QILU BANK(SH:601665) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-05-06 03:30Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Qilu Bank [4] Core Views - Qilu Bank's performance shows a marginal increase in growth rates, with revenue growth of 4.74% year-on-year in Q1 2025, compared to 4.57% for the entire year of 2024. Net profit growth for Q1 2025 is 16.44%, compared to 17.77% for 2024 [6][10] - The bank's asset quality continues to improve, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17% in Q1 2025, down 2 basis points quarter-on-quarter and 8 basis points year-on-year [24] - The bank is focusing on county-level finance and innovation in financial services to maintain competitive advantages in a challenging environment [6] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Q1 2025 revenue increased by 4.74% year-on-year, while net profit rose by 16.44% [10] - The bank's net interest margin decreased by 3 basis points to 1.48% in Q1 2025, with an annualized asset yield down by 15 basis points to 3.25% [14][16] Asset Quality - The NPL ratio and NPL generation rate are on a downward trend, with the NPL generation rate at 0.5% in Q1 2025, down 13 basis points from the previous quarter [24] - The provision coverage ratio increased to 324.09%, reflecting a strong buffer against potential loan losses [24] Loan and Deposit Growth - Q1 2025 saw a 14.3% year-on-year increase in deposits, with a stable growth trend in interest-bearing liabilities [17] - The loan growth rate for Q1 2025 was 12.6%, with corporate loans increasing by 18.1% [16] Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income decreased by 3.9% year-on-year in Q1 2025, primarily due to a decline in other non-interest income [20] - Fee income, however, showed a positive growth of 8.4% year-on-year [20] Future Outlook - The report projects net profits of 56 billion, 62 billion, and 67 billion for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, reflecting slight adjustments from previous estimates [6]