HPI(600011) 国金证券·2025-03-26 08:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.75, 0.79, and 0.83 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9, 9, and 8 [2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 245.55 billion yuan for 2024, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.14 billion yuan, an increase of 20% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 11.76 billion yuan in 2025, 12.37 billion yuan in 2026, and 13.04 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a positive growth trajectory [2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its profitability through improved coal machine performance, with a total profit of 7.14 billion yuan from the coal machine segment in 2024 [6]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 245.57 billion yuan, with a slight growth forecast of 0.01% for 2025 and 2.64% for 2026 [5]. - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 11.76 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 16.05% in 2025 and 5.18% in 2026 [5]. - The diluted EPS is expected to increase from 0.75 yuan in 2025 to 0.83 yuan in 2027, with a corresponding decrease in PE ratio from 9 to 8 [2][5]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.27 yuan per share for 2024, with a cash dividend payout ratio of 58.78%, up from 57.14% in the previous year [6].