Core Viewpoint - Tapestry (TPR) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.00 per share, an increase of 8.7% year-over-year, with revenues projected at $1.68 billion, reflecting a 5.7% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.4%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Net Sales- Coach' to reach $1.39 billion, a year-over-year increase of 10.8% [5]. - 'Net Sales- Stuart Weitzman' is estimated at $43.30 million, reflecting a decline of 14.4% year-over-year [5]. - 'Net Sales- Kate Spade' is expected to be $254.21 million, indicating a decrease of 12.4% from the previous year [5]. Geographic Sales Estimates - 'Geographic Net Sales- North America' is projected to be $1.09 billion, a 6.4% increase year-over-year [6]. - 'Geographic Net Sales- Greater China' is estimated at $244.83 million, reflecting a 5.4% increase [6]. - 'Geographic Net Sales- Greater China- Coach' is expected to be $225.72 million, indicating a 7.8% increase [6]. - 'Geographic Net Sales- Other Asia- Coach' is projected at $181.62 million, a decrease of 2.1% [7]. - 'Geographic Net Sales- Other- Coach' is estimated at $124.89 million, reflecting a 24.2% increase year-over-year [7]. Store Count Projections - The total number of Coach stores (North America + International) is expected to reach 921, down from 930 in the same quarter last year [8]. - The total number of Stuart Weitzman stores is projected to be 86, down from 94 year-over-year [8]. - The total number of stores (EOP) is estimated at 1,375, compared to 1,402 in the previous year [9]. - The total number of Kate Spade stores is expected to be 368, down from 378 year-over-year [9]. Stock Performance - Tapestry shares have increased by 10.8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 2.7% [9].

Group 1: Market Overview - The luxury goods sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with some brands showing resilience while others struggle in a declining market environment [1] - Ralph Lauren reported a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.7 billion in Q1 of FY2026, exceeding market expectations [3] - Capri Holdings saw a 6% decline in revenue to $797 million but turned a profit of $53 million, indicating a strategic focus on its core brands [4] Group 2: Brand Performance - Crocs' stock plummeted by 29.2% after a disappointing earnings outlook, forecasting a 9% to 11% revenue decline for Q3 [2] - Shiseido's sales fell by 7.6% to 470 billion yen (approximately 22.9 billion RMB) in the first half of FY2025, but core operating profit rose by 21.3% [6] - Hugo Boss reported flat sales of 2 billion euros in H1 2025, with a slight profit increase to 87 million euros [7] Group 3: Strategic Moves - Anta is reportedly acquiring Reebok, aiming to enhance its global presence, although the deal's finalization remains uncertain [8] - Tapestry has sold its struggling Stuart Weitzman brand for $120.2 million, allowing it to focus on its core brands Coach and Kate Spade [9] - Kering Group is partnering with Swire Properties to promote sustainable retail practices, aligning with its environmental commitments [11] Group 4: Regional Expansion - Fendi opened its first store in Cancun, Mexico, to expand its market presence, featuring a design that blends Italian aesthetics with local culture [10] - The Asian market showed significant growth for Ralph Lauren, with revenue increasing by over 30% in China [3] - The Americas and Asia regions reported growth for the global cosmetics giant Intercos, with a 15.6% increase in the Asian market [12]

Group 1 - Tapestry, Inc. has completed the sale of the Stuart Weitzman brand to Caleres [1] - Caleres is a leading consumer-focused footwear brand management company [1][5] - The transaction involved financial advisory from Morgan Stanley for Tapestry and BofA Securities for Caleres [2] Group 2 - Tapestry, Inc. is a modern luxury lifestyle brand company based in New York, with brands including COACH and kate spade [3] - Stuart Weitzman, founded in 1986, is known for its craftsmanship and design, empowering women with its brand message [4] - Caleres has a portfolio of well-known brands and operates nearly 1,000 retail stores, along with a strong online presence [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of Shanghai as a key international consumption hub, highlighting the increasing investment from foreign retail companies like COACH to tap into the local market potential [1][2]. Group 1: Shanghai as a Consumption Hub - Shanghai is recognized as an international consumption city and a headquarters economy, attracting numerous global brands [2]. - COACH has over 300 stores across more than 90 cities in China, with nearly 20 located in Shanghai [2]. - The brand has launched various initiatives in Shanghai, including global brand showcases and the opening of its first digital experience store [2][3]. Group 2: COACH's Future Plans - COACH aims to continue expanding its presence in China, focusing on local consumer needs and preferences [4]. - The company plans to double its business in the Chinese market by enhancing product creativity and optimizing service channels [4][5]. - COACH is committed to establishing emotional connections with Chinese consumers, particularly the younger generation, through localized collaborations [5].

Core Viewpoint - Tapestry, Inc. stock has declined as analysts reassess its valuation despite the ongoing strength of the Coach brand, leading to a downgrade from Buy to Hold by Bank of America Securities analyst Lorraine Hutchinson, while raising the price forecast from $95 to $115 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - Tapestry has traded at an average P/E of 13x over the past decade, currently sitting at the upper end of the range, which has influenced the downgrade to a Neutral stance [2]. - Hutchinson forecasts a solid fourth quarter with EPS of 98 cents, matching management's guidance, alongside expected sales growth of 5.4% and an operating margin of 16.4% [3]. - Fiscal year 2026 guidance will be closely monitored, with expectations for mid-single-digit sales growth and stable margins, balancing tariff-related pressures with SG&A efficiency [3]. Group 2: Brand Performance and Market Dynamics - The Coach brand continues to perform well due to effective marketing and premium product appeal, although management is not expected to forecast double-digit growth for the brand this year [4]. - There is potential for upside in fiscal year 2026 estimates, but limited long-term margin expansion is anticipated beyond Coach's current operating margin of 33.6% [4]. Group 3: Tariff Impact and Profitability - Management is expected to maintain profitability over time despite tariff pressures, with a projected 60 basis points decline in gross margin for fiscal year 2026 due to tariffs, with full recovery anticipated by fiscal year 2027 [5].

About this content About Angela Harmantas Angela Harmantas is an Editor at Proactive. She has over 15 years of experience covering the equity markets in North America, with a particular focus on junior resource stocks. Angela has reported from numerous countries around the world, including Canada, the US, Australia, Brazil, Ghana, and South Africa for leading trade publications. Previously, she worked in investor relations and led the foreign direct investment program in Canada for the Swedish government. S ...

Acquisition & Strategy - Tapestry's attempted $85 billion acquisition of Capri Holdings was blocked by the FTC due to concerns about creating an excessively concentrated player in the accessible luxury handbags market [1][2] - Wall Street disliked the Capri deal, fearing Tapestry would overstretch its balance sheet to acquire a consistently worse operator [3] - Tapestry redeemed deal debt and announced a $28 billion buyback program, including a $2 billion accelerated share repurchase program, representing roughly 15% of shares outstanding [6][7] - Tapestry sold its Steuart Weitzman brand to focus on the core Coach brand and turning around Kate Spade [8][9] Financial Performance & Market Dynamics - Tapestry's stock has increased 148% since the merger was blocked and is up 69% for the year [2] - Coach's revenue growth accelerated from 2% to 15% on a constant currency basis [11][12] - Tapestry delivered substantial top and bottom-line beats, raising full-year earnings forecast by $025 [10] - Kate Spade's constant currency revenue growth has declined for eight straight quarters, down 12% [16] Future Outlook & Risks - Tapestry aims to turn around Kate Spade by emulating Coach's strategies, targeting younger consumers and developing new products [17] - The stock trades at just under 22 times this year's earnings estimate, with 18% earnings growth, but is considered inherently risky given its recent performance [19][20] - The report suggests a potential buying opportunity if Tapestry reports a good quarter that doesn't fully satisfy shareholders, leading to a sell-off [20]

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) shares reached a new 52-week high of $102.31, closing at $102.16, with a stock rise of 56.4% compared to a 12.3% decline in the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry [1] - The company's diversified business model and strong omnichannel presence position it to outperform the broader Retail Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 index [1] Stock Performance - Tapestry is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $84.69 and $69.85, indicating price stability and long-term bullish trends [2][4] - The technical strength reflects positive market sentiment and growing investor confidence in TPR's financial health and growth potential [2] Growth Drivers - Tapestry's leadership in the global affordable luxury market is driven by focused brand strategies, strong customer engagement, and operational excellence [5] - The Coach brand is a key growth driver, posting a 15% year-over-year revenue increase and achieving a record 79% gross margin [6][10] - Coach added 900,000 new North American customers, with nearly 70% from Gen Z and Millennials [8][9] International Performance - International markets contributed significantly, with Europe's revenues growing 35% at constant currency and Asia-Pacific rising 4%, including a 5% gain in Greater China [11] - The omnichannel model remains a competitive advantage, with direct-to-consumer sales up 9% [11] Financial Health - Tapestry returned over $2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in fiscal 2025, supported by strong free cash flow [12] - The company maintains a gross leverage of 1.6 times adjusted EBITDA, well below the target of under 2.5 times, indicating financial flexibility [12] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2025, Tapestry raised its full-year guidance, expecting net sales of approximately $6.95 billion, representing about 4% year-over-year growth [13] - Earnings per share are projected at $5, indicating high-teens growth over the prior year [13] - Regional sales growth is expected to be 3-4% in North America, approximately 30% in Europe, and low-single-digit growth in Greater China [14] Profitability Expectations - The company anticipates operating margin expansion of about 100 basis points year-over-year, driven by gross margin improvements [15] - Free cash flow for fiscal 2025 is forecasted to be approximately $1.3 billion, supporting continued investments in store enhancements and digital infrastructure [15]

Group 1: Market Trends - Several luxury brands are adjusting their strategies in the Chinese market, with Gucci closing 6 stores in a year and Burberry's sales in Greater China declining by 21% year-on-year [1] - The Zegna Group reported a 14.5% decrease in revenue in China, and a total of 14 stores were closed by six top luxury brands in mainland China throughout 2024 [1] - Bain & Company forecasts a 2% decline in global personal luxury goods consumption in 2024, marking the first drop in a decade [1] Group 2: Brand Strategy Insights - Zhang Chunyu, a brand management expert, emphasizes the importance of establishing genuine connections with consumers rather than merely focusing on product sales [1][3] - The shift from heavy flavors to lighter, more refreshing tastes in snack foods reflects changing consumer preferences, as seen in the successful launch of Lay's cucumber-flavored chips [4][5] - Cartier's strategy to reposition its wedding rings involved shifting the narrative from traditional luxury to focusing on emotional connections in relationships, leading to increased consumer engagement [6][7] Group 3: Cultural Relevance - International brands are facing challenges in connecting with Chinese consumers, as traditional marketing approaches feel disconnected [9][10] - The collaboration between Coach and the iconic Chinese brand White Rabbit represents a significant cultural crossover, allowing Coach to resonate more deeply with local consumers [10][11] - The success of this collaboration demonstrates the potential for international brands to use local cultural symbols to create emotional connections with consumers [10][11] Group 4: Brand Growth Principles - Zhang Chunyu has developed a "brand growth principles" methodology that emphasizes understanding consumer needs, establishing strategic brand positions, and ensuring consistent brand expression across all touchpoints [12][13] - This approach aims to transition brands from price competition to value-driven engagement, aligning with modern consumer expectations for brand values and experiences [12][13]

Core Insights - Gen Phoenix has announced an expanded partnership with Tapestry, including a three-year supply agreement and a $15 million investment round led by Material Impact, increasing Tapestry's equity stake to 9.9% [1][5] - The partnership aims to innovate sustainable materials, enhancing the supply chain resilience and aligning with consumer values for sustainability [4][7] Company Overview - Gen Phoenix specializes in sustainable recycled leather fiber materials, utilizing a circular process to transform leather offcuts into premium materials [6][8] - Tapestry is a global house of brands, including Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman, committed to craftsmanship, innovation, and sustainability [9] Partnership Dynamics - The collaboration has evolved into a strategic partnership, focusing on co-creating sustainable solutions and sharing resources such as R&D and design insights [3][4] - The partnership is positioned as a blueprint for integrating material innovation with brand heritage, aiming for a significant impact on the fashion industry's sustainability efforts [3][5] Investment and Growth - Tapestry's investment will enable Gen Phoenix to scale production, expand into new markets, and enhance R&D for fully circular leather solutions [7] - Gen Phoenix's production facility in the U.K. has the capacity to produce over 60 million square feet of material annually, supporting the growing demand for sustainable luxury materials [7][8]