Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.69 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5%. The gross profit reached 2.82 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 11%. The gross margin improved by 1.8 percentage points to 36.7%, marking the 13th consecutive quarter of sequential improvement. The Non-GAAP net profit was 790 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 233% [2][5]. Revenue Performance - The advertising revenue for Q3 2025 was 2.57 billion yuan, up 23% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, driven by improved advertising product supply and algorithmic enhancements. The revenue from value-added services was 3.02 billion yuan, reflecting a 7% year-on-year increase, primarily due to higher income from paid memberships. Revenue from IP derivatives and other businesses reached 580 million yuan, boosted by successful offline events. However, mobile game revenue declined by 17% year-on-year to 1.51 billion yuan, attributed to high base effects from a previous title [9]. Operational Metrics - The community ecosystem of the company remains vibrant, with Daily Active Users (DAU) reaching 117 million (up 9% year-on-year) and Monthly Active Users (MAU) at 376 million (up 8% year-on-year). The average daily usage time increased by 6 minutes to 112 minutes. Approximately 2.5 million content creators earned income on the platform, with average earnings per creator rising by 22% year-on-year. The number of premium members reached 25.4 million, and the retention rate for formal members after 12 months was 80% [9]. Profitability Analysis - The gross profit for Q3 2025 increased by 11% to 2.82 billion yuan, driven by growth in high-margin businesses and effective cost control. The gross margin improved by 1.8 percentage points to 36.7%. Sales expenses decreased by 13% year-on-year, mainly due to reduced marketing costs for games, while R&D expenses remained stable. The Non-GAAP net profit of 790 million yuan represented a year-on-year increase of 233%, and the net operating cash flow was 2.02 billion yuan, indicating nine consecutive quarters of positive operating cash flow, suggesting a healthy business cycle [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, anticipating a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 340.37 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.5%, with an adjusted net profit of 32.82 billion RMB, up 73.5% [2]. - The AIoT platform has connected over 1.035 billion IoT devices, marking a 20.2% increase year-on-year, surpassing major global competitors [2]. - The company is focusing on high-end smartphone positioning, with the Xiaomi 17 series seeing over 80% of its sales from Pro and Pro Max models, and a 24.1% share in the high-end smartphone market in mainland China [3]. - The IoT and consumer products segment achieved a revenue of 27.6 billion RMB in Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 23.9%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The internet services segment saw a revenue increase of 10.8% year-on-year, with overseas internet service revenue growing by 34.9% [4]. - The automotive business is showing positive trends, with the YU7 model delivering 108,796 units, a 32.6% increase quarter-on-quarter, contributing to profitability [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 113.12 billion RMB, a 22.3% increase year-on-year, and an adjusted net profit of 11.31 billion RMB, up 80.9% [2]. Business Analysis - The smartphone segment generated 46 billion RMB in revenue in Q3 2025, with a global shipment of 43.4 million units, maintaining a market share of 16.7% globally and 13.6% in China [3]. - The IoT and consumer products segment's revenue reached 27.6 billion RMB, with a focus on smart home appliances and a new factory for smart appliances [3]. Internet Services - The internet services segment's revenue was 9.4 billion RMB in Q3 2025, with a notable increase in overseas revenue [4]. Automotive Business - The automotive segment is on track with the YU7 model's deliveries, indicating a positive trend towards profitability despite some margin pressures [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The adjusted EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.7, 2.0, and 2.6 RMB respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.89, 20.53, and 15.03 [5].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Yunfeng Financial (376 HK) Core Insights - Yunfeng Financial operates as an innovative fintech enterprise with core businesses in insurance, securities, asset management, and fintech, leveraging a "Web2 + Web3" dual ecosystem strategy [2][15] - The company aims to integrate Web2 and Web3 business synergies to enhance customer value through cross-selling and expand its customer base [20] - The strategic vision is to build a next-generation Web3 financial service ecosystem, promoting the concept of "Tokenize Everything, Connect the Globe" [20] Summary by Sections Shareholder Structure - Core shareholders include Yunfeng Financial Holdings Limited (45.02% stake) and MassMutual (23.65% stake), with a partnership with Ant Group [3][16] Licensing and Regulatory Framework - The group holds Hong Kong SFC Licenses Type 1, 4, and 9, and has upgraded its Type 1 License to support virtual asset trading and management services [17][3] Web3 Strategic Focus - The company has identified four core strategic focuses for its Web3 initiatives, including the tokenization of real-world assets and the establishment of a compliant virtual asset trading platform [18][21] Competitive Advantages - Yunfeng Financial's competitive advantages include a robust enterprise ecosystem, a stable core insurance business, early blockchain infrastructure investments, and a strong talent pool in Web3 [5][19] Customer Engagement Strategy - The company plans to utilize its existing client base and sales network, including 4,000 insurance agents, to cross-sell virtual asset trading services [20]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 79, representing a potential upside of 51% from the current price of HKD 52.25 [2][5][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant growth, targeting 1 million vehicle sales by 2026, with a projected revenue of RMB 1 billion and a net profit of RMB 5 billion [7][8]. - The company has a strong product pipeline with multiple new models set to launch in 2026, which will help solidify its market position and expand its market share [6][8]. - The company has demonstrated impressive sales growth, achieving a 97.3% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q3, with a net profit of RMB 1.5 billion [10]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts vehicle sales of 610,000, 970,000, and 1,260,000 units for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding revenues of RMB 68.6 billion, RMB 116.7 billion, and RMB 157.8 billion [8][9]. - The projected net profits for the same years are RMB 670 million, RMB 4.85 billion, and RMB 8.69 billion, leading to a price-to-earnings ratio of 105x, 14.4x, and 8.0x for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8][9]. Market Expansion - The company is expanding its sales channels, aiming to exceed 1,000 outlets by the end of this year and 1,500 by the end of next year, focusing on lower-tier cities to tap into the potential of the new energy vehicle market [7][8]. - The company has seen rapid growth in overseas markets, with October sales reaching 12,000 units and expectations for November orders to exceed 15,600 units [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [12]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in its core automotive business, driven by the rapid adoption of new energy vehicles in Europe, while also making significant strides in new business areas such as robotics, liquid cooling, and low-altitude economy [10][18]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a global leader in automotive exterior parts and has successfully expanded into the battery box business since 2017, becoming one of the top players in this sector. The ongoing increase in the penetration of new energy vehicles in Europe is expected to further boost the company's core business growth [3][7]. Business Performance - The company is entering a capacity harvesting phase, with operational efficiency improving and profitability on an upward trajectory. The capital expenditure peaked in 2022 at 34.1 billion, but is projected to decrease significantly in 2024, supporting future dividend increases [6][26]. Battery Box Business - As one of the largest battery box suppliers globally, the company benefits from Europe's clear carbon reduction goals and the resurgence of electric vehicle subsidies. The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in Europe is expected to reach approximately 19.6% in 2024, with significant growth anticipated in subsequent years [7][49]. New Business Ventures - The company is strategically diversifying into multiple business areas, including robotics, liquid cooling, and low-altitude economy, which are expected to create new growth trajectories. The robotics sector is projected to see significant advancements by 2025, while liquid cooling is becoming increasingly important due to rising energy efficiency demands [8][9]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to see substantial increases in net profit, with projections of 28.1 billion, 33.1 billion, and 40.6 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are forecasted to be 12.9X, 11.0X, and 8.9X [10][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][9] Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong operational resilience through its multi-brand strategy, with Amer Sports reporting a 30% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, exceeding market expectations [8] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting earnings per share of 4.69, 5.29, and 6.02 RMB respectively, down from previous estimates [3][9] - The target price is set at 112.89 HKD, based on a 22x PE valuation for 2025 [3][9] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million RMB): - 2023A: 62,356 - 2024A: 70,826 - 2025E: 78,573 - 2026E: 86,489 - 2027E: 95,347 - Year-on-year growth rates: 16.2%, 13.6%, 10.9%, 10.1%, 10.2% [3][12] - Operating Profit (in million RMB): - 2023A: 15,367 - 2024A: 16,595 - 2025E: 18,143 - 2026E: 20,123 - 2027E: 22,545 - Year-on-year growth rates: 36.8%, 8.0%, 9.3%, 10.9%, 12.0% [3][12] - Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company (in million RMB): - 2023A: 10,236 - 2024A: 15,596 - 2025E: 13,175 - 2026E: 14,846 - 2027E: 16,886 - Year-on-year growth rates: 34.9%, 52.4%, -15.5%, 12.7%, 13.7% [3][12] - Earnings Per Share (in RMB): - 2023A: 3.65 - 2024A: 5.56 - 2025E: 4.69 - 2026E: 5.29 - 2027E: 6.02 [3][12] - Gross Margin: - 2023A: 62.6% - 2024A: 62.2% - 2025E: 61.9% - 2026E: 62.2% - 2027E: 62.6% [3][12] - Net Margin: - 2023A: 16.4% - 2024A: 22.0% - 2025E: 16.8% - 2026E: 17.2% - 2027E: 17.7% [3][12] - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023A: 18.3% - 2024A: 23.4% - 2025E: 17.3% - 2026E: 17.1% - 2027E: 17.0% [3][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group (1810 HK) with a target price of HKD 50.00, indicating a potential upside of 28.8% from the current closing price of HKD 38.82 [1][17]. Core Insights - The automotive business turned profitable in Q3 2025, while the smartphone segment's gross margin is expected to be impacted by rising storage prices [2][7]. - Revenue for Q3 2025 reached RMB 113.121 billion, a 22% year-on-year increase, while adjusted net profit was RMB 11.311 billion, up 81% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [8][7]. - The report anticipates a decline in smartphone gross margin due to increased storage costs, projecting a smartphone gross margin of 9.4% for 2026, down from a previous estimate of 12.1% [7][9]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for Xiaomi Group are as follows: RMB 270.97 billion in 2023, RMB 365.91 billion in 2024, RMB 466.58 billion in 2025, RMB 534.02 billion in 2026, and RMB 599.21 billion in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of -3.2%, 35.0%, 27.5%, 14.5%, and 12.2% [3][18]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to grow from RMB 17.475 billion in 2023 to RMB 46.045 billion in 2027, with significant growth in 2025 projected at RMB 44.456 billion [3][18]. - The report highlights a decrease in the expected gross margin for the smartphone segment, projecting a gross margin of 22.3% for 2025, down from previous estimates [9][20]. Market Position and Valuation - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating the total valuation for Xiaomi Group at approximately RMB 1,280.046 million for 2026, based on a P/E ratio of 23 times for the smartphone and AIoT segment and a P/S ratio of 2.0 for the automotive and AI segment [10][9]. - The automotive business is projected to face increased competition and a reduction in gross margin due to a half reduction in purchase tax and rising raw material costs [7][9].

2025 年 11 月 20 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 相关报告 《携程集团-S（9961.HK）2025Q2 财报点评：利 润强劲增长，关注国际业务长期增量（买入）*旅 游及景区*陈梦竹，张娟娟》——2025-08-31 《携程集团-S（9961.HK）2025Q1 财报点评：旅 游需求持续强劲，关注国际业务长期增量（买入） *旅游及景区*陈梦竹，张娟娟，罗婉琦》—— 2025-05-24 《携程集团-S（9961.HK）2024Q4 财报点评：延 续高质量增长，看好国际业务长期增量空间（买入） *旅游及景区*陈梦竹，张娟娟，罗婉琦》—— 事件: 证券分析师： 陈梦竹 S0350521090003 chenmz@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 张娟娟 S0350523110004 zhangjj02@ghzq.com.cn ——携程集团-S（9961.HK）2025Q3 财报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对恒生指数表现 | | | 2025/11/19 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 携程集团-S | 8.0% | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - Geely Automobile reported a revenue of 239.48 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.4%. Total sales reached 2.17 million vehicles, up 45.7% year-on-year, with a core net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.62 billion yuan, an increase of 59% year-on-year [2][4] - The new platform has empowered Geely to enter a new product era, with the GEA architecture supporting a new vehicle cycle. The brands Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy are all performing well, and the transition to new energy vehicles is progressing smoothly, leading to increased profitability [2][8] - The company’s strong foundation in fuel vehicles and innovative overseas expansion strategies are opening new markets. The intelligent driving strategy is accelerating the enhancement of driving capabilities, indicating significant profit elasticity in the new vehicle cycle [2][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Geely achieved a revenue of 89.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.7%. Total sales for Q3 were 761,000 vehicles, with significant growth in the Galaxy and Lynk & Co brands [8] - The Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.3%, with a single vehicle profit of 5,000 yuan, up 11.8% year-on-year [8] Brand Performance - In Q3, Zeekr and Lynk & Co combined sales reached 140,000 vehicles, with total revenue of 31.56 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.1%. However, both brands reported a net loss of 460 million yuan for the quarter [8] Strategic Initiatives - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, with significant focus on electric and intelligent vehicles. The new models will feature advanced driving assistance systems, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the market [8] - The company is focusing on brand strategy, with a strong emphasis on electrification and intelligence, supported by a robust new vehicle cycle [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 20.38 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5%. The gross margin was 20.1%, up 2.8 percentage points from the previous quarter. The net loss was 380 million, narrowing by 1.43 billion year-on-year, while the Non-GAAP net loss was 150 million, narrowing by 1.38 billion year-on-year [2][4][8]. - The company is expected to see accelerated sales growth due to its leading smart driving capabilities, a strong new vehicle cycle, channel transformation, and enhanced marketing systems. Financial improvements are anticipated from scale increases, cost reductions from platforms and technology, and the expansion of software profitability and overseas growth [2][8]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a total delivery volume of 116,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 149.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.4%. The automotive business revenue was 18.05 billion, up 105.3% year-on-year and 6.9% quarter-on-quarter, with a single vehicle revenue of 176,000, down 0.8% quarter-on-quarter. The automotive business gross margin was 13.1%, up 4.5 percentage points year-on-year [8]. - Service revenue reached 2.33 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 78.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 67.3%. The service business gross margin was 74.6%, up 14.5 percentage points year-on-year and 21.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8]. Cost Management - The company’s R&D expenses were 2.43 billion, a year-on-year increase of 48.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.1%, with an R&D expense ratio of 11.9%. Selling and general expenses were 2.49 billion, up 52.6% year-on-year and 15.0% quarter-on-quarter, with a selling and general expense ratio of 12.2% [8]. Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, the company expects delivery volumes between 125,000 and 132,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.6% to 44.3%. Revenue is projected to be between 21.5 billion and 23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33.5% to 42.8% [8]. - The company is positioned for a strong new vehicle cycle with multiple new models expected to enhance sales. The advancements in AI technology and smart driving capabilities are anticipated to create a significant competitive advantage, with revenue projections of 77.3 billion and 130.2 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively [8].