Conagra(CAG)
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How weight-loss drugs are destroying big snacking, erasing billions in sales
Invezz· 2026-01-17 10:09
Core Insights - The rise of GLP-1 drugs is not just altering dietary habits but fundamentally reshaping the food and beverage industry, leading to a significant decline in consumer spending on traditional snacks and meals [1][3][28] Consumer Behavior Changes - Grocery budgets have decreased by 5.3% to 8.2% in six months, with higher-income households cutting spending by up to 8.6%, particularly impacting the snack aisle [2] - 66% of GLP-1 users have reduced their snacking frequency, with significant changes in taste and appetite reported by 85% of users [4][5] - The medications suppress hunger cravings, leading to a permanent demand destruction in traditional food categories [3][5] Industry Impact - KPMG forecasts a $48 billion annual reduction in food and beverage spending through 2034, indicating a long-term shift rather than a temporary dip [3] - Traditional food industry strategies, which rely on consumer cravings, are becoming obsolete as appetite suppression alters consumer behavior [4][5] Market Fragmentation - By 2030, 35% of U.S. households will include a GLP-1 user, leading to a bifurcated market where one segment seeks nutrient-dense options and the other continues traditional snacking [16][29] - The demand for protein snacks is projected to grow significantly, with the market expected to expand from $4.92 billion to $10.83 billion by 2035 [18] Company Performance - Companies like PepsiCo and Mondelez International are experiencing declines in snack volumes, with PepsiCo reporting five consecutive quarters of declining savory snack volume [9][10] - Hershey has acknowledged a significant year-over-year decline in net sales for salty snacks, indicating broader structural concerns in the industry [10] Strategic Adaptation - Leading companies are pivoting towards healthier, protein-rich products, with Nestlé launching a line of frozen meals designed for GLP-1 users [22] - Venture capital is increasingly flowing into health-focused food innovations, reflecting a shift towards nutrient-dense consumption rather than traditional snacking [25][26] Future Outlook - The companies that will thrive are those that adapt to the new consumer landscape shaped by GLP-1 drugs, focusing on intentional consumption rather than impulse-driven purchases [28][29]
Bear of the Day: Conagra (CAG)
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 12:11
Core Insights - Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is experiencing a difficult environment characterized by a slowdown in consumer spending, elevated inflation, and tariffs, leading to a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) and nearing a 5-year low [1] Financial Performance - In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Conagra reported earnings of $0.45, beating the Zacks Consensus of $0.44, marking the second consecutive earnings beat [2] - Net sales decreased by 6.8%, with organic net sales down by 3.0%, although the company is optimistic about a return to net sales growth in the second half of the fiscal year [3] Guidance and Inflation - Conagra reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, expecting organic net sales to change by a loss of 1% to 1% compared to fiscal 2025, with earnings projected between $1.70 and $1.85 [4] - The company anticipates continued elevated costs of goods sold inflation, with total cost of goods inflation expected to reach 7% in fiscal 2026, influenced by U.S. tariffs increasing costs by 3% before mitigations [5] Analyst Revisions - Analysts have cut fiscal 2026 earnings estimates, with the Zacks Consensus falling to $1.72 from $1.75, indicating a 25.2% decline in earnings [6] - For fiscal 2027, estimates were also reduced, with the Zacks Consensus dropping to $1.79 from $1.86, reflecting a projected earnings growth of 4.2% [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Conagra's shares have declined significantly over the past year, now near 5-year lows [10] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.6, suggesting it may be undervalued [12] Dividend Information - Conagra pays a dividend of $1.40 per share, yielding 8.5%, with dividends paid in the first half of fiscal 2026 remaining flat year over year at $335 million [13]
Conagra Brands' Future of Frozen Food 2026 Reviews Trends Shaping $93.5 Billion Industry
Prnewswire· 2026-01-14 12:30
Core Insights - The U.S. frozen food market is valued at $93.5 billion and is being shaped by four key themes: protein-packed meals, restaurant-inspired favorites, family-style solutions, and all-day breakfast [1][2] Group 1: Emerging Trends - Protein remains the most influential nutrition attribute, with high-protein frozen foods generating $12 billion annually and growing at double-digit volume rates [5] - "Takeout-style" frozen foods total $14.3 billion in annual sales, driven by younger generations and families seeking restaurant-quality taste and convenience [5] - Multi-serve meals and frozen sides account for approximately $12 billion in sales, with value-size frozen products making up over 40% of frozen aisle sales [5] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are increasingly relying on frozen foods to meet daily protein needs, with frozen meals averaging high protein levels per serving [5] - The trend of recreating restaurant experiences at home is growing, particularly as dining out becomes more expensive [5] - Breakfast items are being consumed throughout the day, with high-protein, ready-to-heat formats gaining popularity among Gen Z and Millennials [5]
Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Defensive Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields - B&G Foods (NYSE:BGS), Conagra Brands (NYSE:CAG)
Benzinga· 2026-01-13 18:09
Core Insights - During market turbulence, investors often seek dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividends [1] Group 1: Company Ratings and Analyst Insights - B&G Foods Inc (NYSE:BGS) has a dividend yield of 18.07%. Barclays analyst Brandt Montour maintained an Equal-Weight rating and reduced the price target from $5 to $4, with an accuracy rate of 66%. Piper Sandler analyst Michael Lavery maintained a Neutral rating and cut the price target from $7 to $5, with an accuracy rate of 63%. Recent news includes the appointment of John Ozgopoyan as Executive Vice President of Sales [3][6] - Conagra Brands Inc (NYSE:CAG) has a dividend yield of 8.39%. Wells Fargo analyst Chris Carey maintained an Equal-Weight rating and lowered the price target from $20 to $19, with an accuracy rate of 60%. Stifel analyst Matthew Smith maintained a Hold rating and reduced the price target from $21 to $19, with an accuracy rate of 52%. The company reported quarterly earnings of 45 cents per share, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of 44 cents [4][6] - Altria Group Inc (NYSE:MO) has a dividend yield of 7.11%. B of A Securities analyst Lisa Lewandowski maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $64 to $72, with an accuracy rate of 58%. Barclays analyst Gaurav Jain maintained an Underweight rating and increased the price target from $49 to $57, with an accuracy rate of 58%. Recent news includes the retirement of CEO Billy Gifford and the appointment of Sal Mancuso as his successor [5][6]
5 Under-the-Radar Consumer Staples Stocks With Pricing Power
Investing· 2026-01-09 08:52
Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis of several food companies, including JM Smucker Company, Conagra Brands Inc, Hormel Foods Corporation, and Post Holdings Inc, highlighting their performance and market trends [1] Group 2 - JM Smucker Company is noted for its strong brand portfolio and recent financial performance, which may present investment opportunities [1] - Conagra Brands Inc is discussed in terms of its strategic initiatives and market positioning, indicating potential growth areas [1] - Hormel Foods Corporation's focus on innovation and product diversification is emphasized, suggesting resilience in a competitive market [1] - Post Holdings Inc is analyzed for its recent acquisitions and market expansion efforts, which could enhance its market share [1]
'Project Catalyst' Is Coming for This High-Yield Dividend Star. Should You Buy Shares in 2026 to Profit?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-07 00:30
Core Insights - Conagra Brands (CAG) stock has significantly declined over the past few years, with a drop of over 57% from its 2023 peak due to declining sales and margins [3][5] - The company is launching "Project Catalyst" to reengineer its core business using AI, data, and automation to improve margins and cut costs [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue growth has slowed from a 6.42% year-over-year increase in FY 2023 to a decline of 1.84% in FY 2024, worsening to a decline of 3.64% in FY 2025 [3] - Diluted EPS before non-recurring items fell from $2.67 in FY 2024 to $2.30 in FY 2025, with expectations of a 24.78% decline in full-year EPS [4] Market Outlook - Analysts do not foresee a quick recovery, with a mean price target of $19.27, slightly above the current price of about $17 [6] - The broader packaged food industry is facing similar margin pressures, making recovery challenging for Conagra [5]
Conagra (CAG) Target Trimmed as Wells Fargo Updates 2026 Food Sector Models
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-06 03:05
Group 1 - Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE:CAG) is recognized as one of the 13 Best January Dividend Stocks to Invest in [1] - Wells Fargo has reduced its price target for Conagra to $18 from $19 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, reflecting updates to their 2026 Food Sector models [2] - Conagra reported a net loss of $663.6 million for the quarter, a significant decline from a profit of $284.5 million a year earlier, although adjusted earnings of $0.45 per share exceeded estimates by $0.01 [5] Group 2 - The company is facing challenges such as uneven demand for pantry staples, pressured consumer spending, and intense competition, which contributed to a loss driven by a $968 million non-cash impairment [3] - Conagra's shares fell nearly 38% in 2025 due to supply chain disruptions, higher input costs, and softer demand, with shifts in consumer preferences towards healthier food adding further risk [4] - The company operates across various segments including Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice, with a portfolio of well-known consumer brands [6]
3 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 3 Years
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-04 15:43
Core Insights - The article discusses the potential of three dividend stocks: Conagra Brands, Realty Income, and Oneok, which are expected to maintain their dividends and experience price appreciation in the coming years [3]. Conagra Brands - Conagra Brands has seen a year-to-date decline of over 37% due to high inflation and low growth impacting its fiscal performance [4]. - The company faces concerns regarding its $0.35-per-share quarterly dividend, which translates to an 8.0% forward yield, amid fears of a potential dividend cut [5]. - The recently announced "Project Catalyst," which leverages AI technology for operational improvements, could enhance profitability, secure the dividend, and drive stock recovery [6]. - Currently trading at 10 times forward earnings, Conagra's shares could rise with earnings growth and valuation expansion if the turnaround plan is successful [6][7]. Realty Income - Realty Income, a REIT known for monthly dividend payments, has experienced modest gains in 2025 due to uncertainty surrounding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [8]. - If interest rates decline further in 2026, Realty Income could see a significant re-rating to the upside, enhancing its cash flow and securing its dividend [7]. Oneok - Oneok, a midstream energy company, is expected to benefit from increased cash flow, indicating a secure dividend and potential share price growth [7].
UBS Maintains Neutral Rating on Conagra Brands (CAG)
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-02 14:44
Core Viewpoint - Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE:CAG) is currently facing challenges, with a recent price target cut by UBS and a decline in net sales reported for fiscal Q2 2026 [1][2]. Financial Performance - For fiscal Q2 2026, Conagra reported a net sales drop of 6.8%, with organic net sales decreasing by 3.0% [2]. - The reported diluted net loss per share was $1.39, primarily due to non-cash goodwill and brand impairment charges, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) stood at $0.45 [3]. - The operating margin for the quarter was reported at 20.1%, with an adjusted operating margin of 11.3% [2]. Sales Dynamics - The decline in organic net sales was attributed to flat price/mix and a 3.0% decrease in volume, alongside a headwind of approximately 100 basis points from changes in retailer purchasing activity [4]. - Price/mix was further impacted by a 60 basis point headwind related to changes in estimates for fiscal 2025's trade expense accrual and an unfavorable product mix [5]. Guidance and Outlook - Conagra reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, expecting an adjusted operating margin between approximately 11.0% and 11.5%, and adjusted EPS between $1.70 and $1.85 [5]. Company Overview - Conagra Brands operates in three segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, and International, with a brand portfolio that includes Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, and BOOMCHICKAPOP [6].
“Conagra (CAG)’s Quarter Was Just Okay,” Says Jim Cramer
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-27 09:20
Company Overview - Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE:CAG) is a consumer packaged goods company [2] Earnings Report and Analyst Reactions - After reporting its second-quarter earnings in December, RBC Capital reduced its share price target for Conagra from $22 to $20 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating, citing one-time and transient issues that are expected to resolve in upcoming quarters [2] - Evercore ISI also lowered its price target from $23 to $22, keeping an In Line rating, noting turmoil in Conagra's frozen food business due to high prices and tariffs, but anticipating improvement in the second half of fiscal year 2026 [2] - Goldman Sachs cut its price target from $18 to $16 on November 25th, maintaining a Sell rating on the shares [2] Jim Cramer's Commentary - Jim Cramer commented that Conagra's recent quarter performance was "just okay" and highlighted concerns regarding rising cattle prices impacting the company [3] - Cramer has previously expressed reluctance to invest in companies with stagnant revenues over the years [2][3]