德意志银行将Stellantis目标价从8欧元下调至7.5欧元。 ...

智通财经7月30日电，德意志银行将Stellantis目标价从8欧元下调至7.5欧元。 ...

Group 1: China Changan Automobile Group - China Changan Automobile Group was established in Chongqing on July 29, 2023, as a new central enterprise formed from the split of the former Equipment Group, comprising 117 subsidiaries [1] - The new enterprise will focus on developing intelligent vehicles, flying cars, and exploring a new ecosystem for transportation across land, sea, and air, while accelerating globalization and expanding into five major regional markets [1] - This restructuring is a significant step in the national push for central enterprise reform and optimizing state-owned capital layout, aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of China's automotive industry [1] Group 2: Changan Automobile Holdings - Changan Automobile announced on July 29, 2023, that its indirect controlling shareholder has changed to China Changan Automobile following the signing of a split agreement with the Equipment Group [2] - After the acquisition, China Changan Automobile directly holds 1,410,747,155 shares of Changan Automobile, representing 14.23% of the total share capital, and indirectly holds an additional 20.81% through subsidiaries, totaling 35.04% [2] Group 3: Xiaomi and Ideal Auto - Xiaomi announced the rollout of its end-to-end driving assistance system for the Xiaomi SU7 series, emphasizing that current assistance features are not equivalent to full autonomous driving [3] - Ideal Auto revealed the pricing for its new model, the Ideal i8, starting at 321,800 yuan, with deliveries set to begin on August 20, 2023 [3] Group 4: Leadership Changes at Dongfeng Liuzhou - Dongfeng Liuzhou Automobile Company appointed Liu Xiaoping as the new Party Secretary on July 29, 2023, along with other leadership changes [4] Group 5: Chery Automobile's Flying Car Patent - Chery Automobile announced a patent for a folding wing mechanism for flying cars, allowing them to be parked in standard parking spaces, enhancing space efficiency [5] Group 6: Stellantis Financial Performance - Stellantis reported a net revenue of 74.3 billion euros for the first half of 2023, a 13% decrease year-on-year, primarily due to declines in North America and Europe, partially offset by growth in South America [6] - The company also reported a net loss of 2.3 billion euros for the first half of 2023, compared to a net profit of 5.6 billion euros in the same period last year [6] Group 7: Nissan's Global Restructuring - Nissan announced plans to consolidate its automotive production in Mexico into the Aguascalientes plant by the fiscal year 2025, aiming to improve production and logistics efficiency [7] - The restructuring plan includes reducing the number of global production bases from 17 to 10 [7]

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Market Overview - US stock index futures are all up, with Dow futures rising by 0.13%, S&P 500 futures by 0.30%, and Nasdaq futures by 0.47% [1] - European indices also show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up 1.17%, UK's FTSE 100 up 0.55%, France's CAC40 up 1.10%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up 1.02% [2][3] - WTI crude oil increased by 0.07% to $66.76 per barrel, while Brent crude oil rose by 0.13% to $69.41 per barrel [3][4] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve is not yet prepared to lower interest rates, with officials divided on the timing and evidence needed for such a decision [5] - The upcoming cryptocurrency policy report from the White House is anticipated to be a catalyst for the crypto market, alongside the Fed's interest rate decision [5] Company News - Oppenheimer raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 7100 points, citing easing trade tensions and strong corporate earnings, indicating an 11% upside from the latest closing price [6] - Novo Nordisk lowered its 2025 sales growth and profit expectations, projecting sales growth of 8%-14% compared to a previous forecast of 13%-21% [7] - UnitedHealth's second-quarter earnings guidance fell short of expectations, forecasting adjusted EPS of at least $16, significantly below the analyst consensus of $20.40 [8] - UPS refrained from providing earnings guidance due to market volatility, reporting Q2 revenue of $21.2 billion, a 2.8% year-over-year decline [8][9] - Stellantis restored its earnings guidance but warned of a €1.2 billion (approximately $1.4 billion) tariff impact in the second half of the year [9] - Nomura Holdings reported a 52% year-over-year increase in Q1 net profit, driven by strong trading and investment banking performance [10] - Barclays announced a 23% increase in first-half profits and a $1.3 billion stock buyback plan, benefiting from market trading activity [11] - Whirlpool's Q2 sales fell 5.4% to $3.77 billion, below market expectations, and it lowered its full-year EPS guidance [12] - Philips slightly raised its adjusted operating margin forecast for the year, indicating that the impact of trade tensions was less severe than previously feared [13] Economic Data and Events - Upcoming economic data includes the US wholesale inventory month-on-month change and the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index [14][15] - Earnings reports are expected from Visa, Booking, Starbucks, UBS, Rio Tinto, UMC, New Oriental, and HSBC [17]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated shipments decreased by 7% to 2,700,000 units, with declines in North America and large Europe, partially offset by growth in South America and the Middle East and Africa [10] - Net revenue fell by 13% to €74 billion, impacted by adverse regional mix and lower pricing [10] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share and industrial free cash flow showed improvement compared to 2024, despite an outflow of €3 billion in the first half [11][12] - AOI margin was compressed to 70 basis points, reflecting a significant increase in industrial costs [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and Europe are in turnaround phases, while South America and Middle East and Africa are delivering consistent results [15] - In North America, performance was affected by tariffs and lower fleet performance, while Europe saw a 13% decline in LCV volumes [16] - South America maintained market share leadership, with industry growth in Brazil and Argentina [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and Europe are experiencing a recovery, with North America showing a 90% year-over-year improvement in order books [34] - European market share increased to 17%, up 1.3 percentage points from H2 2024, with significant growth in BEV and hybrid vehicle sales [35][36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on growth, execution, and profitability, with a lineup of new vehicles and powertrains [24] - Key actions include launching new products, improving inventory discipline, and reestablishing financial guidance for the second half of 2025 [19][20] - The leadership team is committed to making tough decisions to accelerate business recovery [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The first half of 2025 was challenging, but there are signs of improvement, with expectations for gradual sequential acceleration in the second half [19][40] - The company is addressing past mistakes by reintroducing successful nameplates and adjusting product strategies to meet customer demand [73] Other Important Information - Industrial liquidity at the end of H1 was €47 billion, with €31 billion in cash and liquid securities [17] - The expected net tariff expense for the year is projected to be around €1.5 billion due to increased production levels [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Focus on U.S. Market and Profitability Improvement - Management emphasized growth in North America through new product launches and optimizing the mix between ICE and electrified models [45] Question: Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength - Management acknowledged high cash burn but noted a significant reduction and expected further improvement in the second half [54] Question: Brand Portfolio Strategy - Management recognized the strength of their iconic brand portfolio and is working on better management and efficiency [60] Question: Pricing Pressure in Europe - Management indicated that market share is improving, and they expect better profit generation in H2 despite industry challenges [66] Question: Relationship with U.S. Dealers - Management reported improved dialogue with dealers, resulting in a 90% year-over-year increase in order inflow [85] Question: Guidance on Free Cash Flow - Management expressed commitment to gradual improvement in cash flow, with expectations for increased volumes and better pricing in the second half [92]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated shipments decreased by 7% to 2,700,000 units, with declines in North America and large Europe, partially offset by growth in South America and the Middle East and Africa [9] - Net revenue fell by 13% to €74 billion, impacted by adverse regional mix and lower pricing [9][10] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share and industrial free cash flow showed improvement compared to 2024, despite an outflow of €3 billion in the first half [11][12] - AOI margin was compressed to 70 basis points, reflecting a significant increase in industrial costs [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and Europe are in turnaround phases, while South America and Middle East and Africa are delivering consistent results [16] - In North America, performance was affected by tariffs and lower fleet performance, while Europe faced a 13% decline in LCV volumes [17] - South America maintained market share leadership, with industry growth in Brazil and Argentina [17] - Middle East and Africa experienced FX headwinds but continued to show business momentum [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America saw a significant impact from tariffs, with expectations of €1.5 billion in net tariff expenses for the year [20] - European market share increased to 17%, up 1.3 percentage points from H2 2024, driven by new product launches [39] - The company is now the second in European BEV volumes and first in hybrids [40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on growth, execution, and profitability, with a lineup of new vehicles and powertrains [27] - Key actions include ending unprofitable initiatives and launching products that align with customer needs [24][25] - The leadership team is committed to making tough decisions to accelerate business recovery [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The first half of 2025 was challenging, but there are signs of improvement and a commitment to sequential growth in the second half [7][21] - The company aims to improve AOI margins and free cash flow in the second half, with expectations of increased net revenues [21] - Management acknowledges the need for ongoing adjustments to address market challenges and improve profitability [42] Other Important Information - Industrial liquidity at the end of H1 was €47 billion, with €31 billion in cash and liquid securities [19] - The company is updating its long-term strategic plan, to be presented at the Capital Markets Day in early 2026 [45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Focus on U.S. Market and Profitability Improvement - Management emphasized growth in North America through new product launches and optimizing the mix between ICE and electrified models [50][51] Question: Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength - Management acknowledged high cash burn but noted a reduction in the cash burn rate and a focus on achieving positive cash flow [60][61] Question: Brand Portfolio Strategy - Management highlighted the importance of managing a diverse brand portfolio effectively and indicated that updates would be provided at the Capital Markets Day [64][66] Question: Pricing Pressure in Europe - Management noted that while pricing pressure exists, market share is improving, and new products are expected to enhance profitability [70][72] Question: Diagnosis of Profitability Decline - Management identified the phase-out of successful nameplates as a key issue and is working to restore these products to improve market share [78][79] Question: Relationship with U.S. Dealers - Management reported improved dialogue with dealers, resulting in a significant increase in order inflow [90] Question: Guidance on Free Cash Flow - Management expressed commitment to improving free cash flow in H2, despite external headwinds and tariff impacts [95][96]

Group 1 - The CEO of Stellantis (STLA.US) reported a 16% reduction in inventory levels in Europe and North America in the first half of the year compared to the first half of 2024 [1]

Financial Performance - Net revenues reached €743 billion, a decrease of 13% year-over-year [11, 15, 19, 37] - Adjusted Operating Income (AOI) was €05 billion, with an AOI margin of 07%, a decrease of 930 bps [11, 15, 22, 37] - Industrial Free Cash Flow (FCF) was negative €30 billion, compared to negative €04 billion in the previous year [11, 15, 28, 37] - Adjusted Diluted EPS was €018, a decrease of 92% [15, 37] Regional Performance - North America (NA) reported net revenues of €282 billion and an AOI loss of €10 billion, with an AOI margin of negative 34% [34] - Enlarged Europe reported net revenues of €292 billion and an AOI of €90 million, with an AOI margin of 00% [34] - South America reported net revenues of €78 billion and an AOI of €12 billion, with an AOI margin of 153% [34] - Middle East & Africa reported net revenues of €49 billion and an AOI of €08 billion, with an AOI margin of 155% [34] Strategic Initiatives and Outlook - The company estimates a net tariff impact of approximately €15 billion for 2025 [11, 40] - H2 2025 guidance indicates sequential improvement in net revenues and industrial FCF compared to H1 2025, with a low-single digit AOI margin [11, 42] - The company is adapting to evolving tariffs and focusing on mitigation strategies [39, 41]

Market Overview - Major U.S. index futures are showing positive movement, with Dow futures up 0.16%, S&P 500 futures up 0.24%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.40% [1] Technology Sector - Most technology stocks are rising, with Nvidia up over 1.5% in pre-market trading, and AMD and Advanced Micro Devices both up over 1% [2] - Nvidia reportedly placed an order for 300,000 H20 chips from TSMC, contributing to its pre-market increase of over 1.5% [4] Chinese Stocks - Several Chinese stocks are experiencing significant gains, including Li Auto up over 4%, GDS Holdings up over 3%, and Miniso and NIO both up over 1% [3] Biotechnology Sector - Sarepta Therapeutics saw a pre-market surge of over 40% after the FDA authorized the resumption of its gene therapy Elevidys for treating Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) [5] Apple Inc. - Apple announced the closure of its first direct retail store in China, located in Dalian, set to close on August 9, 2025, due to the departure of multiple retailers from the shopping center [6] Tesla Inc. - Tesla's Shanghai energy storage superfactory has officially produced its 1,000th Megapack energy storage system, which will be shipped to Europe [7] Automotive Industry - Ford has signed a new $3 billion revolving credit agreement, with a borrowing term lasting until July 28, 2026 [8] - Stellantis reported a 13% year-over-year decline in net revenue for the first half of 2025, totaling €74.3 billion, primarily impacted by declines in North America and Europe, resulting in a net loss of €2.3 billion compared to a net profit of €5.6 billion in the same period last year [9]