YADEA(01585) 海通证券·2024-09-05 00:40Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in sales in the short term but is expected to have a strong long-term development potential. The revenue for the first half of 2024 was 14.414 billion yuan, down 15.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.034 billion yuan, down 12.9% year-on-year. The electric two-wheeler segment saw a revenue drop of 19.9% year-on-year, while the components segment experienced a revenue increase of 72.5% year-on-year [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved a net profit margin of 7.17%, an increase of 0.20 percentage points year-on-year, and a gross margin of 18.00%, up 1.13 percentage points year-on-year. The sales expense ratio was 4.20%, the management expense ratio was 2.91%, and the financial expense ratio was -0.84% [4]. - The company’s revenue forecast for 2024 is 33.069 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.9%, with net profits expected to be 2.550 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.4% [5][6]. Business Segments - The electric two-wheeler segment is projected to generate sales of 22.153 billion yuan in 2024, down 9.9% year-on-year, while the battery and charger segment is expected to see a revenue increase of 5.0% year-on-year [6]. - The components segment is forecasted to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 1.203 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 30.0% year-on-year [6]. Valuation and Forecast - The company is valued at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 14-15 times for 2024, with a reasonable value range estimated between 11.47 and 12.29 yuan, which translates to 12.62 to 13.52 Hong Kong dollars [4][5]. - The expected net profits for 2024-2026 are projected to be 2.550 billion, 3.264 billion, and 3.792 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of -3.4%, +28.0%, and +16.2% [4][5].