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Nextracker (NXT) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-09-09 22:46
Company Performance - Nextracker (NXT) closed at $64.33, reflecting a -7.78% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.27% [1] - Over the last month, Nextracker's shares increased by 29.67%, significantly outperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 0.87% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.85% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect Nextracker to report earnings of $0.98 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 1.03% [2] - The consensus estimate projects revenue of $832.73 million, reflecting a 31.02% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $4.07 per share, showing a decrease of -3.55% from the previous year, while revenue is expected to reach $3.33 billion, marking a 12.56% increase [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Nextracker indicate short-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting an optimistic outlook [4] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently ranks Nextracker at 3 (Hold), with a recent consensus EPS projection moving 0.55% lower [6] - Stocks rated 1 in the Zacks Rank have historically delivered an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6] Valuation Metrics - Nextracker has a Forward P/E ratio of 17.16, which is lower than the industry average of 18.01 [7] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.37, compared to the Solar industry's average PEG ratio of 0.7 [7] Industry Context - The Solar industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 38, placing it in the top 16% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Nextracker Announces Acquisition of Origami Solar
Businesswire· 2025-09-08 20:05
Core Insights - Nextracker has acquired Origami Solar for approximately $53 million to expand into the solar panel frame market, focusing on steel frames to enhance installation speed, durability, and reduce carbon footprint [1][5][8] Industry Transition - The shift from aluminum to steel frames is driven by steel's greater strength, competitive cost, and significantly lower carbon intensity, which also supports localized manufacturing [2][5] - Steel frames are expected to unlock innovations in solar panel mounting, including robotic assembly, improving installation speed and reducing labor costs [2] Origami Solar's Technology - Origami Solar's frame designs have undergone four years of development and testing, engineered to replace conventional aluminum frames seamlessly, facilitating rapid adoption of steel frame technology [3][4] - The frames have been tested and qualified by leading panel manufacturers, positioning Nextracker to support rapid scaling with U.S.-based fabrication capacity [3] Market Opportunity - The total addressable market for solar panel frame technology in the U.S. is estimated to exceed $750 million, presenting a substantial business opportunity for Nextracker [5] - Origami Solar aims to commercialize steel frame technology to deliver customer value and benefits, leveraging Nextracker's global supply chain and customer relationships [5]
Why Solar Could Be the Next Big AI Winner
ZACKS· 2025-09-02 19:40
Group 1: Industry Overview - Artificial intelligence is creating significant energy demands, with US data centers projected to consume up to 25% of the nation's electricity capacity by 2030, up from 4% today [1][6] - The potential power demand from US data centers could reach 130 GW by 2030, necessitating substantial investments in energy infrastructure [6] Group 2: Solar Power as a Solution - Solar power is emerging as a key solution to meet the energy needs of hyperscale data centers, with costs for photovoltaic panels having fallen nearly 90% over the last decade [2][5] - Solar is now cheaper than coal or natural gas in many regions, and when combined with modern storage, it can provide reliable 24/7 power [5] Group 3: Investment Opportunities in Solar Stocks - The Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) has seen a 70% decline from its 2021 highs, but momentum is picking up, indicating potential buying opportunities in the sector [3] - Companies like Shoals Technology Group (SHLS), Array Technologies (ARRY), and Nextracker Inc. (NXT) are well-positioned to benefit from the shift towards solar energy [3][21] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - Nextracker Inc. has seen its stock rise over 80% this year, trading at 16.6x forward earnings, and is forming a bullish technical pattern [9][10] - Array Technologies is projected to have earnings growth of 21.6% annually over the next three to five years, with a forward earnings multiple of 14.2x and a PEG ratio of 0.66 [12][13] - Shoals Technologies Group is noted for its high margins and recurring demand, with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) rating and a PEG ratio of 0.75, indicating strong fundamentals [15][16]
Spot Potential Outlier Stocks Like Nextracker Early
FX Empire· 2025-08-29 18:04
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - Users are advised to perform their own research and consider their financial situation before making decisions [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - It encourages users to understand how these instruments work and the associated risks before investing [1].
Nextracker Stock Rockets as AI and Solar Tailwinds Align
MarketBeat· 2025-08-21 15:37
Core Viewpoint - Nextracker is positioned favorably in the solar industry, benefiting from regulatory tailwinds and advancements in technology, particularly in AI, which enhances operational efficiency and product performance [3][4]. Financial Performance - Nextracker reported Q1 revenue of $864 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase and surpassing consensus estimates by nearly 250 basis points [7]. - The company achieved a 25% growth in earnings during Q1, with an adjusted net profit margin of approximately 20% [9]. - Guidance indicates an expected revenue growth of around 15% and flat earnings moving forward [9]. Market Response - Analysts have responded positively, with multiple price target increases and two upgrades, leading to a consensus rating of Moderate Buy [10]. - Guggenheim upgraded the stock to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $74, citing clarity in IRS regulations and significant manufacturing opportunities [11]. Institutional Ownership - Institutional investors own about 68% of Nextracker's stock and have been net buyers, indicating strong market confidence [12]. Pipeline and Growth Potential - The company's backlog has increased to over $4.75 billion, with new business opportunities expected to contribute to future growth [13]. - Recent contracts for 1.5 gW projects in Brazil highlight Nextracker's potential for international expansion, with less than 35% of total business currently coming from international markets [14]. - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with no debt, positioning it well for executing its growth strategy [14].
Nextracker (NXT) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-18 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended fiscal year 2025 with strong results, delivering growth in revenue, profitability, and adjusted free cash flow, while expanding its backlog to record levels [6] - In Q1 of fiscal year 2026, the company reported revenue of $864 million, driven by strong global demand and early contributions from recent acquisitions [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has shipped more than 130 gigawatts of solar tracker systems worldwide, marking its tenth consecutive year as the global leader in solar tracker shipments [5] - Cumulative sales of the NX Earth Truss foundation products have exceeded one gigawatt, indicating growing momentum in this product line [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the first time, the company holds the number one market share in Europe, reflecting its operational resilience and customer service focus [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to build a powerful integrated technology platform that delivers value at every stage of the solar project lifecycle, focusing on execution, innovation, and long-term value creation [7] - The strategy includes integrating engineering-driven mechanical and electrical innovation with digital tools and services to provide operational benefits and long-term economic value for customers [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed excitement about the continued evolution of the company and its commitment to delivering intelligent, reliable, and productive energy solutions [4][6] - The company acknowledges the importance of collaboration with industry partners to realize its vision of a world powered by renewable energy [4] Other Important Information - The company has expanded its supply chain footprint to over 90 major suppliers strategically located across five continents to support growth [5] - The meeting was conducted virtually, allowing more shareholders to participate [8] Q&A Session Summary Question: No questions were submitted during the Q&A session - The company noted that there were no questions received from shareholders during the meeting [22]
Nextracker (NXT) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-18 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended fiscal year 2025 with strong results, delivering growth in revenue, profitability, and adjusted free cash flow while expanding its backlog to record levels [7] - In Q1 of fiscal year 2026, the company reported revenue of $864 million, driven by strong global demand and early contributions from recent acquisitions [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has shipped over 130 gigawatts of solar tracker systems worldwide, marking its tenth consecutive year as the global leader in solar tracker shipments [6] - Cumulative sales of the NX Earth Truss foundation products have exceeded one gigawatt, indicating growing momentum in this product line [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved the number one market share in Europe for the first time, reflecting its operational resilience and customer service focus [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to build a powerful integrated technology platform that delivers value at every stage of the solar project lifecycle, focusing on execution, innovation, and long-term value creation [8] - The strategy includes integrating engineering-driven mechanical and electrical innovation with digital tools and services [6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed excitement about the continued evolution of the company and its commitment to delivering intelligent, reliable, and productive energy solutions [5][8] - The company remains focused on operational resilience and localized supply chain development to support its growth [6] Other Important Information - The company has expanded its supply chain footprint to over 90 major suppliers across five continents to support its growth [6] - The meeting was conducted virtually, allowing more shareholders to participate [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: No questions were submitted during the Q&A session - The company acknowledged the absence of questions and thanked shareholders for attending the meeting [25]
Why Nextracker's Stock Drop Is A Golden Opportunity For Long-Term Investors
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-03 16:11
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of risk management and financial analysis in investment decision-making, highlighting the author's expertise in these areas [1]. Group 1: Expertise and Background - The author has a strong background in finance and risk analysis, holding an MSc in Applied Risk Management and the ACA Certificate Level [1]. - Experience includes diverse roles in leading firms such as EY, PwC, Alpha Bank, and the National Bank of Greece, focusing on risk management, financial analysis, and data science [1]. Group 2: Areas of Interest - Primary areas of interest include risk management, financial analysis, data science, and the impact of economic factors on financial markets [1]. - The author aims to write on topics related to risk assessment, financial modeling, and stock analysis to provide actionable insights for investors [1]. Group 3: Investment Approach - The investment approach is data-driven, focusing on long-term value creation through informed analysis of market trends and risk management practices [1].
Nextracker (NXT) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-08-01 19:55
[PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION](index=4&type=section&id=PART%20I.%20FINANCIAL%20INFORMATION) [Financial Statements](index=4&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Financial%20Statements) The unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the three-month period ended June 27, 2025, show significant year-over-year growth in revenue and net income [Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=4&type=section&id=Unaudited%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) As of June 27, 2025, the company's total assets grew to $3.39 billion from $3.19 billion at March 31, 2025 Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet Highlights (in thousands) | Account | June 27, 2025 | March 31, 2025 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Assets** | **$3,389,939** | **$3,192,516** | | Cash and cash equivalents | $743,402 | $766,103 | | Goodwill | $444,923 | $371,018 | | **Total Liabilities** | **$1,582,795** | **$1,564,386** | | **Total Stockholders' Equity** | **$1,807,144** | **$1,628,130** | [Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Income](index=6&type=section&id=Unaudited%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations%20and%20Comprehensive%20Income) For the three months ended June 27, 2025, Nextracker reported a 20% year-over-year increase in revenue to $864.3 million Statement of Operations Highlights (in thousands, except per share data) | Metric | Q1 FY2026 (ended June 27, 2025) | Q1 FY2025 (ended June 28, 2024) | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Revenue | $864,253 | $719,921 | +20.0% | | Gross Profit | $281,726 | $237,440 | +18.6% | | Operating Income | $186,230 | $160,094 | +16.3% | | Net Income attributable to Nextracker Inc. | $157,183 | $121,700 | +29.2% | | Diluted EPS | $1.04 | $0.84 | +23.8% | [Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=9&type=section&id=Unaudited%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, net cash provided by operating activities was $81.3 million, a decrease from $120.8 million in the same period last year Cash Flow Summary (in thousands) | Activity | Three months ended June 27, 2025 | Three months ended June 28, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $81,324 | $120,846 | | Net cash used in investing activities | ($98,071) | ($113,055) | | Net cash used in financing activities | ($5,954) | ($9,966) | | **Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents** | **($22,701)** | **($2,175)** | [Notes to the Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements](index=10&type=section&id=Notes%20to%20the%20Unaudited%20Condensed%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) The notes detail key accounting policies and provide further information on financial statement line items - The majority of the company's revenue (**$847.3 million** out of **$864.3 million**) is recognized over time rather than at a point in time[42](index=42&type=chunk) - Goodwill increased by **$73.9 million** during the quarter, primarily due to the acquisitions of Bentek Corporation and OnSight Technology, Inc[47](index=47&type=chunk) - The company is involved in several legal proceedings, including a lawsuit filed by former parent Flex Ltd. over a tax distribution and a securities class action lawsuit alleging false and misleading statements[61](index=61&type=chunk)[62](index=62&type=chunk) - The company's effective tax rate for the quarter was **17.7%**, slightly down from **17.9%** in the prior-year period[70](index=70&type=chunk) [Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations](index=20&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Management%27s%20Discussion%20and%20Analysis%20of%20Financial%20Condition%20and%20Results%20of%20Operations) Management attributes the 20% year-over-year revenue growth to a 27% increase in gigawatts (GW) delivered, with strong demand in both the U.S. and international markets [Results of Operations](index=23&type=section&id=Results%20of%20Operations) Revenue increased by $144.3 million (20%) YoY, driven by a 27% increase in GW delivered Key Operational Results (in thousands) | Metric | Q1 FY2026 | Q1 FY2025 | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Revenue | $864,253 | $719,921 | 20% | | Gross Profit | $281,726 | $237,440 | 19% | | Operating Income | $186,230 | $160,094 | 16% | | Net Income | $157,183 | $124,794 | 26% | - Revenue growth was driven by a **27% increase in GW delivered**, with notable strength in Latin America, the Middle East, and Europe[119](index=119&type=chunk) - Cost of sales was reduced by approximately **$93.2 million** related to 45X tax credits earned on U.S. manufactured components, compared to a **$47.0 million** reduction in the prior year[120](index=120&type=chunk) [Non-GAAP Financial Measures](index=23&type=section&id=Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Measures) The company uses non-GAAP measures such as Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income to supplement its GAAP results Reconciliation of GAAP Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA (in thousands) | Line Item | Q1 FY2026 | Q1 FY2025 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **GAAP net income** | **$157,183** | **$124,794** | | Interest, net | ($5,371) | ($1,292) | | Provision for income taxes | $33,784 | $27,152 | | Depreciation expense | $3,730 | $853 | | Intangible amortization | $2,059 | $88 | | Stock-based compensation expense | $22,310 | $21,901 | | Acquisition related costs | $1,079 | $1,480 | | **Adjusted EBITDA** | **$214,774** | **$174,976** | | **Adjusted EBITDA margin** | **24.9%** | **24.3%** | [Liquidity and Capital Resources](index=27&type=section&id=Liquidity%20and%20Capital%20Resources) The company's principal uses of cash are funding operations and R&D - Total liquidity as of June 27, 2025, was approximately **$1.7 billion**[137](index=137&type=chunk) - Net cash from operating activities was **$81.3 million**, down from **$120.8 million** YoY[132](index=132&type=chunk)[133](index=133&type=chunk) - Net cash used in investing activities of **$98.1 million** was primarily for the **$86.8 million** payment for the Bentek and OnSight acquisitions[134](index=134&type=chunk) [Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk](index=28&type=section&id=Item%203.%20Quantitative%20and%20Qualitative%20Disclosures%20About%20Market%20Risk) The company is exposed to market risks primarily from commodity price fluctuations (especially steel), customer concentration, and foreign currency exchange rates - The company's top five largest customers accounted for **37%** of total revenue in Q1 FY2026, down from **43%** in Q1 FY2025. One customer represented **12%** of revenue[143](index=143&type=chunk) - The business is subject to risk from fluctuating market prices of commodity raw materials, particularly steel, and does not enter into hedging arrangements to mitigate this risk[144](index=144&type=chunk) - Disruptions in logistics have increased costs and caused shipment delays, affecting revenue timing and profitability[145](index=145&type=chunk) [Controls and Procedures](index=29&type=section&id=Item%204.%20Controls%20and%20Procedures) Management, including the CEO and CFO, evaluated the company's disclosure controls and procedures and concluded they were effective as of June 27, 2025 - The CEO and CFO concluded that the company's disclosure controls and procedures were effective at a reasonable assurance level as of June 27, 2025[149](index=149&type=chunk) - No changes occurred during the quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the company's internal control over financial reporting[150](index=150&type=chunk) [PART II. OTHER INFORMATION](index=31&type=section&id=PART%20II.%20OTHER%20INFORMATION) [Legal Proceedings](index=31&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Legal%20Proceedings) The company is involved in various legal actions in the ordinary course of business - The company is party to several legal proceedings, which are further detailed in Note 7 of the financial statements[153](index=153&type=chunk)[154](index=154&type=chunk) [Risk Factors](index=31&type=section&id=Item%201A.%20Risk%20Factors) The company faces numerous risks, with significant recent developments in regulatory and trade policy - The newly enacted 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' (OBBBA) on July 4, 2025, materially changes federal renewable energy incentives, notably accelerating the expiration of Section 48E and 45Y tax credits, which could reduce future project volume[181](index=181&type=chunk) - A new U.S. reciprocal tariff regime was announced, including a baseline **10%** tariff and higher country-specific rates, alongside existing **50%** tariffs on steel and aluminum, which could significantly increase production costs[197](index=197&type=chunk)[199](index=199&type=chunk) - The company faces risks from antidumping and countervailing duty (AD/CVD) orders on solar cells and modules from Southeast Asia, which could increase costs for its proprietary modules and impact customer projects[202](index=202&type=chunk)[205](index=205&type=chunk)[206](index=206&type=chunk) - The company has identified new risks related to the development, adoption, and use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in its products and business operations, including potential for flawed algorithms, data privacy issues, and an evolving regulatory landscape[255](index=255&type=chunk)[258](index=258&type=chunk) [Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds](index=60&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Unregistered%20Sales%20of%20Equity%20Securities%20and%20Use%20of%20Proceeds) This item is not applicable for the reporting period - No unregistered sales of equity securities occurred during the period[329](index=329&type=chunk) [Other Information](index=61&type=section&id=Item%205.%20Other%20Information) During the quarter, certain officers, including the CAO and CFO, adopted or terminated Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements for the purchase or sale of the company's Class A common stock - CAO Dave Bennett terminated a Rule 10b5-1 plan on June 9, 2025, and adopted a new one on June 10, 2025. CFO Charles Boynton adopted a Rule 10b5-1 plan on June 13, 2025[332](index=332&type=chunk) [Exhibits](index=62&type=section&id=Item%206.%20Exhibits) This section lists the exhibits filed with the Form 10-Q, including new forms of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreements and certifications by the Principal Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer - The report includes exhibits such as CEO and CFO certifications and forms of equity award agreements under the 2022 Equity Incentive Plan[335](index=335&type=chunk)
Nextracker (NXT) Upgraded to Strong Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-01 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Nextracker (NXT) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [3][5]. - Institutional investors often rely on earnings estimates to determine the fair value of stocks, leading to significant buying or selling activity that affects stock prices [3]. Nextracker's Earnings Outlook - The recent upgrade for Nextracker reflects rising earnings estimates, suggesting an improvement in the company's underlying business, which is expected to drive the stock price higher [4][9]. - Nextracker is projected to earn $3.94 per share for the fiscal year ending March 2026, with no year-over-year change, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 5.1% over the past three months [7]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6]. - Only the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks receive a "Strong Buy" rating, indicating superior earnings estimate revisions, which positions Nextracker favorably for potential market-beating returns [8][9].