交银国际研究 公司更新 | 消费 | 收盘价 | | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2026 年 2 月 13 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 港元 | | 7.83 | 港元 8.90↓ | +13.7% | | | 百威亚太 (1876 HK) | | | | | | 中国市场仍待修复，但股息率吸引；小幅下调目标价，维持买入 财务数据一览 | 年结12月31日 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收入 (百万美元) | 6,246 | 5,764 | 6,070 | 6,277 | 6,465 | | 同比增长 (%) | -8.9 | -7.7 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 | | 净利润 (百万美元) | 726 | 489 | 679 | 731 | 772 | | 每股盈利 (美元) | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | | 同比增长 (%) | -14.7 | -32.8 | 38 ...

核心观点： | | | | [Table_ 货币单位：人民币 Finance] | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 7,950 | 7,759 | 8,539 | 9,323 | 10,094 | | 增长率（ % ） | 1% | -2% | 10% | 9% | 8% | | EBITDA（百万元） | 1,585 | 2,078 | 2,435 | 2,843 | 3,348 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,700 | 2,860 | 2,206 | 2,561 | 2,998 | | 增长率（ ） % | 108% | 68% | -23% | 16% | 17% | | EPS（元/股） | 8 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 14 | | 市盈率（x） | 19 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 11 | | ROE（%） | 15% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 14% | | EV/EBITDA（x） | 20 | 15 | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - MiniMax is recognized for its high cost-performance ratio, particularly in its flagship model MiniMax 2.1, which has received positive feedback from overseas developers [3][12] - The company has established a strong presence in over 200 countries, serving more than 200 million individual users and over 100,000 enterprise clients, with 73% of its revenue coming from international markets [5][20] - MiniMax's innovative technology includes a multi-modal model architecture that enhances efficiency and reduces inference costs, positioning it as a leader in the AI space [6][38] Company Overview - MiniMax was founded in late 2021 and has rapidly expanded its user base and service offerings, focusing on AI products that cater to both consumer and enterprise markets [5][20] - The company has a diverse product portfolio, including AI video generation (Hailuo), AI companionship (Talkie), and an open platform for developers, which collectively contribute significantly to its revenue [7][58] - The company’s revenue for the first nine months of 2025 reached $53.44 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 175% [58][61] Financial Performance - MiniMax's revenue is primarily driven by its AI native products and open platform, with significant contributions from Hailuo AI and Talkie, which accounted for 33% and 35% of total revenue respectively [58][61] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $80 million, $190 million, and $395 million in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 173%, 129%, and 107% [9][61] Product and Technology - MiniMax's flagship model, MiniMax 2.1, has demonstrated superior performance in task handling and cost efficiency compared to competitors like Claude [3][12] - The company has introduced innovative features such as the MoE (Mixture of Experts) architecture and linear attention mechanisms, which enhance model scalability and efficiency [6][38] - The AI video generation tool Hailuo has been recognized for its high performance and cost-effectiveness, making it suitable for various applications including advertising and short video production [44][62] Market Position - MiniMax has positioned itself as a key player in the AI market, particularly in the fields of AI video and audio, where it ranks among the top in global standings [6][39][40] - The company’s open platform is designed to support a wide range of industries, processing billions of tokens daily and offering competitive pricing for its services [54][55]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Budweiser APAC (1876.HK) with a current price of HKD 7.83 [1] Core Insights - Budweiser APAC reported a revenue of USD 5.764 billion for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.1%. The normalized EBITDA was USD 1.588 billion, down 9.8% year-on-year. In Q4 2025, revenue was USD 1.073 billion, with a year-on-year decline of 4.2% [5] - The company plans to distribute dividends of USD 750 million for 2025, unchanged from 2024 [5] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - For 2025, Budweiser APAC achieved a total sales volume of 796.58 million hectoliters, down 6.0% year-on-year. The revenue per hectoliter for the year decreased by 0.2% [5] - In Q4 2025, the sales volume was 135.18 million hectoliters, with a slight decline of 0.7% year-on-year. Revenue per hectoliter fell by 3.5% [5] Regional Performance - In the Western Asia-Pacific region, Q4 2025 sales volume grew by 0.1% year-on-year, but revenue and revenue per hectoliter declined by 5.6% and 5.7%, respectively. Normalized EBITDA in this region fell by 40.0% year-on-year [6] - The Indian market showed strong growth, with high-end and super high-end products accounting for over two-thirds of total revenue, contributing more than 20% to revenue growth [6] - In the Eastern Asia-Pacific region, Q4 2025 revenue declined by 0.6% year-on-year, with sales volume down 3.7%. Revenue per hectoliter increased by 3.2% [6] China Market Focus - The Chinese market remains under pressure, with Q4 2025 sales volume down 3.9% year-on-year, primarily due to weak on-the-go channels and delayed shipments related to the Lunar New Year [7] - The company is increasing investments in channel and product mix expansion, focusing on high-end and digital channel strategies for 2026 [8] Profitability Forecast - The report lowers the net profit forecast for 2026 and 2027 to USD 621 million and USD 680 million, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 9% and 7% [8] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 21x for 2026, 20x for 2027, and 18x for 2028, indicating a favorable outlook for the company's competitive advantage in high-end and super high-end segments [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for NetEase Cloud Music, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [14]. Core Insights - NetEase Cloud Music's total revenue for FY25 declined by 2% YoY to RMB7.76 billion, slightly below the Bloomberg consensus estimate of RMB7.91 billion. However, adjusted net profit increased by 68% YoY to RMB2.86 billion, aligning with consensus estimates [1]. - The company has slightly lowered its FY26 total revenue forecast by 1% due to a soft non-subscription business, but maintains a solid earnings growth outlook for FY26 [1][6]. - The target price has been adjusted to HK$245.00, down from HK$330.00, based on a 23x FY26E non-GAAP PE, reflecting a decline in sector valuation [1][9]. Financial Performance Summary - FY25 total revenue: RMB7.76 billion, down 2% YoY; adjusted net profit: RMB2.86 billion, up 68% YoY [2]. - FY26 revenue forecast: RMB8.42 billion, expected to grow by 8.5% YoY; adjusted net profit forecast: RMB2.14 billion, expected to decline by 25.3% YoY [2][7]. - Gross margin for FY26 is projected at 37.0%, with an operating profit margin of 22.9% [2][11]. Revenue Breakdown - Online music services revenue grew by 8% YoY to RMB3.0 billion in 2H25, while membership subscription revenue increased by 12% YoY to RMB2.6 billion [6]. - Non-subscription music revenue declined by 7% YoY in 2H25, primarily due to a drop in digital album sales [6]. - Social entertainment revenue fell by 17% YoY to RMB905 million in 2H25, although it stabilized with a 5% HoH growth [6]. Margin Analysis - Overall gross profit margin (GPM) increased by 2.7 percentage points YoY but declined by 1.4 percentage points HoH to 35.0% in 2H25 [6]. - Adjusted operating margin improved by 4.6 percentage points YoY to 21.1% in 2H25, driven by operating leverage and effective expense control [6]. Valuation Metrics - The current price of NetEase Cloud Music is HK$165.40, with an upside potential of 48.1% to the target price of HK$245.00 [3]. - The company is currently trading at a P/E of 15x for FY26E, which is considered attractive compared to the target P/E of 23x [1][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the stock, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the Hang Seng Index [6]. Core Insights - Xiaoma Zhixing ranks second in China's Level 4 autonomous driving market, holding a 15.4% market share as of the end of 2024, with significant growth projected in the autonomous driving service market, expected to reach $39.4 billion by 2030 and $183 billion by 2035 [2]. - The company is increasing R&D investments despite recording losses, with expected net losses for 2025 projected to narrow significantly to between $69 million and $86 million, compared to $275 million in 2024 [2]. - The introduction of the seventh-generation Robotaxi in 2025 has reduced the total cost of the autonomous driving kit by 70%, leading to the first city-level single-vehicle profitability in Guangzhou [3]. - Xiaoma Zhixing is expanding its light-asset model through partnerships, which will enhance capital efficiency and accelerate fleet growth, with plans to exceed 3,000 vehicles by 2026 [4]. - Inclusion in the MSCI China Index is expected to attract passive capital inflows, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 70% for revenue from 2025 to 2027 [5]. Summary by Sections Market Position - Xiaoma Zhixing is the only L4 autonomous driving technology company to obtain regulatory approval for autonomous driving services in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen [2]. - The company is strategically seeking overseas expansion opportunities and has already established a presence in eight countries [4]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a significant reduction in net losses for 2025, with forecasts ranging from $126 million to $143 million, a notable decrease from $274 million in 2024 [2]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 is expected to see a turnaround to profitability, with projected net profits between $14 million and $31 million [2]. Product Development - The seventh-generation Robotaxi is set to launch in 2025, achieving substantial cost savings in key components, which is a critical milestone for the company's commercialization efforts [3]. Strategic Partnerships - Collaborations with partners like Deep Lake West Lake Group and Sunshine Travel are enhancing Xiaoma Zhixing's operational efficiency and fleet expansion capabilities [4]. Market Outlook - The report highlights the potential for increased valuation attractiveness if regulatory policies for autonomous driving are further relaxed in mainland China [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - MiniMax is recognized for its high cost-performance ratio, which has garnered positive feedback from overseas developers. The company has integrated its technology into the open-source project Clawdbot, which has gained significant traction in the tech community [3][12] - The company has established a strong presence in over 200 countries, serving more than 200 million individual users and over 100,000 enterprise clients. Its overseas revenue accounts for 73%, with significant contributions from Singapore and the United States [5][23] - MiniMax's innovative models, including the MoE architecture and linear attention mechanism, enhance efficiency and reduce inference costs, positioning the company as a leader in the AI model space [6][38] Company Overview - MiniMax was founded in late 2021 and has rapidly expanded its services globally, focusing on AI products that cater to both consumer and enterprise markets. The company’s revenue model is primarily driven by its AI-native products, which account for 71% of its income [5][20] - The company has a young and dynamic research team, with a significant portion of its workforce having a background in research and development [35][32] Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of $30.52 million in 2024, with a projected increase to $53.44 million in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 175%. The revenue contributions from its main products are as follows: 29% from the open platform, 33% from Hailuo AI, and 35% from Talkie [58][61] - MiniMax's revenue growth is expected to continue, with projections of $80 million, $190 million, and $395 million for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a strong upward trajectory [9][61] Product and Technology - MiniMax's product offerings include Hailuo AI for video generation, Talkie for AI companionship, and a robust open platform that supports various AI applications. These products are designed to meet diverse user needs and have shown significant market acceptance [44][47][55] - The company’s AI models, particularly the M series, are designed for efficient coding and multi-agent collaboration, achieving a balance between performance and cost [41][38] Market Position - MiniMax has positioned itself as a key player in the AI market, particularly in the video and voice generation sectors, where it ranks among the top in global standings. The company’s innovative approaches and competitive pricing strategies have made it attractive to small and medium enterprises [39][40][44] - The company’s focus on high-quality, cost-effective solutions aligns well with the growing demand for AI applications across various industries, enhancing its market potential [10][62]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in the market [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the African hygiene products market, with a strong local competitive advantage [5][10]. - The company focuses on developing, manufacturing, and selling baby diapers, baby pull-ups, sanitary napkins, and wet wipes, catering to diverse market needs [7][14]. - The report highlights the company's robust growth trajectory, with projected revenue and net profit increases over the next few years [8][47]. Financial Performance - As of February 12, 2026, the closing price is HKD 31.26, with a market capitalization of HKD 19,366.09 million [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are USD 540.43 million, USD 635.51 million, and USD 738.25 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 18%, and 16% [8][47]. - The net profit estimates for the same period are USD 109.83 million, USD 139.94 million, and USD 165.50 million, with growth rates of 15%, 27%, and 18% [8][47]. Market Position - The company holds the top market share in the African baby diaper and sanitary napkin markets, with respective shares of 20.3% and 15.6% based on 2024 sales volume [7][14]. - The company has established a comprehensive distribution network across 12 countries, reaching over 80% of the local population in key markets [42]. Product Strategy - The company employs a multi-brand strategy to cater to various consumer segments, with five major brands targeting different market tiers [26][32]. - The product lines include a total of 341 SKUs, with a focus on continuous product iteration to meet diverse consumer needs [26][32]. Supply Chain and Production - The company has built a robust global supply chain with localized production facilities in eight African countries, enhancing cost efficiency [36][42]. - As of April 30, 2025, the company operates 51 production lines across its facilities, with a total designed capacity for various hygiene products [36][42]. Growth Potential - The report anticipates significant growth in the baby diaper and sanitary napkin segments, driven by increasing birth rates and rising market penetration in Africa [9][47]. - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge due to its established market presence and strong distribution capabilities [10][50].

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2026 02 13 年 月 日 晶苑国际（02232.HK） 订单品类扩充，产能效率提升，制造龙头稳健成长 公司是服饰制造行业龙头之一，未来业务规模有望持续扩张。1）公司合作下游龙 头品牌公司，包括优衣库、Levis、GAP、Adidas 等，所生产的产品品类包括休闲 服、运动服及户外服、牛仔服、贴身内衣、毛衣、以及针织布料。2）2024 年公司 收入同比+13%至 24.7 亿美元/净利润同比+23%至 2.0 亿美元，2025H1 收入同 比+12%至 12.3 亿美元/净利润同比+17%至 0.98 亿美元，预计未来效率提升及 订单增长有望持续驱动公司业绩增长。 产能：积极布局一体化产业链，产能持续扩张以匹配订单需求。1）公司国际化布 局较早，目前员工人数约 8 万人，每年合计成衣出货量超过 4.7 亿件，2024 年末 在越南、中国、孟加拉国、柬埔寨、斯里兰卡的员工占比分别达到 54.3%/16.1%/11.3%/11.9%/5.9%。2）2024~2025 年间公司持续补充产能、招 聘员工，预计效率爬坡与提升将在 2026 年继续体现。我们 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price range of HKD 9.15 to HKD 9.57, corresponding to a PE ratio of 12.6 to 13.2 for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 23% to 29% [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the apparel manufacturing industry, with a diverse product range and a strong growth outlook. Revenue is expected to increase by 13% year-on-year to USD 2.47 billion in 2024, with net profit rising by 23% to USD 200 million [1][15]. - The company has a well-established international presence, with approximately 80,000 employees and an annual output of over 470 million garments. The production capacity is set to expand further to meet growing order demands [2][15]. - The company has a stable customer base, with significant contributions from major clients like Fast Retailing Group, which accounts for over one-third of its order revenue. The sportswear segment is experiencing rapid growth, driving overall revenue increases [3][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading apparel manufacturer with a wide range of products including casual wear, sportswear, outdoor clothing, denim, intimate apparel, sweaters, and knitted fabrics. It has a robust growth trajectory with expected revenue and profit increases in the coming years [1][15]. Capacity Expansion - The company is actively expanding its integrated supply chain and production capacity to match order demands. It has a global workforce and is investing in automation and vertical integration to enhance efficiency and market share [2][4][15]. Orders and Client Relationships - The company has a diversified client structure, with major clients contributing significantly to its revenue. The sportswear category is a key growth driver, supported by long-term partnerships with leading brands [3][15]. Financial Analysis and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of USD 2.74 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.9%. Net profit is expected to reach USD 232 million, reflecting a 15.7% increase [5][3][15]. Dividend Policy - The company has a stable cash flow, with a dividend payout ratio historically between 30% and 50%. The payout ratio is expected to increase to 70% in 2024, indicating potential for further dividend growth [4][27].