龙旗科技(09611):IPO申购指南
Guoyuan International· 2026-01-14 11:05
Investment Rating - The report recommends subscription for the company, Longqi Technology, with an IPO price of HKD 31 per share, which is considered to have a certain safety margin in valuation [4]. Core Insights - Longqi Technology is a leading global brand and technology company providing solutions including product research, design, manufacturing, and support. It is the second-largest consumer electronics ODM manufacturer globally, holding a market share of 22.4%, and the largest in the smartphone ODM sector with a market share of 32.6% as of 2024 [2]. - The global consumer electronics ODM market is expected to grow from 853.5 million units in 2020 to 976.9 million units in 2024, with projections to reach 1,265.7 million units by 2029, driven by the proliferation of smart products and shorter product iteration cycles due to AI trends [3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, as well as for the nine months ending September 30, 2024, are reported as follows: RMB 29,343.2 million, RMB 27,185.1 million, RMB 46,382.5 million, RMB 34,920.9 million, and RMB 31,331.6 million respectively. The corresponding net profits for these periods are RMB 561.5 million, RMB 602.7 million, RMB 493.4 million, RMB 425.4 million, and RMB 514.5 million [3].
中银航空租赁(02588):中银航空租赁(2588HK):机队规模持续扩张
HTSC· 2026-01-14 10:26
证券研究报告 港股通 中银航空租赁 (2588 HK) 4Q25:机队规模持续扩张 2026 年 1 月 14 日│中国香港 租赁 | 华泰研究 | | 公告点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 1 月 | 14 日│中国香港 | 租赁 | 目标价(港币): | 91.00 | 中银航空租赁(BOCA)披露了 4Q25 运营数据。自有飞机数量环比提升 9 架,同比提升 16 架,达到 451 架。四季度公司交付的飞机数量达到 16 架, 同时出售了 8 架飞机(7 架自有+1 架代管)。资产端,机队规模的增长显 示公司仍然在稳步扩张,背后的驱动力是上游波音和空客的产能正在逐步修 复。根据空客披露的交付数据和 Forecast International 的估计数据,12 月 波音和空客可能合计交付了 200 架飞机,相比去年同期的 153 架有所提升。 我们认为上游 OEM 的产能改善有利于 BOCA 的资本开支投放和机队扩张, 公司资产规模有望增长。在负债端,公司全年融资额超过 40 亿美元,可能 创下 2020 年后的 ...
阜博集团(03738):AI内容爆发助力商业化加速,有望受益确权需求增长
Guoyuan Securities2· 2026-01-14 09:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 6.60, indicating a potential upside of 24.6% from the current price of HKD 5.30 [1][7][13]. Core Insights - The company has successfully transformed from a leading global digital content copyright protection SaaS provider to an AI-driven value hub for global content creators. This transition is expected to accelerate revenue growth, particularly in 2025, driven by the explosion of AIGC (AI-Generated Content) and advancements in AI multimodal models [5][9][10]. - The launch of two strategic platforms, DreamMaker and VobileMAX, aims to create a complete commercial loop from AI creation to monetization. DreamMaker is an integrated audio-video creation platform, while VobileMAX serves as a trading and operation platform for digital content assets [6][12][13]. - The company is positioned to build a global economic value hub for content creators, focusing on multimodal AI research and applications. This unique business model is expected to showcase strong scalability and profitability by 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 58 times and a PS ratio of 4.6 times [7][13]. Financial Summary - The company anticipates significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of HKD 2,001 million in FY2023, increasing to HKD 4,463 million by FY2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.8% [8][19]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 42.5% in FY2023 to around 44.6% by FY2027, indicating enhanced profitability [8][19]. - The net profit is projected to turn positive in FY2024, reaching HKD 143 million, and further increasing to HKD 359 million by FY2027, showcasing a strong recovery and growth trajectory [8][19].
IGG(00799):长青与新作协同发力,积极探索非SLG赛道
Guoyuan Securities2· 2026-01-14 09:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to IGG, with a target price of HKD 4.77, indicating a potential upside of 24.6% from the current price of HKD 3.83 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated resilience in its business fundamentals, achieving total revenue of HKD 2.72 billion in the first half of the year, which is roughly flat compared to the same period last year, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment and intense competition in the gaming industry [7][8]. - The application of AI technology and optimization in the distribution process has led to significant cost and expense control, resulting in a reduction in the ratio of R&D and administrative expenses [7][8]. - The flagship product, "King of Kingdoms," continues to perform strongly, contributing HKD 1.15 billion in revenue in the first half of 2025, maintaining its status as a cornerstone of IGG's business [8]. Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue and Profitability - Total revenue is projected to grow from HKD 5.27 billion in 2023 to HKD 6.48 billion in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.0% [6]. - Net profit is expected to increase from HKD 67.5 million in 2023 to HKD 637.3 million in 2026, with a net profit margin stabilizing around 9.84% in 2026 [6][13]. Product Strategy - IGG is focusing on a diversified product strategy, combining long-term operations with continuous innovation. The company is actively exploring non-SLG (Simulation Game) segments, with new products like "Tycoon Master" showing promising market performance [4][9]. - The company has successfully built a product matrix that mitigates the lifecycle risks associated with single products, leveraging its global operational capabilities to maximize user acquisition and operational efficiency [10]. Market Position and Growth Potential - IGG's established global operational network allows it to effectively penetrate over 200 countries, adapting to local market preferences and regulations [10]. - The report highlights the potential for further growth in the non-SLG market, with the successful launch of "Tycoon Master" indicating the company's ability to innovate and capture new user segments [9][10].
海底捞(06862):高管团队大调整,创始人张勇先生重任CEO
Guoyuan Securities2· 2026-01-14 09:27
即时点评 高管团队大调整,创始人张勇先生重任 CEO 海底捞(6862.HK) 2026-01-14 星期三 ➢ 投资建议 根据我们的跟踪,公司 25 年下半年以来翻台率同比企稳,展望 26 年, 在低基数效应以及公司持续专注产品创新和门店升级的作用下,经营或 继续改善,公司股息率达 6%以上,值得积极关注。 【事件】 1 月 13 日,公司发布公告,苟轶群已辞任公司执行董事及首席执行官, 基于对公司管理层安排的整体调整及综合考察,董事会主席兼执行董事 张勇已获委任为公司首席执行官,自 2026 年 1 月 13 日起生效。 【点评观点】 ➢ 创始人兼董事长张勇时隔四年重任 CEO, 新任四位新董事 张勇先生作为海底捞创始人,于 2018 年海底捞上市时担任 CEO。2022 年 3 月,杨利娟女士接棒 CEO,并在担任海底捞 CEO 一职 2 年多后离开, 履新特海国际 CEO。2024 年 6 月,由苟轶群先生接任海底捞 CEO,在任 期间主要推动新品牌及新业务的孵化与发展,推出"红石榴计划"。本次 辞任后,他将继续留在海底捞担任关键管理职务,并专注于信息技术、人 工智能、自动化等领域。 此外,公司新任命 ...
海底捞(06862):创始人重新出任CEO,2026年经营蓄势待发
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-14 03:09
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月14日 海底捞(06862.HK) 创始人重新出任 CEO,2026 年经营蓄势待发 公司研究·公司快评 社会服务·酒店餐饮 投资评级:优于大市(维持) 证券分析师: 曾光 0755-82150809 zengguang@guosen.com.cn 执证编码:S0980511040003 证券分析师: 张鲁 010-88005377 zhanglu5@guosen.com.cn 执证编码:S0980521120002 事项: 2026 年 1 月 13 日晚,海底捞发布公告,苟轶群已辞任公司执行董事及首席执行官,宋青和高洁辞任执行 董事。李娜娜、朱银花、焦德凤及朱轩宜获委任为执行董事,公司董事会主席及执行董事张勇获委任为首 席执行官。公告同时称,上述辞任董事将继续在集团担任重要管理职能。其中,苟轶群将在集团统筹推动 管理流程的智能化与自动化规划,推动运营模式升级和智能中台建设,提升组织管理效率与决策性能;宋 青将继续担任集团产品委员会主任一职。 国信社服观点: 1)从啄木鸟计划到红石榴计划,创始人张勇时隔 4 年重新出任 CEO。2018 年-2022 年 3 月(张勇任 C ...
心动公司(02400):《心动小镇》国际服下载量亮眼,后续流水或超预期
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-01-14 02:16
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights the successful launch of "Heart Town" international version, which topped the free charts in over 50 regions and achieved 5 million downloads shortly after its release. This game is expected to enhance user engagement and retention, contributing to revenue growth [4][5] - The upcoming holiday season is anticipated to boost revenue from existing games, while new game developments are expected to provide significant revenue increments. The company forecasts net profits of 1.507 billion, 2.006 billion, and 2.387 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25, 19, and 16 [4][6] - The report emphasizes the growth potential of TapTap, with a projected revenue increase of 33% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, driven by improvements in advertising algorithms and the launch of high-profile games [6] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3,389 million - 2024: 5,012 million - 2025: 6,353 million - 2026: 7,620 million - 2027: 8,441 million - Year-on-year growth rates are expected to be 47.9% in 2024, 26.7% in 2025, 20.0% in 2026, and 10.8% in 2027 [6] - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: -554 million - 2024: 812 million - 2025: 1,507 million - 2026: 2,006 million - 2027: 2,387 million - The report indicates a significant improvement in net profit margins, with net profit margins expected to reach 23.7% in 2025 and 28.3% in 2027 [6]
布鲁可(00325):积木车及出海有望为26年增长亮点
HTSC· 2026-01-14 01:38
证券研究报告 布鲁可 (325 HK) 港股通 积木车及出海有望为 26 年增长亮点 | 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 1 月 | 14 日│中国香港 | 消费轻工 | 目标价(港币): | 98.00 | 25 年以来,在"全人群+全价位+全球化"三全战略引领下,公司持续扩充 在手 IP 矩阵并有序推动新品商业化,IP 体系及产品矩阵不断丰富,国内外 渠道稳步拓展,竞争优势持续夯实。复盘看,25 年在传统玩具消费整体景 气偏弱的背景下,我们预计公司传统主业 25 年经营弱于市场预期,但 9.9 元星辰版产品、成人向、出海等新业务线表现突出,有望带动 25H2 收入环 比提速,26 年有望延续快速增长趋势;此外为配合新品推广和区域开拓, 公司在 25 年加大模具/人力等成本投入,阶段性扰动盈利能力,26 年亦有 望迎来修复。展望后续,伴随积木车、出海等业务线模式跑通,26 年收入 有望保持快速成长,中长期看公司建立并深耕的"布鲁可体系"护城河深厚, 未来在客群破圈、品类拓展 ...
361度(01361):逆势下流水延续靓丽增长
HTSC· 2026-01-14 01:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 8.00 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated robust growth in retail sales, with both the main brand and children's clothing achieving approximately 10% year-on-year growth in 4Q25, continuing a steady growth trend despite high base effects [1][11]. - E-commerce sales recorded a high double-digit growth in 4Q25, indicating strong performance in online channels [7][11]. - The company is enhancing its brand power through innovative products and marketing strategies, including the introduction of "super stores" to upgrade channel efficiency and expand international presence [5][11]. Summary by Sections Operational Performance - In 4Q25, the main brand and children's clothing retail sales both achieved approximately 10% year-on-year growth, maintaining a steady growth trend [1][11]. - The e-commerce platform saw overall sales achieve high double-digit year-on-year growth, continuing a solid performance [7][11]. Product and Marketing Strategy - The company launched new products in various categories, including running, basketball, and outdoor gear, which have received significant market attention [6]. - The introduction of "super stores" is expected to enhance customer acquisition and sales efficiency, with a notable increase in new customer ratios [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 10,074 million in 2024 to RMB 14,019 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.30% [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 1,149 million in 2024 to RMB 1,655 million by 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [4]. Valuation Metrics - The company is assigned a target PE of 10.1x for 2026, with a target price of HKD 8.00, reflecting a discount compared to comparable companies due to its current brand scale and market share [9][13].
京东集团-SW(09618):25Q4前瞻:Q4国补退坡影响带电增速,外卖单量稳健亏损环比改善
CMS· 2026-01-14 01:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for JD Group with a target price range of HKD 125 to 150, while the current stock price is HKD 117.4 [2][5]. Core Insights - JD Group's total revenue is expected to see a slight year-on-year increase in Q4 2025, with a projected Non-GAAP net profit of approximately 480 million yuan [1][5]. - The report highlights that the decline in revenue growth for the electric category is due to the reduction of national subsidies and a high comparative base from the previous year, while daily necessities and third-party (3P) revenues are expected to maintain double-digit growth [1][5]. - The report expresses a long-term positive outlook on the company's growth resilience under its self-operated model and strong supply chain bargaining power, which is expected to enhance profit margins [1][5]. Financial Data and Valuation - For the fiscal years 2023 to 2027, the projected main revenue (in million yuan) is as follows: 1,084,662 (2023), 1,158,819 (2024), 1,305,167 (2025E), 1,361,675 (2026E), and 1,419,895 (2027E), with year-on-year growth rates of 4%, 7%, 13%, 4%, and 4% respectively [2][6]. - The Non-GAAP net profit projections are: 35,200 (2023), 47,827 (2024), 26,428 (2025E), 32,720 (2026E), and 50,951 (2027E), with significant fluctuations in growth rates [2][6]. - The report indicates a P/E ratio forecast of 8.7 (2023), 6.4 (2024), 11.6 (2025E), 9.4 (2026E), and 6.0 (2027E) [2][9]. Stock Performance - The stock has shown an absolute performance of 9.1% over the past month, 17.6% over six months, and 20.0% over the past year [4]. - Relative performance indicates a 6.0% outperformance over one month, 2.4% over six months, but a 9.8% underperformance over the past year [4]. Business Segment Insights - The report notes that the new business segment is expected to reduce losses in Q4, with improvements in delivery volume and user experience (UE) for the food delivery service [1][5]. - The report anticipates that the food delivery business will continue to improve in 2026, with a focus on enhancing user experience [1][5]. Shareholder Information - The total share capital is 3,188 million shares, with 2,865 million shares listed in Hong Kong [3]. - The major shareholder, Max Smart Limited, holds a 9.6007% stake in the company [3]. Financial Ratios - The report provides key financial ratios, including a return on equity (ROE) of 17.8% and a debt-to-asset ratio of 57.3% [3][9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the years 2023 to 2027 are 8.34, 14.27, 5.85, 9.26, and 14.87 respectively [2][9].