Investor Presentation Fiscal 2026 – 1st Quarter Update January 28, 2026 Fiscal 2026 Q1 Update 1 National Fuel Gas Company Fiscal 2026 Q1 Update 2 • Company Overview (3) • Recent Highlights (6) • Why National Fuel? (11) • Financial Overview (16) • Integrated Upstream & Gathering Highlights (20) • Pipeline & Storage and Utility Highlights (32) • Guidance & Other Financial Information (48) Company Overview Corporate HQ: Buffalo, NY ~2,300 employees NYSE: NFG Market Cap: ~$7.9B 123 Years of consecutive dividend ...

Core Insights - Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has indicated that its upstream earnings are expected to decline sequentially due to lower liquids prices, with the West Texas Intermediate spot average projected to fall from $65.78 per barrel in Q3 to $59.31 per barrel in Q4 [1][8] Group 1: Earnings Impact - The integrated nature of XOM allows it to benefit from lower crude prices through its refining operations, which reduces feedstock costs and enhances refining gains, thereby supporting downstream profitability [2][3] - XOM forecasts that changes in industry margins will positively impact its Energy Products segment by $300-$700 million and its Specialty Products segment by up to $200 million on a sequential basis [2][8] Group 2: Market Position and Valuation - XOM's diversified business model helps stabilize earnings during volatile commodity price environments, partially offsetting the negative effects on upstream earnings [3] - Over the past year, XOM's shares have increased by 15.4%, outperforming the industry composite stocks, which rose by 9.2% [5] - XOM currently trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 7.97X, which is above the industry average of 4.91X [7] Group 3: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for XOM's 2025 earnings has seen upward revisions in the past 30 days, indicating positive market sentiment [9] - Current estimates for Q4 2025 earnings stand at $1.66 per share, with slight increases noted over the past month [10]

Core Insights - Suncor Energy Inc. is a leading integrated energy company in Canada, involved in oil and natural gas production, refining, and marketing of petroleum products, playing a significant role in both national and global energy markets [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 12 months, Suncor's stock has increased by 22.2%, outperforming the Oil & Gas-Canadian Integrated sub-industry's growth of 18.3% and the broader Oil-Energy sector's increase of 7.1% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Suncor's earnings per share has improved by 15.14% for 2025 and 14.53% for 2026 over the past 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [5] Factors Driving Performance - Suncor's integrated business model, which spans oil sands extraction to refining and retail sales, provides a competitive advantage by capturing margins at every stage of the value chain [6] - The downstream segment has achieved record throughput, with refinery utilization expected to remain between 99% and 102% through 2026, indicating improved reliability and efficiency [8][13] - The company has reduced net debt to C$7.1 billion, down from C$8.0 billion in Q3 2024, enhancing financial flexibility and reducing risk [9] - Suncor's downstream transformation focuses on increasing higher-margin retail and wholesale sales while reducing lower-margin exports, improving profitability [10] Operational Performance - Suncor has set new operational records, including upstream production of 870,000 bbls/d and refinery throughput of 492,000 bbls/d in Q3 2025, prompting upward revisions in full-year guidance for production and sales [11] - The Fort Hills asset, now fully owned by Suncor, is showing strong performance with production targets aimed at reaching 195,000-200,000 bbls/d in the coming years [14] Shareholder Returns - Suncor has committed to an aggressive share buyback program, increasing monthly repurchases to C$275 million, projecting a total of C$3.3 billion in buybacks for 2026, reinforcing its focus on returning excess cash to shareholders [12][16]

Core Insights - Champion Homes is a leading provider of factory-built housing solutions in North America, utilizing an integrated business model that includes manufacturing, retail, installation, and transportation [1][2] - The company has a diversified product portfolio and a strong presence in the U.S. and Canada, catering to various housing needs in the residential construction market [1] - Champion Homes' stock has seen an 18% decline over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500, which has increased by 13% during the same period [2] Financial Performance - In the latest quarter, Champion Homes reported net sales of $684.4 million, an increase of 11%, and earnings per share (EPS) rose nearly 10% to $1.03 [5] - The company expanded its gross margin to 27.5%, increased its backlog, and generated $75.9 million in operating cash while repurchasing $50 million of its stock [5] Institutional Investment - Tensile Capital Management established a new position in Champion Homes, acquiring 308,162 shares valued at approximately $23.5 million, representing 2.9% of Tensile's $800.4 million in U.S. equity holdings [3][4][6] - This investment reflects Tensile's strategy of accumulating category leaders with defensible unit economics, indicating confidence in Champion's long-term prospects [6]

Core Insights - Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) has experienced a 10.5% increase in share price over the past month, outperforming the Oil & Gas Drilling sub-industry's 8.2% growth and the broader energy sector's decline of 0.3% [1] - The company's strong performance is attributed to record operational metrics, robust shareholder returns, and an integrated business model that enhances margins [6][7][9] Stock Performance - Suncor's shares rose 10.5% in the last month, compared to peers Imperial Oil Limited (6.6%) and Cenovus Energy Inc. (4.3%) [1] - The company's performance contrasts with the broader energy sector, which saw a decline of 0.3% [1] Operational Performance - In Q3 2025, Suncor achieved record upstream production of 870,000 barrels per day and refining throughput of 492,000 barrels per day, marking the highest outputs in company history [6] - The integration of operations from extraction to retail allows Suncor to maintain competitiveness in volatile markets [5] Shareholder Returns - Suncor returned C$1.4 billion to shareholders in Q3 through dividends and share buybacks, reflecting management's confidence in long-term value [7] - The company raised its annual dividend by 5% to C$2.40, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.74%, which is higher than peers like Imperial Oil (2.15%) and Cenovus Energy (3.26%) [8] Business Model and Margins - Suncor's integrated business model allows it to capture value across the energy chain, achieving 96% of WTI pricing for oil sands barrels and 92% downstream margin capture in Q3 [9] - The refining and marketing segments provide natural hedges against oil price volatility, contributing to stable earnings [9] Guidance and Future Outlook - Suncor has raised its 2025 guidance for upstream production and refinery throughput, indicating improved operational execution and confidence in consistent results [10] - The upward revision in production guidance suggests sustained momentum into 2026, enhancing visibility into earnings stability [10] Estimate Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Suncor's 2025 earnings has been revised upward by 14.8% in the past 30 days, indicating a positive trajectory for the company [15]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the comparison between two major U.S. energy companies, Chevron and ExxonMobil, focusing on their similarities and differences, particularly for dividend investors. Business Models - Both Chevron and ExxonMobil utilize an integrated business model, providing exposure to upstream, midstream, and downstream operations, which helps mitigate volatility in the energy sector [2][3]. Financial Strength - Both companies have strong financial foundations, with Chevron's debt-to-equity ratio at 0.22 and ExxonMobil's at 0.16, indicating low leverage that allows them to manage downturns effectively [4][5]. Dividend Records - ExxonMobil has a longer track record of dividend increases with 43 consecutive years, while Chevron has 38 years, making both companies reliable for dividend investors [6][7]. Dividend Yield Comparison - Chevron offers a higher dividend yield of 4.4% compared to ExxonMobil's 3.6%, which is significantly above the average energy stock yield of 3.2%, making Chevron more attractive for income-focused investors [8][9]. Market Capitalization - ExxonMobil has a larger market capitalization of $494 billion compared to Chevron's $317 billion, which could influence investment decisions [8][11]. Conclusion - Both companies are strong candidates for investment, but Chevron stands out for those prioritizing higher dividend income, while ExxonMobil may appeal to those considering size and stability [10][11].

Core Insights - Cenovus Energy Inc. is an integrated Canadian oil and natural gas producer with significant operations in both upstream and downstream sectors, aiming to capture margins across the value chain [2][3][33] Company Overview - Cenovus is headquartered in Calgary and focuses on exploration, production, and refining, combining oil sands and conventional resources with downstream refining and marketing [3][31] - The company operates large oil sands projects and conventional wells, providing diversified production basins [6][21] Strategic Positioning - Cenovus's integration strategy mitigates midstream and commodity price volatility by converting crude into higher-value refined products [3][4] - The acquisition of Husky Energy significantly expanded Cenovus's asset base and downstream presence, enhancing its operational flexibility [6][18] Financial Metrics - Market Capitalization: ~40 billion CAD - Annual Revenue: ~55 billion CAD - Net Income: ~7 billion CAD - Earnings per Share: ~1.80 CAD - Dividend Yield: ~3.2% [10][31] Operational Dynamics - The company balances three principal segments: upstream oil sands and conventional crude production, downstream refining and marketing, and corporate support functions [7][8] - Key operational priorities include managing production volumes, optimizing refinery utilization rates, and executing emissions-reduction initiatives [12][22] Competitive Landscape - Cenovus competes with peers such as Suncor Energy, Canadian Natural Resources, and Imperial Oil, with its integrated model allowing for margin capture across the chain [4][16][35] - The company’s performance is influenced by global crude pricing dynamics and trading, particularly from international oil majors like Chevron and ExxonMobil [5][32] Market Position - Cenovus is a prominent component of Canadian equity markets, listed on the TSX under the symbol CVE, and included in key indices like the S&P/TSX Composite and S&P/TSX 60 [27][29] - The company's market position ensures visibility to domestic and international investors, affecting passive investment flows [32][30]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The second quarter reported earnings were $877 million or $2.15 per share, with adjusted earnings of $973 million or $2.38 per share, reflecting a significant recovery from a prior quarter's adjusted loss of $368 million [15][17] - Operating cash flow was $845 million, with cash flow excluding working capital at $1.9 billion, indicating strong operational performance [16][18] - Net debt to capital ratio stood at 41%, influenced by the acquisition of Coastal Bend assets for $2.2 billion [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refining assets operated at 98% utilization, the highest since 2018, with clean product yield exceeding 86% and market capture at 99% [7][9] - Midstream generated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1 billion, on track to meet the $4.5 billion annual EBITDA target by 2027 [7][12] - Marketing and Specialties reported its strongest quarter since 2022, contributing to a robust capital allocation framework [8][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date market capture improved by 5% compared to the first half of the previous year, with the second quarter PSX market indicator just over $11 per barrel [10][17] - The organization expects the global O&P utilization rate in Chemicals to be in the mid-90s, while worldwide crude utilization is anticipated to be in the low to mid-90s [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on enhancing refining competitiveness, driving organic growth in midstream, reducing debt, and returning over 50% of net operating cash flow to shareholders [13][14] - Strategic investments include the acquisition of Coastal Bend and capacity expansion projects, aimed at enhancing midstream returns [12][14] - The management emphasizes a culture of continuous improvement and operational excellence to drive long-term shareholder value [11][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in capturing market opportunities and achieving strategic priorities by 2027, despite challenges in the chemicals segment [6][14] - The company anticipates a strong margin environment in refining, supported by low U.S. inventories and seasonal demand [61][93] - Management acknowledged the need to adapt operations in renewable fuels due to regulatory changes and weak margins, while also exploring opportunities for profitability [78][80] Other Important Information - The company returned over $900 million to shareholders in the quarter, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns [8][16] - The addition of three new Board members is expected to enhance strategic discussions and decision-making processes [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Strategy after recent shareholder engagement - Management remains committed to the integrated company strategy, with ongoing evaluations of strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value [22][23] Question: Debt levels and mid-cycle assumptions - Current debt levels are viewed as manageable, with plans to reduce debt through operational cash flow and asset dispositions [33][34] Question: Refining performance improvements - The significant quarter-over-quarter improvement in refining was attributed to disciplined focus on clean product yield and utilization rates [39][40] Question: Chemicals and renewable fuels outlook - Chemicals are expected to recover as market conditions stabilize, while renewable fuels face challenges but are being strategically managed [72][78] Question: Midstream exposure to Permian growth - The company maintains confidence in its midstream volumes, supported by a robust contract portfolio and ongoing expansion projects [86][87] Question: Operating synergies and market conditions - Operating synergies are generally stable, with opportunities for improvement in various market environments [88][90]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter reported earnings were $877 million or $2.15 per share, while adjusted earnings were $973 million or $2.38 per share, reflecting a significant recovery from a prior quarter's adjusted loss of $368 million [13][15] - Operating cash flow generated was $845 million, with cash flow excluding working capital at $1.9 billion [14][16] - Net debt to capital ratio stood at 41%, influenced by the acquisition of Coastal Bend assets for $2.2 billion [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Refining assets operated at 98% utilization, the highest since 2018, with clean product yield exceeding 86% [5][7] - Midstream generated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1 billion, on track to meet the $4.5 billion annual EBITDA target by 2027 [5][10] - Marketing and Specialties reported its strongest quarter since 2022, contributing to a robust capital allocation framework [6][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date market capture improved by 5% compared to the first half of the previous year, reaching 99% in the second quarter [8][15] - The second quarter PSX market indicator was just over $11 per barrel, with an estimated EBITDA increase of approximately $170 million for every dollar per barrel increase [8][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on enhancing refining competitiveness, driving organic growth in midstream, reducing debt, and returning over 50% of net operating cash flow to shareholders [11][12] - Strategic investments include the acquisition of Coastal Bend and capacity expansion projects aimed at growing Midstream EBITDA [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capture market opportunities and improve performance despite external challenges [4][22] - The outlook for refining remains positive, with expectations of strong margins driven by tight distillate markets and seasonal demand [90] Other Important Information - The company plans to reduce turnaround expenses by $100 million for the full year, reflecting improved execution and planning [18][110] - New board members have been onboarded to enhance strategic discussions and shareholder value creation [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Strategy after recent shareholder engagement - Management remains committed to the integrated company strategy, with ongoing evaluations of strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value [21][24] Question: Debt levels and mid-cycle conditions - Current debt levels are viewed as manageable, with plans to reduce debt through operational cash flow and asset dispositions [31][62] Question: Refining performance drivers - The significant quarter-over-quarter improvement in refining was attributed to higher utilization rates and disciplined operational focus [36][38] Question: Chemicals and renewable fuels outlook - Chemicals faced challenges due to tariffs, but long-term outlook remains positive; renewable fuels are running at reduced rates due to weak margins [70][74] Question: Midstream growth and integration - The company is confident in its midstream growth outlook, supported by contracted third-party volumes and ongoing integration efforts [82][83]