[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月27日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260127 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.药品零售新政出台，赋能行业高质量发展——医药生物行业周报（2026/01/19- 2026/01/25） ➢ 2.2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超28%，AI相关芯片涨价持续——电子行业周报 2026/1/19-2025/1/25 ➢ 1.商务部：将优化实施消费品以旧换新，促进家电等大宗耐用商品消费 ➢ 2.上期所调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额 ➢ 3.香港特别行政区行 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，1月27日，韩国综合股价指数（KOSPI）上涨2%，三星电子股价上涨3%。 ...

1月27日，A股延续震荡，硬科技彰显韧性，科创芯片ETF华宝（589190）下探回升，场内价格一度涨近2%，现涨1.71%，东芯股份20CM涨停，芯源微涨超 13%。 | A | | 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 | | 60分 = | | | F9 盘前盘后 叠加 九转 画线 工具 @ 2 | | | N科创成 | 0 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 589190[N科创芯片E . 华宝] 10:36 价 1.010 涨跌 0.017(1.71%) 均价 1.000 成交量 | | | | | | | | 1011 | | | | | | | | | 1.76% | TEOT | | | 1.002 | | | | | | | | | 0.88% | SSE CNY 10:36:16 | 交易中 | | 0.993 | | | | | | | | | 0.00% | 净信数字 | 45 | | 0.984 | | | | | | | | | 0.88% | 委比 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market continues to show resilience in hard technology, with the Huabao Sci-Tech Chip ETF (589190) experiencing a price increase of nearly 2% at one point, currently up 1.71% [1] - Dongxin Co., Ltd. has reached a 20% limit up, while Chip Source Microelectronics has risen over 13% [1] - The Huabao Sci-Tech Chip ETF passively tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Chip Index, which has a significant focus on the chip industry, covering nearly 80% in core areas such as chip design and semiconductor materials and equipment [3][5] Group 2 - Samsung Electronics has raised the supply price of NAND flash memory by over 100% in the first quarter, exceeding market expectations, and is expected to continue price negotiations for the second quarter [3] - CITIC Securities is optimistic about investment opportunities in semiconductor chips, driven by advanced processes and domestic substitution, recommending attention to leading companies with platform capabilities and high-elasticity niche leaders [3] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Chip Index has shown annualized returns of 17.93% since its base date, significantly outperforming similar indices [3][5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in the supply price of NAND flash memory by Samsung Electronics, which is expected to rise by over 100% in the first quarter of this year, indicating a severe supply-demand imbalance in the semiconductor market [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) has seen a net inflow of nearly 10 billion yuan in the past 20 days, reflecting active capital allocation driven by "storage expansion + advanced process expansion" [1] - Relevant institutions indicate that the semiconductor equipment sector continues to have a clear growth narrative driven by global AI demand, distinguishing it from previous cycles of recovery or domestic substitution [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment ETF (159516) tracks the semiconductor materials and equipment index (931743), focusing on the materials and equipment segments of the semiconductor industry chain [1] - The index primarily covers various material suppliers and equipment manufacturers required in the semiconductor manufacturing process, reflecting the overall performance of publicly listed companies in the upstream semiconductor sector [1] - The current narrative surrounding semiconductor equipment is fundamentally linked to the need for advanced process expansion and storage expansion driven by AI computing power, positioning it as a critical element in overcoming capacity bottlenecks [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on January 27, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.32%. The sectors showing gains included metals, banking, and oil, while electric equipment and pharmaceuticals saw the largest declines [1] - In the semiconductor sector, the performance was mixed. The chip ETF (159995.SZ) fell by 1.00%, while some component stocks like Ruixin Micro and Zhongwei Company increased by 2.85% and 2.23%, respectively. However, companies like Jing Sheng Machinery and Sanan Optoelectronics performed poorly, with declines of -3.82% and -3.07% [1] Group 2 - According to TrendForce, the global server shipment volume is expected to grow at an annual rate of 12.8% by 2026, with AI server shipments projected to grow over 28%, up from 24.2% in 2025. This growth is driven by significant investments in AI infrastructure by global CSPs [3] - The storage industry, including DRAM and NAND Flash, is expected to see its market value reach $551.6 billion by 2026, a year-on-year increase of 134%, and continue to grow by 53% to $842.7 billion in 2027. Samsung Electronics is reported to increase NAND flash supply prices by over 100% in Q1 2026, highlighting a severe supply-demand imbalance in the semiconductor market [3] - The packaging and testing segment of the storage chip industry is benefiting from a recovery in downstream demand, with leading manufacturers operating at near full capacity and service prices increasing by approximately 30%. This indicates a positive trend in the storage industry, with growth in both volume and price [3]

Core Insights - The soaring prices of storage chips have led to substantial profits for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, but the ongoing supply shortage is opening market opportunities for Chinese manufacturers [1] - Experts warn that if the supply-demand imbalance persists until mid-2027 or longer, it could provide a golden opportunity for Chinese competitors to narrow the technological gap with Korean firms [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The storage industry is experiencing a super cycle, with DRAM prices skyrocketing by 300-400% in just a few months [1] - Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron are unable to meet global demand, creating an entry point for Chinese storage manufacturers [1] - Chinese companies have the potential to expand not only in the consumer retail sector but also in the enterprise market, where even a 5-10% market share could significantly contribute to future growth [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Chinese storage manufacturers are rapidly catching up to leading Korean firms, with ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) advancing from HBM2 to HBM3 development in a short timeframe [2] - CXMT's progress is supported by investments from local governments and Huawei, allowing for faster R&D cycles and commercialization of technological innovations [2] Group 3: Strategic Implications - The current market opportunity holds dual value for Chinese companies, as global supply constraints reduce customer sensitivity to technological gaps and high price environments provide ample profit margins for R&D investments [3] - If supply shortages continue until mid-2027 or later, Chinese manufacturers will have more time to acquire technical expertise, posing a risk to Korean firms if they fail to convert current profits into higher technological barriers [3] Group 4: AI Era Considerations - Leading storage companies must adapt to the AI era to maintain their positions, as performance bottlenecks are shifting from core computing capabilities to storage [4] - The increasing use of SRAM, despite its higher costs and larger footprint, is becoming more attractive for certain AI models due to its ultra-low latency [4] - Future technological advancements will focus on TSV density, reducing the distance between memory and core, and developing new interconnect technologies beyond silicon interlayers [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the competitive landscape in the AI sector, with major internet companies ramping up their AI strategies and revenue targets, particularly Baidu aiming for a 200% growth in AI-related revenue by 2026 [1] - The AI cloud market is projected to exceed $400 billion globally by 2030, indicating significant growth potential in this sector [1] - The AI artificial intelligence ETF (512930) is closely tracking the Zhongzheng AI Theme Index, which includes 50 companies involved in providing resources, technology, and application support for AI [2] Group 2 - The global AI server shipment volume is expected to grow by over 28% year-on-year in 2026, driven by substantial investments from cloud service providers in AI infrastructure [2] - Key components such as storage and CPU chips are experiencing price increases, with Samsung raising NAND flash memory prices by over 100% and Intel and AMD planning to increase server CPU prices by 10% to 15% [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Zhongzheng AI Theme Index account for 58.08% of the index, indicating a concentration in key players within the AI sector [2]

Group 1 - Alibaba officially released the Qwen3-Max-Thinking flagship reasoning model with over 1 trillion parameters, achieving significant performance improvements and surpassing top models like GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus4.5 in key benchmarks [2] - Zijin Mining announced plans to acquire 100% of United Gold for 28 billion yuan, which includes gold resources in Mali, Côte d'Ivoire, and Ethiopia, enhancing the company's gold resource portfolio [2] - Nvidia announced a $2 billion investment in CoreWeave to strengthen collaboration in AI computing infrastructure and accelerate AI factory construction, aiming to deploy over 5 GW of computing power by 2030 [2] Group 2 - Tencent held its 2025 employee conference, with CEO Ma Huateng stating that TEG and CSIG will lead Tencent's AI initiatives, focusing on an integrated approach to large models and AI products while maintaining user privacy [4] - TSMC's earnings report and guidance led Goldman Sachs to raise its 12-month target for Taiwan's weighted index from 32,400 to 34,600, reflecting recognition of TSMC's leadership in AI and HPC [4] - Foxconn's stock surged due to supply disruptions from a winter storm in North America and China's proposed "anti-involution" policy, which is expected to support Taiwan's petrochemical exports and margins in the long term [4] Group 3 - The U.S. Rare Earth Company received a $1.6 billion investment from the Trump administration for developing Texas rare earth mines and an Oklahoma magnet factory, with total funding reaching $3.1 billion [6] - Microsoft launched the new AI chip Maia 200, built on TSMC's 3nm process, aimed at reducing dependency on Nvidia, while also addressing issues with Windows 11 updates causing device startup failures [6] - Apple released the second-generation AirTag with a 50% increase in range and larger volume, while Q1 earnings are expected to show steady growth [6] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics reported a 3-4 times increase in consumer-grade DDR5 memory prices over the past two months and announced a stock reward program for employees [10] - Toyota began production of the 2026 hybrid RAV4 in Canada and recalled 162,000 Tundra models in the U.S., with sales in China showing signs of recovery despite a 3.6% drop in stock price due to yen appreciation [10] - LG Group's LG Display is collaborating with Korean companies to develop glass interlayers for expanding semiconductor packaging business [10]

在目前的芯片产业，存储涨价已经成为了从业人员关注的重中之重。 据分析机构Counterpoint在此前的一份报告中所说，受人工智能和服务器容量的旺盛需求驱 动，供应商的杠杆率也达到了历史新高。预计2026年第一季度将进一步上涨40%-50%，第二 季度将上涨约20%。由此可见，存储涨价已成定局。 更有甚者，随着金银铜等金属的涨价，以及整个供应链的调整，一场牵连甚广的涨价潮正在 汹涌袭来。这必然会给全球兴起的基础设施建设浪潮带来巨大不确定性。尤其对于中国的服 务器供应商而言，在外忧内患的双重影响下，挑战更是前所未有。 存储暴涨背后：底层逻辑变了 本轮存储涨价潮，是人工智能需求飙升的结果，这是一个不争的事实。 随着大模型厂商对更大模型和更高参数有着迫切需求，且Scaling Law还没失效的当下，云厂商和 大模型企业都前赴后继的投入到基础设施的建设中去。 麦肯锡在早前的一份研究中预测道，到2030年，全球数据中心预计需要6.7万亿美元才能满足日益 增长的计算能力需求。其中，用于处理人工智能（AI）负载的数据中心预计需要5.2万亿美元的资 本支出，而用于支持传统IT应用的数据中心预计需要1.5万亿美元的资本支出。也 ...