First Quarter 2025 Results May 7, 2025 1 Safe Harbor Statements Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements The information presented herein includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the industry and markets in which Vistra Corp. ("Vistra") operates and beliefs of and assumptions made by Vistra's management, involve risks an ...

Financial Performance - Vistra reported a GAAP net loss of $(268) million for Q1 2025, compared to a net income of $18 million in Q1 2024[4]. - The company’s ongoing operations net loss was $(200) million for Q1 2025, compared to a net income of $43 million in Q1 2024[5]. - Net income for Q1 2025 was a loss of $268 million, compared to a profit of $18 million in Q1 2024[20]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $1,216 million, up from $790 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a significant increase in operational performance[24][25]. - Cash provided by operating activities in Q1 2025 was $599 million, compared to $312 million in Q1 2024, indicating improved cash flow generation[20]. - Interest expense and related charges for Q1 2025 were $319 million, compared to $170 million in Q1 2024, reflecting increased borrowing costs[22][25]. Operational Highlights - Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $1,240 million, an increase of $430 million from $810 million in Q1 2024[5]. - The retail segment's Adjusted EBITDA improved to $184 million in Q1 2025, compared to a loss of $(28) million in Q1 2024[5]. - Vistra achieved commercial availability of approximately 95% across its plants during the quarter[3]. - The company is progressing with construction on a 52 MW solar-plus-storage facility at its Newton Power Plant and two solar facilities totaling over 600 MW[9]. Liquidity and Capital Expenditures - Total available liquidity as of March 31, 2025, was approximately $3,903 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $561 million[8]. - The ending cash balance for Q1 2025 was $596 million, down from $1,116 million at the end of Q1 2024, indicating a decrease in liquidity[20]. - Capital expenditures for Q1 2025 totaled $768 million, an increase from $465 million in Q1 2024, highlighting ongoing investments in infrastructure[20]. - The net change in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash for Q1 2025 was a decrease of $626 million, compared to a decrease of $2,423 million in Q1 2024[20]. Future Guidance - The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance ranges for Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $5.5 billion to $6.1 billion and Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth of $3.0 billion to $3.6 billion[7]. - The company expects adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 to be between $5,410 million and $6,010 million, reflecting anticipated growth in operations[27]. - The company anticipates a midpoint opportunity for 2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of more than $6 billion[4]. Shareholder Actions - Vistra executed approximately $5.2 billion in share repurchases since November 2021, reducing shares outstanding by about 30%[9]. Other Financial Metrics - The company reported unrealized net losses from mark-to-market valuations of commodities amounting to $567 million in Q1 2025, compared to $176 million in Q1 2024[20]. - The company plans to continue its focus on nuclear decommissioning activities, with related expenses projected at $48 million for 2025[27].

Core Insights - Vistra Corp. reported a net loss of $268 million for Q1 2025, a significant decline from a net income of $18 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to unrealized mark-to-market losses on derivative positions as energy prices increased [4][19] - Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $1,240 million, up from $810 million in Q1 2024, driven by strong retail performance and higher wholesale prices [4][6] - The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance for Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $5.5 billion to $6.1 billion, and Ongoing Operations Adjusted Free Cash Flow before Growth in the range of $3.0 billion to $3.6 billion [6][7] Financial Performance - Operating revenues for Q1 2025 were $3,933 million, compared to $3,054 million in Q1 2024, reflecting a year-over-year increase [19] - The company’s cash flow from operations was $599 million for Q1 2025, an increase from $312 million in Q1 2024 [21] - Total available liquidity as of March 31, 2025, was approximately $3,903 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $561 million [8] Segment Performance - Adjusted EBITDA by segment for Q1 2025 included: Retail at $184 million (up from $(28) million), Texas at $490 million (up from $429 million), East at $514 million (up from $367 million), and West at $62 million (up from $56 million) [4][22] - The retail segment showed significant improvement, contributing positively to the overall financial results [4][22] Strategic Initiatives - Vistra is focusing on expanding its fleet of zero-carbon resources, including solar, energy storage, and nuclear, as part of its long-term strategy [8][11] - The company has hedged approximately 100% of its expected generation volumes for 2025 and about 90% for 2026, which supports its financial guidance [7][11] Shareholder Returns - Since November 2021, Vistra has executed approximately $5.2 billion in share repurchases, with about $1.5 billion of the share repurchase authorization remaining available [11][12] - The company continues to prioritize returning capital to shareholders while investing in growth opportunities [11][12]

Vistra Corp. (VST) is expected to deliver improvements in its top line and its earnings per share when it reports first-quarter 2025 results on May 7, before market open. (See the Zacks Earnings Calendar to stay ahead of market-making news.)The Zacks Consensus Estimate for VST’s first-quarter revenues is pegged at $4.4 billion, indicating an increase of 44.14% from the year-ago reported figure.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for VST’s first-quarter earnings is pegged at 54 cents per share, indicating a 134.8% ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Vistra Corporation (NYSE: VST) has increased by more than 100% over the past year, yet the rating remains at "buy" for capital investment [1] - Laura Starks, the founder and CEO of Starks Energy Economics, has extensive experience in the energy sector, covering various companies including utilities and independent power producers [1] - The analysis indicates a beneficial long position in shares of VST, CEG, and NEE, highlighting a personal investment strategy in the energy sector [1]

Group 1: Company Performance - Vistra Corp. (VST) closed at $139.28, reflecting a +1.44% change from the previous session, which lagged behind the S&P 500's gain of 1.47% [1] - Over the past month, shares of Vistra Corp. have increased by 26.88%, significantly outperforming the Utilities sector's gain of 0.44% and the S&P 500's loss of 0.47% [1] Group 2: Earnings Expectations - Vistra Corp. is expected to report earnings on May 7, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of $0.54, representing a 134.78% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projected at $4.4 billion, which is a 44.14% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3: Full-Year Estimates - The full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates for Vistra Corp. indicate earnings of $5.72 per share and revenue of $21.25 billion, reflecting year-over-year changes of -18.29% for earnings and +23.35% for revenue [3] Group 4: Analyst Estimates and Market Sentiment - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Vistra Corp. are important as they reflect the changing dynamics of short-term business patterns, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the company's outlook [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks Vistra Corp. as 3 (Hold), with the EPS estimate having moved 0.45% lower over the past month [6] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - Vistra Corp. has a Forward P/E ratio of 24.01, which is a premium compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 18.35 [7] - The PEG ratio for Vistra Corp. is currently 2.26, while the average PEG ratio for the Utility - Electric Power industry is 2.69 [7] Group 6: Industry Context - The Utility - Electric Power industry, part of the broader Utilities sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 30, placing it in the top 13% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Dividend Announcements - Vistra's board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.2250 per share, amounting to an estimated total payment of approximately $75 million for the quarter, reflecting a 3% increase from the second quarter 2024 dividend [1] - A semi-annual dividend of $35.00 per share was declared for the 7.0% Series B Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Green Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, equating to $70.00 on an annualized basis [2] - The board also declared a semi-annual dividend of $44.375 per share for the 8.875% Series C Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, which translates to $88.75 on an annualized basis [3] Company Overview - Vistra is a leading Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company, providing essential resources across the United States from California to Maine [4] - The company focuses on energy transformation with an emphasis on reliability, affordability, and sustainability, operating a diverse power generation fleet including natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities [4]

Shares of nuclear power providers Constellation Energy (CEG 8.39%), Vistra Energy (VST 6.62%), and Oklo (OKLO 12.55%) were in rally mode on Thursday, up 8%, 5.8%, and 8.5%, respectively, as of 1:45 p.m. ET.None of these three companies reported earnings or had much in the way of company news today; however, the strong financial results and forward-looking capital spending guidance from AI leaders Microsoft and Meta Platform last night appear to have reassured investors in a big way on the sustainability of ...

Vistra Corp. (VST) is trading at a premium relative to the Zacks Utility Electric Power industry, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.41X compared to the industry average of 14.28X.The company benefits from strong residential and business results in both Texas and Midwest and Northeast markets. More than 95% of the commercial availability of its generation assets allows the company to gain by catering to the increasing demand in its service territories.Image Source: Zacks Investment ...

In the latest market close, Vistra Corp. (VST) reached $126.63, with a +1.93% movement compared to the previous day. The stock outpaced the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.74%. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.05%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 1.26%.The the stock of company has risen by 4.12% in the past month, leading the Utilities sector's gain of 2.17% and the S&P 500's loss of 4.77%.Market participants will be closely following the financial results of Vistra Corp. in its upcoming release. The company ...