Core Insights - Millicom International Cellular SA (TIGO) reported quarterly earnings of $0.51 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.54 per share, but showing an increase from $0.46 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -5.56% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.37 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, which was below the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.81% and a decrease from $1.46 billion year-over-year [2] - Millicom's stock has increased approximately 59.7% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.9% [3] Earnings Outlook - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.61 for the coming quarter and $2.68 for the current fiscal year, alongside revenues of $1.38 billion and $5.52 billion respectively [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Millicom was mixed prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Wireless Non-US industry, to which Millicom belongs, is currently ranked in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to lower-ranked industries [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Financial Performance - Millicom's Q2 2025 service revenue was $1282 million, a 59% decrease compared to Q2 2024[66] - Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 467% in Q2 2025 from 435% in Q2 2024, a 32 percentage point increase[18, 66] - Equity Free Cash Flow (EFCF) for H1 2025 was $395 million, up $126 million compared to H1 2024[67, 70] Key Growth Areas - Postpaid net additions reached 247000 in Q2 2025, compared to 178000 in Q2 2024[17] - Home net additions were 41000 in Q2 2025, compared to 11000 in Q2 2024[18] - Mobile service revenue organic YoY growth was 46% in Q2 2025[22] Strategic Initiatives - Millicom is pursuing strategic projects including infrastructure sales and a combination with Liberty Latin America[56] - The company is awaiting regulatory approval for the acquisition of Coltel (TEF) in Colombia and EPM stake in TIGO-UNE[58, 60] - Millicom closed the Paraguay towers deal with Atis Group in Q2 2025 and executed a partial closing with SBA, with the remaining SBA closing expected in Q3 2025[60] Financial Targets - Millicom targets Equity Free Cash Flow of around $750 million for 2025[89] - The company aims for leverage below 25x at year-end 2025[90] - Millicom plans a dividend of $300 per share, targeting to sustain or grow it every year, with an interim dividend of $250 per share[91]

Core Insights - Millicom reported a decline in revenue for Q2 2025, with total revenue of $1.372 billion, down 5.9% year-over-year, but showed organic growth of 1.9% [4] - The company achieved a significant increase in net profit, reaching $676 million compared to $78 million in Q2 2024, marking a notable improvement [4][6] - Millicom's adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 46.7%, with nearly half of its operations exceeding a 50% margin [5] Financial Performance - Total revenue for H1 2025 was $2.746 billion, a decrease of 6.8% from H1 2024, with organic growth of 0.2% [4] - Operating profit for Q2 2025 was $357 million, up 3.4% from Q2 2024, while H1 operating profit increased by 16.7% to $780 million [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $641 million, reflecting a 1.1% increase year-over-year, with H1 adjusted EBITDA at $1.277 billion, up 0.9% [4] Capital Expenditures and Cash Flow - Capital expenditures (Capex) for Q2 2025 were $155 million, a 15.1% increase from Q2 2024, with H1 Capex totaling $286 million, up 15.8% [4] - Operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was $487 million, down 2.6% from the previous year, while H1 operating cash flow was $990 million, a decrease of 2.8% [4] - Equity free cash flow (EFCF) for Q2 2025 was $218 million, down 18.8% year-over-year, but H1 EFCF increased by 46.7% to $395 million [4] Strategic Developments - The company signed an agreement to acquire Telefónica's operations in Uruguay and Ecuador, enhancing its market presence [5] - Millicom completed a partial closing of its infrastructure transaction with SBA, generating over $500 million in proceeds, which supported a special interim dividend of $2.50 per share [5][8] - The company aims for a 2025 EFCF target of around $750 million and plans to maintain year-end leverage below 2.5x [6] Subsequent Events - A special interim dividend of $2.50 per share was approved, to be distributed in two installments of $1.25 per share on October 15, 2025, and April 15, 2026 [8] - Millicom hosted a video conference for the global financial community to discuss the Q2 2025 results [8]

Core Points - Millicom International Cellular S.A. has approved an interim dividend of $2.50 per share, to be paid in two installments of $1.25 each on October 15, 2025, and April 15, 2026 [1][4] - The first installment will be paid to shareholders registered in the U.S. with Broadridge on October 8, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of October 7, 2025 [2][3] - The second installment will be paid to shareholders registered in the U.S. with Broadridge on April 8, 2026, with an ex-dividend date of April 7, 2026 [3][4] - The dividends will be paid in U.S. dollars and will be subject to a 15% withholding tax as per Luxembourg income tax law [5] Company Overview - Millicom is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America, operating under the TIGO® and Tigo Business® brands [7] - The company offers a variety of digital services, including mobile financial services, local entertainment, pay TV, high-speed data, voice, and business-to-business solutions [7] - As of March 31, 2025, Millicom employed approximately 14,000 people and served over 46 million customers, with a fiber-cable footprint covering over 14 million homes [7]

Company Overview - Millicom (NASDAQ: TIGO) is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America, offering a wide range of digital services and products under the TIGO® and Tigo Business® brands [4] - The company provides mobile financial services through TIGO Money, local entertainment via TIGO Sports, pay TV with TIGO ONEtv, and business-to-business solutions including cloud and security [4] - As of March 31, 2025, Millicom employed approximately 14,000 people and served over 46 million customers with a fiber-cable footprint covering more than 14 million homes [4] Upcoming Financial Results - Millicom is set to announce its second quarter 2025 results on August 7, 2025, through a press release [1] - A video conference for the global financial community will be held on the same day at 14:00 pm (Stockholm) / 13:00 (London) / 08:00 (Miami) [1] Event Participation - Registration for the interactive video conference is required, and participants will receive a confirmation email with joining details [2] - Participants wishing to ask questions during the live event must notify the Investor Relations team via email after the event starts [2] - The conference can also be joined in listen-only mode by dialing specific international numbers and entering the Webinar ID [3]

Company Overview - Milicom (NASDAQ: TIGO) operates under the Tigo brand, providing fiber broadband, pay-TV, and mobile-money platforms in several rapidly growing Latin American economies [1] - The demand for fiber broadband is increasing as more individuals work, study, stream, and game from home, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards digital services [1] Industry Insights - The Latin American telecommunications sector is experiencing significant growth, particularly in fiber broadband and mobile-money services, driven by changing consumer habits and the need for reliable internet connectivity [1] - The expansion of mobile-money platforms reflects a broader trend towards digital financial services in emerging markets, enhancing financial inclusion and accessibility [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the author's extensive experience in value investing and highlights the importance of analyzing and valuing listed companies in the ASEAN and US regions [1]. Group 1 - The author has two decades of investing experience and has served as a Board member of a Malaysia listed company for several decades [1]. - The blog focuses on value investing through case studies, providing insights into the investment landscape [1]. - The author has published a value investing book titled "Do you really want to master value investing?" available on Amazon [1]. Group 2 - The article emphasizes that past performance is not indicative of future results, highlighting the inherent uncertainties in investment [2]. - It clarifies that no specific investment recommendations are provided, and opinions expressed may not reflect the views of the platform as a whole [2]. - The authors of the analyses include both professional and individual investors, some of whom may not be licensed or certified [2].

Core Insights - Millicom has signed a definitive agreement to acquire Telefónica's telecommunications operations in Ecuador for USD 380 million, aligning with Telefónica's strategy to reshape its Latin American portfolio and providing Millicom with a strategic opportunity to enhance its presence in South America [2][4] - The acquisition is expected to significantly enhance Millicom's regional footprint and commercial reach, supporting innovation, digital inclusion, and long-term growth in Ecuador's telecommunications sector [3][8] - Ecuador's stable, dollarized economy, characterized by favorable macroeconomic fundamentals, presents a compelling platform for Millicom to drive digital transformation and long-term value creation [4][9] Company Overview - Millicom is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America, operating under the TIGO® and Tigo Business® brands, offering a wide range of digital services [8][10] - As of March 31, 2025, Millicom employed approximately 14,000 people and provided services to over 46 million customers, with a fiber-cable footprint covering more than 14 million homes [10] Industry Context - Ecuador's telecommunications sector is experiencing consistent growth, with mobile services increasing by 1.4% and fixed broadband services by 3.6% [9] - The country has a population of approximately 18.5 million, with a median age of 32.4 years and 66% of the population living in urban areas, indicating a growing market for digital services [9] - Recent economic reforms supported by the IMF and World Bank are enhancing transparency and governance, particularly in infrastructure, energy, and telecommunications, contributing to a resilient telecom sector [9]

Core Points - Millicom International Cellular S.A. has announced the partial closing of its infrastructure deal with SBA Communications, generating approximately $600 million in proceeds from the sale of LATI International S.A. [1] - The total transaction is valued at approximately $975 million, with the remaining amount expected to close in Q3 2025 [1] - Following the Q2 results, Millicom's Board intends to approve a special interim cash dividend of $2.50 per share, representing around 45% of the net proceeds from the transaction [2] - The special dividend will be distributed in two equal installments of $1.25 per share, scheduled for October 15, 2025, and April 15, 2026 [2] - This special dividend is in addition to Millicom's previously announced annual dividend of $3.00 per share, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder remuneration [3] - The transaction underscores Millicom's strategy to monetize infrastructure assets, enhance financial flexibility, and generate sustainable shareholder returns while maintaining a leverage target range of 2.0-2.5x [3] Company Overview - Millicom is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America, operating under the TIGO® and Tigo Business® brands [5] - The company offers a variety of digital services, including mobile financial services, local entertainment, pay TV, high-speed data, voice, and business-to-business solutions [5] - As of March 31, 2025, Millicom employed approximately 14,000 people and served over 46 million customers, with a fiber-cable footprint covering more than 14 million homes [5]

Core Viewpoint - Millicom International Cellular SA (TIGO) has received a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) upgrade, indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][4]. Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Millicom International Cellular is projected at $3.10 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 109.5% [9]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company has risen by 9%, indicating a trend of increasing earnings estimates [9]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks rating system is based solely on a company's changing earnings picture, which is tracked through EPS estimates from sell-side analysts [2]. - The system classifies stocks into five groups, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [8]. - The upgrade of Millicom International Cellular to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [11]. Market Influence - Changes in earnings estimates are strongly correlated with stock price movements, largely due to the actions of institutional investors who adjust their valuations based on these estimates [5][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value for a stock, prompting institutional investors to buy, which can drive the stock price higher [5].