Group 1: Verizon Wireless - Verizon has underperformed in total returns over the past five years compared to the S&P 500 index [2] - The current dividend yield for Verizon is 6.8%, but the company's growth is stagnant with cash flow, earnings per share, and operating income down year over year [3] - Verizon's revenue is essentially flat, while debt levels have increased, indicating a need for investors to consider future growth stocks [3] Group 2: Airbnb - Airbnb benefits from significant long-term tailwinds in the short-term rental market, driven by demographics, with 36% of users aged 25 to 34 [4] - The total market size for vacation rentals is projected to grow from $100 billion in 2024 to $125 billion in 2029, providing ample growth opportunities for Airbnb [5] - Airbnb reported $11 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, with a free cash flow of $4.1 billion, resulting in a 38% margin, significantly higher than Verizon's 10% margin [6][7] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - Companies can return cash to shareholders through dividends or share buybacks, with buybacks reducing the number of outstanding shares and potentially increasing stock prices [8] - Airbnb has repurchased $1.1 billion in shares in Q3 2024 and $3.3 billion over the trailing 12 months, indicating a strong commitment to buybacks due to its excellent free cash flow [9] - The preference for buybacks over dividends is highlighted, as buybacks do not incur annual taxes for shareholders and provide companies with strategic flexibility [10] Group 4: Market Comparison - Airbnb's current market cap is $82 billion, while Verizon's is $169 billion, but their trajectories have diverged since 2023 [11] - If Airbnb achieves a 15% annual growth rate while Verizon remains stagnant, Airbnb is projected to surpass Verizon in market value within five years [12]
Prediction: 1 Stock That Will Be Worth More Than Verizon 5 Years From Now