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华润饮料:Leave the worst behind in 2025-20260127
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-01-27 02:24
27 Jan 2026 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update CR Beverage (2460 HK) CR Beverage (2460 HK) - Leave Leave the worst behind in 2025 We forecast CR Beverage's FY25E net profit to decline 35.5% to RMB1.06bn, with a steeper drop in 2H25E due to concentrated signing of large marketing contracts and increased supply chain investments. Capacity expansion is slightly slower than market expectations, while channel reform is progressing faster. Beyond the stabilization of packaged wate ...
金山云(03896):金山云跟踪报告:生态与行业场景深耕,AI驱动收入增长加速
股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.27 生态与行业场景深耕,AI 驱动收入增长 AI 需求强劲,AI 智算云市场高速增长,公司大力投入 AI 业务,AI 已成公司增长 核心引擎。 投资要点: | 财务摘要(百万人民币) | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 7,047 | 7,785 | 9,510 | 11,685 | 14,338 | | (+/-)% | -13.8% | 10.5% | 22.1% | 22.9% | 22.7% | | 毛利润 | 850 | 1,341 | 1,474 | 1,986 | 2,581 | | 归母净利润 | -2,176 | -1,967 | -942 | -759 | -717 | | (+/-)% | 18.1% | 9.6% | 52.1% | 19.4% | 5.5% | | PE | -9.74 | -11.01 | -28.61 | -35.50 | -37.55 | | PB | 3.28 | 4 ...
金山云(03896):4Q25业绩前瞻:云服务行业有望迎来估值重塑,预计4Q25及2026年AI业务延续高增
EBSCN· 2026-01-26 15:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Cloud (3896.HK) [6] Core Views - The cloud service industry is expected to undergo a valuation reshaping, driven by strong AI demand and cost pressures, leading to an imminent price increase across the sector [2] - Kingsoft Cloud is positioned to benefit from its unique ecosystem, particularly through its strategic partnership with Xiaomi, which enhances its AI capabilities and revenue potential [3] - The company is projected to achieve a revenue of 27 billion CNY in Q4 2025, representing a 22% year-on-year growth and a 10% quarter-on-quarter increase, primarily fueled by AI-driven public cloud business growth [1] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Kingsoft Cloud have been revised upwards for 2026 and 2027 to 121 billion CNY and 140 billion CNY respectively, reflecting an increase of 9% and 11% [4] - The expected revenue growth rates are 22.3% for 2025 and 26.6% for 2026, with a projected revenue of 9.522 billion CNY in 2025 and 12.060 billion CNY in 2026 [5] - The adjusted EBITDA margin is anticipated to be around 22% in Q4 2025, indicating sustained profitability [1] AI Business Growth - Kingsoft Cloud's AI business is entering a harvest phase, with expected revenue growth of 85% year-on-year in Q4 2025, reaching 8.8 billion CNY [3] - The company has established a comprehensive AI training and deployment platform, enhancing its service offerings and operational efficiency [3] - The AI revenue is projected to maintain high double-digit growth into 2026, supported by ongoing demand from various sectors [3]
越秀地产(00123):2025 年业绩预告点评:调整阶段业绩下滑,聚焦核心财务稳健
越秀地产(0123.HK)2025 年业绩预告点评 调整阶段业绩下滑,聚焦核心财务稳健 glmszqdatemark 事件 2026 年 1 月 23 日公司发布 2025 年业绩盈利警告,全年预计实现归母净利润 0.5 亿元至 1 亿元,同比降幅约 90%至 95%;预计实现核心净利润 2.5 亿元至 3.5 亿元,同比降幅约 80%至 85%。 行业调整阶段毛利率下降,当期业绩同比下滑。 公司 2025 年归母净利润同比下降主要原因:①2025 年行业仍处于调整阶段,公 司售楼业务的结转毛利率同比有所下降;②2025 年公司结转项目结构出现阶段 性变动,导致 2025 年结转项目的平均权益占比较 2024 年有所下降。 销售规模维持行业前十,投资聚焦核心城市。 公司 2025 年实现销售金额 1062 亿元,同比-7.3%,排名行业第 9;销售面积 295 万方,同比-24.7%。据中指数据,公司 2025 年在大湾区销售金额 332 亿元,居 区域榜单第二。公司拿地聚焦核心城市,2025 年获取优质土地 23 宗,超过 90% 的拿地金额集中在北上广深、杭州及成都 6 个核心城市。 财务状况安全稳健," ...
蜜雪集团:现制饮品国民品牌,高质平价、全球扩张-20260126
现制饮品国民品牌,高质平价、全球扩张 蜜雪集团(2097) 蜜雪集团首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 宋小寒(分析师) | 010-83939087 | songxiaohan@gtht.com | S0880524080011 | 本报告导读: 蜜雪集团是国内现制饮品龙头,高质平价定位+供应链先发优势,规模效应筑壁垒。 投资要点: | 财务摘要(百万人民币) | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 20,302 | 24,829 | 33,748 | 38,059 | 42,393 | | (+/-)% | 49.6% | 22.3% | 35.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | | 毛利润 | 5,999 | 8,060 | ...
泡泡玛特(09992):新爆款带动 IP 势能,业绩与估值具备修复空间
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 13:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6][22] Core Viewpoints - The management's recent share buybacks demonstrate confidence in the company's future and stock price [3][4] - The company's new product series, PUCKY and Starry People, have shown strong demand, with sold-out status on official platforms and significant price premiums on secondary markets, indicating potential for IP value enhancement during the upcoming holiday season [3][5] - The company is expected to see substantial profit growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 120.2 billion, 170.5 billion, and 208.9 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 284.4%, 41.9%, and 22.6% [3][10][15] Summary by Relevant Sections Share Buyback - The company announced a buyback of 500,000 shares at a price of 192.97 yuan per share and the cancellation of 1.4 million shares at 179.60 yuan per share, indicating a total buyback amount of approximately 347.9 million yuan [2][5] Product Performance - Recent trends show that the PUCKY and Starry People series have sold out on official websites, with price premiums on secondary markets ranging from 2-3 times for hidden versions and 70-200% for regular versions, suggesting strong market demand [3][5][9] Financial Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 356.2 billion, 512.5 billion, and 634.5 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 173.2%, 43.9%, and 23.8% [10][19] - The gross margin is projected to exceed 70% in the first half of 2025, with a steady gross margin of around 71% expected through 2027 [12][19]
泡泡玛特(09992):新爆款带动IP势能,业绩与估值具备修复空间
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 12:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][6][3] Core Views - The management's recent share buybacks demonstrate confidence in the company's future and stock price [4][3] - The company's new product series, PUCKY and Starry People, have sold out on official platforms and are trading at significant premiums on secondary markets, indicating strong IP potential [3][5] - The company is expected to see substantial profit growth, with net profits projected to reach 12.02 billion, 17.05 billion, and 20.89 billion for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 284.4%, 41.9%, and 22.6% respectively [3][10] Summary by Sections Share Buyback - The company announced a buyback of 500,000 shares at a price of 192.97 yuan per share and the cancellation of 1.4 million shares at 179.60 yuan per share, showing a total buyback of 3.47 billion yuan for 1.9 million shares [2][5] Product Performance - Recent trends show that the PUCKY and Starry People series have sold out on the official website, with hidden versions trading at premiums of 2-3 times and regular versions at 70-200% premiums [5][9] Financial Projections - The company has revised its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 12.02 billion, 17.05 billion, and 20.89 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 16, and 13 [3][10] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are set at 35.62 billion, 51.25 billion, and 63.45 billion, with growth rates of 173.2%, 43.9%, and 23.8% respectively [10][19]
蜜雪集团(02097):首次覆盖报告:现制饮品国民品牌,高质平价、全球扩张
现制饮品国民品牌,高质平价、全球扩张 蜜雪集团(2097) 蜜雪集团首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 宋小寒(分析师) | 010-83939087 | songxiaohan@gtht.com | S0880524080011 | 本报告导读: 蜜雪集团是国内现制饮品龙头,高质平价定位+供应链先发优势,规模效应筑壁垒。 投资要点: | 财务摘要(百万人民币) | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 20,302 | 24,829 | 33,748 | 38,059 | 42,393 | | (+/-)% | 49.6% | 22.3% | 35.9% | 12.8% | 11.4% | | 毛利润 | 5,999 | 8,060 | ...
安踏体育(02020):零售持续承压,后续指引谨慎
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-26 11:30
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨安踏体育(02020.HK) [Table_Title] 零售持续承压,后续指引谨慎 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 安踏体育发布 2025Q4 零售数据,安踏品牌零售流水同比低单下滑,FILA 品牌零售流水同比中 单增长,其他品牌零售流水同比增长 35%-40%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490518020002 SAC:S0490524110001 SFC:BUU942 于旭辉 柯睿 陈信志 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 安踏体育(02020.HK) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 零售持续承压,后续指引谨慎 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 安踏体育发布 2025Q4 零售数据,安踏品牌零售流水同比低单下滑,FILA 品牌零售流水同比 中单增长,其他品牌零售流水同比增长 35%-40%。 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 2026-01-26 港股研究丨公司点评 ...
特步国际(01368):经营韧性凸显,索康尼高增引领成长
Xinda Securities· 2026-01-26 09:29
[Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [特Ta步bl国e_际Sto(c1k3A6n8d.RaHnKk)] 执业编号:S1500524120004 邮箱:jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 刘田田 纺织服饰行业分析师 执业编号:S1500525120001 邮箱:liutiantian@cindasc.com 公司研究 特步主品牌:核心跑步品类表现突出,冠军系列跑鞋销量翻倍,印证了其在 专业跑鞋领域的的产品力与市场认可度。同时,公司积极拓展户外赛道,产 品市场反应积极,有望培育新的增长点。四季度流水持平,但核心品类双位 数增长,结构优化。 索康尼:全年及四季度均录得超过 30%的高速增长,恢复势头强劲。其坚 持"百年跑鞋世家"及"双精英"定位的高端化策略成效显著,在重点马拉 松赛事穿着率跻身国际品牌前列,品牌影响力持续提升。公司计划线下启动 渠道升级并开设更大规模旗舰店,当前平均店效已约 45 万元/月,此举有望 进一步拉升品牌形象与单店产出。 渠道与运营:DTC 转型推进,电商与出海展现活力。公司持续优化渠道结 构与运营模式。DTC 转型稳步推进,2025Q4 已回收约 200 ...