Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to BOC Aviation (02588.HK) [6] Core Views - BOC Aviation is positioned to benefit from the rising aviation industry and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a fleet of 483 aircraft, ranking fifth globally among aircraft leasing companies. The company is expected to see revenue growth from its global airline customer base and a decrease in funding costs due to lower interest rates, leading to an expansion of profit margins [2][6] - The aviation market is recovering strongly post-pandemic, with global available seat kilometers (ASK) returning to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2025. A shortage of aircraft supply due to delivery delays from Boeing and Airbus is expected to drive rental prices upward [2][3] Summary by Sections Company Overview - BOC Aviation, a leading aircraft leasing company backed by Bank of China, operates in 46 countries and regions, serving 88 airlines. The company has shown resilience and growth since its establishment in 1993 and its listing in Hong Kong in 2016 [22][23] Industry Analysis - The aviation leasing market is characterized by high concentration, with the top 20 companies holding a significant market share. The industry is currently in a recovery phase, with demand for air travel increasing, particularly in Europe and North America, while the Asia-Pacific region is expected to drive future growth [36][39][43] Competitive Advantages - BOC Aviation boasts a young fleet and long-term lease agreements, providing cost and liquidity advantages. The company is dynamically adjusting its debt structure to optimize financing costs, which are expected to decline as interest rates fall [3][12] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for BOC Aviation from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at $26.34 billion, $28.54 billion, and $29.39 billion, with corresponding net profits of $7.61 billion, $8.94 billion, and $9.64 billion. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 8.53, 10.01, and 10.80 HKD respectively [4][12][13] Valuation and Target Price - The report suggests a target price of 84.37 HKD for BOC Aviation, based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.1 times, reflecting the company's strong position in the recovering aviation market and the anticipated decrease in funding costs [16]

公司深度研究 | 大麦娱乐 现实娱乐头部平台，演出票务与 IP 衍生双轮驱动 证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 25 日 大麦娱乐（1060.HK）首次覆盖 演出：高景气赛道稳居龙头地位，内容+出海+品类驱动增长。现场演出市场 呈现"量价齐升"高景气度，据中国演出行业协会，2024 年大型演唱会票 房超 260 亿元，同比增长 78.1%。我们看好现场娱乐高景气度的持续性，需 求端，悦己与社交需求共振，多次观演比例提升；供给端，中低线城市与品 类多元化持续扩容。大麦稳居演出票务第一梯队，先发优势强，壁垒深厚， 高市占率的背后，是近 20 年的行业深耕，对上下游的深度整合，以及用户 消费习惯的培养与心智的养成。往后看，一方面，大麦受益于国内演出市场 的高景气度，另一方面，内容+出海+品类拓展亦打开向上空间。 IP：阿里鱼领跑授权蓝海，深化头部 IP 合作贡献业绩弹性。阿里鱼，全球 第六、中国第一大授权代理商，据 License Global，2024 年 GMV 达 41 亿 美元，以"IP2B2C"模式构建竞争壁垒，通过双边网络效应连接三丽鸥、 宝可梦等数百个优质 IP 与 10 万+淘系商家，全链条沉淀 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an OUTPERFORM rating, indicating a positive outlook for the company compared to the market [2]. Core Insights - The company's profitability is continuously improving, driven by new channels and scenarios contributing to growth [1]. - The company has a well-established brand in the food and beverage industry, with a diversified product range including rice snacks, dairy beverages, and leisure foods [3]. - The company is actively expanding its marketing efforts and enhancing brand recognition through innovative advertising and product development [48]. Financial Performance - Revenue projections for FY2025-2027 are estimated at RMB 240.5 billion, RMB 246.5 billion, and RMB 252.7 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 2.3%, 2.5%, and 2.5% respectively [49]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are RMB 41.7 billion, RMB 44.1 billion, and RMB 46.1 billion, with changes of -3.8%, +5.7%, and +4.6% respectively [49]. - The diluted EPS is expected to be RMB 0.35, RMB 0.37, and RMB 0.39 for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively [49]. Business Segments - The dairy beverage segment is expected to grow steadily, contributing over 50% of total revenue, with a projected CAGR of approximately 3.7% from FY2018 to FY2024 [4]. - The rice snack business is anticipated to recover growth driven by new products and channels, with expected revenue growth rates of 3.5%, 2%, and 2% for FY2025-2027 [4]. - The leisure food segment, particularly candy, is projected to grow at rates of 5%, 4%, and 4% for FY2025-2027, benefiting from strong demand [4]. Market Dynamics - The food and beverage industry is experiencing a shift towards health-conscious products, with the dairy beverage market expected to reach RMB 1,697 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 4.65% [25]. - The candy market is entering a low-growth phase, with expected growth rates stabilizing between 2% and 3% in the coming years [19]. - The overall market for leisure foods is projected to reach RMB 605.8 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 4.4% [13]. Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented measures to control raw material costs and optimize operational efficiency, leading to an expected EBIT margin of 23.8%, 23.9%, and 24.1% for FY2025-2027 [5]. - The gross profit margin is projected to improve due to cost reductions in raw materials, particularly full-fat milk powder, which has seen a significant price decline [37][39]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on expanding new channels and enhancing marketing strategies to drive brand growth, including leveraging e-commerce and innovative product placements [41][47]. - The company has established overseas operations, with a factory in Vietnam contributing to growth in the Southeast Asian market [47].

Group 1 - Investment Rating: Buy (Initiating Coverage) [1] - The report highlights the "Four Highs" advantages of the company: high profitability, high dividends, high capacity growth, and high equity incentives [7] - The company has maintained a leading ROE from 2018 to 2024, primarily due to a high sales net profit margin averaging 36.97% [21] Group 2 - The company is a private enterprise integrated in coal production, transportation, and sales, with a high and stable dividend payout ratio [9][11] - The company has a current production capacity of 6.5 million tons of thermal coal and is expanding its capacity with two coking coal mines under construction [7][42] - The company has announced a total dividend of 657.68 million HKD for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.56% based on the market capitalization as of December 23 [7][32] Group 3 - The company’s revenue for 2025 is projected to be 5,406.45 million HKD, with a net profit of 1,288.04 million HKD, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 38.95% [7] - The company’s cash flow generation capability is superior to its peers, with a cash flow ratio averaging 33.47% from 2020 to 2025H1 [27] - The company’s coal sales price for 5,000 kcal thermal coal is higher than that of major coal enterprises, with a price of 666 HKD per ton in 2024 [47]

m 2025 年 12 月 25 日 | 产业别 | | 家用电器 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | H 股价(2025/12/24) | | | 33.46 | | 恒生指数(2025/12/24) | | | 25,818.9 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | | 45.48/0 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | | 4,208.01 | | H 股数(百万) | | | 476.54 | | H 市值(亿元) | | | 0.00 | | 主要股东 | | 三花控股集团有 限公司(22.54%) | | | 每股净值(元) | | | 7.52 | | 股价/账面净值 | | | 4.45 | | 一年 | | | 三个月 一个月 | | 股价涨跌(%) | N/A | -16.06% | 3.55% | 近期评等 | 出刊日期 | 前日收盘 | 评等 | | --- | --- | --- | | -- | -- | -- | | 产品组合 | | | | 空调冰箱元器件 | | 63.8% | | 汽车零部件 | | 36.2% | 股价相对大盘走势 C o m ...

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of New Oriental-S (09901) to "Buy" [1][13] Core Insights - The report highlights an expected revenue of $1.165 billion for 2QFY26, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.2% [4][9] - The education business, including cultural tourism, is projected to generate $957 million, up 11% YoY, while other businesses, primarily EastBuy, are expected to contribute $208 million, reflecting an 18% YoY increase [4][9] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders is anticipated to reach $63 million, surging 77.8% YoY, with a non-GAAP net margin forecasted at 5.4%, expanding by 2 percentage points YoY [4][9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue for FY26 is maintained at $5.38 billion, with projections for FY27 and FY28 at $5.98 billion and $6.73 billion, respectively [6][13] - Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for FY26, FY27, and FY28 are $555 million, $610 million, and $679 million, respectively [6][13] Business Segment Performance - The overseas study business is expected to see a revenue decline of 3% YoY to $242 million in 2QFY26, with growth challenges in high-end one-on-one services [5][10] - New business segments, including K9 non-academic subject tutoring and learning tablets, are projected to grow 21% YoY to $364 million [5][11] - The number of learning centers is expected to increase to 1,368, up 20% YoY, although the growth rate is moderating [5][11] Margin Improvement - Non-GAAP operating margin is forecasted to expand by approximately 2 percentage points YoY to 4.7% in 2QFY26, with the education business margin at 4.1% and other businesses at 8% [6][12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Jinmao (00817.HK) is maintained at "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company has shown strong sales performance against market trends, with profit recovery expected to continue through the cycle. The sales amount for the first half of 2025 reached 53.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, marking its entry into the top 10 in the full-caliber sales ranking by CRIC [6][17]. - The company is actively reserving core land parcels to ensure long-term profitability, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 estimated at 1.11 billion, 1.56 billion, and 1.62 billion respectively, and corresponding EPS of 0.08, 0.12, and 0.12 [5][9]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance and Land Acquisition - The company has adjusted its development strategy since 2023, leading to a continuous improvement in fundamentals after hitting a low point. The sales performance in the first half of 2025 was strong, with a focus on acquiring core land parcels to secure long-term profitability [17]. - The sales amount for the first half of 2025 was 53.4 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 19.6%. The average signed price for residential properties rose to 22,000 yuan per square meter [24]. - The company has adopted a dual-focus strategy, acquiring 41 projects since 2024, all concentrated in core cities and areas, with an average sales net profit margin exceeding 10% [29]. Investment Properties and Property Services - The investment property segment has been operating steadily, providing stable cash flow despite revenue declines due to the pandemic since 2020. The company focuses on high-quality asset management and gradually exits low-efficiency assets [59]. - The property service segment has seen a year-on-year growth of 11% in management scale, reaching 1.1 million square meters in the first half of 2025, with 85% of new projects located in strategically important cities [7]. Financial Status and Debt Structure - The company has maintained a robust financial status, optimizing its domestic and foreign debt structure and reducing financing costs. The average financing cost for new domestic and foreign financing in the first half of 2025 was 2.70%, down by 0.69 percentage points from the end of 2024 [8]. - The company has successfully issued multiple low-interest bonds, and its debt structure remains healthy, with all three red lines maintained in the green [8]. Profitability Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see a recovery in profitability, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 showing a positive trend. The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.11 billion, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 13.5 [9][5]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the company's strong sales performance, strategic land acquisitions, and expected recovery in profitability [5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating, forecasting net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 at 137 million, 332 million, and 606 million RMB, with revenues of 3.13 billion, 4.03 billion, and 5.12 billion RMB respectively [4][16]. Core Insights - The company is the world's largest provider of warehouse fulfillment robot solutions, experiencing rapid global business growth with stable revenue and order increases. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.03 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 31.0%, and net loss attributable to shareholders narrowed by approximately 91.3% [4][17][18]. - The company is increasing its investment in embodied intelligence R&D, aiming to revolutionize traditional warehouse automation through "AI + robotics technology," which is expected to enhance gross margin performance and optimize operational efficiency [4][19]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 2,409 million, 3,125 million, 4,030 million, and 5,117 million RMB respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 30%, 29%, and 27% [3][8]. - The gross profit for the same years is projected to be 837 million, 1,153 million, 1,520 million, and 1,956 million RMB, with corresponding net profits of -832 million, 137 million, 332 million, and 606 million RMB [3][5]. - The company’s PS valuation is set at 10.0x for 2026, leading to a reasonable market capitalization of 40.3 billion RMB and a target price of 32.76 HKD [4][9].

证券研究报告 传媒 | 广告营销 港股|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 24 日 投资评级： 增持（首次） 证券分析师 陈良栋 SAC：S1350524100003 chenliangdong@huayuanstock.com 联系人 魏桢 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 2025 | 年 | 12 | 月 24 | | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | | 6.00 | | | 一年内最高/最低（港 | | | | 17.64/3.37 | | | | 元） | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万港元） | | | | | 5,710.43 | | | 流通市值（百万港元） | | | | | 5,710.43 | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | | 23.32 | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | | | 巨星传奇(06683.HK) ——下一站，巨星 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 weizhen@huayuanstock. ...

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2025 12 24 年 月 日 敏实集团（00425.HK） 电池盒放量驱动业绩高增，机器人等新兴赛道打开长期成长空间 全球汽车外饰与车身结构部件领先企业，业务布局兼具深度与广度。敏实 集团深耕行业三十余年，核心业务涵盖金属饰条、塑件、铝件及新能源汽 车电池盒四大产品线。作为全球化供应商，公司的业务布局广泛，服务宝 马、奔驰、特斯拉、比亚迪等 70 余家国内外头部车企，海外收入占比从 2021 年 41%提升至 2025H1 的 65%，全球化战略推进效果显著。业务结 构持续优化，电池盒业务作为重点发展的业务，2025H1 营收占比达 27%， 跃升为第一大收入来源；铝件产品受益于汽车轻量化趋势，2020 到 2024 年营收 CAGR 为 12%，毛利率维持 30%以上。同时受益于产能利用率提 升和成本管控，公司的营收和净利润均实现较快增长。 外饰件业务稳健贡献，电池盒与结构件已成增长引擎。敏实传统业务地位 稳固，金属饰条、塑件、铝件产品类别丰富，业绩持续增长。公司凭借轻 量化与智能化双重升级打开价值空间：铝合金外饰件渗透率持续提升，相 关产品逐步 ...