Core Insights - Casey's General Stores has launched its retail media network, Casey's Access, in early 2023, capitalizing on the emerging advertising channel in the convenience store industry [2] - The partnership with GSTV aims to enhance Casey's Access by providing branded video content at fuel dispensers across 2,900 locations, significantly expanding its advertising capabilities [6] Group 1: Retail Media Network Development - Casey's Access has collected over six billion data points from shopper interactions since its inception [2] - The network features various advertising formats, including display ads, sponsored products, app takeovers, and AI-enabled audio [2] - The partnership with GSTV will add branded video content to Casey's Access, enhancing customer experience and influencing purchase decisions [3][4] Group 2: Partnership with GSTV - GSTV's network includes major convenience and fuel retailers, reaching over 115 million adults monthly across approximately 29,000 locations in the U.S. [4] - The collaboration will increase Casey's digital screen count to over 30,000 across its stores once fully rolled out [6] - The addition of Casey's to GSTV's national network is expected to benefit brand advertisers looking to expand their reach in the convenience channel [5]

Company Overview - Casey's General Stores was founded in 1959 and went public in 1983, operating primarily in the Midwest with 2,895 stores as of July [3][4] - The company has achieved significant stock appreciation, with a 289 times return since 1990, outperforming the S&P 500's 37 times return [4] Business Model - Casey's combines gas stations, convenience stores, and quick-service food effectively, focusing on fresh food offerings, particularly pizza, which has made it the fifth-largest pizza chain in the U.S. [7][8] - Inside store sales accounted for 27% of total revenues and 63% of total gross profits in the last quarter, highlighting the profitability of its business model [9] Competitive Advantages - The ability to sell fresh food allows Casey's to offer competitive gasoline prices, driving traffic to its stores [10] - The company has vertically integrated its operations, owning major distribution centers and a significant portion of its fuel delivery tankers, which helps streamline costs [11] - Casey's has achieved 6.7% operating margins and a 17.1% return on equity, which are impressive figures for a convenience store business [12] Growth Potential - Despite its past success, Casey's still has growth opportunities, with 75% of towns between 500 and 20,000 residents within 500 miles of its distribution centers lacking a Casey's store [16] - The convenience store industry remains fragmented, allowing Casey's to acquire smaller stores and expand its market share [17] Investment Perspective - Casey's stock is currently trading at 36 times earnings, but long-term investors may find value in its growth potential, with a market cap of over $20 billion [18]

Market Overview - The market is experiencing new all-time highs, driven by positive news from Nvidia and Intel, contributing to a strong sentiment across the NASDAQ and broader market [2][3] - Manufacturing data shows signs of improvement, with yields ticking higher, indicating a balanced labor market and supporting upward market momentum [3] Valero Energy - Valero Energy has reached a new 52-week high, trading around 165, despite crude oil prices being relatively stable [4][5] - The recommended trade involves buying an October call spread (165-175) for approximately $2.95, aiming for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio while defining downside risk [5] - Technical analysis indicates a breakout above previous resistance at 155, with the old resistance now acting as support [6][9] Workday - Workday has gained attention following Elliot Investment Management's $2 billion stake and subsequent analyst upgrades, suggesting a potential breakout from its recent trading range [12][18] - The proposed trade is to buy an October call spread (240-260) while selling a 220 put, allowing for upside capture and potential stock acquisition at a lower price if weakness occurs [13][21] - Technical indicators suggest a breakout is imminent, with key levels at 240 and 260 aligning with moving averages and volume profiles [17][18] Casey's General Stores - Casey's has received a price target increase from Evercore ISI, now set at 580, with current trading around 552 [18][19] - The trade strategy involves buying the stock and selling a February 600 call to manage long-term exposure and defer tax consequences [21] - Chart analysis shows a strong upward trend following earnings, with significant resistance levels around 527 and 571, indicating potential volatility [23][25]

Industry Overview - The holiday shopping season is crucial for retailers, with economic factors like persistent inflation and trade policies impacting revenues [1] - Deloitte projects U.S. holiday retail sales to increase by 2.9% to 3.4%, totaling approximately $1.61 trillion to $1.62 trillion, indicating a slower growth rate compared to the previous year's 4.2% [2][9] - E-commerce is expected to grow significantly, with a forecasted increase of 7% to 9%, leading to total online sales between $305 billion and $310.7 billion [4][9] Company Insights - **SharkNinja, Inc. (SN)**: Anticipated to benefit from consumer demand for value-driven deals, with a growth model focused on product innovation and a diversified supply chain. The Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests sales and EPS growth of 14.4% and 15.6%, respectively [3][10][11] - **Genesco Inc. (GCO)**: Experiencing strong momentum at Journeys, with a refreshed product mix and brand storytelling. The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates sales and EPS growth of 3% and 67%, respectively [12][13] - **Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY)**: Leveraging scale and digital engagement to enhance its position in convenience retail, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasting sales and EPS growth of 10.7% and 8.7%, respectively [14][15] - **Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM)**: Focused on organic products and customer engagement through loyalty programs, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate suggesting sales and EPS growth of 15.7% and 40.8%, respectively [16][17]

Core Insights - Casey's General Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASY) reported Q1 2026 results with revenue of $4.57 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $4.47 billion, and EPS exceeded consensus estimates by 15% [2] - The strong performance was driven by robust same-store sales growth and an increase of 200 stores compared to the previous year [2] - Following the positive quarter, analysts raised the price target for Casey's stock from $560 to $580, reflecting increased confidence in the company's growth prospects [3] Company Overview - Casey's General Stores, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is a major convenience store chain primarily located in the Midwestern and Southern United States [4] - The company is particularly recognized for its fresh, prepared food offerings, including its popular made-from-scratch pizzas [4] Market Sentiment - Jim Cramer labeled Casey's as his "absolute favorite under-the-radar growth stock," indicating strong market sentiment towards the company [3] - The Insider Monkey database noted that 47 hedge funds have invested in Casey's, showcasing significant confidence in its future growth [3]

Market Environment - The current market environment is challenging for investors, characterized by falling bond yields and mixed economic data, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield declining to 4.019% and the 30-year yield reaching 4.651% [2] - There is a 95% probability of a quarter-point reduction in interest rates at the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting on September 16-17, indicating market anticipation for a potential interest rate cut [2] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index in August increased by 0.4%, which is double the growth compared to the previous month, while annual inflation remains at 2.9% [3] - Weekly jobless claims reached 263,000, the highest level since October 2021, raising concerns about the labor market [3] - Analysts suggest these indicators support at least a 25-basis-point cut, with a possibility of a 50-point move [3] Jim Cramer's Stock Picks - The article presents 12 stock picks from Jim Cramer, host of CNBC's Mad Money, aimed at helping investors make informed decisions under current macroeconomic conditions [4] - The selection criteria for the stocks include recent mentions by Jim Cramer and the number of hedge funds holding these stocks as of Q2 2025 [6] Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) - Phillips 66 is included in the stock picks, with 47 hedge funds holding stakes in the company, indicating strong institutional interest [8][11] - The company reported a record-high refining utilization rate of 98% and an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1 billion in its Midstream segment, moving towards a $4.5 billion annual EBITDA target by 2027 [9] - Phillips 66 is looking to purchase liquefied natural gas from the U.S. through long-term contracts, with Piper Sandler raising the stock's price target from $144 to $154 [10] Casey's General Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASY) - Casey's General Stores also has 47 hedge funds invested, reflecting strong confidence in its growth prospects [13][15] - The company reported Q1 2026 revenue of $4.57 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $4.47 billion, with EPS beating consensus estimates by 15% [14] - Following a strong quarter, analysts raised the price target from $560 to $580, with Jim Cramer calling it his 'absolute favorite under-the-radar growth stock' [15] EMCOR Group, Inc. (NYSE:EME) - EMCOR Group has 51 hedge funds holding its stock, and its price target has been significantly raised after reporting Q2 2025 revenue of $4.30 billion, a 17.4% year-over-year increase [17][18] - The company revised its revenue guidance for 2025 upwards, indicating a strong outlook supported by high remaining performance obligations [19] - Analysts have raised the price target for EMCOR Group, with DA Davidson increasing it from $515 to $725, suggesting potential growth ahead [19]

Core Insights - Fast-food restaurants are losing breakfast customers to convenience stores, with morning meal traffic to fast-food chains rising only 1% while visits to food-forward convenience stores increased by 9% in the three months ending in July [1][2] Industry Trends - Convenience stores have been gaining market share in the foodservice sector, particularly in the breakfast category, driven by "food-forward convenience stores" [2][4] - The overall foodservice sales for convenience stores reached $121 billion in 2024, indicating a significant growth in this segment [13] Competitive Landscape - Fast-food chains like McDonald's have seen a decline in breakfast traffic, with visits falling from 33.5% of total traffic in the first half of 2019 to 29.9% in the first half of 2025 [7] - Convenience store chains such as Wawa and Casey's General Store are expanding their foodservice options and have seen customer growth, with Wawa's customer base increasing by 11.5% since 2022 [15] Consumer Behavior - A survey indicated that 72% of consumers now view convenience stores as a viable alternative to fast-food chains, up from 56% a year ago [14] - 48% of respondents reported that when they choose breakfast from a convenience store, they are replacing a visit to a fast-food restaurant [16] Product Offerings - Convenience stores are diversifying their offerings beyond traditional items, providing a wider range of options such as breakfast sandwiches, energy drinks, and healthy snacks, which appeals to consumers [18] - Casey's breakfast pizza has gained popularity, contributing to the chain's same-store sales growth of 5.6% for prepared food and beverages for the three months ending July 31 [20]

Group 1 - The analyst assigned a hold rating to Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) in July due to valuation concerns despite solid fundamentals [1] - The investment approach focuses on identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential, emphasizing value investing principles [1] - The strategy involves purchasing quality companies at a discount to their intrinsic value and holding them for long-term earnings and shareholder returns [1]

Group 1 - The analyst assigned a hold rating to Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) in July due to valuation concerns despite solid fundamentals [1] - The investment approach focuses on identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential, emphasizing value investing principles [1] - The strategy involves purchasing quality companies at a discount to their intrinsic value and holding them for long-term earnings and shareholder returns [1]

Group 1 - Casey's General Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASY) has seen a stock price increase of nearly 2400% over the past 20 years, indicating strong long-term growth potential [1] - The stock has risen 94% in the last two years, outperforming the S&P 500, which highlights its strong performance in the market [1] - The company targets smaller markets with gas stations and convenience stores that offer fresh hot food, which has contributed to its growth from a regional to a national player [1] Group 2 - Casey's operates convenience stores that provide a variety of prepared foods, beverages, snacks, and fuel, along with additional services like ATMs and car washes [2]