Core Insights - The Federal Reserve is expected to make a monetary policy decision in the upcoming October meeting without the benefit of recent official economic data, except for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report [1] Group 1 - The decision-making process for the Fed will be influenced primarily by the CPI inflation report due to the lack of other recent economic data [1]

So for more, let's bring in Barry Napp. He's director of research at Iron Science Macroeconomics. Uh Barry, love to get your read on the CPI number.Of course, one of the few data prints that we've been able to get, albeit, you know, delayed and guess sounds like the government had to pull some extra strings to get it to us, but uh 3% initially earlier on the show, we had Krishna Guha saying that's pretty benign, at least from a market perspective. the two um issues that I haven't heard discussed um over all ...

Market Overview - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September is set to be released at 8:30 AM Eastern, which is expected to significantly influence monetary policy expectations and could lead to market volatility if it deviates from forecasts [1] - Updated readings on Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMIs for October will be released at 9:45 AM Eastern, providing insights into economic momentum following the Federal Reserve's policy stance [2] SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) - SPY opens at 673.75, with potential upward movement towards 675.00, 676.20, and possibly 677.40 if bullish momentum continues [4] - If SPY falls below 673.75, it may decline to 672.45, with further downside risks reaching 671.15 and 669.95 [5] Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ) - QQQ starts at 613.75, with upward targets at 614.90, 616.05, and 617.20 if bullish sentiment prevails [6] - A drop below 613.75 could lead to declines towards 612.50 and 611.30, with further weakness potentially reaching 610.10 [7] Apple Inc. (AAPL) - AAPL opens at 260.50, with potential upward movement towards 261.45, 262.40, and 263.35 if the stock holds above its recent higher base [8] - If AAPL slips below 260.50, it may decline to 259.55, with further downside risks reaching 258.60 and 257.65 [9] Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) - MSFT begins at 521.75, with upward targets at 522.95, 524.20, and 525.40 if bullish momentum continues [10] - A break below 521.75 could lead to declines towards 520.55 and 519.35, with heavier downside risks reaching 518.10 [11] NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) - NVDA opens at 183.25, with potential upward movement towards 184.30, 185.35, and 186.40 if accumulation continues [12] - If NVDA loses 183.25, it may decline to 182.20, with further downside risks reaching 181.15 and 180.10 [13] Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) - GOOGL starts at 256.25, with upward targets at 257.20, 258.15, and 259.10 if the stock maintains its positive tone [14] - A failure to hold above 256.25 could lead to declines towards 255.25 and 254.20, with deeper selling risks reaching 253.15 [15] Meta Platforms Inc (META) - META opens at 737.50, with potential upward movement towards 739.70, 741.85, and 744.00 if bullish sentiment remains strong [16] - If META falls below 737.50, it may decline to 735.35, with further downside risks reaching 733.20 and 731.10 [17] Tesla Inc. (TSLA) - TSLA begins at 446.25, with upward targets at 447.85, 449.45, and 451.00 if buyers build a firmer base [18] - A drop below 446.25 could lead to declines towards 444.65 and 443.05, with heavier downside risks reaching 441.50 [19]

Inflation & Interest Rate - Headline inflation estimate is 31%, highest since February [1] - The market has largely priced in an interest rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting [2] - The key focus is whether tariffs are being passed on to higher goods prices, and what happens with services inflation [2][3] - There's a divide among Fed officials regarding concerns about the labor market versus the stickiness of inflation [5][6] - The Fed's guidance on future rates is expected to be limited due to a lack of comprehensive data [9] - A December rate cut is anticipated, especially if the government reopens and data becomes available [14][15] Economic Outlook - Workforce reductions are occurring across different parts of the economy [4] - AI investments are significantly powering the market, with the Atlanta Fed GDP tracker indicating almost 4% growth for the quarter [10] - The economy may be bifurcated, with growth driven by a few sectors and higher-income consumers, making it prone to shocks [11][12][13] - The labor market is expected to weaken, potentially driving more rate cuts into Q1 of the following year [15]

Get 100% ad-free experience CPI Preview: Inflation Data Looms Amid Shutdown With Fed Decision on the Horizon ByInvesting.com AuthorJesse Cohen Market Overview Published 10/24/2025, 04:22 AM CPI Preview: Inflation Data Looms Amid Shutdown With Fed Decision on the Horizon View all comments (0)0 Investing.com Articles(8015)|My Homepage Follow US500 0.58% As markets await the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, set for release Friday at 8:30 AM ET, investors and policymakers face a particularly complex ...

By Leika Kihara (Reuters) -Asia may see its resilience to U.S. tariffs challenged if a rally in the dollar and a rebound in low interest rates lead to tighter financial conditions, a senior International Monetary Fund official told Reuters. If the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates, a subsequent dollar decline could allow Asian central banks to loosen monetary policy and support their economies without worrying about the risk of capital outflows, said Krishna Srinivasan, director of the ...

Pretty decent reaction on #Bitcoin.Ultimately, it's still chop until we're getting macroeconomic data (CPI) and the FED meeting.Bitcoin has been going sideways around $100-120K for nearly six months already, and that means that a big volatile move is on the horizon.When?I don't know.Not going to predict when it will occur, but there is a bias and thesis to be created out of the FOMC meetings, rate cuts, adjusted monetary policy and better business cycle.That's literally starting up later this quarter, and f ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin has transformed from being worthless to a global asset with a market cap of $2.2 trillion, attracting significant attention from business leaders, politicians, and central bankers [1] - Over the past year, Bitcoin has increased by 65%, indicating growing investor interest [1] Group 1: Catalysts and Market Dynamics - Positive catalysts for Bitcoin include a more accommodating regulatory environment and increased capital inflow into spot Bitcoin ETFs [3] - The emergence of Bitcoin treasury companies, such as Strategy, has provided new avenues for larger capital pools to access Bitcoin [4] - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy, particularly potential interest rate cuts, will significantly influence Bitcoin and other risk assets in the coming year [5] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The M2 money supply of the four largest economies has grown by 7% over the past year, contributing to increased liquidity in the financial system and supporting Bitcoin's price [6] - The liquidity influx from the Federal Reserve's actions is expected to benefit Bitcoin directly [8] Group 3: Risks and Considerations - A severe recession could lead to a loss of investor confidence, prompting a shift from Bitcoin to safer cash-like instruments [7] - The global economy may still be adjusting to the impacts of trade policies, which could affect Bitcoin's performance by next October [7]

It's Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2025, just before market close. Below is your easy-to-follow summary of how the stock market moved during trading hours, brought to you by International Business Times. Let's dive in.U.S. stocks ended on a high note today, with all three major indexes closing in the green as investors continued to digest strong earnings results and positive economic data. A mix of optimism in technology, financials, and industrial sectors helped fuel the rally, pushing Wall Street further away from re ...

Core Viewpoint - The election of hardline conservative Sanae Takaichi as Japan's prime minister has led to a decline in the yen, with traders speculating on potential changes in interest rate outlook and increased fiscal spending [1][2]. Currency Market Impact - The yen fell 0.76% to 151.895 per dollar, marking its lowest level since October 14, and experienced its largest single-day decline in two weeks [2]. - The yen also faced challenges against the euro and sterling, indicating broader currency market pressures [2]. Government Appointments and Economic Policy - Takaichi plans to appoint Satsuki Katayama as finance minister, who has previously expressed a preference for a stronger yen, potentially influencing market perceptions regarding yen depreciation [3]. - Analysts suggest that inflation and household purchasing power will be critical issues for the new government, which may lead to a reluctance to support further yen depreciation [4]. Monetary Policy Considerations - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) faces challenges in navigating monetary policy, as Takaichi's support for fiscal stimulus complicates the path for potential interest rate increases [4][5]. - There are indications that monetary tightening may be delayed until fiscal easing takes effect, creating a complex environment for the BOJ [5]. Broader Market Context - The dollar index rose to a six-day high, supported by the weaker yen, amidst a generally positive market sentiment following optimistic trade deal discussions between the U.S. and China [6][7]. - Concerns regarding U.S. dollar funding and its implications for euro zone banks were highlighted, reflecting the interconnectedness of global financial markets [7].