Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Ross Stores due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2] Earnings Expectations - Ross Stores is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 9.3% [3] - Revenue projections stand at $5.94 billion, down 1.4% from the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.11% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - A positive Earnings ESP of +1.41% suggests analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [8] - Ross Stores currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, enhancing the likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ross Stores exceeded the expected earnings of $1.39 per share, achieving $1.48, resulting in a surprise of +6.47% [12] - The company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [13] Conclusion - While an earnings beat may not solely dictate stock movement, betting on stocks expected to exceed earnings expectations can increase the odds of success [14][15] - Ross Stores is viewed as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider other influencing factors as well [16]

Core Insights - Ross Stores (ROST) stock closed at $139.73, reflecting a daily increase of +0.46%, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.24% [1] - Over the past month, Ross Stores' stock has decreased by 6.61%, underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's increase of 5.98% and the S&P 500's increase of 2.37% [1] Earnings Report Expectations - Ross Stores is set to release its earnings report on March 4, 2025, with projected earnings of $1.65 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 9.34% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $5.92 billion, which is a decrease of 1.77% compared to the previous year [2] Analyst Estimates and Stock Performance - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Ross Stores are being monitored, as they often reflect changes in near-term business trends [3] - Upward revisions in estimates suggest analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations and profit generation capabilities [3] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), indicates that Ross Stores currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has seen a slight increase of 0.04% [5] Valuation Metrics - Ross Stores has a Forward P/E ratio of 20.83, which is higher than the industry average of 19.02 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 2.13, compared to the Retail-Discount Stores industry's average PEG ratio of 2.08 [6] Industry Context - The Retail-Discount Stores industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 31, placing it in the top 13% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Ross Stores (ROST) has experienced a downtrend with a 7% decline over the past four weeks due to excessive selling pressure [1] - The stock is currently in oversold territory, indicated by an RSI reading of 28.75, suggesting a potential for a price rebound [5][6] - Wall Street analysts are optimistic about ROST's ability to report better earnings than previously predicted, indicating a possible turnaround [1][6] Group 2: Technical Analysis and Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to identify oversold stocks, with a reading below 30 typically indicating oversold conditions [2] - RSI helps investors identify potential reversal points in stock prices, allowing for entry opportunities when a stock is undervalued due to unwarranted selling [3] Group 3: Earnings Estimates and Analyst Ratings - There has been a consensus among sell-side analysts to raise earnings estimates for ROST, with a 0% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6] - ROST holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting its potential for a turnaround [7]

Core Viewpoint - Ross Stores (ROST) has experienced a downtrend with a 5.8% decline over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround due to analysts' positive earnings outlook [1]. Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to determine if a stock is oversold, with a reading below 30 typically indicating this condition [2]. - ROST's current RSI reading is 29.42, indicating that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, and a trend reversal could be imminent [5]. Fundamental Analysis - There is a strong consensus among sell-side analysts regarding ROST's earnings estimates, with a 0% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, suggesting potential price appreciation [6]. - ROST holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, further indicating a favorable outlook for a near-term turnaround [7].

Group 1 - Ross Stores (ROST) has experienced a decline of 6.4% over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, indicating potential for a trend reversal [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ROST is at 27.04, suggesting that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, which could lead to a price rebound [5] - There is strong consensus among Wall Street analysts that ROST will report better earnings than previously predicted, with a 0% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6] Group 2 - ROST holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, indicating a strong potential for a turnaround [7]

Group 1 - Ross Stores closed at $141.27, reflecting a -0.61% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.03% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Ross Stores have decreased by 5.97%, while the Retail-Wholesale sector gained 9.07% and the S&P 500 gained 4.19% [1] - The upcoming earnings report is projected to show earnings of $1.65 per share, a year-over-year decline of 9.34%, with quarterly revenue expected at $5.92 billion, down 1.77% from the previous year [2] Group 2 - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Ross Stores are important, as they reflect short-term business trends and analyst optimism [3] - Positive estimate revisions correlate with stock price performance, and investors can utilize the Zacks Rank for actionable insights [4] - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with stocks rated 1 producing an average annual return of +25% since 1988; currently, Ross Stores has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5] Group 3 - Ross Stores has a Forward P/E ratio of 21.28, which is a premium compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 19.61; the PEG ratio is 2.17, slightly above the industry average of 2.12 [6] - The Retail - Discount Stores industry is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holding a Zacks Industry Rank of 39, placing it in the top 16% of over 250 industries [7]

Group 1 - Ross Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST) is favored in the retail sector due to its ability to perform well in both strong and weak market conditions by targeting lower-income consumers with off-price brand-name products [1] - The company is characterized by disciplined capital allocation and exceptional returns on capital, which allows it to compound invested capital over long periods [1]

Core Insights - Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) is benefiting from store expansion plans and an off-price retailing model, offering branded goods at discounted prices to maintain customer loyalty and adapt to consumer preferences [1][4] Store Expansion and Strategy - ROST has successfully opened 47 new stores in fiscal 2024, which is expected to enhance sales and profits [2] - The company aims to expand "Ross Dress for Less" to 2,900 stores and dd's DISCOUNTS to 700 stores in the long term, reinforcing its presence in both existing and new markets [3] Business Model and Customer Response - ROST operates off-price retail apparel and home accessories stores targeting value-conscious shoppers, which has proven to be an attractive model [4] - The off-price model provides a strong value proposition and effective product allocation, leading to positive customer responses across its merchandise [4] Financial Performance - Comparable-store sales rose 1% in Q3 of fiscal 2024, driven by increased customer traffic and larger basket sizes, resulting in a 7% year-over-year sales improvement [6] - The stock is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 22.37, lower than the industry average of 30.37, indicating an appealing valuation [5] Future Growth Expectations - Analysts project a sales growth of 5.6% and an EPS growth of 8.2% for fiscal 2025, reflecting optimism about ROST's future performance [7] - Over the past six months, ROST shares have gained 5.7%, compared to the industry's 8.4% growth [8]

Company Performance - Ross Stores (ROST) closed at $149.79, with a daily increase of +0.57%, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.61% [1] - Over the past month, ROST shares declined by 1.02%, lagging behind the Retail-Wholesale sector's increase of 2.32% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.08% [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show an EPS of $1.65, reflecting a decrease of 9.34% from the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects net sales of $5.92 billion, down 1.77% year-over-year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, analysts expect earnings of $6.17 per share and revenue of $21.13 billion, indicating increases of +10.97% and +3.71% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Sentiment - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Ross Stores are crucial as they indicate near-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting optimism about the company's profitability [3][4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Ross Stores currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with a historical average annual return of +25% for stocks rated 1 since 1988 [5] - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 24.12, which is higher than the industry average of 20.63 [6] Growth Metrics - The PEG ratio for Ross Stores is 2.46, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 2.35, indicating a premium valuation relative to expected earnings growth [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Discount Stores industry ranks in the top 11% of all industries, with a Zacks Industry Rank of 27, suggesting strong performance potential [8]

Core Points - Ross Stores, Inc. has pledged $850,000 in donations to support disaster relief efforts for the California wildfires, aiding organizations like the American Red Cross and the Los Angeles Regional Food Bank [1][2] - The company is also facilitating customer donations to the Red Cross at its store registers from January 16th to January 26th, 2025, across its locations in Southern California [2] - Ross Stores operates 1,836 Ross Dress for Less locations and 356 dd's DISCOUNTS stores, with fiscal 2023 revenues reported at $20.4 billion [3] Company Overview - Ross Stores, Inc. is a major player in the off-price retail sector, offering significant savings on brand-name apparel and home fashion [3] - The company has a long-standing presence in California, having launched its off-price business there approximately 43 years ago [2] - Ross Stores provides discounts ranging from 20% to 60% off regular prices at Ross Dress for Less and 20% to 70% off at dd's DISCOUNTS [3]