three years [2] Product Development and Expansion - Auvelity is undergoing label expansion studies for other CNS disorders, including Alzheimer's disease agitation and smoking cessation, with an sNDA expected to be filed in Q3 2025 [3] - A pivotal phase II/III study for smoking cessation is planned to commence in Q4 2025 [3] - The approval of Auvelity for additional indications is expected to further enhance sales and growth prospects [4] Additional Products - Axsome's narcolepsy drug, Sunosi, has also contributed to revenue, with sales increasing by 25.6% year-over-year in H1 2025 [5][9] - The recent launch of Symbravo for migraine treatment, approved in January 2025, is expected to strengthen Axsome's market presence [5] Competitive Landscape - Axsome faces significant competition in the CNS disorder market, particularly from Acadia Pharmaceuticals' Nuplazid, which generated $328.2 million in sales, a 14% increase year-over-year [6][7] - Sunosi may encounter competition from Jazz Pharmaceuticals' sleep disorder drugs, while Symbravo will face established migraine treatments from Pfizer and AbbVie [8]
Prediction: These 2 Under-the-Radar Stocks Could Beat the Market in the Next 5 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-30 08:10
Group 1: Axsome Therapeutics - Axsome Therapeutics is a mid-cap biotech company with three products on the market: Auvelity, Symbravo, and Sunosi, driving strong revenue growth, with a 72% year-over-year increase to $150 million in Q2 [3][4] - The launch of Symbravo in June presents a significant growth opportunity, targeting a market of 39 million migraine patients in the U.S., where over 70% have inadequate responses to current treatments [4][5] - Auvelity shows promise in treating agitation associated with Alzheimer's disease, with a potential market of 7 million patients, and is on track to achieve blockbuster status [5][6] - The company is advancing its pipeline with AXS-12 for narcolepsy and other late-stage trials, positioning itself for continued revenue growth and market outperformance [6] Group 2: Exelixis - Exelixis specializes in oncology, known for its drug Cabometyx, which treats liver and kidney cancers and continues to drive revenue growth despite a reported 11% drop in total revenue to $568.3 million due to lower collaboration revenue [7][8] - Net product revenue for Exelixis increased by 19% year-over-year to $520 million, with Cabometyx expected to maintain strong sales through early 2030, fending off generic competition [8][9] - The company is focused on developing cancer therapies for high unmet needs, with its candidate zanzalintinib showing promise in metastatic colorectal cancer, which could address a significant treatment gap [9][10] - Exelixis has additional candidates in its pipeline, and strong clinical progress alongside Cabometyx's revenue growth is expected to yield strong returns through the end of the decade [10]
Pharmaceutical Tariffs In Headlines Again As Trump Threatens 100% Levy
Investors· 2025-09-26 16:59
Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration's announcement of a potential 100% tariff on pharmaceutical products not manufactured in the U.S. has significant implications for the pharmaceutical industry, creating uncertainty and prompting companies to increase domestic manufacturing investments [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Market Reaction - President Trump threatened a 100% tariff on branded or patented pharmaceutical products starting October 1 unless companies establish manufacturing plants in the U.S. [1] - Following the announcement, pharmaceutical stocks remained stable, with the SPDR S&P Pharmaceutical ETF (XPH) rising by 1.6% and the VanEck Pharmaceutical ETF (PPH) increasing by 0.6% [3]. - Analysts suggest that larger biopharmaceutical companies may not be significantly affected due to ongoing U.S. facility construction, but smaller companies could face exposure [2]. Group 2: Company Responses and Investments - Pharmaceutical companies have announced over $350 million in U.S. manufacturing investments, with Amgen committing to expand its U.S. manufacturing by $650 million following the tariff threat [4]. - Amgen's CEO emphasized the importance of increasing capacity to deliver innovative medicines and creating high-quality jobs in biotechnology [5]. - Companies like Argenx, AbbVie, and Novartis highlighted their U.S. manufacturing capabilities during recent earnings calls, indicating a strong domestic presence [6]. Group 3: Broader Implications and Investigations - The tariff threat may serve as a negotiating tactic related to the ongoing Section 232 investigation into the impact of imports on national security [7]. - A separate Section 232 investigation into medical devices was announced, causing a nearly 2% decline in the medical-products industry group [8]. - Analysts predict that the medical device investigation may lead to additional tariffs, similar to the pharmaceutical tariffs, but the timing remains uncertain [9][10].
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (AXSM) Presents at TD Cowen's 5th Annual Novel Mechanisms in Neuropsychiatry & Epilepsy Summit Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-18 05:53
Group 1 - The event is the Fifth Annual TD Cowen Novel Mechanisms in Neuropsychiatry and Epilepsy Summit, featuring Axsome Therapeutics [1] - Axsome Therapeutics has made significant progress in both commercial and development aspects over the past year [2] - The company is expected to provide insights into future expectations for investors, particularly looking towards the end of 2025 and early 2026 [2] Group 2 - In Q2, Axsome Therapeutics reported net sales of $150 million, with Auvelity contributing $120 million and Sunosi $30 million [4] - The recent launch of SYMBRAVO generated approximately $400,000 in its first 2.5 weeks [4]
Axsome Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:AXSM) FY Conference Transcript
2025-09-17 13:42
Axsome Therapeutics FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Axsome Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:AXSM) - **Event**: Fifth Annual TD Cowen Novel Mechanisms in Neuropsychiatry and Epilepsy Summit - **Date**: September 17, 2025 Key Points Commercial Performance - **Q2 Net Sales**: $150 million, with Auvelity contributing $120 million and Sanofi $30 million [3][4] - **Symbravo Launch**: Generated approximately $400,000 in revenue within two and a half weeks of launch [3] - **MBRXs Growth**: Increased from 2,000 to 2,500 per week due to the expansion of the sales force [4][15] - **Coverage Expansion**: Added 28 million additional lives covered, enhancing patient access and maintaining net pricing [4][21] - **Direct-to-Consumer Campaign**: Launched a national TV advertising campaign for Auvelity, expected to boost awareness and prescriptions [5][19] Product Utilization - **Auvelity Utilization**: Approximately 50% of prescriptions are for first-line or first-switch patients, indicating strong market penetration [11] - **Monotherapy Use**: Over 50% of Auvelity prescriptions are for monotherapy, suggesting a reduction in polypharmacy [12] Research and Development - **AXS-05 for Alzheimer's**: sNDA filing expected in Q3 2025, with ongoing trials and a focus on agitation in Alzheimer's patients [7][24] - **Upcoming NDA Submission**: AXS-12 for narcolepsy planned for Q4 2025 [8] - **Clinical Trials**: Multiple ongoing trials for various conditions, including ADHD, major depressive disorder, and fibromyalgia [9] Market Potential - **Alzheimer's Market Size**: Estimated at 7 million patients, with around 5 million experiencing agitation, presenting a significant market opportunity [32] - **Peak Sales Estimates**: Projected peak sales for AXS-05 in the range of $1.5 to $3 billion [32] Strategic Outlook - **Sales Force Expansion**: Plans to increase the sales force significantly in 2026, focusing on primary care and long-term care centers [15][16] - **Market Dynamics**: Anticipated growth in prescriptions post-Labor Day as patient compliance improves [20] - **Business Development**: While monitoring market opportunities, the company is currently satisfied with its existing pipeline and acquisitions [39] Additional Insights - **KOL Feedback**: Positive feedback from Key Opinion Leaders regarding the safety and tolerability profile of AXS-05, especially in elderly patients [29] - **Regulatory Engagement**: Consistent dialogue with the FDA regarding trial requirements and product development strategies [24][25] Conclusion Axsome Therapeutics is positioned for growth with strong commercial performance, a robust pipeline, and strategic plans for market expansion. The company is optimistic about its future prospects, particularly in the Alzheimer's market and ongoing product launches.
Axsome Therapeutics Highlights Data Across Its Leading Neuroscience Pipeline at Psych Congress 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-09-17 11:00
Core Insights - Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. is showcasing six presentations at Psych Congress 2025, focusing on innovative neuroscience products for CNS disorders [1][6] Group 1: Major Depressive Disorder - Presentation on Auvelity (dextromethorphan 45 mg-bupropion 105 mg) in patients with Major Depressive Disorder, led by Dr. Anita H. Clayton [2] Group 2: Alzheimer's Disease Agitation - Presentation on the efficacy and safety of AXS-05 in Alzheimer's Disease Agitation from the ACCORD-2 Phase 3 study, led by Dr. Jeffrey Cummings [3] Group 3: Narcolepsy - Multiple presentations on AXS-12, including its impact on symptom severity and functional impairment in narcolepsy from the Phase 3 SYMPHONY Trial, led by Dr. Michael Thorpy [5] - ENCORE study results on AXS-12 in narcolepsy, led by Dr. Richard Bogan [5] - Analysis of residual symptom burden in narcolepsy patients satisfied with treatment from the CRESCENDO Survey, led by Dr. Michael Thorpy [5] Group 4: Obstructive Sleep Apnea - Presentation on the effects of Solriamfetol on neuropsychological outcomes in patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea from the real-world SURWEY study [4] Company Overview - Axsome Therapeutics is focused on developing differentiated products for CNS conditions, with FDA-approved treatments for major depressive disorder, narcolepsy, and obstructive sleep apnea, addressing serious neurological and psychiatric conditions impacting over 150 million people in the U.S. [6]
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (AXSM) Presents At Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-08 21:49
Core Insights - The session features Axsome's COO Mark Jacobson and CFO Nick Pizzie, indicating a focus on the company's strategic direction and financial performance [2] Group 1 - The event is part of the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference, highlighting the importance of healthcare sector discussions [1] - Sean Laaman, Head of U.S. SMID Cap Biotech Equity Research, is leading the session, suggesting a focus on small to mid-cap biotech companies [1]
Axsome Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:AXSM) FY Conference Transcript
2025-09-08 19:35
Axsome Therapeutics FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Axsome Therapeutics (NasdaqGM:AXSM) - **Focus**: Central nervous system disorders with a robust pipeline including products for Alzheimer's disease agitation, ADHD, and narcolepsy [2][4] Financial Performance - **Total Net Revenue**: $150 million as of Q2, with $120 million from Auvelity, $30 million from Sunosi, and approximately $0.5 million from the recently launched Symbravo [3][3] - **Auvelity Growth**: Tracking towards close to $0.5 billion annually after 11 quarters [3][3] - **Payer Access**: Increased access for Auvelity to 83% of total covered lives, adding 28 million additional lives with no price degradation [3][19] Product Updates - **Auvelity**: Strong growth in major depressive disorder (MDD) with improved payer access and a direct-to-consumer national TV campaign launched [12][14] - **Symbravo**: Early launch feedback is positive, with ongoing efforts to address access and patient conversion challenges [23][24] - **AXS-05 for Alzheimer's Disease Agitation**: Differentiated from existing treatments with a favorable risk-benefit profile; sNDA submission expected in Q3 [30][34] Market Dynamics - **Competitive Landscape**: Acknowledgment of increased biotech innovation in China; plans to explore partnerships for global rights [4][5] - **Regulatory Environment**: No significant impact from FDA, MSN, or tariffs noted; stable engagement with regulatory bodies [9][10] Strategic Initiatives - **AI Utilization**: Leveraging AI for efficiencies in commercial operations and data analysis [6][8] - **Sales Force Expansion**: Increased sales force for Auvelity has led to a 25% increase in average MBRXs per week [12][13] - **Future Expectations**: Anticipation of continued growth in prescription volume and access improvements for Auvelity and Symbravo [18][19] Pipeline and Future Catalysts - **AXS-12 for Narcolepsy**: NDA submission scheduled for Q4; expected to fit well in the narcolepsy treatment landscape [47][49] - **Ongoing Studies**: Multiple studies for Sunosi in ADHD, MDD, shift work disorder, and binge eating disorder, with results expected in 2026 [50][51] Financial Outlook - **Cash Position**: Currently over $300 million; net loss for Q2 was $48 million, with a cash basis loss of approximately $19 million [41][42] - **R&D Investment**: Expected to remain stable around $50 million, with no significant increase anticipated [46] Conclusion - **Market Position**: Axsome Therapeutics is well-positioned with a strong pipeline and commercial strategy, focusing on execution and growth in the CNS disorder market [44][45]
Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-09-04 18:02
Axsome Therapeutics (AXSM) Conference Call Summary Company Overview - Axsome Therapeutics is a CNS-focused company specializing in brain health with three in-market products and a deep pipeline of novel product candidates [3][4] Financial Performance - Q2 total net sales reached $150 million, with $120 million from Auvelity, indicating a trajectory towards a half a billion annual run rate [4] - Cash on hand exceeds $300 million, positioning the company towards cash flow positivity [4] - Auvelity's market access expanded by 28 million lives as of July 1, enhancing growth potential [5] Product Pipeline and Development - Axsome V for Alzheimer's disease agitation is on track for sNDA submission in Q3, supported by three positive trials and additional safety data [6][8] - NDA submission for Axsome 12 (reboxetine for narcolepsy) is anticipated in Q4, with positive trial results across multiple endpoints [20][21] - Four Phase 3 programs for Sunosi are underway, with trials for Axsome V in smoking cessation and Axsome 14 in fibromyalgia planned [6] Commercial Strategy - Continued growth is expected for Auvelity and Symbravo, with a focus on expanding the sales force and targeting long-term care settings [6][10] - The company plans to invest in direct-to-consumer (DTC) marketing to drive new prescriptions [27] - Auvelity has a peak sales estimate of $1 billion to $3 billion, with current annualized sales at $500 million, representing only 0.16% of the total antidepressant market [26][30] Product Differentiation - Auvelity is positioned as an oral NMDA receptor antagonist, distinct from atypical antipsychotics, with a favorable safety and tolerability profile [18][19] - Axsome 12 is differentiated by its efficacy in treating cataplexy and improvements in sleepiness and cognition, with a distinct tolerability profile compared to existing therapies [20][21] - Symbravo is designed to address efficacy gaps in acute migraine treatment, with early feedback indicating robust efficacy and tolerability [33][34] Market Access and Pricing - Gross net pricing remains stable in the mid-50% range, with potential for improvement as market access increases [32] - The company anticipates higher gross and net discounts in the migraine treatment space, aligning with industry norms [43] Future Outlook - Axsome Therapeutics is optimistic about its growth trajectory, with significant developments expected in the coming quarters, including product launches and market expansions [6][46]
Axsome Therapeutics(AXSM) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 20:47
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2, the company achieved a milestone of $150 million in net sales for the first time, with $120 million from Avelity, indicating a trajectory towards $500 million in annualized sales [5] - The company reported a strong balance sheet with over $300 million in cash, positioning it for cash flow positivity [5][6] - The gross-to-net discount for Q2 was in the mid-50s range, showing slight improvement from Q1, and is expected to remain stable for the second half of the year [46][47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Avelity for major depressive disorder (MDD) is tracking close to $500 million in sales, with peak sales potential estimated between $1 billion to $3 billion [30][31] - Sunosi generated $30 million in sales, with two-thirds of scripts coming from obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) [62] - The newly launched product, Symbravo, recognized approximately $400,000 in sales during its initial weeks [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has expanded its covered lives for Avelity to 83%, with a national direct-to-consumer campaign planned to further increase brand awareness [31][32] - The Medicare channel has shown significant growth, with Rexulti scripts growing over 40% year-over-year, indicating a robust market for Alzheimer's disease agitation treatments [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its product portfolio with a robust pipeline, including potential indications for Alzheimer's disease agitation, smoking cessation, ADHD, and binge eating disorder [4][63] - The strategy includes optimizing the sales force by integrating Alzheimer's disease agitation into the existing MDD sales team and potentially expanding into long-term care [27][28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the fundamentals of the company, stating that the current environment is favorable for growth [4] - The company is focused on top-line growth while also improving cash flow, with a significant reduction in losses year-over-year [84][85] Other Important Information - The company is in dialogue with the FDA regarding the submission package for Avelity in Alzheimer's disease agitation, with a focus on providing robust clinical data [18][19] - The patent for Symbravo extends to 2041, providing a strong competitive position in the market [60][61] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are you still on track to file an sNDA for Alzheimer's disease agitation in Q3? - Yes, the company is on track to file [6] Question: What is the commercial opportunity in Alzheimer's disease agitation? - There is a substantial unmet need, with potential peak sales estimated between $1 billion to $3 billion [8][9] Question: How is the sales force structured for Avelity and Alzheimer's disease agitation? - The sales force has expanded to approximately 300 reps, with plans to integrate Alzheimer's disease agitation into the existing MDD team [27][28] Question: What is the expected gross-to-net discount at steady state? - The company expects to maintain a mid-50s gross-to-net discount for the remainder of the year [46][47] Question: What are the goals for the launch of Symbravo? - The focus is on gathering clinician feedback and improving access for patients [49][51] Question: What is the peak sales potential for ADHD indications? - The peak sales potential for ADHD is estimated between $1 billion to $3 billion [71]