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PLAY to Post Q2 Earnings: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-10 16:01
Core Insights - Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY) is set to release its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on September 15, with an expected earnings per share (EPS) of 88 cents, reflecting a 21.4% decline from $1.12 in the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus estimate for fiscal second-quarter revenues is $562 million, indicating a growth of 0.9% year-over-year [3] Earnings Estimate Trend - The EPS estimate for the current quarter has remained stable at 88 cents over the past week, but has decreased from 90 cents 30 days ago [3] - The projected EPS for the current year is $1.53, while the next year's estimate is $2.07 [3] Earnings Surprise History - Dave & Buster's has a modest earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 2.2% [4] Revenue Drivers - The fiscal second-quarter performance is expected to benefit from improved traffic trends, promotional offerings, and new entertainment initiatives [10] - The relaunch of the Eat & Play combo and the introduction of the Summer Pass program are anticipated to enhance customer engagement and drive sales [11] - New games and attractions, along with the "Summer of Games" campaign, are likely to have contributed positively to guest activity [12] Margin Expectations - Fiscal second-quarter adjusted EBITDA is predicted to decline 18.6% year-over-year to $123.4 million, influenced by elevated pre-opening and marketing costs [14] - Total operating expenses are expected to rise 2.6% year-over-year to $484.7 million, constrained by labor inflation and macroeconomic factors [16] Stock Performance & Valuation - Over the past three months, PLAY shares have declined 13.8%, underperforming the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry and the S&P 500 [17] - The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E multiple of 11.98, below the industry average of 24.14 [19] Investment Considerations - The company is focusing on a "back-to-basics" strategy to strengthen its position in the experiential dining and entertainment market [21] - Challenges such as inflationary pressures, competitive promotional activity, and uneven demand may limit near-term margin expansion [22]