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金融工程周报:能化ETF净值升幅显著-20250616
Guo Tou Qi Huo·2025-06-16 11:37

Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a one-star rating (★☆☆) for the CITIC Five-Style - Financial, indicating a bullish bias but with limited operability in the market [3]. Core Viewpoints - In the public fund market, the returns of equity and bond strategies showed slight differentiation in the past week. The energy and chemical ETF had a significant net value increase, while the non-ferrous metal ETF had a slight decline. The financial and cyclical styles of the CITIC Five-Style recorded positive returns, and the style timing model signals a preference for the financial style this week [3]. - Among the Barra factors, the residual volatility factor performed well in the past week, and the factor cross-sectional rotation speed increased slightly this week. The style timing strategy had a return of 0.44% last week, with an excess return of 0.66% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Recent Market Returns - As of the week ending June 13, 2025, the weekly returns of the Tonglian All-A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were -0.41%, 0.17%, and 2.14% respectively [3]. - In the public fund market, equity strategies showed mixed performance, with index enhancement strategies slightly回调 and market neutral strategies under slight pressure. Bond strategies saw better performance in medium - and long - term pure bonds, and the convertible bond index weakened slightly. Commodity strategies had significant increases in the energy and chemical ETF and the soybean meal ETF [3]. CITIC Style Index - Last Friday, the returns of the CITIC Five-Style index were differentiated, with the financial and cyclical styles recording positive returns. The style rotation chart showed a slight decline in the consumer and stable styles in terms of relative strength, and the cyclical style strengthened marginally in terms of indicator momentum [3]. - Only growth-style funds outperformed the index in the public fund pool in the past week, with an excess return of 0.15%. Some financial-style funds shifted towards consumer and cyclical styles [3]. Barra Factors - In the past week, the residual volatility factor had a weekly excess return of 0.82%. The scale factor's excess return continued to compress, and the leverage and growth factors' returns strengthened slightly. The medium - and long - term momentum and growth factors had better performance in terms of win - rate [3]. - The factor cross - sectional rotation speed increased slightly this week and is currently in the medium - to low - percentile range of history [3]. Style Timing Model - According to the latest score of the style timing model, the financial style rebounded this week, while the consumer and cyclical styles declined, and the current signal favors the financial style. The style timing strategy's return last week was 0.44%, with an excess return of 0.66% compared to the benchmark balanced allocation [3].