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华能国际:24年上网电量小增1%,新能源新增并网9.4GW
600011HPI(600011) 华福证券·2025-01-15 11:09

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company's 2024 full-year grid-connected electricity volume increased by 1% year-on-year, with new energy grid-connected capacity reaching 9.4GW [2] - The company's 2024 full-year grid-connected electricity volume in China was 4529.39 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 1.13% [3] - The average grid-connected settlement price for 2024 was 494.26 yuan/MWh, a year-on-year decrease of 2.85% [3] - The company's coal-fired power generation volume in 2024 was 3692.78 billion kWh, a year-on-year decrease of 1.74% [4] - The company's wind power generation volume in 2024 was 369.52 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 16.07% [5] - The company's photovoltaic power generation volume in 2024 was 181.27 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 66.13% [5] - The company's hydropower generation volume in 2024 was 9.34 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 24.79% [5] - The company added 9417.71 MW of new energy grid-connected controllable power generation capacity in 2024 [5] Financial Data and Valuation - The company's 2024E revenue is expected to be 247,547 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3% [7] - The company's 2024E net profit is expected to be 9,999 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18% [7] - The company's 2024E EPS is expected to be 0.64 yuan/share [7] - The company's 2024E P/E ratio is expected to be 10.1x [7] - The company's 2024E P/B ratio is expected to be 0.7x [7] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The report expects the company's net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024-2026 to be 9,999, 10,051, and 10,400 million yuan, respectively [6] - The corresponding P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 10.1x, 10.1x, and 9.7x, respectively [6]