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安踏体育(02020):单季度流水有所波动,长期聚焦品牌深化
Xinda Securities· 2026-01-21 10:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall sentiment appears to be cautiously optimistic regarding long-term growth potential [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a low single-digit negative growth in retail sales for the Anta brand in Q4 2025, while the FILA brand achieved a mid-single-digit positive growth. Other brands experienced a retail sales growth of 35-40% in the same quarter [1][2]. - The company aims to enhance brand value and operational quality, focusing on different strategies for each brand in 2026. The core goal for the Anta brand is to reverse the decline and restore growth through professional category focus and channel upgrades [3][4]. - The company anticipates a challenging profit margin in 2026 due to increased investments in R&D, marketing, and product innovation, particularly as it integrates the Jack Wolfskin brand [4]. Summary by Sections Q4 and Full Year Performance - Anta brand recorded a low single-digit negative growth in Q4 2025, primarily affected by short-term factors such as the children's line and consumer confidence. The FILA brand showed resilience with mid-single-digit growth [2]. - The professional outdoor lines, including DESCENTE and KOLON SPORT, demonstrated significant growth, with DESCENTE achieving approximately 25-30% growth in Q4 and nearly 40% for the full year [2]. Profitability and Financial Guidance - The company expects to maintain its profit margin guidance for 2025, with targets of 20-25% for Anta, around 25% for FILA, and 25-30% for other brands [3]. - The projected net profit for the fiscal years 2025-2027 is estimated at 131.97 billion, 142.43 billion, and 156.54 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.71X, 14.55X, and 13.24X [5][6]. 2026 Outlook - The company plans to increase investments in brand building and operational quality, with a focus on different strategies for each brand. The Anta brand will focus on reversing its decline, while FILA will maintain its momentum through new product launches [3][4]. - The integration of Jack Wolfskin is expected to result in higher losses in 2026, reflecting a strategic long-term investment approach [4].
五矿资源(01208):深度研究:长风破浪会有时:打造中资国际矿业和全球资源旗舰
East Money Securities· 2026-01-21 09:48
公 司 研 究 / 有 色 金 属 / 证 券 研 究 报 告 五矿资源(01208)深度研究 长风破浪会有时——打造中资国际矿 业和全球资源旗舰 2026 年 01 月 21 日 【投资要点】 挖掘价值 投资成长 增持(首次) 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师:李淼 证书编号:S1160524120006 相对指数表现 公司作为中国五矿旗下的核心国际矿业平台,目标打造一流的多元化 铜生产商。公司全球资源布局立足澳洲、深耕南美和非洲、拓展至北 美,形成以铜、锌为核心,副产金、银贵金属的有色资产组合。公司作 为矿企属于周期性行业,业绩波动较大,2021 年 EBITDA 和归母净利 分别达到 27.3 亿美元和 6.7 亿美元的历史峰值;近两年盈利可观, 2024 年收购的科马考铜矿实现并表后 EBITDA 达到 20.5 亿美元,同 比增加 40%。公司控股股东中国五矿为国际化的金属矿产企业集团, 规划到 2030 年矿产铜产量突破 100 万吨,集团体内尚有 2008 年收 购的北秘鲁铜业公司优质资产,其中加莱诺铜金矿潜力巨大。 拉斯邦巴斯铜矿(股权比例 62.5%):社区问题解决后有望回归稳定现 金牛,打造 ...
安踏体育(02020):零售表现相对平稳,多品牌及海外持续布局
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2026-01-21 09:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price over the next six months [10]. Core Insights - The retail performance of the company remains relatively stable, with the Anta brand experiencing a slight decline in retail sales, while the FILA brand shows improvement. Other brands continue to grow at a high rate [2][3]. - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth of 10.9% in 2025, 10.2% in 2026, and 9.1% in 2027, reaching revenues of 785.7 billion, 865.5 billion, and 944.2 billion respectively. Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline by 14.1% in 2025, followed by increases of 12.5% and 11.6% in the subsequent years [3]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - Anta brand retail sales decreased by low single digits year-on-year in Q4 2025, while FILA brand sales increased by mid single digits. Other brands saw retail sales growth of 35-40% [2][3]. - The company has been adjusting its franchise stores and successfully expanding various store formats, with the opening of a new store in Los Angeles planned for January 2026 [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue for 2023 is reported at 62,356 million, with projections of 70,826 million for 2024, 78,566 million for 2025, and continuing growth through 2027 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 10,236 million in 2023, increasing to 15,596 million in 2024, but declining to 13,402 million in 2025 before recovering in subsequent years [4]. Valuation Metrics - The company is projected to have a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.33 in 2025, decreasing to 12.21 by 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [4]. - The net asset return rate is expected to decline from 25.27% in 2024 to 15.76% in 2027, reflecting changes in profitability [4].
津上机床中国(01651):首次覆盖报告:车床领先企业,积极布局AI液冷及人形机器人领域
车床领先企业,积极布局 AI 液冷及人形机器人领域 津上机床中国(1651) 津上机床中国(1651.HK)首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 刘绮雯(分析师) | 021-23185686 | liuqiwen@gtht.com | S0880525040096 | 本报告导读: 精密机床领先企业,业绩快速增长,积极布局 AI 液冷、人形机器人等新兴领域。 投资要点: | 财务摘要(百万港元) | 2024A | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 3,119.67 | 4,261.56 | 5,182.26 | 5,823.27 | 6,562.20 | | (+/-)% | -22.9% | 36.6% | 21.6% | 12.4% | ...
李宁(02331):聚焦奥运周期,品牌势能回归,关注业绩拐点
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-21 09:19
2025 年上半年李宁签约奥委会标志着公司进入新一轮的产品和营销周期,本次 深度报告旨在对李宁公司过往发展进行复盘,同时分析 2025-2028 奥运周期下 公司的核心看点: 短期由于消费环境波动,李宁公司基本面表现承压,当前公司处于品牌势能向上 周期,中长期业绩若有改善,或将带动股价上涨。2022 年以来面对消费环境波动, 公司经营情况承压,2025H1 公司营收/归母净利润同比+3.3%/-11%至 148/17 亿 元,2025Q3/Q4 李宁品牌流水分别下降中单位数/下降低单位数。中长期来看倘若 公司后续可以迎来收入或者利润的改善,市场对于公司长期的业绩预期有望得到 修复,从而带动股价上涨。 行业趋势:居民运动鞋服需求韧性强,运动多元化、专业化特征逐步显现。 2020~2024 年居民运动参与度提升,带动运动鞋服需求规模扩张,中长期来看随 着跑步运动参与度的提升,不同跑者的需求也将更加专业,另外有强社交属性的 "圈层运动"(例如户外、羽毛球、网球)或也将成为重要的增长动力,2024 年中 国运动装市场规模达到 2602 亿元,2025~2029 年市场规模 CAGR 预计为 9%。 品牌看点:奥运周期 ...
安踏体育(02020):主品牌短期减速,中期看好公司多品牌国际化的竞争力
Orient Securities· 2026-01-21 09:17
主品牌短期减速 中期看好公司多品牌国际 化的竞争力 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据公司公告的四季度运营数据以及运动服饰消费行业目前的形势,我们调整公司 盈利预测,同时结合公司股本变动,预计 2025-2027 年每股收益分别为 4.71、5.09 和 5.70 元(原预测为 4.69、5.29 和 6.02 元)。参考可比公司,给予 2026 年 20 倍 PE 估值,对应目标价 113.00 港币(1 人民币=1.11 港币),维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 安踏体育 02020.HK 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 | | 买入(维持) | | --- | --- | | 股价(2026年01月20日) | 82.55 港元 | | 目标价格 | 113 港元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 104.77/71.58 港元 | | 总股本/流通 H 股(万股) | 279,665/279,665 | | H 股市值(百万港币) | 230,864 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | | | 报告发布日期 | 2026 年 01 月 21 日 | | | 1 周 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 1 ...
泡泡玛特(09992):发布股份回购公告,经营高景气度持续
Xinda Securities· 2026-01-21 08:27
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company has announced a share buyback plan, spending HKD 251 million to repurchase 1.4 million shares at a price range of HKD 177.7-181.2 per share [1] - The domestic market is experiencing upward momentum, with a large and sticky user base, and a diversified IP matrix maintaining its popularity [2] - The company is actively adjusting its supply and production to balance the market, reclaiming pricing power and fostering a healthy commercial ecosystem based on real consumer demand [2] - The overseas market presents significant potential, with many global markets still in their early stages and a strong certainty for future channel expansion [2] - The company is focusing on resolving supply chain and logistics issues before prioritizing IP product layout for long-term overseas development [2] Financial Projections - The projected net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is expected to be CNY 135.1 billion, CNY 179.0 billion, and CNY 216.1 billion respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.0X, 13.6X, and 11.3X [3] - Key financial indicators show a significant increase in revenue, with expected revenues of CNY 38.891 billion in 2025, CNY 50.835 billion in 2026, and CNY 61.142 billion in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 198%, 31%, and 20% respectively [5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from CNY 10.07 in 2025 to CNY 16.11 in 2027 [5]
长和(00001):再次聚焦爱尔兰
citic securities· 2026-01-21 08:12
本文是由投资/产品专员而非分析师撰写的文章汇编。 它不构成研究报告,也不应被解释为研究报告,也不旨在提供 专业、投资或任何其他类型的建议或推荐。 CSIWM 个股点评 2026 年 1 月 21 日 长和 本文内容由 Kylie Kwok (郭凯欣) 提供 1 HK 中信证券财富管理(香港) 产品及投资方案部 香港综合性企业行业 电话:(852) 2237 9250 / 电邮:wminvestmentsolutions@citics.com.hk 再次聚焦爱尔兰 长江和记实业是一家业务遍及电信、零售、基建、港口及相关服务的全球多元化综合企业,在全球约 50 个国家/市场 经营逾 300,000 名员工。 中信证券财富管理(香港) 免责声明请参考封底 根据《金融时报》的报道,长江和记实业正与 Liberty Global(目前拥有爱尔兰的 Virgin Media)洽谈出售 3 Ireland; 双方公司均未正式发布公告; 3 Ireland 上一次合并是在 2014 年与 O2 合并,当时和记黄埔(长江和记实业前身)支付了 7.8 亿欧元; 2024 年,3 Ireland 的注册客户基数为 4,942,00 ...
小菜园(00999):强化性价比优势,拥抱高质量增长
HTSC· 2026-01-21 07:46
证券研究报告 小菜园 (999 HK) 港股通 强化性价比优势拥抱高质量增长 2026 年 1 月 21 日│中国香港 餐饮 | 华泰研究 | 更新报告 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 1 月 21 日│中国香港 | 餐饮 | 目标价(港币): | 11.41 | | 2025 年餐饮行业整体表现受到外卖补贴节奏扰动较明显,中低客单价大众 | | 樊俊豪 | 研究员 | | 日常品类在较大幅度补贴下性价比优势显著放大、阶段性需求表现占优。回 | | SAC No. S0570524050001 SFC No. BDO986 | fanjunhao@htsc.com +(852) 3658 6000 | SFC No. BDO986 曾珺 研究员 SAC No. S0570523120004 SFC No. BTM417 洪洋* 联系人 SAC No. S0570125070021 hongyang@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 基本数据 | 收盘价 (港币 截至 1 月 20 日) | 8.81 | | -- ...
古茗:探讨二:如何理解未来阶段的成长空间?-20260121
Huaan Securities· 2026-01-21 07:45
| 近 12 个月最高/最低(港元) | 30.00/8.22 | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 2,378 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 2,323 | | 流通股比例(%) | 97.66 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 655 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 640 | [Table_S古tock茗Na(meRptType] 01364) 港股公司专题 古茗探讨二:如何理解未来阶段的成长空间? 投资评级: 买入(维持) 报告日期: 2026-01-20 收盘价(港元) 28.38 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 ①现有模式的精耕打磨:门店数方面下沉市场加密与全国化扩张并行, 单店运营提效方面扩大触达人群&消费时段、提升消费频次; ②第二曲线:依托供应链复用实现低成本的品类扩张及咖啡培育,多产 品矩阵支撑收入成长; ③远期定位"新鲜便利店":场景愿景不断拓展,满足多元新鲜需求。 执业证书号:S0010524010001 邮箱:dengxin@hazq.com 分析师:韦香怡 执业证书号:S0010525060001 邮箱:weixiangyi@hazq.com 主要观点: 上篇解 ...