财信证券：首次覆盖爱玛科技给予买入评级

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Aima Technology is expected to achieve both volume and price growth due to industry recovery and product structure optimization, leading to a "buy" rating [1] - In 2024, Aima Technology is projected to achieve revenue of 21.606 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.71%, and a net profit of 1.988 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.68% [1] - The electric two-wheeler industry is under pressure, with total sales expected to decline by 10.55% to 49.2 million units in 2024, influenced by stricter regulations and new national standards [1][2] Group 2 - The new national standards are expected to raise industry entry barriers, benefiting leading companies by increasing market concentration [2] - The government subsidy policies have been adjusted to increase both the amount and scope of subsidies, leading to a significant increase in sales, with 3.341 million electric bicycles sold for replacement as of April 8 [2] - Aima Technology is focusing on high-end products and implementing a "flagship product" strategy to enhance product quality and profitability, with a projected gross margin of 17.82% in 2024 [3] Group 3 - The company is expected to benefit from improved industry conditions and is accelerating its transformation towards smart and differentiated products [3] - Revenue forecasts for Aima Technology from 2025 to 2027 are 26.871 billion yuan, 31.523 billion yuan, and 35.569 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 2.500 billion yuan, 2.967 billion yuan, and 3.465 billion yuan [3] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.90 yuan, 3.44 yuan, and 4.02 yuan, respectively, with a target price range of 58.00 to 63.80 yuan based on a PE ratio of 20-22 times for 2025 [3]