Portfolio purchasing and collections

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Encore Capital Group(ECPG) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-07 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Portfolio purchases in Q1 were $368 million, up 24% compared to Q1 2024, while collections reached $654 million, an 18% increase [6][13][14] - Earnings per share for Q1 was $1.93, reflecting a 103% increase year-over-year [6][31] - Leverage improved to 2.6 times, down from 2.8 times a year ago [7][32] - Operating expenses increased by 8% to $263 million, indicating significant operating leverage [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Midland Credit Management (MCM) in the U.S. achieved record portfolio purchases of $316 million, a 34% increase year-over-year, and collections of $454 million, up 23% [9][18] - Cabot Credit Management in Europe reported portfolio purchases of $51 million and collections of $150 million, a 7% increase compared to the previous year [19][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. revolving credit remains near record levels, with the credit card charge-off rate at its highest in over ten years, driving robust portfolio supply [15][16] - Delinquency rates in the U.S. are near multi-year highs, indicating favorable purchasing conditions [15][17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on markets with strong regulatory frameworks and stable long-term returns, primarily in the U.S. and the U.K. [12][11] - The three-pillar strategy emphasizes market focus, operational efficiency, and compliance to enhance performance and shareholder value [11][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the favorable U.S. market conditions for 2025, anticipating continued growth in portfolio purchases and collections [36][66] - The company expects global portfolio purchasing in 2025 to exceed $1.35 billion, with collections projected to grow by 11% to $2.4 billion [36] Other Important Information - The company resumed share repurchases in Q1, purchasing $10 million worth of shares [8][34] - Interest expense increased by 30% to $69 million due to higher debt balances and interest rates [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Was the collections performance at Cabot a function of updated forecasts or underlying improvements? - Management indicated it was a combination of improved operations and updated forecasts [42] Question: What is the expected collections multiple for U.S. and Cabot? - Both MCM and Cabot had a collections multiple of 2.3 for Q1 [43] Question: Are purchasing conditions in the U.S. stable? - Management noted that purchasing conditions remain favorable, with expectations for continued strong supply [46] Question: Any volatility in collectability during Q1? - Management reported stable consumer behavior and no significant issues during tax season [47] Question: What drives the cash overs and negative revisions to forecasted recoveries? - Management explained that cash overs and NPV changes are based on different vintages and are not always directly correlated [54] Question: How should changes in recoveries impact core EPS? - Management provided an estimate that the changes in recoveries could translate to about 73 cents impact on EPS [59] Question: Will the pace of buybacks continue throughout 2025? - Future buybacks will depend on financial conditions and performance, but the current pace is expected to continue [62] Question: What is attracting the U.S. market for purchases? - The U.S. market is favorable due to high lending, elevated charge-offs, and ample supply of portfolios [66]