Should You Buy, Sell or Hold IAMGOLD Ahead of Q4 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, driven by significant production growth, record sales volumes, and higher realized gold prices, with earnings estimated to surge 470% year-over-year to 57 cents per share [1][6]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings has increased over the past 30 days, with current estimates at 57 cents per share, reflecting a 470% year-over-year increase [1][2]. - The earnings estimate trend shows a significant upward revision, with a 50% increase in the current quarter estimate compared to seven days ago and a 38% increase compared to 60 days ago [2]. Production and Performance - IAMGOLD recorded quarterly production of 242,400 ounces, marking a 37.2% year-over-year increase, attributed to improved execution across its diversified asset base, particularly at Côté Gold, Essakane, and Westwood [7][8]. - The continued ramp-up at Côté Gold is crucial for earnings, with rising mill utilization and record output contributing to increased volumes and economies of scale [8]. Cost and Margin Analysis - Cash costs are expected to be near the top end of $1,375–$1,475 per ounce, with all-in sustaining costs (AISC) projected at $1,830–$1,930 per ounce, reflecting an increase from the previous year due to higher unit costs and royalties [10]. - Cost pressures are anticipated to persist, influenced by gold-linked royalties and elevated fuel prices, although higher production volumes may help recover margins [9][10]. Stock Performance and Valuation - IAMGOLD's shares have increased by 208.2% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500 [11]. - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month sales multiple of 4.49, representing a 28% premium over the industry average of 3.52 [14]. Strategic Outlook - IAMGOLD is positioned to benefit from the ramp-up of the Côté Gold project and stable performance across its mines, which is expected to drive higher production and improved margins amid elevated gold prices [15][16]. - With major capital spending largely complete, the company is focusing on debt reduction and potential shareholder returns, while exploration efforts in Québec provide long-term growth opportunities [17].