Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating to J&T Express, indicating significant growth potential in the Latin American e-commerce market and overall business expansion [2]. Core Insights - J&T Express is capitalizing on the booming e-commerce sector across 13 countries, with a strong foothold in Southeast Asia and emerging markets in Latin America, where package volume surged nearly 50% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [2][20]. - The company has successfully implemented a low-cost, rapid market penetration strategy by addressing local logistics challenges and forming deep partnerships with leading e-commerce platforms [2][3]. - Financially, J&T Express is expected to achieve steady revenue growth, with projected revenues of $10.26 billion in 2024, up from $8.85 billion in 2023, driven by the expansion of its logistics network and e-commerce partnerships [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. J&T Express's Global Strategy - The company's growth strategy is based on a model that combines e-commerce partnerships, local logistics solutions, and profit-sharing with regional agents, enabling efficient market entry and expansion [3][41]. - J&T Express has established a strong presence in Southeast Asia, maintaining a market share of 32.8% in H1 2025, while also achieving a stable 11.1% market share in China [2][27][34]. 2. Latin America as a Growth Engine - The Latin American market is projected to be a key growth driver for J&T Express, with e-commerce sales expected to grow at a rate of 12.2% in 2025, significantly higher than the global average [2][20]. - Brazil and Mexico are identified as core markets, contributing 80% of the orders in Latin America, with J&T Express positioned as a primary logistics partner for major e-commerce platforms like SHEIN and TEMU [2][38]. 3. Financial Performance and Projections - The report forecasts that J&T Express will handle 30.6 billion packages in 2025, with adjusted net profits of $313 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 56% [3][2]. - The company's valuation is expected to increase, with an estimated equity value of $13-16 billion by 2026, based on an EV/EBITDA multiple of 18-20 times for high-growth markets [3][2]. 4. Competitive Landscape - J&T Express is navigating a competitive landscape in Latin America, where it faces challenges from both local players and international giants like FedEx and DHL, but its cost-effective service model positions it favorably [2][38]. - The report highlights the increasing concentration of the e-commerce market in Brazil, with the top five players expected to control approximately 85.1% of the market by 2025 [2][60].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing a decline in net profit primarily due to increased investments leading to a decrease in gross margin and goodwill impairment of 0.42 billion [2] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 7.4 Hong Kong cents per share and an interim dividend of 6.60 Hong Kong cents, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 30% and a corresponding dividend yield of 9.66% [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - For FY2025, the total revenue, net profit attributable to the parent company, and adjusted net profit are projected to be 24.89 billion, 5.14 billion, and 5.92 billion respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.7%, a decline of 28.1%, and a decline of 20.7% [2] - The revenue from tuition, accommodation, and non-degree vocational education services is 21.56 billion, 2.05 billion, and 1.28 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 6.3%, 4.9%, and 46.3% [3] Student Enrollment and Geographic Performance - The total number of enrolled students at the end of FY2025 is 99,800, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.4% [3] - Revenue from China and overseas is 24.65 billion and 0.24 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth of 8.6% and a decline of 43.1% [3] Capital Expenditure and Liabilities - Capital expenditure for FY2025 is 8.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 122%, primarily for land acquisition and construction of new educational facilities [4] - Contract liabilities for FY2025 are 14.41 billion, showing a year-on-year decrease of 9% [4] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for FY2025 is 40.7%, a decrease of 8.0 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The net profit margin and adjusted net profit margin are 20.6% and 23.8%, reflecting declines of 10.3 and 8.5 percentage points year-on-year [5] Future Outlook and Earnings Forecast - Short-term projections indicate a decline in student enrollment for FY2026 due to a reduction in enrollment plans for professional upgrades, but a recovery is expected in FY2027 [6] - Revenue forecasts for FY2026 are adjusted to 29.09 billion to 25.41 billion, with net profit forecasts revised to 8.90 billion down to 6.05 billion [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for FY2026 is adjusted from 0.78 to 0.50 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights stable dividends and revenue growth attributed to the consolidation of Ma'anshan College, with a projected revenue of 1.872 billion yuan for FY2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.6% [2][3] - The net profit is expected to decline by 9.6% year-on-year to 748 million yuan in FY2025, primarily due to increased educational investments and a decrease in gross margin [2][4] - The company plans to distribute interim and final dividends of 0.07 and 0.06 HKD respectively, resulting in a payout ratio of 30% and a dividend yield of 9.03% [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The revenue growth is significantly influenced by the consolidation of Ma'anshan College, with a 5% increase in student enrollment [3] - For FY2025, tuition, accommodation, and other educational service revenues are projected to be 1.757 billion, 107 million, and 8 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.7%, 10.0%, and 1.7% [3] - The gross margin is expected to decline to 45.7% in FY2025, down 10.3 percentage points year-on-year, due to increased investments in high-quality educational teams and facilities [4] Financial Projections - The company anticipates a stable growth in student enrollment, with a projected total of 77,000 full-time students in FY2025, of which 69,000 are undergraduates [5] - Revenue forecasts for FY2026 and FY2027 have been adjusted upwards to 2.018 billion and 2.138 billion yuan respectively, while net profit estimates have been revised downwards to 774 million and 825 million yuan [5][6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for FY2026 and FY2027 are adjusted to 0.38 and 0.41 yuan respectively [6] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - The company reported cash and cash equivalents of 1.164 billion yuan for FY2025, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year, indicating a strong cash position [4] - Capital expenditures are expected to rise to 443 million yuan in FY2025, primarily for establishing new campuses and upgrading existing facilities [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 53.89, down from a previous target of HKD 58.35, indicating a potential upside of 35.7% from the current price of HKD 39.70 [2][6]. Core Insights - The company's short-term performance is under pressure due to disappointing sales during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, primarily attributed to the underperformance of the "Dabo" sales channel. This reflects both strategic channel adjustments by the company and overall competitive pressures in the industry [6]. - Management remains committed to maintaining pricing stability and enhancing consumer experience, which is expected to lay a foundation for long-term growth. The company plans to launch several key new products next year to drive a new growth cycle [6]. - The company has been approved to repurchase up to 104 million shares, representing 10% of its total share capital, demonstrating confidence in its long-term development [6]. Financial Summary - For FY23A, the company reported sales revenue of RMB 3,524 million, with a year-on-year growth of 49.0%. Projections for FY25E and FY26E show expected revenues of RMB 5,347 million and RMB 6,075 million, respectively, with growth rates of -3.5% and 13.6% [2][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for FY23A was RMB 1,452 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 44.9%. The forecast for FY25E and FY26E is RMB 1,903 million and RMB 2,126 million, with growth rates of -7.7% and 11.7% [2][11]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 24.0 for FY23A, decreasing to 15.2 by FY27E, indicating a potential increase in valuation as earnings grow [2][11]. Sales Performance - During the "Double Eleven" event, the company's online GMV for "Kefumei" declined approximately 30% year-on-year, with Tmall GMV down about 20% due to the company's decision to avoid aggressive price wars. However, the self-operated and mid-tier influencer channels showed resilience [6]. - The "Keli Jin" brand experienced double-digit growth in online GMV during the same period, particularly strong in the Douyin channel, indicating a successful strategy in diversifying sales channels [6]. Product Strategy - The company is actively cultivating a second tier of products to optimize its product structure, with expectations for significant revenue growth from new product launches in 2025 and 2026 [6]. - The medical beauty product line is set to expand, with the first injectable recombinant collagen product approved and plans for rapid terminal coverage expansion in 2026, which is anticipated to become a significant growth driver with higher profit margins than cosmetics [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for ZTO Express, with a target price of 195.99 HKD based on a projected P/E of 15x for 2025 [9][10]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, ZTO Express experienced a slowdown in parcel volume growth, with revenue reaching 11.86 billion RMB, up 11.1% YoY, and total parcel volume at 9.57 billion, up 9.8% YoY. The growth deceleration is attributed to seasonal factors and price increases affecting demand for small and low-priced parcels [10][11]. - The net profit for Q3 was 2.54 billion RMB, reflecting a 6.7% YoY increase, driven by regulatory measures that boosted prices and optimized business structure, with a notable 50% YoY increase in loose parcel volume [10][11]. - Cost efficiency continues to improve, with the per parcel cost at 0.91 RMB, up 0.09 RMB YoY. The transport cost per parcel decreased by 11.5% YoY to 0.34 RMB, benefiting from economies of scale and efficient route planning [11][12]. - The market share for ZTO Express in Q3 2025 was 19.37%, showing a slight decline but still maintaining its leadership position in the industry. Regulatory measures are expected to shift competition towards quality, benefiting established players [12]. Financial Summary - Projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 9.57 billion, 10.63 billion, and 11.93 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 11.89, 13.22, and 14.83 RMB [9][10]. - Revenue forecasts for 2023A, 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 38.42 billion, 44.28 billion, 47.11 billion, 51.69 billion, and 57.71 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 9%, 15%, 6%, 10%, and 12% [4][5]. - The projected P/E ratios for the same years are 14.96, 13.82, 12.51, 11.26, and 10.03, indicating a downward trend as earnings are expected to grow [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Sunyu Optical Technology (2382.HK), marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - Sunyu Optical Technology is positioned as a global leader in optical components and products, focusing on high-end product development and value extraction, leading to structural improvements in profitability [6][10]. - The company is transitioning from a manufacturer of optical products to a provider of intelligent optical system solutions, enhancing its international presence and digital transformation efforts [6][33]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Sunyu Optical Technology has established a strong technological barrier and competitive advantage through a multi-faceted strategy, achieving rapid growth [6]. - The company has a comprehensive optical industry chain layout, emphasizing technological innovation and high-end product iterations, maintaining a 25% share of high-end mobile phone lenses [6][32]. Mobile Business - The mobile product segment remains the core revenue driver, with a focus on high-end market penetration despite a stable global smartphone market [7][37]. - The company has maintained its leading position in the smartphone lens market, with revenue growth driven by product structure optimization [7][37]. Automotive Business - The automotive market is experiencing robust growth, with advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) driving demand for vehicle-mounted cameras [8][10]. - Sunyu Optical Technology holds a leading position in the automotive lens market, with a 32.3% market share and significant growth potential in module development [8][10]. Other Businesses - The company is expanding into various sectors, including security, microscopy, robotics, XR, and industrial and medical testing, with a notable growth trajectory in the XR market [9][10]. - The integration of AI and technology reuse is expected to drive both short-term and long-term growth potential in these segments [9][10]. Financial Analysis - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 426.03 billion, 475.03 billion, and 526.88 billion yuan, with net profits of 36.74 billion, 43.68 billion, and 51.12 billion yuan respectively [10][12]. - The company is expected to maintain a P/E ratio that reflects its strong market position and growth prospects, with a forecasted average P/E of 15.4x for 2025-2027 [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao with a target price of HK$20.40, representing a potential upside of 45% from the current price of HK$14.07 [3][9]. Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit are expected to show a mid-single-digit growth for the full year 2025, despite a projected decline in profit due to a significant drop in the first half of the year [5][6][9]. - The operational performance is anticipated to improve in the second half of 2025, with a gradual recovery in customer traffic and table turnover rates, particularly during the peak season in December [5][6][9]. - The investment logic for Haidilao has shifted from focusing on earnings to prioritizing dividends, with a high dividend payout ratio expected to continue [6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the estimated revenue is projected to be RMB 44.15 billion, with a net profit of RMB 4.84 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.3% and 2.7% respectively [7][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at RMB 0.87, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.9 [8][9]. - The company has maintained a high dividend payout, with a dividend of HK$0.338 per share in the first half of 2025, indicating a payout ratio of 95% [6][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.6 billion RMB for FY25, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.8%. The adjusted net profit was 812 million RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 5.2%, aligning with expectations [4] - The student enrollment for FY25 was 139,000, a slight decrease of 0.6% from FY24. However, the structure of students improved, with the proportion of undergraduate new students increasing by 4 percentage points and the proportion of undergraduate students rising by 1 percentage point [4] - The average tuition fee increased by 8.1% to 16,700 RMB per academic year, while accommodation fees rose by 5.2% to 1,998 RMB per academic year, contributing to the revenue growth [4] - The company's operating costs for FY25 were 1.68 billion RMB, up 9.2% year-on-year, outpacing revenue growth by 1.4 percentage points. Personnel costs increased by 14.7% to 1.08 billion RMB, reflecting the company's commitment to high-quality education [5] - The company anticipates a rebound in profitability as the peak of cost increases has passed, with capital expenditures expected to normalize. The capital expenditure for FY25 decreased to 690 million RMB from a peak of 920 million RMB in FY24 [6] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for FY26 and FY27 to 880 million RMB and 1 billion RMB, respectively, and introduced a new profit forecast of 1.14 billion RMB for FY28. The target price has been raised to 3.38 HKD from 2.99 HKD, maintaining the "Buy" rating [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - FY24 revenue is projected at 2.41 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.81%. FY25 revenue is expected to be 2.6 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 7.78% [7] - Adjusted net profit for FY24 is estimated at 772 million RMB, increasing to 812 million RMB in FY25, with growth rates of 6.12% and 5.22%, respectively [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY25 is projected at 0.49 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 2.07 [7]

执业证书号： S0010525070001 邮箱： zhaoliang@hazq.com 阿里巴巴[Table_StockNameRptType] -SW（9988.HK） 公司点评 FY26Q2 业绩点评：云业务加速增长，即时零售有望迎来 UE 改善 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-12-02 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（港元） | 154.90 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（港元） 185.1/76.1 | | | 总股本（百万股） | 19,089 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 19,089 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿港元） | 29,568 | | 流通市值（亿港元） | 25,568 | [公司价格与恒生综指走势比较 Table_Chart] [Table_Author] 分析师：金荣 -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 24/05 24/08 24/11 25/02 25/05 阿里巴巴-W 恒生指数 -20% 30% 80% 130% ...

Charles Zhuang 庄怀超 SFC CE: BTE209 微信: zhuangcharles; 电话: (852) 9748 7114; 02 Dec 2025 环球富盛理财有限公司 中国罕王 China Hanking Holdings (3788.HK) ➢ 邱博士及 Cygnet Gold 少数股东对罕王黄金增资。基于对 Cygnet 金矿项目及罕王黄金未来发展的信心，邱博士及 Cygnet Gold 少数股东拟认购罕王黄金的新发行股份。 2025 年 10 月 27 日，公司附属公司罕王黄金与 Qiu Family 及 Golden Resource（均由邱博士控制）订立认购协议，据此，罕王黄金同意配发及发行，而 Qiu Family 及 Golden Resource 同意以每股 2.62 港元的认购价认购 8,700,000 股罕王黄金股 份（邱博士认购增资），此认购价与公司于 2025 年 9 月 30 日所公布与六名认购人订立的认购协议所载认购价相同。 同日，罕王黄金与 Cygnet Gold 的少数股东 订立认购协议，据此，罕王黄金同意配发及发行，而 Cygnet Gold 的少数 ...