Career International(SZ:300662) Tianfeng Securities·2025-04-29 03:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The company is expected to see a significant improvement in its fundamentals, driven by the growth in flexible employment services, with a projected revenue increase of 22% in 2024 and a net profit growth of 42% in Q1 2025 [3][4] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 285 million, 342 million, and 410 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24, 20, and 16 [4] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 11.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21%, and a net profit of 205.35 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.42% [5] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 6.4%, reflecting a decrease of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in the gross margin of flexible employment services [5] - The company reported a significant increase in revenue from its top five clients, contributing 6.3 billion yuan, which is a 46% year-on-year increase [2] Business Segment Analysis - The flexible employment segment is the main growth driver, with a revenue increase of 22% in 2024 compared to 12% in 2023, and an expected growth rate of over 20% in 2025 [3] - The company has seen a net increase of approximately 10,000 outsourced employees in 2024, compared to 2,800 in 2023, indicating a strong demand for its services [3] Regional Performance - Revenue from mainland China is expected to reach 9.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 29%, while overseas revenue is projected to decline by 4.4% [2] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 1.6 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 15.33% [2]