XCMG(SZ:000425) Dongguan Securities·2025-05-07 08:54Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in operational quality, with a quarter-on-quarter growth in performance for Q1 2025 [1] - The report highlights a strong performance in traditional industries, particularly in earth-moving machinery, and a notable increase in revenue from emerging industries, especially agricultural machinery [5] - The company is expected to maintain a "Buy" rating with projected EPS for 2025-2027 at 0.66 yuan, 0.82 yuan, and 0.94 yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 14x, 11x, and 10x respectively [5] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 916.60 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.28%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 59.76 billion yuan, an increase of 12.20% [5] - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 268.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.92% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.92%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 20.22 billion yuan, up 26.37% year-on-year and 203.18% quarter-on-quarter [5] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 22.07%, and the net margin was 7.57% [5] Business Segments - The earth-moving machinery segment generated revenue of 240.11 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.43%, with improved profitability and market share [5] - The lifting machinery segment saw revenue of 188.98 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.80%, but exports of crawler cranes increased by over 60% [5] - The agricultural machinery segment experienced a revenue growth of over 170% due to the expansion of high-end product offerings [5] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 1,007.31 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 77.89 billion yuan [7] - The operating profit is expected to rise to 8,910 million yuan in 2025, with a steady increase in subsequent years [7]