AHTHGC(SZ:000901) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-25 10:35Industry Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.19%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.48%. The defense and military industry index (CITIC) decreased by 2.31%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite by 2.5 percentage points and the ChiNext by 2.8 percentage points, ranking 27th out of 29 industries for the period [1]. Commentary - The release of China's first national security white paper is expected to sustain high demand in the industry. The white paper emphasizes optimizing the defense technology industry layout and building an advanced defense technology industrial system. Short-term, the aerospace technology sector is experiencing a rapid recovery in downstream demand, with expectations for high demand throughout the year and potential performance inflection points in the first half of 2025 for some upstream segments [2]. - Long-term, the aerospace technology sector is a cornerstone of national security, likely to maintain demand and growth certainty, highlighting its comparative advantages in the current environment [2]. - China Aviation Industry Corporation (AVIC) showcased a full range of aviation equipment at the Langkawi International Maritime and Aerospace Exhibition, indicating a push for international cooperation. The current low export ratio of domestic aviation manufacturers compared to overseas peers suggests that China's equipment output capabilities are gradually becoming evident, with potential demand recognition reshaping perceptions [2]. - The enhancement of equipment competitiveness and expansion of export market share are expected to inject new growth momentum into the industry, prompting a reevaluation of sector value, with upcoming events like the Paris Air Show being key catalysts [2]. Mergers and Acquisitions - The recent release of revised regulations on major asset restructuring by the China Securities Regulatory Commission aims to deepen the reform of the mergers and acquisitions market for listed companies. The aerospace technology sector has a relatively low asset securitization rate, with significant quality assets still outside listed companies, indicating substantial room for reform and restructuring [3]. - Recent overall listings and restructuring plans by companies like AVIC Chengfei are expected to enhance the activity of mergers and acquisitions, accelerating asset restructuring and state-owned enterprise reforms in the sector [3]. Valuation and Recommendations - The company maintains its profit forecasts, ratings, and target prices. The recovery in demand is expected to provide significant elasticity for precision-guided equipment, with recommendations for companies such as Chuangjiang New Materials, Aerospace Electric, Feilihua, and Beifang Navigation, along with other related companies [4]. - Rapid recovery in industry demand is anticipated to benefit upstream components and testing segments, with recommendations for companies like Unisoc, Zhenhua Technology, Hongyuan Electronics, Hongda Electronics, Torch Electronics, and Su Shi Testing, along with other related companies [4]. - Long-term market opportunities in foreign trade are expected to open up, with recommendations for Guorui Technology and other related companies [4].