BOB(SH:601169) HTSC·2025-04-15 09:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 6.82 RMB [9][10]. Core Views - The company's net profit for 2024 is expected to grow by 0.81% year-on-year, with operating income and PPOP increasing by 4.81% and 4.40% respectively, indicating a slight improvement in performance compared to previous quarters [1]. - The company is focusing on retail transformation and enhancing digital capabilities, which is anticipated to improve operational performance [1]. - The report predicts a target PB of 0.50 times for 2025, reflecting a cautious outlook on non-interest income growth [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company expects total assets, loans, and deposits to grow by 12.6%, 9.6%, and 18.2% respectively, showing significant acceleration compared to previous quarters [2]. - The net interest margin for 2024 is projected to remain stable at 1.47%, with slight declines in yield on earning assets and loans [2]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income is expected to increase by 10.1% year-on-year for 2024, with a narrowing decline in intermediary business income, primarily driven by growth in settlement and underwriting services [3]. - The company plans to accelerate its light-capital transformation and retail strategy to enhance its non-interest income sources [3]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio is stable at 1.31% with a provision coverage ratio of 209% as of the end of 2024, indicating solid asset quality [4]. - The report estimates a quarterly annualized non-performing loan generation rate of 1.14% for Q4 2024, reflecting a slight increase from the previous quarter [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts EPS for 2025 at 1.27 RMB, with a corresponding PB of 0.44 times, compared to a peer average of 0.65 times [5][28]. - The company’s projected ROE and ROA for 2024 are 7.56% and 0.65% respectively, indicating a slight decline from previous years [7][33].