Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for TCL Electronics [1][7]. Core Views - The strategic partnership with Sony is expected to catalyze a revaluation of TCL's value, alongside a significant earnings forecast for 2025 and the continued leadership of its AI innovation business, Thunderbird [1][7]. - TCL's long-term strategy focuses on increasing its market share in the global high-end television market, supported by integrated panel production and global capacity layout, which creates core barriers to entry [1][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts an adjusted net profit for 2025 between HKD 2.33 billion and HKD 2.57 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 45% to 60%, exceeding the stock incentive target of HKD 2.33 billion [7]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at HKD 116.15 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 17% [8]. - The expected net profit for 2026 is HKD 2.81 billion, with a 15% increase compared to 2025 [8]. Strategic Developments - TCL and Sony have signed a memorandum of understanding to establish a joint venture, with TCL holding 51% and Sony 49%, to manage Sony's home entertainment business globally [7]. - The joint venture aims to leverage Sony's high-quality imaging and audio technology alongside TCL's advanced display technology and cost efficiency [7]. Market Positioning - The partnership is anticipated to enhance TCL's hardware network and unlock greater monetization potential for internet content [7]. - The report highlights TCL's ability to capitalize on upcoming events like the Milan Winter Olympics and the North American World Cup to increase market share [7]. Valuation Metrics - The report estimates that TCL's net profit for 2026 will be HKD 2.8 billion, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 9.8x, and a dynamic dividend yield close to 6% [7]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is HKD 0.97, with a PE ratio of 11.2 [8][18].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for TCL Electronics is "Buy-A" with a 12-month target price of HKD 13.34, while the current stock price is HKD 10.89 [5][8]. Core Insights - TCL Electronics has signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with Sony to establish a joint venture that will enhance global brand strength and profitability. The joint venture will be 51% owned by TCL and 49% by Sony, focusing on integrated operations for products like televisions and home audio systems, expected to commence in April 2027 [1][3]. - Sony's television business has been underperforming in recent years, with a significant gap in revenue and shipment volume compared to TCL. In 2024, Sony's global television revenue is projected to be RMB 26.6 billion with a shipment of approximately 4.8 million units, while TCL's revenue is expected to be RMB 54.9 billion with around 28.9 million units shipped [2][3]. - The collaboration is anticipated to leverage TCL's strengths in Mini LED technology and supply chain efficiency, combined with Sony's audio-visual expertise, potentially increasing TCL's consolidated revenue and enhancing overall profitability in the television sector [3][4]. Financial Projections - TCL Electronics is projected to achieve a significant increase in adjusted net profit for 2025, estimated between HKD 2.33 billion and HKD 2.57 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 45% to 60% [3]. - The company aims for continued growth through globalization and a focus on mid-to-high-end products, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of HKD 0.98, HKD 1.21, and HKD 1.48 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][9]. - Revenue forecasts indicate a growth trajectory from HKD 99.32 billion in 2024 to HKD 151.2 billion by 2027, with net profit projected to rise from HKD 1.76 billion in 2024 to HKD 3.74 billion in 2027 [9][17].

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月20日 2026年01月21日 创新实业（02788.HK） 优于大市 蒙东低成本绿电铝，海外项目助力产能高增长 公司是一家氧化铝和电解铝生产企业，电解铝营收占比90%。公司成立于2012 年，十几年间在蒙东霍林河建成 6*330MW 燃煤自备电机组和 78.8 万吨电解 铝产能，在山东滨州建成 300 万吨氧化铝产能，于 2025 年 11 月在港交所上 市。 产能地理位置优越，盈利能力行业领先。公司氧化铝产能靠近滨州港和黄骅 港，进口铝土矿内陆运费低廉，相比河南和山西等内陆产能，运费带来的氧 化铝成本优势在 200 元/吨以上。公司电解铝产能位于蒙东霍林河地区，使 用蒙东低热值褐煤发电炼铝，褐煤热值低、销售半径小，绝对价格和波动幅 度小于市场煤，公司近期自发电成本仅 0.3 元/度含税。相比新疆电解铝产 能聚集区，公司更靠近氧化铝产区和电解铝消费地，氧化铝运费和铝产品外 运费都低于新疆电解铝。公司净利率一直处于行业领先地位。 蒙东 1750MW 绿电并网后，煤电成本优势转变为绿电成本优势，同时实现低 碳和降本两个目标。公司 1750MW 风电光伏项目预计 2026 年全部 ...

业绩预增 30%，智能眼镜景气持续 康耐特光学(2276) 康耐特光学 2025 业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 范佳博(研究助理) | 021-38053328 | fanjiabo@gtht.com | S0880125120019 | 本报告导读： 2025 年业绩预增不少于 30%，得益于智能眼镜产业发展趋势，业务景气度持续。 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万人民币) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 1,760 | 2,061 | 2,374 | 2,810 | 3,282 | | (+/-)% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.8% | | 毛利润 | 658 | 795 ...

证券研究报告 港股通 TCL 电子 (1070 HK) 与索尼战略合作优势互补，强化全球 领导地位 2026 年 1 月 21 日│中国香港 视听器材 公司 20 日公告与索尼就家庭娱乐领域签署战略合作的意向备忘录，并于 18 日预告了 2025 全年业绩：经调整归母净利約在 23.3 亿至 25.7 亿港元之间， 同比约 45%至 60%的增长（优于股权计划目标上限 45%增长）。公司凭借 "全球化"与"中高端化"战略，在国际市场份额稳步提升，同时受益于国内"以 旧换新"政策的优化延续。此外，与索尼潜在的深度战略合作（拟成立合资 公司承接索尼家庭娱乐业务）有望进一步强化全球份额优势。与此同时，公 司积极推进智能化与 AI 应用落地，在 AI 电视、智能眼镜、AI 陪伴机器人等 前沿产品上已有布局，新一轮产品周期或将打开成长空间，支撑公司长期价 值提升。维持"买入"评级。 推动索尼合作、优势互补，或助力提升公司全球地位 2026 年 1 月 20 日，TCL 电子公告与索尼签署战略合作的意向备忘录，涉 及成立合资公司承接索尼家庭娱乐业务，合资公司将由本集团持股 51%及 索尼持股 49%，并在全球范围内开展包 ...

安踏体育（02020.HK） 四季度安踏集团增长稳健，各品牌全年增速达成管理层指引 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 纺织服饰·服装家纺 |  | 投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 丁诗洁 | 0755-81981391 | dingshijie@guosen.com.cn | | 执证编码：S0980520040004 | | 证券分析师： | 刘佳琪 | 010-88005446 | liujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | | 执证编码：S0980523070003 | 事项： 1 月 20 日，公司公告第四季度及全年最新营运表现，2025 第四季度，安踏主品牌录得低单位数负增长， FILA 录得中单位数正增长，其他品牌录得 35-40%正增长；2025 全年安踏主品牌录得低单位数正增长，FILA 录得中单位数正增长，其他品牌录得 45-50%正增长。 国信纺服观点： 证券研究报告 | 2026年01月21日 1、2025 第四季度：安踏集团整体增长稳健，其中其他品牌延续高增长态势，安 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 45.50, indicating an upside potential of 12.6% from the current price of HKD 40.42 [5][8]. Core Insights - The company recorded a net revenue of HKD 12.2 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%. Adjusted EBITDA also rose by 14% to HKD 3.3 billion, with a normalized net win rate leading to a 7% increase in adjusted EBITDA [1]. - The company's market share is estimated to be around 20% for the full year of 2025, maintaining its position as the second-largest player in the industry. Management indicated an increase in market share for Q4 2025, with expectations for further growth in 2026 due to the utilization of new projects opening in December 2023 [1]. - Macau's gaming revenue is projected to grow by 9.1% year-on-year to MOP 247.4 billion in 2025, with a significant increase of 13.8% in the second half of 2025. The upcoming longer Spring Festival holiday in 2026 is expected to boost travel demand from mainland citizens, benefiting the tourism sector and the company [2]. - Competitors are facing increased brand fees and geopolitical concerns, which may lead to a preference for the company among investors. MGM China announced a new brand agreement that doubles its brand fees, raising market concerns for other competitors [3]. - The company's current valuation is at 10.6 times the 2026 EV/EBITDA, which is considered low compared to the pre-pandemic range of 10.0 to 14.0 times, suggesting potential for valuation re-rating as performance improves [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: FY22: HKD 11.474 billion, FY23: HKD 35.684 billion, FY24: HKD 43.432 billion, FY25E: HKD 48.574 billion, FY26E: HKD 52.232 billion [5]. - EBITDA projections are: FY22: HKD (0.553) billion, FY23: HKD 9.955 billion, FY24: HKD 12.188 billion, FY25E: HKD 14.020 billion, FY26E: HKD 14.971 billion [5].

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月21日 安踏体育（02020.HK） 四季度安踏集团增长稳健，各品牌全年增速达成管理层指引 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 纺织服饰·服装家纺 |  | 投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 丁诗洁 | 0755-81981391 | dingshijie@guosen.com.cn | | 执证编码：S0980520040004 | | 证券分析师： | 刘佳琪 | 010-88005446 | liujiaqi@guosen.com.cn | | 执证编码：S0980523070003 | 事项： 评论： 2025 第四季度：安踏集团整体增长稳健，其中其他品牌延续高增长态势，安踏品牌增长环比放缓，FILA 品牌增长环比提速；安踏与 FILA 线上折扣改善、库存健康；安踏品牌渠道升级与海外拓展同步推进； 各品牌全年流水增速符合管理层此前指引。 1、安踏品牌 2025 第四季度流水下滑低单位数，季末库销比略高于 5 个月，线上折扣同比收窄，渠道升级 与海外拓展同步推进 ...

证券研究报告 与索尼战略合作优势互补，强化全球 领导地位 2026 年 1 月 21 日│中国香港 视听器材 公司 20 日公告与索尼就家庭娱乐领域签署战略合作的意向备忘录，并于 18 日预告了 2025 全年业绩：经调整归母净利約在 23.3 亿至 25.7 亿港元之间， 同比约 45%至 60%的增长（优于股权计划目标上限 45%增长）。公司凭借 "全球化"与"中高端化"战略，在国际市场份额稳步提升，同时受益于国内"以 旧换新"政策的优化延续。此外，与索尼潜在的深度战略合作（拟成立合资 公司承接索尼家庭娱乐业务）有望进一步强化全球份额优势。与此同时，公 司积极推进智能化与 AI 应用落地，在 AI 电视、智能眼镜、AI 陪伴机器人等 前沿产品上已有布局，新一轮产品周期或将打开成长空间，支撑公司长期价 值提升。维持"买入"评级。 港股通 TCL 电子 (1070 HK) 推动索尼合作、优势互补，或助力提升公司全球地位 2026 年 1 月 20 日，TCL 电子公告与索尼签署战略合作的意向备忘录，涉 及成立合资公司承接索尼家庭娱乐业务，合资公司将由本集团持股 51%及 索尼持股 49%，并在全球范围内开展包 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2][7] Core Insights - The company's core highlights include performance improvement and high dividends, with expectations for a continued high dividend payout ratio in the future [6][7] - The return of the founder of Haidilao is expected to positively impact the company's related party business, enhancing morale and management within the organization [6][7] - The company is projected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.81 and 0.88 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a target valuation of 22 times earnings, leading to a target price of HKD 21.5, representing a 44% upside potential [6][7] Financial Performance - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 2% in 2025 and 8% in 2026, with total revenue projected to reach HKD 6,659 million in 2025 and HKD 7,190 million in 2026 [8][12] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at HKD 835 million, reflecting a 13% year-on-year growth, while the net profit for 2026 is projected to be HKD 909 million, with a 9% growth [8][12] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable around 16.7% for 2026 [13] Business Segments - The third-party business is anticipated to continue its robust growth, particularly in overseas and B-end markets, with a significant increase in B-end revenue expected to double in 2025 [6][7] - The C-end business is undergoing channel reforms to enhance profitability, with successful partnerships established with major retailers [6][7] Dividend Policy - The company has initiated a high dividend payout starting in 2023, with expectations for the dividend yield to exceed 6% in 2025 and 2026 [6][7]