3Q 2024 Financial Results November 7, 2024 Safe harbor & forward looking statements This communication contains forward-looking statements related to Sunrun (the "Company") within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to: the Company's financial and operating guidance and expectations; the Comp ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics - The company achieved positive cash generation for the second consecutive quarter and reiterated its strong cash generation outlook for Q4 2024 and 2025 [9] - Storage installations reached 336 megawatt hours in Q3, up 92% YoY, marking the highest quarterly installation to date [11] - Total networked storage capacity reached 2.1 gigawatt hours with 135,000 storage systems installed [12] - Solar energy capacity installed was approximately 230 megawatts, at the high end of guidance [30] - Annual recurring revenue (ARR) stood at over $1.5 billion, up 22% YoY, with an average contract life remaining of nearly 18 years [31] - Net Subscriber Value was $14,632 in Q3, driven by higher battery attachment rates and improved fixed cost absorption [32] Business Line Performance - Storage attachment rates reached 60% of new customer installations in Q3, nearly double the 33% rate from a year ago [11] - The company now has 16 active grid service programs across the US, with over 20,000 customers participating [12] - The new homes business is growing rapidly, with the company working with 9 of the top 10 home builders in California and over half of the top 20 home builders in the US [22] - The new homes division is expected to grow at least 50% over the next year, currently representing less than 5% of total volumes [23] Market Performance - The company's share of residential solar installations nationwide increased from 13% in Q1 to 18% in Q3, while residential storage share expanded to 49% in the US [21] - California remains the largest market, with strong growth also seen in the Northeast, Illinois, Puerto Rico, and Texas [110][111] Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is focusing on a storage-first strategy, with nearly 50% share of all residential storage installations in the US [11] - The company is leading in establishing a platform to turn homes and vehicles into smart, controllable loads that can improve the electric grid [13] - The company is testing new products and services through pilots, with a focus on offering additional products to its existing customer base [18] - The company is not engaging in irrational pricing competition and is instead focusing on delivering differentiated value to customers [20][76] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The company is confident in its leadership position and ability to generate enduring value despite short-term policy uncertainties [7] - The company expects storage capacity installed to grow 52% YoY in Q4, with solar energy capacity installed expected to grow 8% YoY [52][53] - The company reiterated its cash generation outlook of $350 to $600 million for 2025 [54] - The company is optimistic about the long-term demand for residential solar and storage, driven by rising utility rates and declining equipment costs [51] Other Important Information - The company has over $900 million in unused commitments available in its non-recourse senior revolving warehouse loan, providing funding for approximately 318 megawatts of projects [41] - The company closed a $365 million securitization of residential solar and battery systems in September, with a weighted average yield of 5.87% [43] - The company ended Q3 with over $1 billion in total cash, despite a $32 million decline from the prior quarter due to debt repurchases [49] Q&A Session Summary Question: How derisked is the $350 to $600 million cash generation target for 2025 given the election outcome? - The company believes an outright repeal of the IRA is highly unlikely, and the ITC has historically received bipartisan support [60][61] - The company has secured funding against all three ITC adders, with a 45% weighted average ITC level underpinning the cash generation guidance [64] Question: What is the path for the cost of capital going forward? - The company saw a declining base rate environment through Q3, resulting in a pro forma asset-level cost of capital of 7.1%, but expects it to return to 7.5% in the near term [67][68] Question: How will the company allocate cash generation next year? - The company will focus on debt paydown, particularly the corporate revolver, while maintaining a strong balance sheet [72][73] Question: How is the competitive landscape shaping up? - The company has seen some irrational pricing from competitors but continues to gain market share through a disciplined approach [75][76] Question: How is the company managing tariff risk? - Module costs are less than 10% of the cost stack, and the company has a diverse supplier base, including domestic content options [80] Question: What is the opportunity for Sunrun in the data center AI theme? - The company sees its residential solar and storage assets as a valuable resource for meeting the growing demand for clean energy in data centers [102][103] Question: What are the unit economics of the new homes business? - The new homes business is more efficient, with single permitting and one-to-many customer acquisition, leading to improved margins as it scales [106] Question: What is the current revenue from grid services? - The company is seeing a pickup in grid services revenue, in line with the assumption of a few hundred dollars per year per customer [120] Question: Are there any labor availability or permitting trends impacting the business? - The company is seeing strong demand for labor and progress in automating permitting processes, which is improving efficiency [122][123]

Company Performance - Sunrun reported a quarterly loss of $0.37 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.16, and a decline from earnings of $0.40 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -131.25% [1] - The company posted revenues of $537.17 million for the quarter ended September 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.18%, and down from $563.18 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Sunrun has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Sunrun shares have declined approximately 39.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 24.3% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.20 on revenues of $590.86 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.17 on revenues of $2.13 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The solar industry is currently ranked in the bottom 27% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stocks within this sector [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact Sunrun's stock performance [5]

[PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION](index=8&type=section&id=PART%20I%20%E2%80%93%20FINANCIAL%20INFORMATION) [Item 1. Financial Statements (Unaudited)](index=8&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Financial%20Statements%20(Unaudited)) Unaudited financials show asset and liability growth, with a narrowed net loss in Q3 2024 due to no goodwill impairment [Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=8&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) Total assets grew to $22.10 billion, liabilities to $15.07 billion, primarily from solar systems and non-recourse debt Consolidated Balance Sheet Highlights (in thousands) | Account | Sep 30, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Cash | $533,863 | $678,821 | | Solar energy systems, net | $14,427,903 | $13,028,871 | | **Total Assets** | **$22,104,323** | **$20,450,237** | | Non-recourse debt, net of current portion | $11,219,898 | $9,191,689 | | **Total Liabilities** | **$15,069,930** | **$13,536,224** | | **Total Equity** | **$6,400,576** | **$6,237,836** | - Assets of Variable Interest Entities (VIEs) that can only be used to settle VIE obligations totaled **$12.72 billion** as of September 30, 2024, up from **$11.54 billion** at the end of 2023[21](index=21&type=chunk) [Consolidated Statements of Operations](index=10&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations) Q3 2024 revenue declined 4.6% to $537.2 million, but net loss significantly narrowed to $83.8 million due to no goodwill impairment Q3 Statement of Operations Summary (in thousands, except per share data) | Metric | Q3 2024 | Q3 2023 | Change (%) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Revenue | $537,173 | $563,181 | (4.6%) | | - Customer agreements and incentives | $405,861 | $316,528 | 28.2% | | - Solar energy systems and product sales | $131,312 | $246,653 | (46.8%) | | Loss from Operations | $(127,778) | $(1,347,477) | 90.5% | | Net Loss Attributable to Common Stockholders | $(83,766) | $(1,069,459) | 92.2% | | Net Loss Per Share (Basic & Diluted) | $(0.37) | $(4.92) | 92.5% | Nine Months Ended Sep 30 Statement of Operations Summary (in thousands, except per share data) | Metric | YTD 2024 | YTD 2023 | Change (%) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Revenue | $1,519,227 | $1,743,223 | (12.8%) | | Loss from Operations | $(438,948) | $(1,781,112) | 75.4% | | Net Loss Attributable to Common Stockholders | $(32,510) | $(1,254,373) | 97.4% | | Net Loss Per Share (Basic & Diluted) | $(0.15) | $(5.81) | 97.4% | [Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=14&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) Cash used in operations improved to $507.8 million, with $2.44 billion from financing funding investing activities Cash Flow Summary for Nine Months Ended Sep 30 (in thousands) | Activity | 2024 | 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Cash Used in Operating Activities | $(507,794) | $(704,733) | | Net Cash Used in Investing Activities | $(1,908,612) | $(1,952,019) | | Net Cash Provided by Financing Activities | $2,439,185 | $2,655,674 | | **Net Change in Cash and Restricted Cash** | **$22,779** | **$(1,078)** | [Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements](index=15&type=section&id=Notes%20to%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) Notes detail accounting policies, revenue shifts to customer agreements, reliance on non-recourse debt, and purchase commitments Revenue by Product and Service (in thousands) | Revenue Source | Q3 2024 | Q3 2023 | YTD 2024 | YTD 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Customer agreements | $368,641 | $289,678 | $1,030,859 | $789,256 | | Incentives | $37,220 | $26,850 | $85,794 | $75,895 | | Solar energy systems | $47,189 | $135,476 | $167,535 | $566,861 | | Product sales | $84,123 | $111,177 | $235,039 | $311,211 | | **Total Revenue** | **$537,173** | **$563,181** | **$1,519,227** | **$1,743,223** | - Total debt as of September 30, 2024, was **$12.45 billion**, a significant increase from **$10.67 billion** at year-end 2023. The majority of this debt is non-recourse, totaling **$11.46 billion**[86](index=86&type=chunk) - The company has purchase commitments for **$125.4 million** of photovoltaic modules, inverters, and batteries to be fulfilled by the end of Q1 2025[129](index=129&type=chunk) [Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations](index=39&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Management's%20Discussion%20and%20Analysis%20of%20Financial%20Condition%20and%20Results%20of%20Operations) Management discusses solar capacity growth, macroeconomic impacts, revenue shifts, and reliance on external financing for operations [Key Operating Metrics](index=44&type=section&id=Key%20Operating%20Metrics) Key operating metrics show continued growth in networked solar capacity, customer count, and gross earning assets Key Operating Metrics Comparison | Metric | As of Sep 30, 2024 | As of Sep 30, 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Networked Solar Energy Capacity (megawatts) | 7,288 | 6,462 | | Customers | 1,015,910 | 903,270 | | Gross Earning Assets (in thousands) | $16,779,712 | $13,299,394 | [Results of Operations](index=50&type=section&id=Results%20of%20Operations) Q3 2024 revenue from customer agreements grew, offset by lower system sales; operating expenses decreased due to no goodwill impairment - The increase in revenue from Customer Agreements for Q3 2024 was primarily due to **new systems placed in service** over the last year[201](index=201&type=chunk) - The decrease in revenue from solar energy systems sales for Q3 2024 was attributed to a **higher proportion of customers choosing Customer Agreements** over outright purchases, likely due to increased interest rates[202](index=202&type=chunk) - The significant decrease in total operating expenses in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023 was primarily due to a **$1.2 billion goodwill impairment charge** recorded in the 2023 period that did not recur[203](index=203&type=chunk)[208](index=208&type=chunk) [Liquidity and Capital Resources](index=55&type=section&id=Liquidity%20and%20Capital%20Resources) Liquidity relies on external financing, with $533.9 million cash and sufficient funds for the next 12 months - The company's business model requires **substantial outside financing** to grow and facilitate the deployment of solar energy systems[228](index=228&type=chunk) - As of September 30, 2024, the company had **$392.5 million** in outstanding borrowings on its **$447.5 million** credit facility[226](index=226&type=chunk) - Management believes cash, investment fund commitments, and available borrowings will be **sufficient to meet anticipated cash needs for at least the next 12 months**[228](index=228&type=chunk) [Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk](index=57&type=section&id=Item%203.%20Quantitative%20and%20Qualitative%20Disclosures%20About%20Market%20Risk) Primary market risk is interest rate exposure on floating-rate debt, partially hedged, with no material changes - The primary market risk is from changes in interest rates on floating-rate debt, which is partially managed through **derivative instruments**[239](index=239&type=chunk) - Market risk exposures have **not changed materially** since the end of the previous fiscal year (December 31, 2023)[239](index=239&type=chunk) [Item 4. Controls and Procedures](index=57&type=section&id=Item%204.%20Controls%20and%20Procedures) Disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of September 30, 2024, with no material changes to internal controls - The CEO and CFO concluded that the company's disclosure controls and procedures were **effective** as of September 30, 2024[241](index=241&type=chunk) - No **material changes** to the internal control over financial reporting were identified during the quarter[243](index=243&type=chunk) [PART II – OTHER INFORMATION](index=60&type=section&id=PART%20II%20%E2%80%93%20OTHER%20INFORMATION) [Item 1. Legal Proceedings](index=60&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Legal%20Proceedings) The company faces ordinary course legal proceedings, not expected to have a material adverse effect - The company is subject to legal proceedings in the ordinary course of business but does not currently expect them to have a **material adverse effect**[135](index=135&type=chunk)[245](index=245&type=chunk) [Item 1A. Risk Factors](index=60&type=section&id=Item%201A.%20Risk%20Factors) Key risks include industry evolution, reliance on incentives, macroeconomic factors, supply chain, competition, and financing challenges - The solar industry is an emerging market, and its growth depends on factors beyond the company's control, such as consumer acceptance, favorable regulations, and tax incentives. Changes to California's net metering policy (NBT) may **limit the financial attractiveness of solar-only offerings**[248](index=248&type=chunk)[249](index=249&type=chunk) - The business requires **substantial capital** to finance growth. An inability to raise capital on acceptable terms, potentially exacerbated by rising interest rates and changes in tax law, could **materially impact business and prospects**[275](index=275&type=chunk)[282](index=282&type=chunk) - The company and its partners depend on a **limited number of suppliers** for key components like panels, batteries, and inverters. Any shortage, delay, or price increase could result in **installation delays, cancellations, and loss of market share**[321](index=321&type=chunk)[322](index=322&type=chunk)[323](index=323&type=chunk) [Item 2. Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds](index=100&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Unregistered%20Sales%20of%20Equity%20Securities%20and%20Use%20of%20Proceeds) No unregistered sales of equity securities or issuer purchases occurred during the reported period - There were **no unregistered sales of equity securities or issuer purchases of equity securities** in the reported quarter[490](index=490&type=chunk) [Item 5. Other Information](index=100&type=section&id=Item%205.%20Other%20Information) Paul Dickson, President and CRO, terminated and adopted new Rule 10b5-1 trading plans for company stock sales - Paul Dickson, President and Chief Revenue Officer, terminated a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan on August 16, 2024, and adopted a new one on August 26, 2024, for the **sale of company stock**[492](index=492&type=chunk) [Item 6. Exhibits](index=100&type=section&id=Item%206.%20Exhibits) This section lists exhibits filed with the Form 10-Q, including corporate documents and certifications [Signatures](index=104&type=section&id=Signatures) The report is signed by the CEO and CFO of Sunrun Inc., dated November 7, 2024

[Q3 2024 Financial and Operational Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Sunrun%20Reports%20Third%20Quarter%202024%20Financial%20Results) Sunrun achieved strong Q3 2024 results, marked by significant storage growth, positive cash generation, and surpassing 1 million residential solar customers [Q3 2024 Performance Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Q3%202024%20Performance%20Highlights) Sunrun reported strong Q3 2024 results, exceeding guidance for Storage Capacity Installed with 92% year-over-year growth, achieving its second consecutive quarter of positive Cash Generation, increasing Net Earning Assets to $6.2 billion, and becoming the first clean energy company to surpass 1 million residential solar customers Q3 2024 Key Performance Indicators (in MWh, MW, or millions) | Metric | Q3 2024 Value | YoY Growth | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Storage Capacity Installed | 336 Megawatt hours | 92% | | Solar Energy Capacity Installed | 230 Megawatts | - | | Cash Generation | $2.5 million | - | - Became the first clean energy company to surpass **1 million residential solar customers**[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Net Earning Assets increased to **$6.2 billion**, which includes over **$1 billion** in Total Cash[1](index=1&type=chunk) [Management Commentary](index=1&type=section&id=Management%20Commentary) The CEO emphasized that the focus on customer experience and differentiated offerings drove record storage attachment rates, solid solar installation growth, and higher Net Subscriber Values, while the CFO highlighted the company's strong balance sheet, debt reduction, and a capital allocation strategy focused on de-leveraging and driving shareholder value - CEO Mary Powell stated the company delivered its **second consecutive quarter of positive Cash Generation** and will remain a disciplined, margin-focused leader[2](index=2&type=chunk) - CFO Danny Abajian noted that Net Subscriber Value was the **highest level ever reported**, reflecting a margin-focused and disciplined growth strategy[2](index=2&type=chunk) - The company has **no near-term corporate debt maturities** after extending its recourse working capital facility to **March 2027** and is allocating excess cash to reduce parent recourse debt[2](index=2&type=chunk) [Business and Operational Updates](index=1&type=section&id=Third%20Quarter%20Updates) Sunrun advanced strategic initiatives in Q3, achieving high storage attachment rates, expanding its new homes division, and launching new virtual power plant programs [Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships](index=1&type=section&id=Strategic%20Initiatives%20and%20Partnerships) In Q3, Sunrun's storage attachment rate on new installations reached 60%, a significant increase from 33% in the prior year, while the company expanded its new homes division, partnering with 9 of the top 10 builders in California and expecting over 50% growth next year, and launched several new virtual power plant (VPP) programs to enhance grid stability and create new revenue streams - Storage attachment rates on installations reached **60%** in Q3, up from **33%** in Q3 2023, with **336 Megawatt hours** installed[3](index=3&type=chunk) - The new homes division is gaining strong traction, working with top builders like Toll Brothers, and is expected to grow at least **50%** next year[3](index=3&type=chunk) - Launched several new virtual power plant (VPP) programs, including the **first vehicle-to-home VPP** in Maryland with BGE and partnerships with Tesla Electric and Vistra in Texas[3](index=3&type=chunk) [Capital Markets and Financing](index=2&type=section&id=Capital%20Markets%20and%20Financing) Sunrun demonstrated strong capital markets execution by closing a $365 million securitization, its fourth in 2024, and expanding its non-recourse warehouse lending facility by $280 million, while also improving its debt profile by extending the maturity of its recourse working capital facility to March 2027 and repurchasing $317 million of its 2026 Convertible Notes to date, reducing parent leverage - Closed a **$365 million** securitization of residential solar and battery systems with a cumulative advance rate above **80%** of Contracted Subscriber Value[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Expanded its non-recourse warehouse lending facility by **$280 million** to **$2.63 billion** in commitments[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Extended the maturity of its recourse Working Capital Facility to **March 2027** and continued to de-lever by repurchasing convertible notes, with **$83 million** of the 2026 notes remaining outstanding[4](index=4&type=chunk) [Key Operating Metrics](index=2&type=section&id=Key%20Operating%20Metrics) Key Q3 2024 operating metrics highlight Sunrun's customer base exceeding 1 million, significant storage capacity growth, and record net subscriber value [Customer and Installation Metrics](index=2&type=section&id=Customer%20and%20Installation%20Metrics) In Q3 2024, Sunrun added 31,910 customers, growing its total customer base by 12% YoY to 1,015,910, and while Solar Energy Capacity Installed decreased by 11% YoY to 229.7 MW, Storage Capacity Installed surged by 92% YoY to 336.3 MWh, reflecting the strategic shift towards storage Q3 2024 Installation & Customer Metrics (in MW or MWh) | Metric | Q3 2024 | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Customer Additions | 31,910 | - | | Total Customers | 1,015,910 | +12% | | Solar Energy Capacity Installed | 229.7 MW | -11% | | Storage Capacity Installed | 336.3 MWh | +92% | - Total Networked Solar Energy Capacity reached **7,288 Megawatts** and Networked Storage Capacity reached **2.1 Gigawatt hours** as of September 30, 2024[9](index=9&type=chunk)[10](index=10&type=chunk) [Subscriber Value and Earning Assets](index=2&type=section&id=Subscriber%20Value%20and%20Earning%20Assets) Net Subscriber Value reached a record high of $14,632 in Q3 2024, a significant increase from the prior year, generating $444 million in Total Value, while Gross Earning Assets stood at $16.8 billion, with Net Earning Assets at $6.2 billion, and Annual Recurring Revenue from subscribers was approximately $1.5 billion Q3 2024 Subscriber Value Metrics (in dollars or millions) | Metric | Q3 2024 | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Subscriber Value | $51,223 | +9% | | Creation Cost | $36,591 | +2% | | Net Subscriber Value | $14,632 | - | | Total Value Generated | $444 million | - | Earning Assets and Revenue (as of Sep 30, 2024, in billions) | Metric | Value | | :--- | :--- | | Gross Earning Assets | $16.8 billion | | Net Earning Assets | $6.2 billion | | Annual Recurring Revenue | ~$1.5 billion | [Financial Results (GAAP)](index=3&type=section&id=Third%20Quarter%202024%20GAAP%20Results) Sunrun's Q3 2024 GAAP financial results show decreased total revenue but a significant improvement in net loss, with growth in assets and liabilities [Consolidated Statements of Operations](index=3&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Operations) For Q3 2024, Sunrun reported total revenue of $537.2 million, a 5% decrease year-over-year, driven by a 47% decline in solar system sales as the business mix shifts towards subscriber agreements, while revenue from customer agreements and incentives grew 28% YoY, and the company recorded a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $83.8 million, or ($0.37) per share, a substantial improvement from a loss of $1.07 billion in Q3 2023, which was impacted by a significant non-cash goodwill impairment Q3 2024 Statement of Operations Summary (in millions, except EPS) | Metric | Q3 2024 | Q3 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Revenue | $537.2 | $563.2 | | - Customer Agreements & Incentives | $405.9 | $316.5 | | - Solar Systems & Product Sales | $131.3 | $246.7 | | Loss from Operations | ($127.8) | ($1,347.5) | | Net Loss Attributable to Common Stockholders | ($83.8) | ($1,069.5) | | Net Loss Per Share (Diluted) | ($0.37) | ($4.92) | [Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=5&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) As of September 30, 2024, Sunrun's balance sheet showed total assets of $22.1 billion, up from $20.5 billion at year-end 2023, with total liabilities increasing to $15.1 billion from $13.5 billion over the same period, and total cash, including restricted cash, standing at $1.01 billion, with total equity at $6.4 billion Balance Sheet Summary (in billions) | Account | Sep 30, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Assets | $22.1 | $20.5 | | Total Liabilities | $15.1 | $13.5 | | Total Equity | $6.4 | $6.2 | | Total Cash (Cash + Restricted Cash) | $1.01 | $0.99 | [Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=7&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, net cash used in operating activities was $507.8 million, and net cash used in investing activities, primarily for solar energy systems, was $1.91 billion, with these uses funded by $2.44 billion in net cash provided by financing activities, which included proceeds from non-recourse debt and contributions from noncontrolling interests Cash Flow Summary - Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2024 (in millions) | Activity | Net Cash Flow | | :--- | :--- | | Operating Activities | ($507.8) | | Investing Activities | ($1,908.6) | | Financing Activities | $2,439.2 | [Outlook and Guidance](index=3&type=section&id=Outlook) Sunrun reiterates full-year 2025 cash generation guidance and anticipates continued Q4 growth in storage and solar installations with increased Net Subscriber Value [Q4 2024 and Full-Year 2025 Guidance](index=3&type=section&id=Q4%202024%20and%20Full-Year%202025%20Guidance) Sunrun reiterated its full-year 2025 guidance for Cash Generation of $350 million to $600 million, and for Q4 2024, the company anticipates continued growth in storage installations and a sequential increase in solar installations, with Net Subscriber Value also expected to increase compared to Q3 - Reiterating full-year 2025 Cash Generation guidance of **$350 million to $600 million**[11](index=11&type=chunk) Q4 2024 Guidance (in millions, MWh, or MW) | Metric | Q4 2024 Guidance Range | | :--- | :--- | | Cash Generation | $50M to $125M | | Storage Capacity Installed | 320 to 350 MWh | | Solar Energy Capacity Installed | 240 to 250 MW | - Net Subscriber Value is expected to **increase in Q4** compared to Q3[12](index=12&type=chunk) [Financing and Other Information](index=3&type=section&id=Financing%20Activities) Sunrun secured sufficient financing capacity for future installations and provides detailed definitions for key non-GAAP metrics to aid investor understanding [Financing Capacity](index=3&type=section&id=Financing%20Capacity) As of November 7, 2024, Sunrun has secured sufficient financing capacity for its near-term pipeline, with expected tax equity to fund approximately 272 Megawatts of future subscriber installations and an additional $907 million available in its non-recourse warehouse facility to fund over 318 Megawatts - As of November 7, 2024, the company has secured expected tax equity to fund approximately **272 MW** of future Solar Energy Capacity Installed for Subscribers[15](index=15&type=chunk) - At the end of Q3, Sunrun had **$907 million** available in its non-recourse senior revolving warehouse facility, sufficient to fund over **318 MW** of installations[15](index=15&type=chunk) [Definitions of Key Metrics](index=8&type=section&id=Definitions%20of%20Key%20Metrics) The report provides detailed definitions for its non-GAAP operating metrics, including Subscriber Value, Creation Cost, Gross Earning Assets, and Cash Generation, designed to provide investors with insight into the economic performance and present value of future cash flows from subscribers, which are not fully observable from standard GAAP measures, with key calculation assumptions including a 6% discount rate and a 30-year customer relationship - The report defines key **non-GAAP metrics** like Subscriber Value, Creation Cost, and Gross Earning Assets to help investors evaluate the economic performance and future cash flows of the business[23](index=23&type=chunk) - Core assumptions for calculating these metrics include a **6% discount rate** for future cash flows and a **30-year assumed customer relationship** (initial term plus renewal)[24](index=24&type=chunk)

Core Viewpoint - Sunrun (RUN) shares have increased by 3.2% recently, closing at $16.91, with a mean price target of $22.54 indicating a potential upside of 33.3% [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of 23 short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $6.73, where the lowest estimate is $13 (23.1% decline) and the highest is $38 (124.7% increase) [2] - A low standard deviation suggests a strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement, which can serve as a starting point for further research [7] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Optimism - Analysts show growing optimism about Sunrun's earnings, as indicated by upward revisions in EPS estimates, which correlate with potential stock price increases [9] - Over the past 30 days, one estimate has increased, leading to a 0.6% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year [10] Zacks Rank and Investment Potential - Sunrun holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, suggesting a strong potential upside [11]

Core Viewpoint - Sunrun Inc. is expected to report its third-quarter 2024 results on November 7, with a consensus estimate indicating a decline in sales and earnings compared to the previous year [1][6]. Group 1: Performance Expectations - The company reported second-quarter earnings of 55 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 26 cents [1]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter sales is $560.6 million, reflecting a 0.5% decline from the same period last year [6]. - The earnings estimate for the third quarter is a loss of 16 cents per share, indicating a deterioration from earnings of 40 cents reported a year ago [6]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Solid solar energy and storage capacity installations, driven by increasing solar demand and improving storage attachment rates, are expected to positively impact the company's top-line performance [2]. - A growing customer base is likely to contribute favorably to revenues in the upcoming quarter [2]. - However, a higher mix of subscribers leads to less upfront revenue recognition, as revenues are recognized over the life of the Customer Agreement, which may adversely affect third-quarter revenues [3]. Group 3: Market and Policy Impact - Significant changes in California's residential solar policy and pricing framework, which affects over 45% of Sunrun's customer base, may limit the financial attractiveness of its offerings, particularly for solar-only systems [4]. - The new net metering policy adopted in December 2022 and implemented in April 2023 could have resulted in lower solar installations in California, negatively impacting quarterly revenues [4]. Group 4: Cost and Earnings Outlook - Declining solar and storage equipment costs, along with operating leverage from volume growth, are expected to benefit the company's bottom-line performance [5]. - High interest expenses and unimpressive revenue expectations may weigh on earnings [5]. - The company has an Earnings ESP of +12.57%, indicating a potential earnings beat [7].

Core Insights - Sunrun has appointed John Trinta, former CEO of Deloitte Financial Advisory Services, to its Board of Directors and Audit Committee, bringing nearly 40 years of expertise in tax and accounting [1][2] - Trinta's extensive experience includes leadership roles at Deloitte, where he was instrumental in strategic growth initiatives and mergers, enhancing the company's financial advisory and risk practices [2][3] - Sunrun aims to leverage Trinta's financial expertise to strengthen its position in the clean energy sector and continue its margin-focused growth strategy [2][3] Company Overview - Sunrun is the leading provider of clean energy as a subscription service in the U.S., having revolutionized the solar industry since 2007 by removing financial barriers to access renewable energy [4] - The company offers residential solar and storage solutions with no upfront costs, focusing on energy security and predictability for customers [4] - Sunrun also manages energy services that benefit communities and utilities, enhancing overall customer value [4]

Core Insights - Sunrun and Orange and Rockland Utilities have activated New York's largest residential power plant using over 300 solar-plus-storage systems to stabilize the electric grid during peak demand events [1][2] - The project supports New York's transition to clean energy and aims to meet the state's storage and electrification goals [2][3] Company Overview - Sunrun is the leading provider of clean energy as a subscription service, with over 1 million customers and 116,000 installed storage systems, accounting for nearly half of all new home battery installations in the U.S. [4] - The company offers residential solar and storage solutions with no upfront costs, enhancing energy security and predictability for customers [5] Project Details - The program allows Sunrun to synchronize battery discharges to deliver stored solar power during peak usage, providing backup power to participating homes [2][3] - Customers enrolled in the program receive a free or heavily discounted home battery, benefiting from utility bill credits for excess energy supplied to the grid [3][4] Strategic Importance - The initiative is seen as a significant step towards fortifying New York's energy grid and demonstrates the potential of home solar-plus-storage systems as flexible resources during electric system stress [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Sunrun (RUN) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2] Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [3][5] - Institutional investors utilize earnings estimates to determine the fair value of stocks, leading to buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [3] Sunrun's Earnings Outlook - The recent upgrade for Sunrun indicates an improvement in the company's underlying business, which is expected to positively influence its stock price [4] - Sunrun is projected to earn -$0.17 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2024, reflecting a year-over-year change of 97.6% [7] - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Sunrun has increased by 86.7% [7] Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a strong historical performance, particularly for Zacks Rank 1 stocks, which have averaged a +25% annual return since 1988 [6] - The upgrade of Sunrun to a Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [9]