Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts' recommendations significantly influence investor decisions, particularly regarding Newmont Corporation (NEM), but the reliability of these recommendations is questionable [1][5]. Group 1: Brokerage Recommendations - Newmont has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.76, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on 21 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 21 recommendations, 13 are Strong Buy and one is Buy, representing 61.9% and 4.8% of total recommendations respectively [2]. Group 2: Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Solely relying on brokerage recommendations for investment decisions may not be advisable, as studies show they often fail to guide investors effectively towards stocks with high price appreciation potential [5]. - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, issuing five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][10]. Group 3: Zacks Rank as an Alternative - Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, categorizes stocks from Strong Buy to Strong Sell and is based on earnings estimate revisions, which correlate strongly with near-term stock price movements [8][11]. - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently than the ABR, reflecting timely changes in earnings estimates and business trends [13]. Group 4: Newmont's Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Newmont has increased by 3.4% over the past month to $4.32, indicating growing optimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [14]. - This increase in consensus estimates, along with other factors, has led to a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) for Newmont, suggesting a favorable investment outlook [15].

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) is identified as a strong momentum stock with a Zacks Momentum Style Score of A and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating potential for significant near-term gains [2][3][11] Momentum Characteristics - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] - NEM's shares have increased by 0.57% over the past week, while the Zacks Mining - Gold industry has declined by 2.5% during the same period [5] - Over the last quarter, NEM's shares have risen by 23.16%, and by 39.58% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which has moved 6.75% and 11.69% respectively [6] Trading Volume - NEM's average 20-day trading volume is 12,224,066 shares, indicating a bullish sign as the stock is rising with above-average volume [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, four earnings estimates for NEM have been revised upwards, with no downward revisions, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $3.77 to $4.32 for the full year [9] - For the next fiscal year, four estimates have also moved upwards without any downward revisions [9] Conclusion - Given the strong momentum indicators and positive earnings outlook, NEM is positioned as a promising investment opportunity [11]

Core Insights - Newmont Corporation (NEM) is strategically reshaping its portfolio by divesting non-core assets to focus on Tier-1 operations, completing its divestiture program in April 2025 with significant cash proceeds [1][2] - The total gross proceeds from divestitures are projected to reach $4.3 billion, which includes $3.8 billion from non-core divestitures and $527 million from other investments [1][7] - The divestments have led to a $1 billion reduction in gross debt and a record first-quarter free cash flow of $1.2 billion, enhancing the company's financial position [2][7] Financial Performance - NEM's shares have increased by 59.8% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 54.4%, primarily due to a rally in gold prices [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for NEM indicate a projected growth of 20.1% year over year in 2025, with estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [7][9] Competitive Landscape - Other companies in the industry, such as Barrick Mining Corporation and Kinross Gold Corporation, have also divested non-core assets to focus on Tier-1 operations, indicating a broader trend in the mining sector [4][5] - Barrick has completed several divestitures, including the sale of its 50% interest in the Donlin Gold Project, while Kinross has streamlined its portfolio by selling Russian assets and interests in Ghana [4][5] Valuation Metrics - NEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.46, which is approximately 3.6% lower than the industry average of 13.96 [8] - The company holds a Value Score of B, reflecting its competitive positioning in the market [8]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook driven by rising earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][4][6]. Earnings Estimates and Ratings - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in a company's earnings picture, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate tracking EPS estimates from sell-side analysts [2]. - The Zacks rating upgrade for Newmont reflects an optimistic earnings outlook, likely leading to increased buying pressure and a rise in stock price [4][6]. - Newmont's earnings estimates have seen a significant increase, with a 31.4% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past three months, projecting earnings of $4.18 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, showing no year-over-year change [9]. Impact of Institutional Investors - Changes in earnings estimates are strongly correlated with stock price movements, largely due to institutional investors who adjust their valuations based on these estimates [5]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically results in higher fair value for a stock, prompting institutional investors to buy or sell, which in turn affects stock prices [5]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [8]. - Only the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks receive a "Strong Buy" rating, indicating superior earnings estimate revisions and potential for market-beating returns [10][11].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Mining - Gold industry is experiencing a positive outlook, driven by a 28.5% increase in gold prices this year, supported by geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases [1][4] - The industry involves complex processes of gold extraction from both underground and open-pit mines, requiring significant financial resources and time [3] Major Trends - Gold prices are expected to continue rising due to a demand-supply imbalance, with central banks accumulating gold reserves and prices reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April [4][6] - The industry faces challenges such as high production costs and a shortage of skilled labor, prompting companies to adopt cost-reduction strategies and digital innovations [5] Demand & Supply Dynamics - The industry is threatened by depleting resources and declining supply from old mines, leading miners to focus on acquisitions rather than new explorations [6] - Consumer demand for gold is strong, particularly in India and China, which account for about 50% of global demand, further supporting price increases [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Mining - Gold Industry has outperformed both the broader sector and the S&P 500, with a collective growth of 53.9% over the past year compared to a 3.5% decline in the sector [9] - The industry currently trades at an EV/EBITDA of 8.06X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 16.87X, indicating potential undervaluation [12] Company Highlights - **Franco-Nevada (FNV)**: The company has a strong portfolio of streaming and royalty agreements, is debt-free, and has seen a 7.5% share price increase over the past three months [18][19] - **Newmont (NEM)**: Following its acquisition of Newcrest Mining, Newmont has a robust portfolio and has gained 23% in share price recently, with a focus on expanding production capacity [22][23] - **Kinross Gold (KGC)**: The company has a strong production profile and has gained 26.7% in share price, with key development projects expected to boost production [26][27] - **Eldorado Gold (EGO)**: The company is set to increase annual gold production significantly by 2027, with shares rising 31.8% in the past three months [31] - **New Gold (NGD)**: The company has consolidated its interest in the New Afton mine and projects a 37% increase in gold production by 2027, with shares up 50% recently [33][34]

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation's shares have increased by 22% over the past three months, driven by rising gold prices amid trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties, particularly due to the Israel-Iran conflict [1][7]. Performance Comparison - NEM stock has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 17% rise and the S&P 500's increase of 5.7% [2]. - Among peers, Barrick Mining Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, and Kinross Gold Corporation have gained 9.6%, 16.4%, and 26% respectively during the same period [2]. Technical Indicators - Technical indicators show bullish momentum for NEM, with the stock trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA), indicating a long-term uptrend [5]. Financial Strength - Newmont generated a record $1.2 billion in free cash flow in Q1 2025, showcasing solid financial strength [7]. - The company has a liquidity position of $8.8 billion, including cash and cash equivalents of approximately $4.7 billion [13]. - Operating cash flow from continuing operations increased by roughly 162% year-over-year to around $2 billion in Q1 2025 [13]. Growth Projects and Acquisitions - Newmont is pursuing several growth projects, including the Tanami Expansion 2 in Australia and the Ahafo North expansion in Ghana, aimed at expanding production capacity and extending mine life [10]. - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has created a leading portfolio with a multi-decade production profile, expected to deliver significant shareholder value and synergies of $500 million annually [11]. Divestitures - Newmont has divested non-core assets, generating total after-tax cash proceeds of approximately $2.55 billion from various sales [12]. Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have increased by roughly 29% this year, reaching a record high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22, 2025, driven by global trade tensions and central bank purchases [14][16]. - Currently, gold prices are hovering near $3,400 per ounce, supported by safe-haven demand due to geopolitical uncertainties [16]. Dividend and Earnings Estimates - NEM offers a dividend yield of 1.7% with a payout ratio of 24%, indicating a sustainable dividend [17]. - Earnings estimates for 2025 have been revised higher, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate suggesting a year-over-year growth of 20.1% [18]. Valuation - NEM stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 13.21X, which is about 7% lower than the industry average of 14.21X [20]. Investment Outlook - Newmont presents an attractive investment case backed by a robust portfolio of growth projects, strong performance of Tier 1 assets, and solid financial health, making it a prudent choice for investors [23].

Group 1: Newmont Corporation Performance - Newmont Corporation reported a decline in gold production for Q1 2025, with a year-over-year decrease of approximately 8% and a sequential decline of 19%, totaling 1.54 million ounces due to strategic divestment of non-core assets [1][7] - The company anticipates maintaining its expected gold production for 2025 at about 5.9 million ounces, with Q2 production expected to be relatively flat compared to Q1, as gains from some mines will be offset by declines in others [2][7] - Newmont's shift to a high-quality, Tier-1 portfolio is a long-term strategy aimed at reliability and efficiency, but uncertainties remain regarding the ability of these mines to ramp up production sufficiently to meet full-year targets [5] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Barrick Mining Corporation experienced a significant decline in gold production in Q1 2025, with a 19% drop year-over-year and a 30% fall from the previous quarter, primarily due to operational challenges and disputes with the Malian government [3] - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited saw a modest year-over-year decline of around 0.5% in gold production, totaling 873,794 ounces, but remains on track to meet its 2025 production target of approximately 3.3-3.5 million ounces [4] Group 3: Market and Valuation Insights - Newmont's shares have increased by 57.2% year-to-date, slightly underperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 58.5%, driven largely by a rally in gold prices [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Newmont's earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 20.1% for 2025 and 11.7% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [8] - Newmont is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.28, which is about 7.8% lower than the industry average of 14.4X, and carries a Value Score of B [10]

Core Viewpoint - Inflection Resources Ltd. has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a 100% interest in a portfolio of Australian copper-gold exploration projects from Newmont Corporation, which includes the Tennant East and Bell River projects, indicating a strategic expansion in high-potential mineral exploration [1][3][8]. Group 1: Project Details - The Bell River project spans approximately 115 km² and is located in the Macquarie Arc, known for its rich porphyry copper-gold deposits, situated 65 km north of Newmont's Cadia mine [5][8]. - Significant geological features at Bell River include advanced argillic alteration zones and high gold values of up to 40.8 g/t, with copper content reaching 1% in surface rock samples [6][7]. - The Tennant East project covers around 4,200 km² and consists of twelve exploration licenses, targeting Iron Oxide Copper Gold (IOCG) mineralization with minimal prior exploration [13][15]. Group 2: Acquisition Terms - For the Bell River project, Inflection will issue 1,000,000 common shares to Newmont and make a one-time payment of AUD$2.5 million upon completion of a JORC or NI43-101 compliant Pre-Feasibility Study, plus AUD$5.0 million upon the start of commercial production [21]. - The Tennant East project acquisition involves issuing 250,000 common shares and reimbursing Newmont for tenement renewal fees, with Newmont retaining a 1.5% net smelter return (NSR) royalty [22]. Group 3: Exploration Strategy - Inflection's exploration strategy will focus on systematic reviews of previous exploration data, geological interpretation, and the integration of geological, geochemical, and geophysical data to identify potential mineralization [20]. - The company aims to explore the newly acquired projects in parallel with its existing exploration programs funded by AngloGold Ashanti, leveraging its systematic exploration approach [3][8].

Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corporation (NEM) has reached a significant support level and shows potential for investors from a technical perspective, indicated by a recent break above the 20-day moving average suggesting a short-term bullish trend [1] Technical Analysis - The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is a popular trading tool that reflects a stock's price over a 20-day period, smoothing out short-term price trends and providing trend reversal signals [2] - A stock price above the 20-day SMA indicates a positive trend, while a price below it can signal a downward trend [2] Performance Metrics - Over the past four weeks, NEM has gained 9.6%, and it currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating strong potential for further upward movement [4] - There have been 6 upward revisions in earnings estimates for the current fiscal year, with no downward revisions, leading to an increased consensus estimate [4] Investment Outlook - Given the key technical level and positive earnings estimate revisions, NEM is positioned for potential gains in the near future [5]

Core Insights - Newmont Corporation's first-quarter 2025 results indicate significant increases in unit costs, with gold costs applicable to sales rising 16% year over year to $1,227 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs (AISC) reaching $1,651 per ounce, reflecting a 13% sequential and 15% year-over-year increase [1][6] Cost Trends - Newmont expects gold AISC for its total portfolio to be $1,630 per ounce in 2025, up from $1,516 per ounce in 2024, driven by increased direct operating costs and inflation [2][6] - Higher labor costs, which account for about half of Newmont's direct costs, are a significant concern, alongside rising materials and contract services costs [2][6] - The company anticipates unit costs for the second quarter to be similar to or slightly higher than the first quarter due to increased sustaining capital spending, which is expected to peak in the second quarter [2] Peer Comparisons - Barrick Mining Corporation experienced a 22% sequential increase in AISC to $1,775 per ounce, influenced by operational challenges and lower production [3] - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported a slight decline in AISC of 0.6% in the first quarter but projects an increase for the remainder of 2025, with total cash costs per ounce expected between $915 and $965 [4] Market Performance - Newmont's shares have increased by 43.2% year to date, compared to a 48.1% rise in the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, largely due to a rally in gold prices [5] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.12, which is approximately 9.6% below the industry average of 13.4X, and holds a Value Score of A [9] Earnings Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Newmont's earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 20.1% for 2025 and 11.7% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [10]