[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 6 Nov 2025 银河娱乐 Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK) 25Q3 EBITDA 利润率略有下滑，市场份额维稳 Adjusted EBITDA Margin Slightly Declined in 25Q3, while Market Share Remained Stable27 寇媛媛 Yuanyuan Kou 骆雅丽 Yali Luo yy.kou@htisec.com yl.luo@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [(PTable_summary] lease see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件: 银河娱乐发布 25Q3 业绩，公司实现净收益 121.6 港元，同比提升 14.0%；经调整 EBITDA 达 33.4 亿港元，同 比提升 13.6%，对应经调整 EBITDA 利润率为 27.5%，同比下滑 0.1 个百分点。截至 25Q3，公司总收益达 354.1 亿港 元，同比提升 10.2%；经 ...

证券研究报告 商贸零售 | 互联网电商 港股|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 06 日 证券分析师 陈良栋 SAC：S1350524100003 chenliangdong@huayuanstock.com 陈逸凡 SAC：S1350525040003 chenyifan@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 2025 年 | | 11 月 | 05 | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | 158.50 | | | 一年内最高/最低（港 | | 186.20/77.35 | | | | | 元） | | | | | | | 总市值（百万港元） | | 3,025,549.02 | | | | | 流通市值（百万港元） | | 3,025,549.02 | | | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | 40.81 | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | | 阿里巴巴-W(09988.HK) 投资评级： 买入（维持） ——FY26Q2 预计阿里云营收增长提速 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company is a global leader in automotive micro-motors and systems, with a complete global manufacturing system and stable Tier 1 customer resources. Revenue projections for 2026E-2028E are $3.816 billion, $4.100 billion, and $4.634 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of $271 million, $297 million, and $339 million. The company’s valuation shows significant attractiveness compared to A-share and global peers [7]. Summary by Sections 1. Global Leading Micro-Motor Manufacturer - The company has evolved through three stages since its establishment in 1959, transitioning from toy micro-motors to automotive electric motors and expanding into various fields through acquisitions [18]. 2. Main Business: APG Growth Amid Electrification - The company’s automotive product group (APG) is expected to see volume and price increases due to the transition from fuel vehicles to electric vehicles. The average number of motors in electric vehicles is approximately 17 times that of fuel vehicles, leading to a significant increase in single-vehicle value [8][51]. 3. Key Assumptions - The company’s APG business is projected to benefit from the growth in electric vehicle production, with global electric vehicle output expected to rise from 24.9 million units in 2024 to 40.2 million units in 2028, reflecting a CAGR of 12.7% [8]. - The humanoid robot business is anticipated to become a core supplier for domestic and international manufacturers, leveraging its global manufacturing layout and system-level motor technology [8]. - The AI data center liquid cooling pump business is expected to benefit from the growing demand for cooling efficiency, with the market projected to grow from $2 billion in 2024 to $72.89 billion by 2030 [8]. 4. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected revenues and net profits for 2026E-2028E are $3.816 billion, $4.100 billion, and $4.634 billion, and $271 million, $297 million, and $339 million, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios are 15.2, 13.9, and 12.2 [10][12]. 5. Market Perception - Contrary to common perceptions that the company’s growth is constrained by the automotive cycle, the report highlights the company’s capabilities in high-precision motors and fluid control systems, which provide a strong foundation for growth in emerging sectors [11]. 6. Revenue Structure and Growth - The company’s revenue structure is increasingly concentrated in the automotive sector, with APG expected to account for 84% of total revenue by 2025. The company’s global customer base includes major automotive manufacturers and high-end brands across various industries [20][33]. 7. Electric Vehicle Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the global automotive industry is transitioning from quantity growth to structural optimization, with electric vehicles becoming the primary source of growth. The penetration rate of electric vehicles is expected to rise significantly, driving revenue growth for the company [55][56]. 8. Single Vehicle Value Enhancement - The average single vehicle value for electric vehicles is projected to be significantly higher than that of fuel vehicles, with estimates of $326.5 for electric vehicles compared to $217.6 for fuel vehicles [56].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianli International Holdings is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company anticipates a revenue of approximately 3.6 billion yuan for FY2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8%, with a profit of 650 million yuan, reflecting a 17% increase [2] - The decline in student enrollment at self-owned schools has led to a slowdown in revenue growth, with a 14% increase in the first half of the year, tapering to about 2.7% in the second half due to strict student recruitment policies and external factors such as population decline and economic downturn [3] - Profit growth was 36% in the first half but saw a decline of 3.4% in the second half, attributed to increased costs for quality teaching staff, AI investments, and rising food and operational costs [3] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY2025 have been adjusted down from 37.71 billion yuan to 35.97 billion yuan, with net profit estimates reduced from 7.57 billion yuan to 6.50 billion yuan [4] - The company expects to maintain steady growth in its competency business, with potential integration into the tutoring school business, and anticipates growth in various segments including research and competitions [4] - AI initiatives are progressing, with commercial products like AI camps and classrooms expected to generate additional revenue [4] Financial Metrics - For FY2025, the company forecasts total revenue of 3.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.33% [8] - The projected net profit for FY2025 is 650 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.88% [8] - The gross profit margin is expected to remain stable at around 33.69% [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yum China (9987.HK) is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $3.206 billion in Q3 2025, representing a 4% year-over-year increase, while operating profit rose by 8% to $400 million. However, net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5% to $282 million, but increased by 7% when excluding the impact of investments in Meituan [2] - The company returned $414 million to shareholders in Q3 2025, including $326 million in stock buybacks and $88 million in cash dividends, with a total of $950 million returned in the first three quarters and an expected annual return of approximately $1.5 billion [2] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In Q3 2025, the overall sales for the company, KFC, and Pizza Hut increased by 4%, 5%, and 4% year-over-year, respectively. Same-store sales grew by 1% for the overall company, 2% for KFC, and 1% for Pizza Hut. KFC's average transaction price decreased by 1%, while transaction volume increased by 3%. Pizza Hut saw a 13% drop in average transaction price but a 17% increase in transaction volume [3] Store Expansion - The company added a net total of 536 new stores in Q3 2025, with 32% being franchise stores. KFC contributed 402 new stores (41% franchise) for a total of 12,640 stores, while Pizza Hut added 158 new stores (28% franchise) for a total of 4,022 stores [3] Profitability and Cost Management - The operating profit margin improved to 12.5%, up 0.4 percentage points, with restaurant profit margins at 17.3%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points. KFC and Pizza Hut's restaurant profit margins were 18.5% and 13.4%, respectively, with year-over-year increases of 0.2 and 0.6 percentage points. This improvement was attributed to favorable raw material prices, operational streamlining, and automation [5] Future Earnings Forecast - The revenue projections for 2025-2027 are $11.792 billion, $12.350 billion, and $13.013 billion, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be $916.8 million, $982.7 million, and $1.061 billion for the same years. The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be $2.53, $2.71, and $2.93, respectively. The latest stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17, 16, and 15 times for the respective years [6]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月06日 中国宏桥（01378.HK） 电解铝权益产能增加，山东宏桥三季度盈利环比增长 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 有色金属·工业金属 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 刘孟峦 | 010-88005312 | liumengluan@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520040001 | | 证券分析师： | 焦方冉 | 021-60933177 | jiaofangran@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980522080003 | 事项： 公司公告：2025 年三季度，上市公司境内发债主体山东宏桥营业收入 387.2 亿元（同比+1.8%，环比+1.8%）， 净利润 69 亿元（同比+15.8%，环比+13.0%）。前三季度山东宏桥净利润 193.7 亿元，经营性净现金流高 达 241 亿元。 国信金属观点：假设 2025-2027 年铝现货含税均价为 20600/21500/21500 元/吨（原值 20500 元/吨），氧化 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][3] Core Insights - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record high profits driven by high trading activity, with revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching HKD 218.5 billion and HKD 134.2 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 36.6% and 44.8% [1][6] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved revenues and net profits of HKD 77.8 billion and HKD 49.0 billion, marking year-on-year increases of 44.7% and 55.8%, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 8% and 10% [1][6] - The report highlights significant growth in various segments, including trading, listing, clearing, custody, data, and investment income, with year-on-year increases of 57.3%, 17.1%, 65.7%, 24.9%, 8.1%, 10.3%, and 4.4%, respectively [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the average daily trading (ADT) in the Hong Kong stock market was approximately HKD 2,564 billion, a year-on-year increase of 126.3%, with Q3 ADT reaching HKD 2,864 billion, up 142.3% year-on-year and 20% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The number of IPOs in the Hong Kong market reached 69 in the first three quarters of 2025, raising HKD 1,883 billion, a year-on-year increase of 238.7% [2] - The report notes that the average daily trading volume for derivatives and LME continued to grow, with contract numbers and commodity ADV increasing by 11% and 4% year-on-year, respectively [2] Investment Income - Margin investment income was a key support for overall investment income, with a 16% increase in margin investment income driven by a 47% year-on-year increase in margin size [3] - The report indicates that external portfolio returns were down 39% year-on-year due to the redemption of external portfolios, which may impact overall investment income for the year [3] Future Outlook - The report expresses optimism regarding the deepening of mutual market access and the appreciation of the Renminbi, leading to an increase in the company's valuation [3] - The forecast for net profit for 2025 has been raised to HKD 180 billion [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 29.35 [5][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from overseas interest rate cuts, with clear medium to long-term growth prospects. Short-term disruptions from tariffs are becoming clearer, and a subsequent inventory replenishment demand is anticipated, which is expected to boost sales of lithium battery outdoor power equipment (OPE) products [1][2]. - The company has a strong competitive moat in the mid-to-high-end lithium battery OPE sector, with its EGO brand being a leading name in the market. The company is likely to benefit from the increasing penetration of lithium batteries and is actively expanding into commercial and riding-style products, indicating a smooth growth trajectory in the medium to long term [1][3]. Summary by Sections Short-term Outlook - The company has implemented various measures to address tariff disruptions, leading to expected revenue elasticity. Recent adjustments to tariffs, including a reduction in the fentanyl tax rate from 20% to 10%, are seen as marginal improvements. The company has shown resilience in operations, with a revenue increase of 11.9% year-on-year to USD 912 million in the first half of 2025 [2]. Long-term Growth Potential - As a leading global brand in electric tools and lithium battery OPE, EGO has been increasing its market share and deepening user recognition. The trend of rising lithium battery OPE penetration is clear, and the company is expected to maintain robust sales despite short-term disruptions. The expansion into new product lines such as commercial and riding-style products, as well as battery platform extensions, is anticipated to create new growth avenues [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report maintains its profit forecast, projecting net profits for 2025-2027 to be USD 148 million, USD 174 million, and USD 201 million, respectively. The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are USD 0.29, USD 0.34, and USD 0.39. The target price is based on a 13x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing ramp-up of overseas production capacity [4][9].

25Q3 营收和盈利同比增长明显，存储和高可靠领域需求向好 ——上海复旦（1385.HK）2025 年三季报业绩点评 要点 事件：公司前三季度实现营收 30.24 亿人民币，同比增长 12.7%；25Q3 实现 营收 11.86 亿人民币，同比增长 33.28%；Q3 营收增长主要系非挥发性存储 芯片、智能电表芯片和 FPGA 及其他芯片业务的销售带动，Q3 收入分别同比 增长 44%/42%/34%，而安全与识别芯片 Q3 营收同比增长 16%。利润端， 前三季度产品综合毛利率 58.47%，同比增长 3.42pct；25Q3 产品综合毛利 率 61.06%，同比增长 8.91pct，系营收增长叠加产品结构优化。前三季度归 母净利润 3.30 亿人民币，同比下降 22.69%，系受到政府补助专项验收和增 值税加计抵减额下降、存储跌价准备增加、无形资产计提减值等的影响。其中 25Q3 归母净利润 1.37 亿人民币，同比增长 72.69%，对应归母净利率 12%。 非挥发性存储器 Q3 营收回暖，公司积极开拓民品应用领域和合作：1）安全 与识别芯片业务 25Q3 实现收入 2.39 亿元，同比增长 16%。金 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant improvement in ADT-related businesses, indicating potential for valuation uplift. The company's revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached HKD 218.5 billion and HKD 134.2 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 37% and 45% [5][6] - The report anticipates continued high growth in the company's fundamentals, driven by a recovery in IPO activities and sustained inflows of southbound capital, with a forecasted increase in ADT for 2025-2027 [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, trading, settlement, listing, custody, data, and other investment income grew by 57%, 66%, 16%, 25%, 8%, 10%, and 4% year-on-year, respectively. The core driver of revenue growth is the significant increase in trading and settlement fees directly linked to ADT [5][6] - The company has revised its ADT assumptions for 2025-2027 to HKD 2,580 billion, HKD 2,620 billion, and HKD 2,700 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 96%, 2%, and 3% [5][6] Market Outlook - The primary market for Hong Kong stocks is experiencing high demand, with 69 new listings in Q1-Q3 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [7] - The report notes that the trading volume is expected to remain active due to the influx of quality assets from Chinese concept stocks returning to Hong Kong and the wave of A-share listings in Hong Kong [7] Valuation and Dividend - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.0%, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%. The report suggests that a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve could drive foreign capital back into the Hong Kong market, benefiting the exchange [8] - The current PE ratio is 31.2, which is at the 22nd percentile of the past ten years, indicating room for valuation improvement [8]