ZANGGE MINING(SZ:000408) Huaxin Securities·2024-11-01 01:13Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The potassium and lithium sector remains sluggish, while copper mining investment returns continue to grow [1] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for Q3 2024, with revenue at 562 million yuan, down 59.65% year-on-year, and net profit at 571 million yuan, down 39.42% year-on-year [1][4] - Despite the downturn in potassium and lithium prices, the company maintains a cost advantage in lithium extraction from salt lakes, and future growth in lithium and potassium production is expected [4] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.324 billion yuan, a decrease of 44.53% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.868 billion yuan, down 37.08% year-on-year [1][4] - The average selling price of potassium chloride decreased by 15.40% year-on-year, while sales costs increased by 16.84% [1] Production and Sales - Potassium chloride production for the first three quarters of 2024 was 756,200 tons, up 1.32% year-on-year, but sales dropped by 28.22% to 715,000 tons [1] - Lithium carbonate production for the same period was 9,277.5 tons, an increase of 12.84% year-on-year, with sales reaching 10,210 tons, up 31.56% year-on-year [1] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 3.307 billion yuan, 3.730 billion yuan, and 4.720 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of 2.545 billion yuan, 2.768 billion yuan, and 3.267 billion yuan [4][6] - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of copper production capacity at the Jilong Copper Mine, with copper production projected to reach 300,000 to 350,000 tons annually after the second phase is completed by the end of 2025 [2][3]