Yuanxing Energy(000683) 国泰君安·2024-07-30 05:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's Q2 performance met expectations, driven by the Alashan project, and the target price has been adjusted to 7.40 CNY from the previous 8.21 CNY [4][6]. - The company's revenue for H1 2024 reached 7.07 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 32.00%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.209 billion CNY, up 14.90% year-on-year [4]. - The report highlights strong domestic demand for soda ash, with H1 2024 apparent consumption in China reaching 18.17 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 28.49% [4]. Financial Summary - The company achieved total revenue of 10.987 billion CNY in 2022, with a projected increase to 16.206 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 34.6% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 2.660 billion CNY in 2022 to 2.509 billion CNY in 2024, indicating a growth of 78.0% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.67 CNY in 2024, down from the previous estimate of 0.75 CNY [4][5]. Market Data - The company's current stock price is 6.36 CNY, with a target price of 7.40 CNY, indicating potential upside [6][7]. - The total market capitalization is approximately 23.728 billion CNY [7]. Production Capacity and Growth - The Alashan natural soda ash project is expected to significantly contribute to the company's growth, with phase one planned for 5 million tons/year of soda ash and 400,000 tons/year of sodium bicarbonate [4]. - The report notes that the company is positioned for low-cost expansion due to its resource advantages, ensuring long-term growth prospects [4].