Gates Industrial (GTES) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 30, 2025 11:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsRich Kwas - VP - IR & StrategyIvo Jurek - CEOBrooks Mallard - EVP & CFONigel Coe - Managing DirectorDeane Dray - Managing DirectorJeffrey Hammond - Managing DirectorZach Walljasper - Equity Research AssociateDavid Raso - Senior Managing Director - EquitiesConference Call ParticipantsJulian Mitchell - Equity Research Analyst - US IndustrialsMichael Halloran - Senior Research Analyst & Associate Director - ResearchOper ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales for the second quarter were $884 million, representing a 0.6% decline on a core basis [8] - Adjusted EBITDA was $199 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.5%, a decrease of 30 basis points [10] - Adjusted earnings per share increased by approximately 8% to $0.39 [10] - Free cash flow grew year over year to $74 million, representing 73% conversion to adjusted net income [20] - Net leverage ratio declined to 2.2 times, improving by 0.1 times compared to the prior year [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Power Transmission segment, revenues were $550 million, with high single-digit growth in industrial OEM sales offset by a decline in automotive OEM sales [11] - The Fluid Power segment reported sales of $334 million, translating to a 2.5% decrease on a core basis, with mixed end market dynamics [12] - Personal mobility grew 18% in the quarter, while the industrial replacement channel realized positive core growth for the first time since Q1 2023 [9][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America core sales declined 1.3%, primarily affected by lower OEM demand [15] - EMEA core sales fell just over 1%, with OEM sales down mid single digits [16] - East Asia and India posted approximately 4% core growth, with growth across all industrial end markets [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing well in an uncertain macro environment and is preparing for an anticipated acceleration in core growth over the mid-term [29] - Investments in commercial front-end and innovation are aimed at capitalizing on strategic growth opportunities [11][28] - The company anticipates that investments in new belts and sprockets will bring belt drives closer to cost parity with chains, unlocking potential market growth [30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the recovery of personal mobility and anticipates growth to inflect higher in the second half of the year [29] - The company is seeing stability in agricultural markets and expects further opportunities in the industrial off-road market [29] - Management highlighted the importance of improving gross margins through material cost savings and productivity [30] Other Important Information - The company updated its 2025 guidance, raising the adjusted EBITDA midpoint to $780 million and adjusted EPS midpoint to $1.48 [7][22] - The anticipated annualized impact of tariffs is approximately $50 million, with plans to cover 85% to 90% of the projected impact through pricing and operational actions [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confidence in growth pivot in Q3 - Management indicated that order rates have been as anticipated, with improvements in industrial replacement and personal mobility driving confidence in growth rates [36][38] Question: Data center market opportunity - Management expressed a more bullish view on the data center market, anticipating significant revenue growth driven by liquid cooling adoption [40] Question: Auto OE softness and selective participation - Management confirmed that the softness is primarily due to lower production, particularly in Europe, and emphasized their strategy of selective participation in the auto OE market [46][47] Question: Chain to belt conversion cost parity - Management noted that they are making meaningful progress towards cost parity between belt drives and chain drives, which is expected to accelerate market adoption [50][51] Question: Industrial recovery signs - Management highlighted stability in agricultural markets and improvements in industrial replacement order rates, while noting ongoing challenges in construction and on-highway markets [58][59] Question: Buyback and free cash flow confidence - Management confirmed a balanced approach to capital deployment, focusing on debt reduction while also considering stock buybacks due to undervaluation [62][63] Question: EBITDA margin outlook - Management confirmed expectations of high operating leverage in the second half of the year, with continued focus on core growth and enterprise initiatives [70][71]

Financial Performance - Net sales reached $884 million[14], with a core sales decline of 0.6% year-over-year[15] - Adjusted EBITDA was $199 million[16], representing a 22.5% adjusted EBITDA margin[17] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 8.3% year-over-year to $0.39[18] - Gross margin stood at 40.8%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter above 40%[20] Segment Performance - Power Transmission net sales were $550 million[27], with core sales growth of 0.6% year-over-year and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.3%[23], a decrease of 50 bps year-over-year[23] - Fluid Power net sales were $334 million[25], with a core sales decline of 2.5% year-over-year and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.9%[25], an increase of 10 bps year-over-year[28] Regional Performance - Greater China experienced core revenue growth of 0.6%[30], while East Asia & India grew by 4.4%[30] - North America and EMEA both saw core revenue declines of 1.3%[30], and South America declined by 2.9%[30] Capital Efficiency and Cash Flow - Free cash flow was $74 million[39], showing an 11% year-over-year improvement[42] - Net leverage improved to 2.2x[41] - LTM free cash flow conversion increased to 79.9%[92] Guidance - The company raised its adjusted EBITDA midpoint by $15 million and adjusted EPS by $0.04[12] - Core revenue growth outlook is maintained at 0.5% to 2.5%[43] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected between $765 million and $795 million[43] - Adjusted EPS is expected to be in the range of $1.44 to $1.52[43]

Gates Industrial (GTES) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.39 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate . This compares to earnings of $0.36 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. A quarter ago, it was expected that this manufacturer of power transmission and fluid power systems would post earnings of $0.33 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.36, delivering a surprise of +9.09%.Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus E ...

Gates Industrial Corporation plc (NYSE:GTES), a leading global provider of application-specific fluid power and power transmission solutions, today reported results for the second quarter ended June 28, 2025. Second-Quarter 2025 Financial Summary Ivo Jurek, Gates Industrial's Chief Executive Officer, commented, "In the second quarter, our team delivered solid results. The Replacement channels generated positive core sales growth and our Mobility business increased double-digits. Also, we realized growth in ...

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: Gates Industrial (GTES) - Gates Industrial currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a positive momentum outlook [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] Performance Metrics - GTES shares have increased by 1.79% over the past week, while the Zacks Manufacturing - General Industrial industry has seen a slight decline of 0.01% [5] - Over the past month, GTES has shown a price change of 11.34%, outperforming the industry's 5.09% [5] - In the last quarter, GTES shares have risen by 40.62%, and over the past year, they have gained 39.82%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's increases of 19.12% and 11.85% respectively [6] Trading Volume - The average 20-day trading volume for GTES is 1,566,129 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, one earnings estimate for GTES has increased, while none have decreased, raising the consensus estimate from $1.42 to $1.43 [9] - For the next fiscal year, one estimate has also moved upwards with no downward revisions noted [9] Conclusion - Given the positive performance metrics and earnings outlook, GTES is positioned as a 2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a strong candidate for near-term investment [11]

Company Overview - Gates Industrial Corporation plc is a global manufacturer specializing in innovative, highly engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions [2] - The company offers a broad portfolio of products catering to diverse replacement channel customers and OEMs, participating in various sectors of industrial and consumer markets [2] - Gates' products are essential in a wide range of applications across different end markets, including harsh industries and everyday consumer applications, and are sold in over 130 countries [2] Upcoming Earnings Release - Gates Industrial will issue its second-quarter earnings release before the market opens on July 30, 2025 [1] - Management will host a webcast and conference call on the same day at 11:30 a.m. Eastern time to discuss the financial results [1] - An audio replay of the conference call will be available from approximately 2:30 p.m. Eastern time on July 30, 2025, until 11:59 p.m. Eastern time on August 6, 2025 [1][3]

DRIVEN BY POSSIBILITY MARCH 2025 LEGAL DISCLAIMERS 2 The information in this presentation is as of March 21, 2025, unless otherwise noted. CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. In some cases, you can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of words such as "outlook," "believes," "expe ...

Gates Industrial (GTES) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Gates Industrial Corporation (GTES) - **Conference Date**: May 21, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **Automotive Replacement**: Strong performance noted, particularly in North America and China, driven by new customer acquisitions and high used car sales prices [2][9] - **Mobility Sector**: Experienced double-digit growth, especially in e-bikes, with a positive outlook for continued strength [3][4] - **Industrial Recovery**: Gradual recovery observed, particularly in Asia, but tempered expectations for growth due to global trade uncertainties [6][12] - **Geographical Performance**: - **North America**: Positive trends in automotive replacement; industrial side expected to be challenging [11] - **EMEA**: Slight decline of 1% in Q1, but mobility business expected to provide tailwinds [3][11] - **Asia**: Positive core growth in China and India, with signs of industrial recovery [12][14] Financial Performance and Guidance - **Q1 Performance**: Exceeded expectations with a 1.5% organic growth; Q2 guidance remains flattish [1][5] - **Full Year Guidance**: Targeting approximately 1.5% organic growth for the year, with expectations for acceleration in the second half [17][21] - **Pricing Strategy**: Implemented $40 million in price increases to offset tariffs, anticipating some demand headwinds [20][27] Operational Challenges and Strategies - **Inventory Levels**: Destocking in agriculture and construction sectors is nearing completion, with confidence in distribution inventory levels [22][23] - **Tariff Impact**: Ongoing adjustments to pricing strategies in response to tariffs, with a focus on maintaining margin neutrality [29][34] - **Debt Management**: Aiming to reduce gross debt below $2 billion while balancing stock buybacks and potential M&A opportunities [46][48] M&A and Growth Opportunities - **M&A Strategy**: Open to strategic acquisitions that align with growth objectives, particularly in underrepresented segments or geographies [49][52] - **Data Center Market**: Targeting $100 to $200 million in incremental revenue by 2027, focusing on organic growth through existing product lines [41][42] Conclusion - **Outlook**: Gates Industrial remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, particularly in automotive replacement and mobility sectors, while navigating challenges in industrial recovery and global trade dynamics. The company is committed to strategic pricing, operational efficiencies, and exploring M&A opportunities to enhance its market position [35][54]

Core Insights - Gates Industrial (GTES) reported revenue of $847.6 million for Q1 2025, a year-over-year decline of 1.7%, with an EPS of $0.36 compared to $0.31 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $826.29 million, resulting in a surprise of +2.58%, while the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.33 by +9.09% [1] Financial Performance - Net Sales in Fluid Power amounted to $320.40 million, slightly below the two-analyst average estimate of $321.85 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of -2.9% [4] - Net Sales in Power Transmission reached $527.20 million, exceeding the two-analyst average estimate of $504.44 million, with a year-over-year change of -1.1% [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Fluid Power was reported at $70.60 million, below the average estimate of $72.10 million [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Power Transmission was $116.70 million, surpassing the average estimate of $109.91 million [4] Stock Performance - Gates Industrial shares have returned -3.2% over the past month, compared to a -0.2% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]