TKGF(SH:601233) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-29 05:06Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][32]. Core Views - The company has shown a year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, supported by its advantages in the industrial chain, which are expected to contribute to long-term development [1]. - The company is experiencing a recovery in downstream demand, which is expected to improve the supply-demand dynamics in the industry [5][28]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 44.158 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.097 billion yuan, an increase of 2.9% year-on-year [2][10]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 24.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.4% [2][10]. - The company's gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 6.0%, showing a year-on-year improvement but a quarter-on-quarter decline due to cost pressures [10]. Product Performance Summary - The company has a polyester filament capacity of 13.5 million tons, holding over 28% of the domestic market share [3][13]. - In the first half of 2025, the revenue from polyester filament products (POY/FDY/DTY) was 26.98 billion, 6.66 billion, and 4.18 billion yuan respectively, with gross profits of 2.19 billion, 240 million, and 300 million yuan [3][4]. - The sales volume of polyester filament products in Q2 2025 increased significantly, with POY, FDY, and DTY sales rising by 42%, 29%, and 23% quarter-on-quarter respectively [3][13]. Cost and Pricing Summary - The average selling prices for POY, FDY, and DTY in the first half of 2025 were 6,160, 6,465, and 7,688 yuan per ton, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 10%, 16%, and 9% respectively [4][17]. - The procurement prices for key raw materials (PX/PTA/MEG) also saw significant year-on-year declines, which helped alleviate profit pressure [4][17]. Investment and Strategic Projects - The company holds a 20% stake in Zhejiang Petrochemical, with Q2 2025 investment income from this stake amounting to 174 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12% [5][18]. - The company is advancing strategic projects, including the Xinjiang gas project and an Indonesian project, aimed at enhancing its competitive position in the market [5][18].